• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수적 방식

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Performance Improvements of SCAM Climate Model using LAPACK BLAS Library (SCAM 기상모델의 성능향상을 위한 LAPACK BLAS 라이브러리의 활용)

  • Dae-Yeong Shin;Ye-Rin Cho;Sung-Wook Chung
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2023
  • With the development of supercomputing technology and hardware technology, numerical computation methods are also being advanced. Accordingly, improved weather prediction becomes possible. In this paper, we propose to apply the LAPACK(Linear Algebra PACKage) BLAS(Basic Linear Algebra Subprograms) library to the linear algebraic numerical computation part within the source code to improve the performance of the cumulative parametric code, Unicon(A Unified Convection Scheme), which is included in SCAM(Single-Columns Atmospheric Model, simplified version of CESM(Community Earth System Model)) and performs standby operations. In order to analyze this, an overall execution structure diagram of SCAM was presented and a test was conducted in the relevant execution environment. Compared to the existing source code, the SCOPY function achieved 0.4053% performance improvement, the DSCAL function 0.7812%, and the DDOT function 0.0469%, and all of them showed a 0.8537% performance improvement. This means that the LAPACK BLAS application method, a library for high-density linear algebra operations proposed in this paper, can improve performance without additional hardware intervention in the same CPU environment.

Prediction of Divided Traffic Demands Based on Knowledge Discovery at Expressway Toll Plaza (지식발견 기반의 고속도로 영업소 분할 교통수요 예측)

  • Ahn, Byeong-Tak;Yoon, Byoung-Jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2016
  • The tollbooths of a main motorway toll plaza are usually operated proactively responding to the variations of traffic demands of two-type vehicles, i.e. cars and the other (heavy) vehicles, respectively. In this vein, it is one of key elements to forecast accurate traffic volumes for the two vehicle types in advanced tollgate operation. Unfortunately, it is not easy for existing univariate short-term prediction techniques to simultaneously generate the two-vehicle-type traffic demands in literature. These practical and academic backgrounds make it one of attractive research topics in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) forecasting area to forecast the future traffic volumes of the two-type vehicles at an acceptable level of accuracy. In order to address the shortcomings of univariate short-term prediction techniques, a Multiple In-and-Out (MIO) forecasting model to simultaneously generate the two-type traffic volumes is introduced in this article. The MIO model based on a non-parametric approach is devised under the on-line access conditions of large-scale historical data. In a feasible test with actual data, the proposed model outperformed Kalman filtering, one of a widely-used univariate models, in terms of prediction accuracy in spite of multivariate prediction scheme.

Reliability Analysis for Decoy using Maintenance Data (정비 데이터를 이용한 기만체계 신뢰도 분석)

  • Gwak, Hye-Rim;Hong, Seok-Jin;Jang, Min-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.82-88
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    • 2018
  • The decoy defensive weapon system is a one-shot system. Reliability is maintained through periodic inspection and high reliability is required to confirm whether or not the functioning is normal after launch. The maintenance cycle of a decoy was set up without target reliability and reliability prediction during the development period. However, the number of operations in the military has been increasing, necessitating the optimization of the maintenance cycle. Reliability is analyzed using the maintenance data of a decoy operated for several decades and the optimal maintenance cycle is suggested. In chapter 2, data collection and classification methods are presented and analysis methodology is briefly introduced. In chapter 3, the data distribution analysis and fitness verification confirmed that applying the Weibull distribution is the most suitable for the maintenance data of the decoy. In chapter 4, we present the analysis result of percentile, survival probability and MTBF and the optimal maintenance cycle was derived from the reliability analysis. Finally, we suggest the application methods for this paper in the future.

Bayesian Approaches to Zero Inflated Poisson Model (영 과잉 포아송 모형에 대한 베이지안 방법 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Ho;Choi, Tae-Ryon;Wo, Yoon-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.677-693
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we consider Bayesian approaches to zero inflated Poisson model, one of the popular models to analyze zero inflated count data. To generate posterior samples, we deal with a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method using a Gibbs sampler and an exact sampling method using an Inverse Bayes Formula(IBF). Posterior sampling algorithms using two methods are compared, and a convergence checking for a Gibbs sampler is discussed, in particular using posterior samples from IBF sampling. Based on these sampling methods, a real data analysis is performed for Trajan data (Marin et al., 1993) and our results are compared with existing Trajan data analysis. We also discuss model selection issues for Trajan data between the Poisson model and zero inflated Poisson model using various criteria. In addition, we complement the previous work by Rodrigues (2003) via further data analysis using a hierarchical Bayesian model.

