• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매개변수법

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Effects on Entrepreneurial Intention by Start-up Environment and Self-efficacy Mediated by Fear of Business Failure (창업 환경 및 인식이 사업실패부담감을 매개로 창업의지에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh, Sang-Hoon;Ha, Kyu-Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.143-157
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is firstly, to find out the factors of entrepreneurial intention in potential entrepreneurs, and secondly to examine the relationship between objective start-up environment and subjective recognition of start-up environment, and entrepreneurial intention. For this study, investigation has been done to find out if fear of business failure, that is notoriously high among Koreans, acts as an influential factor between objective start-up environment/subjective recognition of start-up environment and entrepreneurial intention. The data is collected from 335 respondents comprised of college students and adults who are interested in starting their own businesses. The results of this study are as follows : (1) Objective start-up environment and subjective recognition of start-up environment, which is self-efficacy, have a positive effect on entrepreneurial intention. (2) Fear of business failure mediates the relationship between objective start-up environment/subjective recognition of start-up environment, and entrepreneurial intention (3) Child-care system, as an explain variable in the objective start-up environment in this study, is an important factor in the process of entrepreneurial commitment.

Runoff Analysis Using the Discrete, Linear, Input-Output Model (선형 이산화 입력-출력 모형에 의한 유출해석)

  • Kwak, Ki Seok;Kang, In Shik;Jeong, Yeon Tae;Kang, Ju Bok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.859-866
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    • 1994
  • It is difficult to make an exact estimate of the peak discharge or the runoff depth of flood and establish the proper measure for the flood protection since the water stage or discharge has been nearly measured at most medium or small river basins. The objective of this study is to estimate parameters of the discrete, linear, input-output model for medium or small river basin. The On-Cheon River basin in Pusan was selected for the study area. The runoff data used in the study has been observed since June 1993, and the effective rainfall was determined using the storage function method. The parameter sets of the discrete, linear, input-output model were estimated using the least squares method and the correlation function method, respectively. The calculated hydrographs by the discrete, linear, input-output model regenerated the observed outflow hydrographs well, and also the simulated flood hydrograph was comparable to the observed one. Therefore, it is believed that the discrete, linear, input-output model is simpler than other runoff analysis methods, and can be applied to a medium or small river basin.

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Characteristics on the Extreme Value Distributions of Deepwater Design ave Heights off the Korean Coast (한국 연안 심해 설계파고의 극치분포 특성)

  • Shin Taek Jeong;Jeong Dae Kim;Cho Hong Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.130-141
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    • 2004
  • For a coastal or harbor structure design, one of the most important environmental factors is the appropriate design wave condition. Especially, the information of deepwater wave height distribution is essential for reliability design. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the Weibull, the Gumbel, the Log-pearson Type-III, and Lognormal distribution. For each of these distributions, three parameter estimation methods, i.e. the method of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments, were applied. Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit tests were performed, and the assumed distribution was accepted at the confidence level 95%. Gumbel distribution which best fits to the 67 station was selected as the most probable parent distribution, and optimally estimated parameters and 50 year design wave heights were presented.

A Study on Discharge Estimation by Representative Parameter Method in Open Channels (개수로에서의 대표 매개변수 방법에 의한 유량산정에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai Ho;Chae, Soo Kwon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.637-644
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    • 2012
  • The discharge estimation that means the most important element in a wetlands ecosystem and rivers is a prime concern. All the interim, this discharge estimation depends on stage-discharge curve, but the limitation of stage-discharge curve that uses only connection between the stage and discharge is widely well known. Thus, this paper proposed a method of discharge estimation in a section through "representative parameter estimation method" by using Manning and Chezy equations that have been extensively used in an open channel. Each result is presented by both RMSE and Discrepancy Ratio. The scale difference for the results between laboratory and natural open channel data existed, but the each result showed that the estimated discharge agree with the measured discharge. If the verification and improvement are conducted in various rivers through continuous study, the easy and rapid discharge estimation will be possible. So, the proposed method will be utilized in the water resources fields.

