• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.605-619
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• 1999

본 논문은 회귀분석에서 오차항의 1차 자기상관 존재 여부 및 그 값을 검정하는 방법을 베이지안 접근법으로 제안하였다. 이 방법은 모수공간의 다중분할로 인해 얻어진 여러 가설들에 대한 다중결정문제를 다중 베이즈요인에 관한 이론과 일반화 Savage-Dickey 밀도비를 이용한 사후확률 추정법을 합성하여 개발되었다. 이 방법은 기존의 검정법들에서 가능한 검정 뿐 아니라 이들이 해결할 수 없는 자기상관에 대한 다중결정문제에도 사용이 가능한데 그 효용성이 있다. 모의실험을 통하여 제안된 검정법의 유효성을 평가하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.283-288
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• 2004

지금까지 의사결정나무에서 분리 변수의 선택에 관한 연구는 많았으나, 대부분 연속형 변수와 명목형 변수에 국한되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 순서형 변수에 주목하여 CART, QUEST, CRUISE 등 기존 알고리즘과 본 연구에서 제안하는 비모수적 접근 방법인 K-S test, framer-von Misos test 방법의 변수 선택력을 비교하였다. 그 결과 본 연구에서 제안하는 framer-von Mises test 방법이 다른 알고리즘에 비하여, 변수 선택력과 안정성에 있어서 좋은 성과를 보였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2000.04a
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• pp.465-468
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• 2000

본 논문에서는 고장 데이터가 극히 적은 상황에서도 다수의 동일부품이 사용되는 경우에는 중단자료를 활용하여 최우추정법으로 고장수명분포를 추정할 수 있음을 입증한다. 부품의 수명분포로 와이블분포를 사용하며 모수의 최우추정치를 구하는 비교적 단순한 방법을 제시한다. 또한, 향후 주어진 기간동안 필요로 하는 적정 예비품수를 결정하는 확률적 방안을 제안한다 그리고 이와같은 방법을 포항방사광가속기의 주요부품인 광자막이와 수냉플랜지에 적용한 사례를 소개한다.

• Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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• v.14 no.5 s.59
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• pp.151-152
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• 1999

화자검증기술은 화자의 입력음성으로부터 화자의 특성을 계산하고 해당 화자를 유일하게 구분할 수 있는 통계적 모수를 추출하여 이를 화자의 개인 데이터베이스로 구축하며, 검증시에는 개인데이터베이스와 입력되는 미지 화자의 특성에 대한 유사도를 비교.검증하는 것이다. 또한 이때 주어진 임계치(Threshold)의 만족 정도에 따라 동일 화자여부를 결정하는 결정논리(decision logic)로 검증엔진을 구성하는 기술이며, 응용영역에 따라 환경잡음, 채널잡음 등 사용환경과 전체시스템과의 적절한 시나리오 구성 등이 실용화를 위한 중요한 척도가 된다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.2
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• pp.125-134
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• 2011

The paper is to estimate willingness-to-pay (WTP) for residential water quality improvement in Busan, using non-parametric approach. There are several significant advantages of non-parametric approach, compared to parametric methods. That is, no probability distribution assumption is necessary so that there are no needs to assume or test goodness of fit, model specification and heteroscedasticity statistically. For the reliability and the validity of contingent valuation method a survey was conducted for 665 respondents, who were sampled by stratified random sampling method, by personal interview method. The result of mean WTP for residential water quality improvement in Busan was estimated to be 3,190 won to 3,331 won per month per household, while median WTP being 1,750 won. Provided that our sample is broadly representative of the Busan's population, an estimate of the annual aggregated benefit of residential water improvement for all Busan households is approximately 50.2 billion won in case of mean WTP or 27.5 billion won in case of median WTP.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.3-10
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• 2012

In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model, considering learning factor, presented and propose release policies of the life distribution, log linear type model which used to an area of reliability because of various shape and scale parameter. In this paper, discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. In a numerical example, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of failure time data, make out estimating software optimal release time.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.14 no.7
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• pp.1-8
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• 2009

In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. The optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement is generally accepted. The Bayesian parametric inference of model using log Poisson execution time employ tool of Markov chain(Gibbs sampling and Metropolis algorithm). In a numerical example by T1 data was illustrated. make out estimating software optimal release time from the maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian parametric estimation.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.279-297
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• 2003

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the determinants of company R＆D investment with zero observations by using the data of R＆D Scoreboard published by Ministry of Science and Technology(2002). Conventional parametric approach to dealing with zero investments is not robust to heteroscedastic and/or non-normal error structure. Thus, this study applies symmetrically trimmed least squares(STLS) estimation as a semi-parametric approach to dealing with zero R&D investments. The result of specification test indicates the semi-parametric approach outperforms the parametric approach significantly. Moreover, the results of the study provide various implications as summarized below. The R&D investment of IT company is larger than that of non-IT company. The R&D investment has a positive relation to foreigners' investment ratio. The higher degree of financial self-reliance is, the larger the R&D investment is. Firm size variables such as sales amount and the number of workers are positively related to R&D investment. The sales elasticity of R&D investment is larger than one. However, the workers elasticity of R&D investment is smaller than one.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.1029-1038
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• 2014

Bayesian experimental design is a useful concept in applied statistics for the design of efficient experiments especially if prior knowledge in the experiment is available. However, a theoretical or numerical approach is not simple to implement. We review the concept of a Bayesian experiment approach for linear and nonlinear statistical models. We investigate relationships between prior knowledge and optimal design to identify Bayesian experimental design process characteristics. A balanced design is important if we do not have prior knowledge; however, prior knowledge is important in design and expert opinions should reflect an efficient analysis. Care should be taken if we set a small sample size with a vague improper prior since both Bayesian design and non-Bayesian design provide incorrect solutions.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.341-353
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• 2009

We consider sample-size determination problem motivated by comparative clinical trials where patient outcomes are characterized by a bivariate outcome of efficacy and safety. Thall and Cheng (1999) presented a sample size methodology for the case of bivariate binary outcomes. We propose a bivariate Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney(WMW) statistics for sample-size determination for binary outcomes, and this nonparametric method can be equally used to determine sample sizes of ordinal outcomes. The two methods of sample size determination rely on the same testing strategy for the target parameters but differs in the test statistics, an asymptotic bivariate normal statistic of the transformed proportions in Thall and Cheng (1999) and nonparametric bivariate WMW statistic in the other method. Sample sizes are calculated for the two experimental oncology trials, described in Thall and Cheng (1999), and for the first trial example the sample sizes of a bivariate WMW statistic are smaller than those of Thall and Cheng (1999), while for the second trial example the reverse is true.