Statistical Tests and Applications for the Stability of an Estimated Cointegrating Vector (공적분벡터의 안정성에 대한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Kim, Mi-Yun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.503-519
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    • 2005
  • Cointegration test is usually performed under the assumption that the cointegrating vector is constant for the whole sample period. Most previous studies have used conventional cointegration methods in testing for a stable long-run equilibrium relation among related variables. However they have overlooked that the long-run equilibrium may not the unique and the stable relation may not be guaranteed. This study develops the additional statistical tests for the stability of the estimated cointegrating vector. Three tests for the parameter stability of a cointegrated regression model are utilized and applied to identify the types of variations in the long-run relation between the domestic unemployment and the rotated macroeconomic variables of interest. The present paper finds that, there exists a stable but, time-varying long-run relation between those. The observed variation in cointegrating relations is generally characterized by a discrete one-time shift, rather than a gradually evolving random walk process which is attributable to the IMF financial and economic crisis.

Estimating optimal flood of the hydroelectric dams on the Bukhangang River (북한강 수계 수력발전댐의 최적설계홍수량 추정)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Choi, Kwang Bae;Seo, Dong Il;Cheon, Young Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.286-286
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    • 2022
  • 홍수피해를 최소화하기 위한 수공구조물의 적정 규모 결정을 위해 사용되는 홍수빈도분석에는 통계적 분석절차에 따른 불확실성이 포함된다. 따라서 불확실성이 포함된 범주 내에서 가장 적절한 설계홍수량(design flood)를 결정하는 과정은 수공구조물의 최종단계에서 중요하게 다루어져야 하는 부분이나 이를 제시한 연구는 많지 않다. 비용-편익 분석기법을 홍수빈도분석 절차에 도입하여 구성되는 총 기대비용함수(total expected cost function)는 설계홍수량 중 최적 설계홍수량(optimal design flood)를 결정하기 위한 새로운 접근방식이다. 이 절차는 UNCODE(UNcertainty COmpliant DEsign)로 명명되어 사용된 바 있으나, 국내에서는 아직 적용 결과가 소개되지 않고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 UNCODE의 수학적 구성 절차를 소개함과 함께 북한강수계에 위치한 수력발전댐(화천댐, 춘천댐, 의암댐, 청평댐)의 년최대유입량을 사용하여 최적 설계홍수량을 산정하고 이 결과를 기존 홍수빈도분석 결과와 비교하였다. 불확실성이 고려된 총 기대비용함수로부터 확률분포함수들(Gumbel 및 GEV)의 모수를 추출하는 과정에서 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 사용하여 불확실성의 범위를 추정하였으며, 비용-편익 분석기법에 사용되는 비용 및 피해함수는 수학적 구성의 편의성을 위하여 1차 선형함수로 가정되었다. 4개의 발전용댐, 2개의 확률분포 및 2개의 재현기간에 대하여 최적 설계홍수량의 중앙값이 기존 홍수빈도분석 절차에 의해 산정된 설계홍수량보다 일정 정도 큰 값으로 산정됨을 알 수 있었다. 향후에는 본 연구에서 적용된 절차를 간단한 수식형태로 함수화하여 발전용댐 운영의 실무업무나 하천기본계획의 수립 등에 있어 비용-편익분석 기법의 적용성을 높이기 위한 연구가 진행될 필요가 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Effect of the Configuration of Contact Type Textile Electrode on the Performance of Heart Activity Signal Acquisition for Smart Healthcare (스마트 헬스케어를 위한 심장활동 신호 검출용 접촉식 직물전극의 구조가 센싱 성능에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Hyun-Seung;Koo, Hye-Ran;Yang, Jin-Hee;Lee, Kang-Hwi;Kim, Sang-Min;Lee, Jeong-Hwan;Kwak, Hwy-Kuen;Ko, Yun-Su;Oh, Yun-Jung;Park, Su-Youn;Kim, Sin-Hye;Lee, Joo-Hyeon
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of contact type textile electrode structure on heart activity signal acquisition for smart healthcare. In this study, we devised six contact type textile electrodes whose electrode size and configuration were manipulated for measuring heart activity signals using computerized embroidery. We detected heart activity signals using a modified lead II and by attaching each textile electrode to the chest band in four healthy male subjects in a standing static posture. We measured the signals four times repeatedly for all types of electrodes. The heart activity signals were sampled at 1 kHz using a BIOPAC ECG100, and the detected original signals were filtered through a band-pass filter. To compare the performance of heart activity signal acquisition among the different structures of the textile electrodes, we conducted a qualitative analysis using signal waveform and size as parameters. In addition, we performed a quantitative analysis by calculating signal power ratio (SPR) of the heart activity signals obtained through each electrode. We analyzed differences in the performance of heart activity signal acquisition of the six electrodes by performing difference and post-hoc tests using nonparametric statistic methods on the calculated SPR. The results showed a significant difference both in terms of qualitative and quantitative aspects of heart activity signals among the tested contact type textile electrodes. Regarding the configurations of the contact type textile electrodes, the three-dimensionally inflated electrode (3DIE) was found to obtain better quality signals than the flat electrode. However, regarding the electrode size, no significant difference was found in performance of heart signal acquisition for the three electrode sizes. These results suggest that the configuration method (flat/3DIE), which is one of the two requirements of a contact type textile electrode structure for heart activity signal acquisition, has a critical effect on the performance of heart activity signal acquisition for wearable healthcare. Based on the results of this study, we plan to develop a smart clothing technology that can monitor high-quality heart activity without time and space constraints by implementing a clothing platform integrated with the textile electrode and developing a performance improvement plan.

