• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로지스틱 모형

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Simulation of Two-Phase Fluid Flow in a Single Fracture Surrounding an Underground LPG Storage Cavern: I. Numerical Model Development and Parallel Plate Test (지하 LPG 저장공동에 인접한 단일절리에서의 이상유체거동해석: I. 수치모형의 개발 및 모형실험)

  • Han, Il-Yeong;Seo, Il-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2001
  • A two-dimensional finite difference numerical model was developed in order to simulate two-phase fluid flow in a single fracture. In the model, variation of viscosity with pressure and that of relative permeability with water saturation can be treated. For the numerical solution, IMPES method was used, from which the pressure and the saturation of water and gas were computed one by one. Seven cases of model test using parallel plates for a single fracture were performed in order to obtain the characteristic equation of relative permeability which would be used in the numerical model. it was difficult to match the characteristic curves of relative permeability from the model tests with the existing emperical equations, consequently a logistic equation was proposed. As the equation is composed of the parameters involving aperture size, it can be applied to any fracture.

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Binary regression model using skewed generalized t distributions (기운 일반화 t 분포를 이용한 이진 데이터 회귀 분석)

  • Kim, Mijeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.775-791
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    • 2017
  • We frequently encounter binary data in real life. Logistic, Probit, Cauchit, Complementary log-log models are often used for binary data analysis. In order to analyze binary data, Liu (2004) proposed a Robit model, in which the inverse of cdf of the Student's t distribution is used as a link function. Kim et al. (2008) also proposed a generalized t-link model to make the binary regression model more flexible. The more flexible skewed distributions allow more flexible link functions in generalized linear models. In the sense, we propose a binary data regression model using skewed generalized t distributions introduced in Theodossiou (1998). We implement R code of the proposed models using the glm function included in R base and R sgt package. We also analyze Pima Indian data using the proposed model in R.

A Prediction Model on Freeway Accident Duration using AFT Survival Analysis (AFT 생존분석 기법을 이용한 고속도로 교통사고 지속시간 예측모형)

  • Jeong, Yeon-Sik;Song, Sang-Gyu;Choe, Gi-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2007
  • Understanding the relation between characteristics of an accident and its duration is crucial for the efficient response of accidents and the reduction of total delay caused by accidents. Thus the objective of this study is to model accident duration using an AFT metric model. Although the log-logistic and log-normal AFT models were selected based on the previous studies and statistical theory, the log-logistic model was better fitted. Since the AFT model is commonly used for the purpose of prediction, the estimated model can be also used for the prediction of duration on freeways as soon as the base accident information is reported. Therefore, the predicted information will be directly useful to make some decisions regarding the resources needed to clear accident and dispatch crews as well as will lead to less traffic congestion and much saving the injured.

Developing the predictive model for stomach cancer using data mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 위암 예측모형 개발과 활용)

  • Park, Il-Su;Han, Jun-Tae;Kang, Suk-Bok;Ji, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1253-1261
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    • 2010
  • We develope the predictive model for the incidence of the stomach cancer by utilizing the health screening data of the National Health Insurance in Korea. We also explore the characteristics for the stomach cancer. We perform the logistic regression analysis using the data mining methodology and use SAS Enterprise Miner 4.1. This study shows that there exists a higher rate of the stomach cancer for males than females. Our study confirms that the major influencing factors for the incidence of the stomach cancer are age, drinking and a family history of cancer, lack of exercise. For man, the age is the most important determinant of the stomach cancer incidence, whereas the drinking is the most important determinant of the stomach cancer incidence for women.

Network Identification of Major Risk Factor Associated with Delirium by Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 활용한 정신장애 질병 섬망(delirium)의 주요 요인 네트워크 규명)

  • Lee, Jea-Young;Choi, Young-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.323-333
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    • 2011
  • We analyzed using logistic to find factors with a mental disorder because logistic is the most efficient way assess risk factors. In this paper, we applied data mining techniques that are logistic, neural network, c5.0, cart and Bayesian network to delirium data. The Bayesian network method was chosen as the best model. When delirium data were applied to the Bayesian network, we determined the risk factors associated with delirium as well as identified the network between the risk factors.

Development of Large Fire Judgement Model Using Logistic Regression Equation (로지스틱 회귀식을 이용한 대형산불판정 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Kim, Kyongha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.3
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    • pp.415-419
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    • 2013
  • To mitigate forest fire damage, it is needed to concentrate suppression resources on the fire having a high probability to become large in the initial stage. The objective of this study is to develop the large fire judgement model which can estimate large fire possibility index between the fire size and the related factors such as weather, terrain, and fuel. The results of logistic regression equation indicated that temperature, wind speed, continuous drought days, slope variance, forest area were related to the large fire possibility positively but elevation has negative relationship. This model may help decision-making about size of suppression resources, local residents evacuation and suppression priority.

