• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2023.01a
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• pp.155-158
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• 2023

한국 무역수지는 지난해 12월, 올해 1월과 4월부터 현재까지 8개월간 연속 적자를 기록했다. 2000년 이후 무역수지가 2개월 이상 지속된 적은 2008년 세계경기 위기 이후 처음이다. 수출 부분도 23개월 연속 증가세를 이어오다가 반도체 등 주력 품목 수출액이 급감하면서 2년 만에 감소로 돌아섰다. 무역수지에 악영향을 끼치는 요인으로는 러시아·우크라이나 전쟁 장기화, 주요국 통화 긴축 등에 따른 글로벌 경기둔화 영향으로 각국의 수입 수요가 둔화되고 있는 상황이다. 특히, 우리 최대 수출국인 중국의 수입시장 위축과 최대 수출 품목인 반도체 가격 하락이 우리 수출에 부담으로 작용했다. 위와 같은 상황을 고려하면 당분간 수출 감소·무역적자 흐름에서 벗어나기 어려울 전망이다. 본 논문에서는 무역수지가 어떠한 요인들에 의해서 결정되고 이러한 요인들의 영향에 의하여 무역수지가 어떻게 변동하는지를 실증적으로 분석하고 시사점을 도출하고자 한다.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.85-119
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• 2018

This paper investigates the effects of exchange rate and labor skill composition on Vietnam's trade balance with her twenty main trading partners. Using balanced panel data from 2000 to 2016, the authors analyze Vietnam's total trade balance and the trade balance which is disaggregated based on labor skill sophistication. Three main findings are presented. Firstly, exchange rate has a positive effect on Vietnam's trade balance, but the small value of estimated coefficient indicates that its effect is limited. Secondly, Vietnam's trade balance of the high labor-skill produced and medium-skill white collar labor-produced goods is worsened when VND (Vietnamese Dong) depreciates. Thirdly, moving up the labor skill ladder and promoting the none-price competitiveness of the high labor-skill produced and medium-skilled white collar labor-produced goods can improve Vietnam's total trade balance, while promoting the low-skill labor-produced and medium-skill blue collar-labor produced goods can no longer contribute to Vietnam's total trade balance.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.10 no.5
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• pp.92-100
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between export weight, import weight, export amount, import amount, and trade balance of ICT industry. The data used were gathered from the Korea Customs Service trade statistics. The analysis period used annual data for 19 years from 2000 to 2018. The change rate analysis was shown in order of trade balance, export amount, import amount, import weight and export weight. The increase rate analysis showed that the trade balance was the highest at 919%.. In the correlation analysis, the trade balance and export amount were 0.95, showing the highest correlation coefficient. As a result of the regression analysis, the export amount for the trade balance, the dependent variable, was Coefficient 2.37, which was positive(+). Each variable is changing independently of one another. Since 2000, the trade balance of the Korean ICT industry has led 84% of Korea's total trade balance. In the future, Korea's ICT industry should be further developed for Korea's economic development, and exports should be further increased to increase the trade balance. In the next paper, we will try to find a field that can be specifically developed by subdividing the ICT industry.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.227-248
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• 2012

Technology trade balance of Korea takes only 19th place among the OECD members. As the size of the technology trade of Korea's market increases, the importance of the Intellectual Property Right, which is one of the way of dealing increases, too. 100 million dollar of technology export has a same effect as 16,000 million dollar of merchandise export, and technology export is a value-added business which does not cost at all. For the improvement of trade balance, we have to elevate the merchandise export and also we have to get rid of the trade conflict and china's pursuit of trade. Furthermore, we need to make improvements through import of Royalty and through technology export. In this study, We would like to suggest the improvement of technology trade balance of Korea by analyze the present conditions of technology trade balance of Korea.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.59-88
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• 1987

한국, 대만, 홍콩, 싱가포르 등 아시아신흥공업국(新興工業國)은 70년대에 크게 악화된 그들의 무역수지(貿易收支)를 적절한 정책대응을 통해서 성공적으로 개선시켜 왔다. 본고(本稿)는 무역수지(貿易收支)를 개선시키기 위한 대응정책을 총지출(總支出)의 억제(抑制), 지출(支出)의 전환(轉換), 생산(生産)의 전환(轉換), 교역재부문(交易財部門)의 성장정책(成長政策) 등 네 가지로 나누고 아시아신흥공업국에 있어서 각 정책의 효과를 실증 분석하였다. 그 결과 고도의 경제성장을 지속해 온 이들 나라에서는 교역재(交易財)의 공급확대를 유도한 성장정책(成長政策)이 무역수지개선(貿易收支改善)에 크게 기여한 것으로 나타났다. 수요측면(需要側面)에서는 70년대 후반보다는 80년대 들어 총수요관리(總需要管理)를 강화하고, 보다 적극적인 환율정책(換率政策) 등을 통해서 지출전환을 이룸으로써 무역수지(貿易收支)를 상당폭 개선시킨 것으로 분석되었다. 다음으로 본고(本稿)는 무역수지개선을 위해 중요한 정책수단의 하나인 환율정책(換率政策)의 역할을 각국간 비교분석하였다. 환율정책(換率政策)을 비교적 소극적으로 운용해 온 싱가포르를 제외하고 한국, 홍콩, 대만은 실질환율(實質換率)을 점진적으로 상승(上昇)(depreciation)시키는 등 적극적인 환율정책(換率政策)을 수행한 것으로 분석되었다. 특히 1983~85년 기간 이들 3개국에선 실질환율(實質換率)이 상승됨으로써 비교우위(比較優位)가 없는 교역재부문(交易財部門)까지 보호되는 등 자원배분(資源配分)의 왜곡현상(歪曲現像)도 관찰되었다.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.61-89
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• 2017