A Study on the relations between change of productivity and conversion factor of the Accredited Hospitals based on Malmquist index (Malmquist 지수에 기초한 의료기관평가 대상 병원의 생산성 변동과 환산지수 변동에 관한 연구)

  • O, Dong-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to know whether the Accreditation of Hospitals can help to improve productivity of hospital and affect the conversion factor. Based on the Malmquist productivity Index, the productivity of accredited hospital improves. There exists an tendency that as the scores of Accreditation rises, productivity increases. Also the higher the productivity, the lower the conversion factors in the rigid statistical evidence. This evidence is independent of hospital classification, geographical distribution, grouping. This evidence supports the productivity index can be included in the fee negotiations. It also means that rather than static efficiency, the multi-year change of productivity information can be usefully combined to set a conversion factor in Korean National Insurance Contract especially in the discussion of the structural change of payment system.

Effects and Traits of Online Narrative Group Counseling using Videoconferencing Modality : Comparing with face-to-face Group Counseling (화상회의방식을 활용한 이야기치료 온라인 집단상담의 효과와 특성 연구 : 대면 집단상담과의 비교를 중심으로)

  • Oh, Yoonseok;Cho, Eunsuk
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.401-409
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to identify the effects and traits of narrative online group counseling for college students by comparing them with face-to-face group counseling. For this purpose, 18 college students were assigned as experimental group (videoconferencing method, using "Zoom"), comparison group (face-to-face method), and control group (no treatment). 8 sessions of narrative group counseling program was conducted for two groups. The difference between pre- and post test scores of 'self-identity' and 'relationship' showed significant improvement in 'self-identity' in both experimental and comparison groups, while positive change in 'relationship' was only significant in the experimental group. The traits of online group counseling experience were identified by comparing the post-interview data asking about their counseling experiences. In conclusion, we found that despite the various limitations, the context of online group counseling showed similar effects to face-to-face group counseling, and suggested a direction for the development of online group counseling.

Evaluation of validity of three dimensional dental digital model made from blue LED dental scanner (Blue LED 방식의 스캐너로 제작된 치과용 3차원 디지털 모형의 정확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong;Jung, Jae-Kwan;Kim, Ki-Baek
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.3007-3013
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    • 2014
  • The objectives of this study was to evaluate the validity of 3D digital models made from blue LED dental scanner. Twenty same cases of stone models and 3d digital models were manufactured for this study. Intercanine distance, intermolar distance, two dental arch lengths(right, left) and two diagonal of dental arch lengths(right, left) were measured for evaluation of validity. The nonparametric Wilcoxon rank sum test was used for statistical analysis (${\alpha}$=0.05). Although stone models showed larger than digital models in all measured distances(p<0.05), none exceeded the clinically acceptable range.