Improvement of GR4J Model Applying Soil Moisture Accounting Procedure (GR4J 모형을 이용한 토양수분계산절차의 개선)

  • Im, Sung-Soo;Yoo, Do-Guen;Lee, Ho-Min;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.942-942
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    • 2012
  • 강우-유출에 대한 수문해석에 있어 유효강우량 산정방법으로는 여러 가지가 있으나 국내외로 미농무부(United States Department of Agriculture)에서 제안한 NRCS-CN 방법이 널리 사용되고 있다. SCS-CN 방법은 1개의 매개변수만을 사용하여 방법이 간략하고 유역 토양특성의 반영이 가능하다는 장점이 있으나 공간적 규모에 따른 효과반영이 불가하고 초기손실우량비를 0.2로 고정하는 가정의 문제점 등이 있다. 많은 연구자들이 SCS-CN 방법의 문제점을 보완하고자 다양한 방법을 제시하였으며 특히 Michel 등(2005)은 토양수분계산가정(Soil Moisture Accounting Procedure)에서 유출기준저류고를 새로운 매개변수로 제안하여 초기손실우량비 가정의 불합리성을 개선하고 새로운 AMC 조건식을 산정하였다. 그러나 범용적인 AMC 조건식을 제안하고자 140개 유역에 적용한 결과를 통해 유출기준저류고는 토양의 최대잠재보유수량의 1/3으로 일괄 적용하는 문제점이 있으며, 민감도분석을 통해 전체 결과의 효율이 좋은 값으로 선정하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 일 단위 집중형 장기유출모형인 GR4J(Ge'nie Rural a' 4 parame'tres Journalier)를 Michel이 제안한 모형을 적용하기 위해 선정하였으며 토양수분계산과정에서 새로운 매개변수인 유출기준저류고를 최적화기법인 화음탐색법을 적용하여 결정하였다. 적용대상은 국내의 달방댐, 횡성댐, 섬진강댐, 청주댐, 대청댐유역에 적용하였으며 본 연구에서 제안한 방법이 강우-유출 결과의 정확성을 향상시키는 것을 볼 수 있었다. 최종적으로 최적화된 유출기준저류고와 유역크기와의 상관성분석을 통하여 관계식을 도출하였다. 토양수분과정에 대한 고려는 유출량을 산정하는 데 있어서 정확성을 높이는 데 기여할 수 있으며 더불어 본 연구에서 제안한 관계식을 통하여 유출기준저류고와 유역특성과의 연관성을 확인할 수 있었다.

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A Study on the Fracture Behavior of a Crack in 9% Ni Steel Considering Constraint Effect (구속효과를 고려한 9% Ni강 균열의 파괴거동 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young Kyun;Yoon, Ihn soo;Kim, Jae Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.14-21
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    • 2021
  • Inner shell material of LNG storage tanks that store ultra-low temperature LNG at -162℃ requires structural integrity assessment of a crack-like defect. From the viewpoint of conventional fracture mechanics, the assessment has mainly performed by single parameter using stress intensity factor K, J-integral and CTOD. However, the stresses in a material of crack tip are not unique caused by constraint loss due to size and geometry of the structure. Various attempts have been made to complement a single parameter fracture mechanics, typically with Q-stress. In this paper, we have performed a two-parameter approach by deriving the Q-stress coupling with J-integral suitable for the evaluation of the crack tip stress field in the non-linear elastic region. A quantitative evaluation of the constraint effect has performed by using the J-Q approach. It was evaluated that the SENB type specimen had a crack ratio of 0.1 to 0.7 and the wide type specimen had a crack ratio of 0.2 to 0.6.

