• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매개변수화

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An Evaluation of the Palmer Drought Severity Index in Korea (우리나라에서 Palmer 가뭄지수의 평가)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Moon, Jang-Won;Choi, Si-Jung;Kang, Seong-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.352-356
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    • 2008
  • 가뭄관리에서 가장 중요한 요소는 1) 강수량, 지표수, 지하수, 댐수, 토양수분 등 물 공급량의 시 공간적 모니터링과 2) 이용가능한 물 공급량 약화 정도에 따라 적시적소에 물 이용자가 취해야할 행동요령을 제시하는 것이다. 가뭄지수는 가뭄관리에서 종합적인 물 공급량 정보를 하나의 수치로 정량화하여 가용 수자원의 악화정도를 나타내어 가뭄경보의 기준으로 활용된다. 현재까지 개발된 대표적인 가뭄지수들은 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index), SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), SWSI(Surface Water Supply Index) 등이 있다. PDSI는 여러 가지 제한점을 가지고 있지만 가뭄지수 개발의 시발점이 되었다는 점에서 전세계적으로 이용하고 있고 국내에서도 기상청의 공식적인 가뭄지수로 발표되고 있다. PDSI는 복잡한 물수지 모형에 의해 산정되며, 이용되는 매개변수는 지역의 기후상황, 보정자료기간 등에 민감하게 작용하고 있으나 이들에 대한 국내기후 환경에서의 평가가 선행되어 있지 않고 있다. PDSI는 가뭄과 습윤 기간의 시작과 종료 시점을 확률적으로 산정하여 이를 기반으로 가뭄경보에 활용하고 있다. 또한, 이들 확률은 기상학적 가뭄상황을 나타내는 PDSI에 후행하는 하천유출, 저수지 수위, 지하수 등의 수문학적 가뭄을 표현하는 PHDI(Palmer Hydrological Drought Index)를 산정하는 데 이용된다. Z-지수 역시 PDSI에서 얻을 수 있는 가뭄지수로 단기간의 가뭄특성에 의한 농업가뭄을 표현하는 데 적합한 지수로 알려져 있다. 본 연구에서는 PDSI의 제한점들을 살펴보고 우리나라의 기후상황, 자료보정기간 등에 따른 PDSI의 제매개변수들을 재산정하여 계산된 PDSI의 변동성을 검토한 후 이를 Palmer(1965)가 제시한 PDSI 산정식과 비교 평가하였다. 또한 가뭄의 시작과 종료 확률 개념에 의하여 산정된 PDSI를 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 PDSI와 비교 분석하여 개선점을 도출하였다.

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Measurement of floodwater reach time in Gum river using Ubiquitous technology (유비쿼터스 기술을 이용한 금강 홍수도달시간 계측)

  • Hwang, Eui-Ho;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Lee, Geun-Sang;Koh, Deuk-Koo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2238-2243
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    • 2008
  • 홍수 방류량 하류 도달시간 산정은 댐운영 및 홍수예경보의 기초자료로 인식되고 있어 정확한 유하시간 산정이 필요하다. 수자원공사에서는 댐 방류에 따른 하류도달시간을 댐운영실무편람('06)에 있는 자료를 활용하여 댐 운영에 활용하고 있다. 금강 하류부의 경우 '97년 금강홍수예경보 자료를 활용하고 있으나, 수치모형 결과 자료로 실측에 의한 검증이 이루어지지 않았다. 댐 방류수에 대한 하류도달 시간에 대한 실측 기술을 확보하여 실측을 통한 수치모형의 검증 및 보완 필요하며, 보정된 수치모형을 이용한 홍수도달시간 실시간 예측을 통한 댐운영의 효율성 확보 및 대내외 검증된 결과 제시가 요구되고 있다. 현재 댐 방류에 따른 하류도달 시간에 대한 실측이 요구되고 있으나, 관련 기술에 대한 국내외 개발 및 적용 사례가 전무한 실정으로 본 연구에서는 현장계측과 수치모형을 연계한 신뢰성 높은 도달시간을 분석하는 기술을 개발하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 장구간 내에서 홍수의 흐름과 동일하게 하천에 흘러갈 수 있는 부유물을 개발하였으며, 주야간에 상관없어 주요 계측지점에서 도달시간 산정을 위해 자동 인식될 수 있는 센서기술을 개발하였다. 또한, 인식된 센서를 안정적으로 통신망에 연동하여 실시간 계측이 가능하며, GIS 기반의 원격 모니터링이 가능하도록 시스템을 구성하였다. 나아가. 기존 수치모형에 의존하여 예측된 도달시간 산정방법을 개선하기 위하여 수치모형의 매개변수를 검보정을 위한 시계열 및 지속적으로 자료를 취득하였다. 이러한 센서기술, 모니터링기술, 분석기술을 융합하여 향후 매개변수를 보정한 홍수도달시간 수치모형을 이용하여 신뢰성 높은 예측결과를 홍수예경보 및 댐 운영에 있어 활용함으로써 홍수재해로부터 안전성을 확보하고 물관리의 효율화를 달성할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Parametric Equation of Hough Transform for Log-Polar Image Representation (로그폴라 영상 표현을 위한 매개변수 방정식의 Hough 변환)

