• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로지스틱회귀분석기법

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Logistic Regression and GIS based Urban Ground Sink Susceptibility Assessment Considering Soil Particle Loss (토립자 유실을 고려한 로지스틱 회귀분석 및 GIS 기반 도시 지반함몰 취약성 평가)

  • Suh, Jangwon;Ryu, Dong-Woo;Yum, Byoung-Woo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.149-163
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents a logistic regression and GIS based urban ground sink susceptibility assessment using underground facility information considering soil particle loss. In the underground environment, the particle loss due to water flow or groundwater level change leads to the occurrence and expansion of cavities, which directly affect the ground sink. Four different contributory factors were selected according to the two underground facility domains (water pipeline area, sewer pipeline area) and subway line area. The logistic regression method was used to analyze the correlation and to derive the regression equation between the ground sink inventory and the contributory factors. Based on these results, three ground sink susceptibility maps were generated. The results obtained from this study are expected to provide basic data on the area susceptible to ground sink and needed to safety monitoring.

development of Decision Support System for the Management of hypertension using Datamining Technology (데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 고혈압 관리를 위한 의사결정지원시스템의 개발)

  • 호승희;채영문;조승연;최동훈;송용욱;박충식;조경원;송지원
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.271-282
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구의 목적은 데이터마이닝 기법을 임상적으로 중요한 위치를 차지하고 있는 고혈압 환자의 특성과 치료에 따른 예후를 예측할 수 있는 지식을 발굴하고 이의 임상적용의 타당성을 검증하여 의사결정지원시스템을 개발하고 이의 유용성을 평가하는데 있다. 이에 연세대학교 의과대학 부속 세브란스 병원의 환자를 대상으로 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용하여 혈압조절상의 위험요인의 규명하고, 의사결정나무분석을 통해 치료약제별 혈압조절군과 비조절군의 특성을 도출하고 각 대상군을 결정짓는 규칙을 생성하였으며, 이를 활용한 의사결정지원시스템의 개발 및c 평가를 시행하였다. 그 결과 기존 임상이론만을 활용한 시스템의 처방에 의한 혈압조절군보다 데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 시스템의 처방에 의한 혈압조절군의 비율이 전체적으로 더 높게 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과는 우리나라 현실에 부합되는 고혈압 진료지침을 개발하고 적용, 평가하는데 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 이와 같은 의사결정지원 시스템을 운영을 통해 실제 임상 진료에 적용해 봄으로써 그 효과와 실증적 가치를 창출할 수 있을 것이다.

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Comparison of Methodologies for Characterizing Pedestrian-Vehicle Collisions (보행자-차량 충돌사고 특성분석 방법론 비교 연구)

  • Choi, Saerona;Jeong, Eunbi;Oh, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2013
  • The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.

Establishment of Strategy for Management of Technology Using Data Mining Technique (데이터 마이닝을 통한 기술경영 전략 수립에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Junseok;Lee, Joonhyuck;Kim, Gabjo;Park, Sangsung;Jang, Dongsik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.126-132
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    • 2015
  • Technology forecasting is about understanding a status of a specific technology in the future, based on the current data of the technology. It is useful when planning technology management strategies. These days, it is common for countries, companies, and researchers to establish R&D directions and strategies by utilizing experts' opinions. However, this qualitative method of technology forecasting is costly and time consuming since it requires to collect a variety of opinions and analysis from many experts. In order to deal with these limitations, quantitative method of technology forecasting is being studied to secure objective forecast result and help R&D decision making process. This paper suggests a methodology of technology forecasting based on quantitative analysis. The methodology consists of data collection, principal component analysis, and technology forecasting by logistic regression, which is one of the data mining techniques. In this research, patent documents related to autonomous vehicle are collected. Then, the texts from patent documents are extracted by text mining technique to construct an appropriate form for analysis. After principal component analysis, logistic regression is performed by using principal component score. On the basis of this result, it is possible to analyze R&D development situation and technology forecasting.