Statistical Water Quality Monitoring Network Design of Kyung-An Stream (통계적 기법을 이용한 경안천 유역의 수질 측정망 구성)

  • Kyoung, Min Soo;Kim, Sang Dan;Kim, Hung Soo;Park, Seok Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.3B
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2006
  • In this study a statistical water quality monitoring network design of Kyung-An stream is proposed. Water quality data for the design is obtained by QUAL2E model simulation. The observed monthly average water quality data from March to November in Kyung-An stream has been applied to this study. HEC-RAS model is also used for QUAL2E hydrauric parameter estimation. Before QUAL2E water quality parameter estimation, FORA is performed to reduce the number of parameters to be estimated, and then water quality parameters are calibrated with a observed monthly average data. Using these simulated water quality data, the number of gage station and its location are estimated by kriging theory and branch & boundary method. Such a network design is based on two case; average flow and low flow case, respectively. Next, proportional sampling method is applied to estimate the sampling frequency.

Box-Jenkins 예측기법 소개

  • 박성주;전태준
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.1
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 1984
  • Box-Jenkins 시계열 분석법은 변수에 관한 정보가 부족하거나 너무 많은 변수가 영향을 미치고 있는 경우에도 과학적인 예측치를 구할 수 있는 단기예측 방법이다. Box-Jenkins 모형은 자동회귀 모형(Autoregressive Model), 이동평균 모형 (Moving average Model), 계절적 시계열 모형을 통합한 일반적인 모형이기 때문에 특별한 불안정성을 보이지 않는 경우에는 모두 모형화 할 수 있으며, 모형에 관계된 계수의 수를 최소화 하면서 만족스러운 모형을 찾을 수 있다. Box-Jenkins예측방법은 모형선정, 매개변수추정, 적합성 검정의 3단계를 반복으로 수행함으로써 최적모형에 이르게 하게 하고 있기 때문에 최소의 가능한 모형으로부터 시작하여 부적당한 부분을 제거시켜 나감으로써 시행착오의 과정을 최소화 할 수 있다. 일반 사용자가 Box-Jenkins 시계열 분석법을 쉽게 사용할 수 있도록 Box-Jenkins Package가 개발되었으며 여기서는 KAIST 전산 개발 센터에 설치된 Package를 소개하고 그 사용예를 보였다.

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Unsteady Flow in a Roof Drain (지붕 배수의 부정류)

  • 황창호;윤태훈
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1989.07a
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 1989
  • 강우로 인한 급경사면의 흐름 해석은 지배방정식인 연속방정식과 운동량 방정식에 의해 수치적으로 해석된다. 이에대한 해석 방법에는 수문학적인 방법과 수리학적인 방법이 있는데, 본 연구에서는 세인트 베난트 방정식을 초기 및 경계조건에 맞게 푸는 수리학적인 방법을 이용하였고, 일반적인 완경사면에서 그 영향이 작아 무시되었던 경사의 영향을 고려한다. 수치해석 과정은 지배방정식에 무차원 매개변수를 도입하여 6점 음해법을 이용하여 해석하였다. 수치실험은 마닝(Manning)의 조도계수 n을 변화시키면서, 각각 검사에서 강우에 의한 평형상태에 도달한 이후의 수심과 유량, kinematic flow 수, 후르드 수, 평형상태 도달시간등 변수 상호간의 관계를 고찰하였다.

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Causal 2D Hidden Markov Model (인과 2D 은닉 마르코프 모델)

  • Sin, Bong-Gi
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.46-51
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    • 2001
  • 2D로 확장한 HMM은 다수 제안되었지만 엄밀한 의미에 있어서 2D HMM이라고 하기에 부족한 점이 많다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 랜덤 필드 모형이 아닌 새로운 2D HMM을 제안한다. 상하 및 좌우 방향의 causal chain 관계를 가정하고 완전한 격자 형성 조건을 두어 2D HMM의 평가, 매개 변수를 추정하는 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 각각의 알고리즘은 동적 프로그래밍과 최우 추정법에 근거한 것이다. 변수 추정 알고리즘은 반복적으로 이루어지며 국소 최적치에 수렴함을 보였다.

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