This study aims to estimate empirically the respective impacts of R&D expenditure, R&D labor, overseas direct investment, commodity trade balance, and technology trade openness on technology balance of payments. To examine the presence of co-integration between them, this paper employed the ARDL-bounds test using time series data from 1981 to 2014, and the result shows that there is a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among them. Furthermore, we estimated long- and short-run coefficients of the technology balance of payments with respect to each variables based on long-run equilibrium equation and error correction model. As a result, the technology balance of payments respond negatively to R&D labor and technology trade openness, and R&D expenditure does produce positive effects in the long-run, while coefficients of overseas direct investment and commodity trade balance in the long-run are not statistically significant. Besides, according to results of error correction model, overseas direct investment only has clearly a positive effects in the short-run, in contrast, the short-term relationships between the other variables and the technology balance of payments could not definitively derived. This implies that it is necessary to procure and cultivate talented personnel, as well as to enlarge gradually technology trade size in order to improve technology balance of payments from a long-term point of view.

• 프린팅코리아
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• s.15
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• pp.54-56
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• 2003

상반기 중 인쇄물 수입 실적이 제자리걸음을 한데 비해 수출실적이 전년에 비해 소폭 상승, 무역수지가 다소 회복됐으며 인쇄기자재 수입이 감소하고 수출실적이 크게 늘어 인쇄기자재 무역수지는 대폭 개선된 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of the KSME
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• v.35 no.7
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• pp.610-619
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• 1995

지난해 우리나라 자동차 수출은 74만 대를 기록하여, 전년의 64만 대에 비해 16%의 증가율을 시현했다. 또 엔고에 힘입어 금년 1-4월 기간중 자동차 수출은 34만대로 지난해 같은 기간에 비해 56%의 괄목할 증가를 보이고 있다. 따라서 큰 이변이 없는 한 1995년 연간 자동차 수출 대수는 100만대를 넘어설 것으로 보인다. 그러나 완성차 수출의 지속적인 증가와는 반대로 자 동차부품의 무역수지는 지난해에도 13억 4,000만 달러의 대폭적인 적자를 기록했다. 이는 1993 년의 8억 5,000만 달러 적자에 비해 58%가 증가한 실적으로서, 핵심기능부품의 수입의존이 여 전히 해소되지 않은 상황에서 완성차의 수출증가가 부품 수입증가를 유발시킨데 따른 결과이다. 한편, 자동차부품의 무역적자는 대일 무역적자가 대부분을 차지하고 있다. 이는 지난해 자동차 부품의 무역적자 13억 4,000만 달러 가운데 10억 달러 이상을 대일 무역적자가 차지한 데서 알 수 있다. 이 글은 우리나라 자동차부품의 무역수지 적자가 확대되고 있는 원인을 국제경쟁력의 측면에서 살펴봄으로써 부품부문의 대일 무역적자를 중심으로 한 무역수지 개선방안을 모색해 보는 데에 목적이 있다.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.3-22
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• 2012

China has used the Antidumping policy as a trade protection tool against Japanese products due to reduce the deficit of trade balance of payment, boost the economic growth and protect its weak industries. This paper investigates whether there is a connection between the China's macroeconomic activity and pressures for protection to Japanese products under antidumping measures with using the current data that come from the WTO, World Bank for 1997 to 2010. The result suggests that pressures for protection under Antidumping measure against exporting of Japanese products to China have increased during periods of macroeconomic weakness like high unemployment, larger deficit of trade balance and decreased during periods of macroeconomic strength.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.97-112
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• 2012

This study aims to analyse determinants of payment balance of Korea, targeting 65 countries which concluded FTA with Korea in 2012 or are pursuing it with Korea( effectuation, agreement, negotiation and joint research). For an analysis model, economic and geographical variables of target countries were included in explanatory variables of the gravity model and divided values which indicate surpluses or deficits in trade with Korea were marked in dependent variables to perform a logistic analysis. If payment balance in trade between Korea and specific countries is a surplus, a value of 1 is given and if it is a deficit, a value of 0 is given. As a result of estimating the logit model, it was discovered that variables of GDP, GDP per person, total trade with trade partners, petroleum, landlocked countries and maritime powers were not statistically significant. However, variables of total trade, export dependency, import dependency, distance and mineral were statistically significant.