Development of Pedestrian Fatality Model using Bayesian-Based Neural Network (베이지안 신경망을 이용한 보행자 사망확률모형 개발)

  • O, Cheol;Gang, Yeon-Su;Kim, Beom-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2006
  • This paper develops pedestrian fatality models capable of producing the probability of pedestrian fatality in collision between vehicles and pedestrians. Probabilistic neural network (PNN) and binary logistic regression (BLR) ave employed in modeling pedestrian fatality pedestrian age, vehicle type, and collision speed obtained from reconstructing collected accidents are used as independent variables in fatality models. One of the nice features of this study is that an iterative sampling technique is used to construct various training and test datasets for the purpose of better performance comparison Statistical comparison considering the variation of model Performances is conducted. The results show that the PNN-based fatality model outperforms the BLR-based model. The models developed in this study that allow us to predict the pedestrian fatality would be useful tools for supporting the derivation of various safety Policies and technologies to enhance Pedestrian safety.

Assessing likelihood of drought impact occurrence in South korea through machine learning (머신러닝 기법을 통한 우리나라 가뭄 영향 발생 가능성 평가)

  • Seo, Jungho;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.77-77
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    • 2021
  • 가뭄은 사회·경제적으로 매우 큰 피해를 주는 자연재해이며, 그 시작과 발생 지역을 정확하게 예측하는 데 어려운 문제가 있다. 이에 수문 분야에서는 가뭄에 영향을 미치는 수문·기상인자들을 이용하여 다양한 가뭄지수를 개발하였고 이를 활용하여 가뭄 현상을 모니터링하고 예측 및 전망하는데 다양한 노력을 기울이고 있다. 하지만 가뭄지수들은 실제 가뭄이 어떠한 형태로 발생하는지 파악하기에 많은 한계점을 가지고 있다. 이에 최근 들어 미국과 유럽에서는 실제 농업, 환경, 에너지 등과 같은 다양한 분야에 걸쳐 가뭄 피해로 인해 생기는 가뭄 영향을 보다 체계적이고 상세한 데이터 인벤토리로 구축하고 가뭄지수와의 상관관계, 회귀분석과 같은 연구를 통해 가뭄 영향 예측을 시도하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 보고서, 데이터베이스, 웹 크롤링(Web-Crawling)을 통한 뉴스 기사 등과 같은 자료를 수집하여 국내 가뭄 영향 인벤토리를 구축하였다. 또한 수문 분야에 널리 사용되고 있는 가뭄지수인 표준 강수 증발산량지수 SPEI(Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index)를 기반으로 지역에 따른 가뭄 영향을 예측하기 위해 최근 로지스틱 회귀모형, Random forest, Support vector machine, XGBoost 등의 다양한 머신러닝 기법을 적용하였다. 각 모형의 성능을 Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC) 곡선을 통해 평가하여 가뭄 영향 예측에 적절한 머신러닝 기법을 제시하였다. 본 연구 결과를 통해 텍스트 기반의 가뭄 영향 자료와 머신러닝 기법을 통한 가뭄 영향 예측 방법론은 가뭄 재난 관리에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

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Fault-Causing Process and Equipment Analysis of PCB Manufacturing Lines Using Data Mining Techniques (데이터마이닝 기법을 이용한 PCB 제조라인의 불량 혐의 공정 및 설비 분석)

  • Sim, Hyun Sik;Kim, Chang Ouk
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2015
  • In the PCB(Printed Circuit Board) manufacturing industry, the yield is an important management factor because it affects the product cost and quality significantly. In real situation, it is very hard to ensure a high yield in a manufacturing shop because products called chips are made through hundreds of nano-scale manufacturing processes. Therefore, in order to improve the yield, it is necessary to analyze main fault process and equipment that cause low PCB yield. This paper proposes a systematic approach to discover fault-causing processes and equipment by using a logistic regression and a stepwise variable selection procedure. We tested our approach with lot trace records of real work-site. A lot trace record consists of the equipment sequence that the lot passed through and the number of faults for each fault type in the lot. We demonstrated that the test results reflected the real situation of a PCB manufacturing line.

