• Title/Summary/Keyword: 물가지수

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A Methodology to Evaluate Economic Feasibility by Taking into Account Social Costs from Automobile Exhaust Gases (자동차 배기가스로 인한 사회적 비용을 고려한 경제성 평가 방법론)

  • Cho, A-Ra;Lim, Seong-Rin
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2019
  • Air pollutants have a high impact on everyday life as well as on human health; therefore, new technologies such as low-emission vehicles and add-on systems for air pollutant reduction are needed for our society. However, the environmental benefits and costs of those technologies are not taken into account in existing economic feasibility assessments, which is a barrier that needs to be overcome for green technology to achieve wide dissemination and fast penetration in the market. Thus, this study develops a methodology to assess the economic feasibility of an air pollutant reduction technology by taking into account the social costs from air pollutants and carries out a case study to validate the methodology. Because the social unit costs for air pollutants have not been evaluated yet in South Korea, the methodology uses the social unit costs evaluated for the European Union that are then converted to those for South Korea based on the measuring criteria for vehicle emission gases, parity purchasing price, foreign currency exchange rate, and customer price index. The social unit costs for South Korea are used to assess economic feasibility. A case study was performed to assess the economic feasibility of a dual fuel system using diesel and compressed natural gas by taking into account social costs from air pollutants as well as economic costs. This study could contribute to assessing the true economic feasibility of green technology, projects, and policy related with air pollutant reduction.

Estimating the Determinants for Rate of Arrearage in Domestic Bank: A Panel Data Model Approach (패널 데이터모형을 적용한 국내일반은행 연체율 결정요인 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheu;Park, Hyoung-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2010
  • In respect complication of group, rate of arrearage in domestic bank is composed of various factors. This paper studies focus on estimating the determinants of the rate of arrearage in domestic bank using panel data model. The volume of analysis consist of 3 groups(loaned patterns of enterprise, housekeeping, credit card). Analyzing period be formed over a 54 point(2005. 1~ 2009. 06). In this paper dependent variable setting up rate of arrearage in domestic bank, explanatory(independent) variables composed of the consumer price index, composite stock price index, rate of exchange, the coincident composite index, national housing bonds and employment rate. The result of estimating the rate of arrearage in domestic bank provides empirical evidences of significance positive relationships between the consumer price index However this study provides empirical evidences of significance negative relationships between the coincident composite index and the composite stock price index. The explanatory variables, that is, rate of exchange, national housing bonds and the employment rate are non-significance variables of negative factor. Implication of these findings are discussed for content research and practices.

A Study on the Construction of Fisheries Producer Price Index (수산물 생산자물가지수 산정방식에 관한 고찰;-연근해 어획물을 중심으로-)

  • 이광진
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.67-90
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    • 1996
  • As an important factor of capitalism economics, price of commodities represents a certain country's economic index. For having correct price policy, there should be an appropriate mechanism to make and use systematic statistical data on price. Price statistics are made by indexes and price indexes are categorized into producer price index(PPI) and consumer price index(CPI). The Bank of Korea is publishing producer price index every year, but the producer price index contains some problems. These include as follows : (a) the impractical selection of fisheries products sample (b) uncorrect measure of aquatic products weights (c) investigating sample places. This study try to substitute producer price index of aquatic products and change construction of fisheries producer price index with experimental research on representative fisheries, weight of each fisheries, and suitability of investigating sample places. It is possible to improve practical fisheries producer price index with the results of this research. The findings are as follow. (a) It will be helpful for the government to make the fisheries price policy. (b) It can be used to understand trends of accurate price and price increase of aquatic products, and it's possible to compare with it other industrial indexes including the mining, agricultural, and manufacturing industry and understand relative price movement. (c) When free sales systems of fisheries products as expected, it will be helpful to analyze price movement of producing fisheries cooperatives, producing fisheries market and consuming fisheries market, analysis of market, and formation and consideration of budget. (d) It can be an important index to determine labor wage.

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A Study on Eire Data Analysis in Korea, Japan and USA (2) Direct Property Losses Due to Fires (한국ㆍ일본ㆍ미국의 화재발생실태에 대한 비교분석 (2) 화재로 인한 재산피해)

  • Lee Eui-Pyeong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2004
  • The following matters were confirmed through the analysis of property losses due to fires in Korea, the U.S., and Japan. 1. Korean statistics on property losses are not the most detailed of the three centuries, and they have a lot of limitations to analyze the actual condition of property losses due to fires. 2. The percentage which takes up property losses due to fires in GDP is on the decrease in the U.S. and Japan, but increase in Korea. In addition, from 1994, it has occupied almost the same rate in Korean ad compared with the U.S. and Japan. 3. When inflation are taken into consideration, property losses due to fires in the U.S. and Japan have decreased, but in Korea, they have increased except for the recent 2 years.