  • Choi, Il;Kim, Dong-su;Chien, Sung-Il
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.455-461
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a new parametric log line equation of polar form for Hough transform in log-polar plane, in which it can remove the well-known unboundedness problem of Hough parameters. Bolduc's method is used to generate a log-polar image dividing the fovea and periphery from a Cartesian image. Edges of the fovea and periphery are detected by using the Sobel mask and the proposed space-variant gradient mask, and are combined in the log-polar plane. The sampled points that might constitute a log line are quite sparse in a deep peripheral region due to severe under-sampling, which is an inherent property of LPM. To cope with such under-sampling, we determine the values of cumulative cells in Hough space by using the space-variant weighting. In our experiments, the proposed method demonstrates its validity of detecting not only the lines passing through both the fovea and periphery but also the lines in a deep periphery.

Material Hardship and Alcohol Use among Low-income Households in South Korea (저소득층의 물질적 어려움과 음주 : 자아존중감과 가족갈등의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jaekyoung;Lee, RaeHyuck
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.552-565
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    • 2016
  • This study aimed to examine the association between material hardship and alcohol use among low-income households in Korea, with particular attention to whether the association was mediated by family conflict and self-esteem. Using a nationally representative sample of 960 low-income households, this study conducted a path analysis to test a structural model liking material hardship to alcohol use through family conflict and self-esteem. The significance of indirect paths was tested by a Sobel test. This study found that experiencing material hardship was directly associated with low levels of coping skills for family conflict and low levels of self-esteem, but not with alcohol use. However, material hardship was indirectly associated with alcohol use through low levels of coping skills for family conflict as well as low levels of self-esteem. The findings of this study suggest that experiencing material hardship among low-income households would be a socio-structural stressor for alcohol use, particularly in that it increases secondary role and intra-psychic strains. Implications to address material hardship and alcohol use among low-income households were discussed.

Evaluation of the Applicability of the Poisson Cluster Rainfall Generation Model for Modeling Extreme Hydrological Events (극한수문사상의 모의를 위한 포아송 클러스터 강우생성모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyun;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Hwang, Seok Hwan;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.773-784
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated the applicability of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse (MBLRP) rainfall generation model for modeling extreme rainfalls and floods in Korean Peninsula. Firstly, using the ISPSO (Isolated Species Particle Swarm Optimization) method, the parameters of the MBLRP model were estimated at the 61 ASOS (Automatic Surface Observation System) rain gauges located across Korean Peninsula. Then, the synthetic rainfall time series with the length of 100 years were generated using the MBLRP model for each of the rain gauges. Finally, design rainfalls and design floods with various recurrence intervals were estimated based on the generated synthetic rainfall time series, which were compared to the values based on the observed rainfall time series. The results of the comparison indicate that the design rainfalls based on the synthetic rainfall time series were smaller than the ones based on the observation by 20% to 42%. The amount of underestimation increased with the increase of return period. In case of the design floods, the degree of underestimation was 31% to 50%, which increases along with the return period of flood and the curve number of basin.

Design of the Fixed-Bed Catalytic Reactor for the Maleic Anhydride Production (무수마레인산 생산을 위한 고정층 촉매 반응기 설계)

  • Yoon, Young Sam;Koo, Eun Hwa;Park, Pan Wook
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.467-476
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    • 1999
  • This paper analyzed the behavior of fixed-bed catalytic reactor (FBCR) which synthesizing maleic anhydride(MA) from the selective oxidation of n-butane. The behavior of FBCR describing convection-diffusion-reaction mechanism is examined by using two-dimensional pseudohomogeneous plug-flow transient model, with the kinetics of Langmuir-Hinshelwood type. Prediction model is composed by optimum parameter estimation from temperature profile, yield and conversion of single FBCR on operating condition variations of Sharma's pilot-plant experiment. A double FBCR with same yield and conversion for single FBCR generated a $8.96^{\circ}C$ lower hot spot temperature than a single FBCR. We could predict parametric sensitivity according to the variation of possible operating condition (temperature, concentration, volumetric flow of feed reactant and coolant flow rate) of single and double FBCR. Double FBCR showed the behavior of more operating range than single FBCR. Double FBCR with nonuniform activities could assure safety operation condition for the possible variation of operating condition. Also, double FBCR had slightly higher than the single FBCR in conversion and yield.