A Study on the Development of Readmission Predictive Model (재입원 예측 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Yun-Jung;Kim, Yoo-Mi;Han, Seung-Woo;Choe, Jun-Yeong;Baek, Seol-Gyeong;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.435-447
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    • 2019
  • In order to prevent unnecessary re-admission, it is necessary to intensively manage the groups with high probability of re-admission. For this, it is necessary to develop a re-admission prediction model. Two - year discharge summary data of one university hospital were collected from 2016 to 2017 to develop a predictive model of re-admission. In this case, the re-admitted patients were defined as those who were discharged more than once during the study period. We conducted descriptive statistics and crosstab analysis to identify the characteristics of rehospitalized patients. The re-admission prediction model was developed using logistic regression, neural network, and decision tree. AUC (Area Under Curve) was used for model evaluation. The logistic regression model was selected as the final re-admission predictive model because the AUC was the best at 0.81. The main variables affecting the selected rehospitalization in the logistic regression model were Residental regions, Age, CCS, Charlson Index Score, Discharge Dept., Via ER, LOS, Operation, Sex, Total payment, and Insurance. The model developed in this study was limited to generalization because it was two years data of one hospital. It is necessary to develop a model that can collect and generalize long-term data from various hospitals in the future. Furthermore, it is necessary to develop a model that can predict the re-admission that was not planned.

Data Mining Analysis of Determinants of Alcohol Problems of Youth from an Ecological Perspective (청년의 문제음주에 미치는 사회생태학적 결정요인에 관한 데이터 마이닝 분석)

  • Lee, Suk-Hyun;Moon, Sang Ho
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.65-100
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    • 2018
  • Korean Youth are facing diverse problems. For-instance Korean youth are even called '7 given-up generation' which indicates that they gave up marriage, giving birth, social relationship, housing, dream and the hope. From this point, the study concludes that the influential factors of the alcohol problems of youth should be studied based on the eco social perspectives. And it adopted data-mining methods, using SAS-Enterprise Miner for the analysis, targeting 2538 youths. Specifically, the study analyzed and chose the most predictable model using decision tree analysis, artificial neural network and logistic analysis. As the result, the study found that gender, age, smoking, spouse, family-number, jobsearching and economic participation are statistically significant determinants of alcohol problems of youth. Precisely, those who are male, younger, have the spouse, have less family number, searching jobs, have more income and have the job were more prone to have the alcohol problems. Based on the result, this study proposed the addiction problems targeting youth and etc. and expect to have the contribution on implementing procedures for the alcohol problems.

A Study on the Influence Factors of safety Management Activities of Safety Assistants on Dispatch Method (안전보조원의 안전관리활동이 파견법에 미치는 영향요인 연구)

  • Shin, Seung Ha;Moon, Yu Mi;Choi, Byong Jeong
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.306-318
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    • 2021
  • The dispatch law has a negative impact on safety management at construction sites as the command and command relationship to safety assistants of the original contractor are applied to the dispatch law. Purpose: The purpose is to study the importance and impact of safety management according to the dispatch law, and to propose a direction for safety management so that safety assistants can actively and proactively prevent accidents. In this study, we used AHP analysis techniques for experts to achieve the final goal and verified the suitability through logistic regression. Method: AHP analysis technique is used for experts and workers and logistic regression analysis is conducted. Result: The result of analyzing scenario data where the dispatch method can be applied showed the importance in the order of education (SkillUp education), management (work-time management) and direct instructions (feedback instruction). In logistic regression analysis, feedback is the factor that affects direct instruction, and in education management, the ratio of education management is 3.42 times lower than that of other groups when only the team leader of the company gives work instructions. Conclusion: The management of feedback and education is more important than anything else within the range in which the dispatch method is not applied, and the expansion of non-face-to-face online education is judged to avoid the violation of dispatch method because the expansion of non-face-to-face online education due to covid 19 recently has brought more various target for safety education.