가격상한규제하(價格上限規制下)에서의 최적감가상각(最適減價償却)

  • Kim, Gi-Jung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.243-265
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    • 1995
  • 본 논문은 Rogerson의 실질불변감모상각방식 (Real Constant Amortization Schedule)이 가격상한규제 (price-cap regulation)하에서도 사회적으로 최적인가를 규명하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 실질불변감모상각방식이란 피규제기업의 현금의 흐름 (cash flow) - 요율기저에 대한 공정보수와 감가상각액의 합계 - 의 실질가치가 매기에 일정하도록 해 주는 감모상각방식으로서, 이 방식을 사용할 경우 기업은 규제시차의 길이에 관계 없이 최척의 자본-노동비율을 달성하려 한다는 것이다. 실질불변감모상각방식은 통상 사용되는 감모상각방식보다 느린 속도로 자산의 가치를 줄여 나아가는 것으로 알려져 있다. 가격상한규제에 관한 단순한 모형을 구축하여 분석해 본 결과, 수요가 비탄력적일 경우 실질불변감모상각방식은 가격상한규제하에서도 최적자본-노동비율을 유도하며, 가격상한규제는 규제메카니즘에 있어서 투자보수율규제와 유사하다는 결론을 얻을 수 있었다. 그러나, 가격상한규제에 있어서는 소매물가지수의 상승률뿐만 아니라 피규제기업의 효율성제고 효과가 소비자가격의 인하로 나타나는 메카니즘도 중시되고 있다. 즉, RPI-X룰에서 X에 해당하는 부분으로서, 이는 내부효율성의 향상 이외에 기술진보속도도 반영하는데, 이러한 기술진보는 가격상한의 인하요인으로 작용하므로, 피규제기업의 입장에서는 감가상각속도의 적절한 설정이 없는 한 기술진보의 유인이 줄어들 수도 있다. 따라서 기술진보속도와 최적감가상각속도의 관계를 단순한 모형을 확장하여 살펴보았는데, 기술진보속도가 빠를수록 감가상각속도도 빨라져야 한다는 결과가 도출되었다.

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Development of Predicting Function for Wind Wave Damage based on Disaster Statistics: Focused on East Sea and Jeju Island (재해통계기반 풍랑피해액예측함수 개발 : 동해안, 제주를 중심으로)

  • Choo, Tai-Ho;Kwon, Jae-Wook;Yun, Gwan-Seon;Yang, Da-Un;Kwak, Kil-Sin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Environmental Technology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2017
  • In current stage, it is hard to predict the scale of damage caused by natural disaster and it is hard to deal with it. However, in case of disaster planning level, if it is possible to predict the scale of disaster then quick reaction can be done which will reduce the damage. In the present study, therefore, function of wind wave damage estimation among various disaster is developed. Damage of wind wave and typhoon in eastern and Jeju coastal zone was collected from disaster report (1991~2014) published by Ministry of Public Safety and Security and to reflect inflation rate, 2014 damage cost was converted. Also, wave height, wind speed, wave direction, wave period, etc was collected from Meteorological Administration and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Administration web site. To reflect the characteristic of coastal zone when wave damage occurs, CODI(Coastal Disaster Index), COSI(Coastal Sensitivity Index), CPII(Coastal Potential Impact Index) published by Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency in 2015 were used. When damage occurs, function predicting wind wave damage was developed through weather condition, regional characteristic index and correlation of damage cost.

Assessment of the Economic Benefits from Electricity Consumption (전력 소비의 용도별 경제적 편익 평가)

  • Lim, Seul-Ye;Park, Jae-Hyung;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2015
  • As electricity is an indispensable input to human's existence and industrial production, economic benefits arise from consumption. The economic benefits of the electricity consumption are useful information in various fields of electricity-related policy. Therefore, this study attempts to value the economic benefits from electricity use. The economic benefit of electricity consumed is the area under the demand curve which made of the sum of the actual consumer expenditure and the consumer surplus. Consumer expenditure can be easily observed but the information on price elasticity of demand is necessarily required to compute consumer surplus. This study derives the estimates for price elasticities through literature review. The price elasticities of the electricity demand for residence, industry, and commercial are estimated to be -0.332, -0.351, and -0.263, respectively. Because the consumer surplus of the electricity consumption for residence, industry, and commercial are computed to be 191.54, 143.44, and 231.91 won per kWh, respectively. Given that average prices of electricity use were 127.02, 100.70, and 121.98 won per kWh for the year 2013, the economic benefit are calculated to be 318.56, 244.14, and 353.89 won per kWh, respectively. We can convert the values to 321.96, 246.75, and 357.67 won per kWh in 2014 constant price, respectively, using consumer price index. They can be used in the economic feasibility analysis of a new electricity supply project.