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Analysis for the Concept of Smooth Curve by Velocity (속도의 관점에서 매끄러운 곡선의 의미 분석)

  • Choi, Myeong-Suk;Jeong, Da-Rae;Kim, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.23-38
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to describe the true meaning of smooth curve and to let people understand the smooth curve by way of velocity. It is true that it is not easy for us to perceive smooth curve because when there are no cups in the curve and the shape of the curve looks smooth, we often perceive it is smooth curve. However, even when the shape of curve looks smooth, it happens that it is not smooth curve. When the particle moves on the curve, depending on the velocity, it can be smooth curve or not. That is, even though the shape looks smooth, when the velocity is discontinuous or it is 0, it is not smooth curve. Therefore, this paper shows that it is important to understand and to teach smooth curve by way of velocity. In other words, when parameter of path for the smooth curve is taught in the calculus of high school, it needs to be understood by way of velocity. Finally, this paper tries to suggest that we need to shift our paradigm in teaching of smooth curve from fixed curve to dynamic curve.

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The Effects of the Salesperson's Evaluation of Using Notebook Computer - The Mediating Role of Service Justices and Customer Satisfaction - (노트북 사용이 영업사원 평가에 미치는 영향 -서비스공정성과 고객만족을 매개변수로 하여-)

  • Jeon, Ta-Sik;Kim, Sang-Cheol
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.99-116
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    • 2008
  • This research is focused on the effects of salesperson's evaluation of using the notebook computer. From analysis of the resulting data, using the notebook computer are increased the quality of salesperson's service-justice. Salesperson's distributive-justice affects to positive the customer satisfaction. But procedural justice and interactional justice cannot affect to positive the customer satisfaction. Maybe, I think that the reason will be a feature of insurance goods. And customer satisfaction affects to positive the salesperson's evaluation. But, only using the notebook computer cannot affect to positive the salesperson's evaluation. According to the result, using the notebook computer of salesperson affects to positive the salesperson's evaluation mediate of the service justice and customer satisfaction. There are limitations on generalization due to the results based on only insurance industry, but this study will be a useful exploratory step before designing a future survey.

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Development of Hierarchical Bayesian Spatial Regional Frequency Analysis Model Considering Geographical Characteristics (지형특성을 활용한 계층적 Bayesian Spatial 지역빈도해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lim, Jeong-Yeul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2014
  • This study developed a Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis, which aimed to analyze spatial patterns of design rainfall by incorporating geographical information (e.g. latitude, longitude and altitude) and climate characteristics (e.g. annual maximum series) within a Bayesian framework. There are disadvantages to considering geographical characteristics and to increasing uncertainties associated with areal rainfall estimation on the existing regional frequency analysis. In this sense, this study estimated the parameters of Gumbel distribution which is a function of geographical and climate characteristics, and the estimated parameters were spatially interpolated to derive design rainfall over the entire Han-river watershed. The proposed Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis model showed similar results compared to L-moment based regional frequency analysis, and even better performance in terms of quantifying uncertainty of design rainfall and considering geographical information as a predictor.

Interactive G$^1$ Splines with Tangent Specification Method (접선 지정법을 이용한 대화형 G$^1$스플라인)

  • Ju, U-Seok;Park, Gyeong-Hui;Lee, Hui-Seung
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.531-540
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    • 1994
  • Spline curve scheme is the most valuable tool for the CAD of industrial products. Hence, the development of a new, effective curve scheme can have immediate impact on the current design industries. This paper develops and implements a new methodology for the implementation of the visually continuous class of splines which can produce a more flexible and diverse curve shapes. This class of splines has advantaged over existing splines in that it can accommodate wider range of shapes while maintaining the interpolators property of the ordinary cardinal splines. Most importantly, we avoid using the previous method of implementing G$^1$ curves, where users must specify scalar values for the control of curve shapes. We derive and implement an easy-to -use transformation between the user-specified graphical tangent vectors and the actual parameters for the resulting curve. Since the resulting curve shape reflects original tangential direction faithfully, CAD users can simply represent approximate curve shapes with proper tangents. Consequently, a simple user interface device such as a mouse can effectively produce a various spline curves using the proposed spline tool.

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