• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수적 분포

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The Study for NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model based on Exponentiated Exponential Distribution (지수화 지수 분포에 의존한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.5 s.43
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2006
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, Goel-Okumoto and Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed, proposes the exponentiated exponential distribution reliability model, which maked out efficiency substituted for gamma and Weibull model(2 parameter shape illustrated by Gupta and Kundu(2001) Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE, AIC statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using NTDS data set for the sake of proposing shape parameter of the exponentiated exponential distribution was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the exponentiated exponential distribution model and the existing model (using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.

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An Estimation of Parameters in Weibull Distribution Using Least Squares Method under Random Censoring Model (임의 중단모형에서 최소제곱법을 이용한 와이블분포의 모수 추정)

  • Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 1996
  • In this parer, under random censorship model, an estimation of scale and shape parameters in Weibull lifetime model is considered. Based on nonparametric estimator of survival function, the least square method is proposed. The proposed estimation method is simple and the performance of the proposed estimator is as efficient as maximum likelihood estimators. An example is presented, using field winding data. Simulation studies are performed to compare the performaces of the proposed estimator and maximum likelihood estimator.

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복권형 투자

  • Gang, Won
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.237-240
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    • 2022
  • 창업기업은 ICO나 크라우드펀딩 등을 통해 소액주주로부터 자금을 조달하여 캐즘(chasm)을 무사히 통과하게 되면 전문투자기관으로부터 시리즈 투자를 유치하게 된다. 이는 시리즈 단계에서는 창업기업의 불확실성을 줄여주는 전문투자기관이 필요한 반면, 사업의 불확실성이 더 높은 캐즘단계에서는 전문투자기관이 존재하지 않아도 소액투자자들의 모집이 가능하다는 역설이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 역설을 설명하기 위해 본 연구에서는 일반투자자들이 복권형투자(lottery-type investment)에 참여하고 있음을 가정하고, 이에 대한 이론적인 고찰을 시도하였다. 복권형투자는 수익률의 분포가 높은 양의 왜도를 가질 때 이론적으로 가능하다. 사실 경제현상에서 정규분포를 찾아보긴 어렵고 왜도가 높은 파레토분포가 더 일반적이다. 정규분포에 기초한 기존의 가격모델은 오히려 특수해라고 할 수 있다. 기대효용이론에 기초한 복권형투자 모형은 실증분석을 통해 파레토분포의 형상모수(𝛼) 값이 먼저 추정되어야 설계가 가능하다.

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A goodness - of - fit test for the exponential distribution with unknown parameters (모수가 미지인 상황에서의 지수분포성 적합도 검정방법)

  • 김부용
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.157-170
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    • 1991
  • This article is concerned with the goodness - of - fit test for exponentiality when both the scale and location parameters are unknown. A test procedure based on the $L_1$-norm of discrepancy between the cumulative distribution function and the empirical distribution function is proposed, and the critical values of the test statistic are obtained by Monte Carlo simulations. Also the null distributions of the proposed test statistic are presented for small sample sizes. The power of tests under certain alternative distributions is investigated to compare the proposed test statistic with the well-known EDF test statistics. Our Monte Carlo power studies reveal that the proposed test statistic has good power properties, for moderate-to-large sample sizes, in comparison to other statistics although it is a conservative test.

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Testing Exponentiality Based on EDF Statistics for Randomly Censored Data when the Scale Parameter is Unknown (척도모수가 미지인 임의중도절단자료의 EDF 통계량을 이용한 지수 검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2012
  • The simplest and the most important distribution in survival analysis is exponential distribution. Koziol and Green (1976) derived Cram$\acute{e}$r-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit estimate of the distribution function; however, it could not be practical for a real data set since the statistic is for testing a simple goodness of fit hypothesis. We generalized it to the composite hypothesis for exponentiality with an unknown scale parameter. We also considered the classical Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic and generalized it by the exact same way. The two statistics are compared through a simulation study. As a result, we can see that the generalized Koziol-Green statistic has better power in most of the alternative distributions considered.