The Effect of Housing Affordability on Housing Prices Variation in Korea (주택구입능력이 주택가격 변동에 미치는 영향)

  • Heonyong Jung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the effects of macroeconomic variables, including housing affordability, and bank loan-related variables on variation in housing prices using multiple regression models. As a result of the analysis, consumer price growth rate, the total currency growth rate, and the housing affordability growth rate had a significant positive effect on changes in housing prices. As a result of analyzing the period of rising and falling housing prices, consumer price growth rate and the total currency growth rate during the period of rising housing prices had a significant positive effect on housing prices. Unlike the period of rising housing prices, the growth rate of household loans was found to have a significant positive effect on changes in housing prices. On the other hand, unlike the period of rising housing prices, the growth rater of mortgage loans was found to have a significant negative effect on changes in housing prices. The growth rate of housing affordability index did not have a significant positive effect on changes in housing prices during a falling housing prices. The determinants of housing prices showed different patterns during the period of rising housing prices and falling housing prices.

The Patterns of Garic and Onion price Cycle in Korea (마늘.양파의 가격동향(價格動向)과 변동(變動)패턴 분석(分析))

  • Choi, Kyu Seob
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.4
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 1986
  • This study intends to document the existing cyclical fluctuations of garic and onion price at farm gate level during the period of 1966-1986 in Korea. The existing patterns of such cyclical fluctuations were estimated systematically by removing the seasonal fluctuation and irregular movement as well as secular trend from the original price through the moving average method. It was found that the cyclical fluctuations of garic and onion prices repeated six and seven times respectively during the same period, also the amplitude coefficient of cyclical fluctuations showed speed up in recent years. It was noticed that the cyclical fluctuations of price in onion was higher than that of in garic.

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Construction of Consumer Confidence index based on Sentiment analysis using News articles (뉴스기사를 이용한 소비자의 경기심리지수 생성)

  • Song, Minchae;Shin, Kyung-shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2017
  • It is known that the economic sentiment index and macroeconomic indicators are closely related because economic agent's judgment and forecast of the business conditions affect economic fluctuations. For this reason, consumer sentiment or confidence provides steady fodder for business and is treated as an important piece of economic information. In Korea, private consumption accounts and consumer sentiment index highly relevant for both, which is a very important economic indicator for evaluating and forecasting the domestic economic situation. However, despite offering relevant insights into private consumption and GDP, the traditional approach to measuring the consumer confidence based on the survey has several limits. One possible weakness is that it takes considerable time to research, collect, and aggregate the data. If certain urgent issues arise, timely information will not be announced until the end of each month. In addition, the survey only contains information derived from questionnaire items, which means it can be difficult to catch up to the direct effects of newly arising issues. The survey also faces potential declines in response rates and erroneous responses. Therefore, it is necessary to find a way to complement it. For this purpose, we construct and assess an index designed to measure consumer economic sentiment index using sentiment analysis. Unlike the survey-based measures, our index relies on textual analysis to extract sentiment from economic and financial news articles. In particular, text data such as news articles and SNS are timely and cover a wide range of issues; because such sources can quickly capture the economic impact of specific economic issues, they have great potential as economic indicators. There exist two main approaches to the automatic extraction of sentiment from a text, we apply the lexicon-based approach, using sentiment lexicon dictionaries of words annotated with the semantic orientations. In creating the sentiment lexicon dictionaries, we enter the semantic orientation of individual words manually, though we do not attempt a full linguistic analysis (one that involves analysis of word senses or argument structure); this is the limitation of our research and further work in that direction remains possible. In this study, we generate a time series index of economic sentiment in the news. The construction of the index consists of three broad steps: (1) Collecting a large corpus of economic news articles on the web, (2) Applying lexicon-based methods for sentiment analysis of each article to score the article in terms of sentiment orientation (positive, negative and neutral), and (3) Constructing an economic sentiment index of consumers by aggregating monthly time series for each sentiment word. In line with existing scholarly assessments of the relationship between the consumer confidence index and macroeconomic indicators, any new index should be assessed for its usefulness. We examine the new index's usefulness by comparing other economic indicators to the CSI. To check the usefulness of the newly index based on sentiment analysis, trend and cross - correlation analysis are carried out to analyze the relations and lagged structure. Finally, we analyze the forecasting power using the one step ahead of out of sample prediction. As a result, the news sentiment index correlates strongly with related contemporaneous key indicators in almost all experiments. We also find that news sentiment shocks predict future economic activity in most cases. In almost all experiments, the news sentiment index strongly correlates with related contemporaneous key indicators. Furthermore, in most cases, news sentiment shocks predict future economic activity; in head-to-head comparisons, the news sentiment measures outperform survey-based sentiment index as CSI. Policy makers want to understand consumer or public opinions about existing or proposed policies. Such opinions enable relevant government decision-makers to respond quickly to monitor various web media, SNS, or news articles. Textual data, such as news articles and social networks (Twitter, Facebook and blogs) are generated at high-speeds and cover a wide range of issues; because such sources can quickly capture the economic impact of specific economic issues, they have great potential as economic indicators. Although research using unstructured data in economic analysis is in its early stages, but the utilization of data is expected to greatly increase once its usefulness is confirmed.