• Title/Summary/Keyword: 메트로폴리스-해스팅스 알고리즘

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Bayesian Multiple Change-Point for Small Data (소량자료를 위한 베이지안 다중 변환점 모형)

  • Cheon, Soo-Young;Yu, Wenxing
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2012
  • Bayesian methods have been recently used to identify multiple change-points. However, the studies for small data are limited. This paper suggests the Bayesian noncentral t distribution change-point model for small data, and applies the Metropolis-Hastings-within-Gibbs Sampling algorithm to the proposed model. Numerical results of simulation and real data show the performance of the new model in terms of the quality of the resulting estimation of the numbers and positions of change-points for small data.

A Bayesian Poisson model for analyzing adverse drug reaction in self-controlled case series studies (베이지안 포아송 모형을 적용한 자기-대조 환자군 연구에서의 약물상호작용 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Eunchae;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2020
  • The self-controlled case series (SCCS) study measures the relative risk of exposure to exposure period by setting the non-exposure period of the patient as the control period without a separate control group. This method minimizes the bias that occurs when selecting a control group and is often used to measure the risk of adverse events after taking a drug. This study used SCCS to examine the increased risk of side effects when two or more drugs are used in combination. A conditional Poisson model is assumed and analyzed for drug interaction between the narcotic analgesic, tramadol and multi-frequency combination drugs. Bayesian inference is used to solve the overfitting problem of MLE and the normal or Laplace prior distributions are used to measure the sensitivity of the prior distribution.