• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로짓혼합모형

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Non-linear Preferences on Bioethanol in South Korea (국내 바이오에탄올에 대한 비선형적 선호에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Jeong Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.515-551
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    • 2014
  • Recently, there has been a debate as to whether bioethanol should replace some portion of gasoline for fuels in South Korea, as energy security as well as climate change issues are rising as a significant national agenda. However, a considerable amount of subsidy will be required to compensate for the higher price of bioethanol-blended gasoline. In this context, government subsidy will obtain justification only when the positive social gains from consuming bioethanol for fuels can exceed the negative social costs. Through a nation-wide choice experimental survey, we examine if South Koreans have a positive value as well as non-linear preferences on substituting bioethanol for gasoline. The results reveal that the willingness to pay for purely domestic bioethanol-blended gasoline within 10% is about 52 KRW; Koreans have concave preferences on the blending ratio of bioethanol to gasoline. The turning point of the blending ratio of bioethanol was 6.5%. Also, we found inverse U-shaped curve between income and bioethanol choice probability and the turning point of the income was calculated as 250~299million KRW. Politically conservative propensity advocates uses of bioethanol blended gasoline, but awareness on bioethanol or more weights on environmental conservation have significantly negative effects on the choice of bioethanol. However, the design of the survey questionnaire is incompatible with the RFS of Korea and assumes orthogonality among the following four interrelated attributes: (i) domestic or offshore procurement of feedstocks in the case of domestic production, (ii) domestic production or import of bioethanol, (iii) the blending ratios, and (iv) the retail price increases. In addition, the results of model estimation and of model selection test are not definite. Hence, the results in this study should not be directly applied to the design of the specifics of the Korean RFS. Hence, the results in this study require cautions in applying to the design of the Korean RFS policy.

A Stochastic User Equilibrium Transit Assignment Algorithm for Multiple User Classes (다계층을 고려한 대중교통 확률적사용자균형 알고리즘 개발)

  • Yu, Soon-Kyoung;Lim, Kang-Won;Lee, Young-Ihn;Lim, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.165-179
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    • 2005
  • The object of this study is a development of a stochastic user equilibrium transit assignment algorithm for multiple user classes considering stochastic characteristics and heterogeneous attributes of passengers. The existing transit assignment algorithms have limits to attain realistic results because they assume a characteristic of passengers to be equal. Although one group with transit information and the other group without it have different trip patterns, the past studies could not explain the differences. For overcoming the problems, we use following methods. First, we apply a stochastic transit assignment model to obtain the difference of the perceived travel cost between passengers and apply a multiple user class assignment model to obtain the heterogeneous qualify of groups to get realistic results. Second, we assume that person trips have influence on the travel cost function in the development of model. Third, we use a C-logit model for solving IIA(independence of irrelevant alternatives) problems. According to repetition assigned trips and equivalent path cost have difference by each group and each path. The result comes close to stochastic user equilibrium and converging speed is very fast. The algorithm of this study is expected to make good use of evaluation tools in the transit policies by applying heterogeneous attributes and OD data.

High Suicidal Risk Group of Elderly: Identification of Causal Factors and Development of Predictive Model (자살 고위험군 노인: 원인 파악 및 예측 모델 개발)

  • Gayeon Park;Woosik Shin;Hee-Woong Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.59-81
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    • 2023
  • Elderly suicide problem has become worse in South Korea. With a rapid aging of the population, the trend of suicide among the elderly is expected to accelerate, preventing elderly suicide has been considered an important societal problem. Thus, we aim to investigate various factors that explain suicidal ideation and to develop a predictive model for suicidal ideation in the context of elderly people in South Korea. To this end, this study contributes to addressing the elderly suicide problem. By using seven-year panel data from the Korea Welfare Panel Survey, we extract various potential causal factors for elderly suicidal ideation based on interpersonal theory of suicide and social disorganization theory. Then a panel logit model was employed to assess the impacts of potential factors on suicidal ideation and deep learning and machine learning algorithms were used to develop a predictive model for suicidal ideation of elderly people. The results of our study provide practical implications for preventing elderly suicide by identifying causal factors of suicidal ideation and a high suicidal risk group of the elderly. This study sheds light on synergy of mixed methodology and provides various academic implications.