Wild Boar (Sus scrofa corranus Heude ) Habitat Modeling Using GIS and Logistic Regression (GIS와 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 멧돼지 서식지 모형 개발)

  • 서창완;박종화
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2000
  • Accurate information on habitat distribution of protected fauna is essential for the habitat management of Korea, a country with very high development pressure. The objectives of this study were to develop a habitat suitability model of wild boar based on GIS and logistic regression, and to create habitat distribution map, and to prepare the basis for habitat management of our country s endangered and protected species. The modeling process of this restudyarch had following three steps. First, GIS database of environmental factors related to use and availability of wild boar habitat were built. Wild boar locations were collected by Radio-Telemetry and GPS. Second, environmental factors affecting the habitat use and availability of wild boars were identified through chi-square test. Third, habitat suitability model based on logistic regression were developed, and the validity of the model was tested. Finally , habitat assessment map was created by utilizing a rule-based approach. The results of the study were as folos. First , distinct difference in wild boar habitat use by season and habitat types were found, however, no difference in wild boar habiat use by season and habitat types were found , however, ho difference by sex and activity types were found. Second, it was found, through habitat availability analysis, that elevation , aspect , forest type, and forest age were significant natural environmental factors affecting wild boar hatibate selection, but the effects of slope, ridge/valley, water, and solar radiation could not be identified, Finally, the habitat at cutoff value of 0.5. The model validation showed that inside validation site had the classification accuracy of 73.07% for total habitat and 80.00% for cover habitat , and outside validation site had the classification accuracy of 75.00% for total habitat.

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Estimation of Freeway Accident Likelihood using Real-time Traffic Data (실시간 교통자료 기반 고속도로 교통사고 발생 가능성 추정 모형)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Oh, Cheol;NamKoong, Seong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 2008
  • This study proposed a model to estimate traffic accident likelihood using real-time traffic data obtained from freeway traffic surveillance systems. Traffic variables representing spatio-temporal variations of traffic conditions were utilized as independent variables in the proposed models. Binary logistics regression modelings were conducted to correlate traffic variables and accident data that were collected from the Seohaean freeway during recent three years, from 2004 to 2006. To apply more reliable traffic variables, outlier filtering and data imputation were also performed. The outcomes of the model that are actually probabilistic measures of accident occurrence would be effectively utilized not only in designing warning information systems but also in evaluating the effectiveness of various traffic operations strategies in terms of traffic safety.

The Effect of Overdesign on Titan Rocket Engine Reliability and Development Cost (과설계가 타이탄 로켓엔진의 신뢰도 및 개발비용에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyungmee O.;Hwang, Junwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.334-340
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    • 2015
  • Engine derating is often considered for reliability benefits because lower power operation reduces its failure probability. To be derated during operation, however, the engine must be initially overdesigned. The engine overdesign is cost effective only if reliability increased from derating is enough to offset the initial increase in the development cost caused from the overdesign. The purpose of this paper is to provide an analytical model to consider a trade-off between the engine overdesign and derating. We use a logistic regression model to explain reliability growth in the number of hot firing tests for a fixed power level. Using the Transcost model with the reliability growth model, we show that 10% overdesign of Titan rocket engine decreases its development cost by about 9% and 23% depending on the reliability requirement. We also point out that such a cost reduction depends on the fuel type a rocket uses.

Comparison analysis of big data integration models (빅데이터 통합모형 비교분석)

  • Jung, Byung Ho;Lim, Dong Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.755-768
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    • 2017
  • As Big Data becomes the core of the fourth industrial revolution, big data-based processing and analysis capabilities are expected to influence the company's future competitiveness. Comparative studies of RHadoop and RHIPE that integrate R and Hadoop environment, have not been discussed by many researchers although RHadoop and RHIPE have been discussed separately. In this paper, we constructed big data platforms such as RHadoop and RHIPE applicable to large scale data and implemented the machine learning algorithms such as multiple regression and logistic regression based on MapReduce framework. We conducted a study on performance and scalability with those implementations for various sample sizes of actual data and simulated data. The experiments demonstrated that our RHadoop and RHIPE can scale well and efficiently process large data sets on commodity hardware. We showed RHIPE is faster than RHadoop in almost all the data generally.