Bias corrected non-response estimation using nonparametric function estimation of super population model (선형 응답률 모형에서 초모집단 모형의 비모수적 함수 추정을 이용한 무응답 편향 보정 추정)

  • Sim, Joo-Yong;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.923-936
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    • 2021
  • A large number of non-responses are occurring in the sample survey, and various methods have been developed to deal with them appropriately. In particular, the bias caused by non-ignorable non-response greatly reduces the accuracy of estimation and makes non-response processing difficult. Recently, Chung and Shin (2017, 2020) proposed an estimator that improves the accuracy of estimation using parametric super-population model and response rate model. In this study, we suggested a bias corrected non-response mean estimator using a nonparametric function generalizing the form of a parametric super-population model. We confirmed the superiority of the proposed estimator through simulation studies.

NHPP Software Reliability Model based on Generalized Gamma Distribution (일반화 감마 분포를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.10 no.6 s.38
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2005
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates Per fault. This Paper Proposes reliability model using the generalized gamma distribution, which can capture the monotonic increasing(or monotonic decreasing) nature of the failure occurrence rate per fault. Equations to estimate the parameters of the generalized gamma finite failure NHPP model based on failure data collected in the form of interfailure times are developed. For the sake of proposing shape parameter of the generalized gamma distribution, used to the special pattern. Data set, where the underlying failure process could not be adequately described by the knowing models, which motivated the development of the gamma or Weibull model. Analysis of failure data set for the generalized gamma modell, using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests . goodness-of-fit test, bias tests is presented.

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Bayesian Testing for the Equality of K-Lognormal Populations (부분 베이즈요인을 이용한 K개로 로그정규분포의 상등에 관한 베이지안 다중검정)

  • 문경애;김달호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.449-462
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    • 2001
  • 베이지안 다중 검정방법(multiple hypothesis test)은 여러 통계모형에서 성공적인 결과를 주는 것으로 알려져있다. 일반적으로, 베이지안 가설검정은 고려중인 모형에 대한 사후확률을 계산하여 가장 높은 확률은 갖는 모형을 선택하기 때문에 귀무가설의 기각여부에만 관심을 가지는 고전적인 분산분석 검정과는 달리 좀 더 구체적인 모형을 선택할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 이 논문에서는 독립이면서 로그정규분포를 따르는 K($\geq$3)개 모집단의 모수에 대한 가설 검정방법으로 O’Hagan(1995)이 제안한 부분 베이즈 요인을 이용한 베이지안 방법을 제안한다. 이 때 모수에 대한 사전분포로는 무정보적 사전분포를 사용한다. 제안한 검정 방법의 유용성을 알아보기 위하여 실제 자료의 분석과 모의 실험을 이용하여 고전적인 검정방법과 그 결과를 비교한다.

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The influence of the random censorship model on the estimation of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution (중도절단모형이 지수분포의 척도모수추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2014
  • The simplest and the most important distribution in survival analysis is the exponential distribution. In this paper, we investigate the influence of the random censorship model on the estimation of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution. The considered random censorship models are Koziol-Green model and the generalized exponential distribution model. Two models have different meanings. Through the simulation study, the averages of the estimated values of the parameter do not show big differences, however the MSE of the estimator tends to be bigger when the supposed model is significantly different from the true model.

확률밀도함수가 표현되지 않는 경우 수치적 최우추정법 - 웨이크비 분포 적용

  • Park, Jeong-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2005
  • 확률밀도함수가 명확히 표현되지 않고 오직 백분위함수로만 표현되는 분포에서 최우추정치를 구하는 수치적 최적화 알고리즘에 대해서 연구하였다. 이 최우추정 알고리즘을 수문학 등에서 사용되는 5-모수의 웨이크비 분포에 적용하였으며, 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통하여 L-적률추정법과 그 성능을 비교하였다.

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