The effects of compact city development on public transportation commuting -The cases of 54 medium and small-sized cities in korea (압축도시 개발이 대중교통을 이용한 통근 통행에 미치는 영향 -한국의 54개 중소도시를 대상으로-)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze compact city planning indicators that have influence on public transportation commuting of residents in the 54 medium and small-sized cities. In the study, land use and transportation infrastructure of cities and other socio-demographic variables are used as explanatory variables in a causal model. 96,552 subjects from 54 cities in korea are selected as the final sample, and a statistical analysis is carried out by applying Random Intercept Logit Model. Analysis shows that a high level of density and jobs-housing balance in the city results in more public transportation commuting. And higher access to bus and subway station influence commuting, so subway & bus stop are important factors to increase public transportation commuting

Effects of Compact City Development on Residents' Shopping Trips -A Case study of Seoul (압축도시 계획요소가 지역주민들의 쇼핑통행에 미치는 영향 -서울시를 대상으로)

  • Ko, Eunjeong;Lee, Kyunghwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.4077-4085
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze relationships between compact city development and residents' shopping trips in Seoul. Compact city planning factors are classified into land use and traffic environment. The main data source used for this research is 2006 Household Travel Survey data, then a statistic analysis was carried out by applying random intercept logit model. Analysis shows that a high level of residential density increases residents' local shopping. Also, a high level of residential density and land use mix results in more uses of public transportation, bicycle and walking for shopping. Also, more access to public transportation leads to more use of public transportation for shopping. Therefore, compact city development will have a positive impact on activating the use of public transportation, bicycle and walking for shopping.

Impacts of Neighborhood's Land Use and Transit Accessibility on Residents' Commuting Trips - A Case study of Seoul (근린의 토지이용과 대중교통시설 보행접근성이 통근통행에 미치는 영향 - 서울시를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Kyunghwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.9
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    • pp.4593-4601
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze neighborhood's land use and transit accessibility affecting residents' commuting trips through a case study of Seoul. The main data source used for this research is 2010 Household Travel Survey data from which 34,071 observations were selected as the final sample. Then a statistic analysis was carried out by applying random intercept logit model. Analysis shows that a high level of residential density, land use mix in neighborhood results in more use of subway for commuting. And higher access to subway station leads to more use of subway. Therefore, a high dense and mixed use development as well as a high accessibility to transit station can contribute to activating the use of public transportation for commuting. Finally, the walking range of subway station affecting transit mode for commuting is estimated at between 432 to 525m.

Consumers' preference about the attributes of 3rd generation device (3세대 디바이스의 속성별 소비자 선호 분석)

  • Jung, Jae-Young;Lee, Joo-Suk;Kwak, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.703-710
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    • 2017
  • Third-generation (3G) devicesare next-generation devices that allow the use of intelligent services and applications through the Internet of Things (IoT). As the market forexisting smart devices like smartphones and tablet PCs enters the stage of stagnation, the world is now focusing on 3G devices, parts, and services. This study is intended to measure the user's benefits from the various attributes of 3G devices by applying an economic valuation method. For this purpose, the conjoint analysis method was applied, which is one of the representative valuation methods. To apply conjoint analysis, the following attributes of 3G devicesare considered: mode of use, power efficiency, life care, and price. By applying the mixed logit model, the marginal willingness-to-pay(WTP) for each attribute was derived. The results are statistically significant. Respondents showed a high preference or complete flexibility in the mode of use attribute. And they were also found to have WTP for improvements in the life care attribute. The implications and quantitative results of this study are expected to be useful for policies and strategies in the 3G device market.