• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로그선형 모형

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Estimations of the student numbers by nonlinear regression model (비선형 회귀모형을 이용한 학년별 학생수 추계)

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces the projection methods by nonlinear regression model. To predict the student numbers, a log model and an involution model as the kind of a trend-extrapolation method are used. Empirical evidence shows that a projection by log model is better than by involution model with the confidence interval estimations for the coefficients of determination.

포아송 반응을 갖는 로그 선형 회귀 모형에 대한 최우추정량과 모의실험 연구

  • 한정혜;조중재
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 1995
  • 본 논문에서는 포아송 반응을 갖는 로그 선형 회귀 모형에 붙스트랩 방법을 이용하여, 여러가지 통계적 추론을 위한 유용한 확률적 결과들을 연구.소개하고, 모의실험을 통한 소표본 성질들을 다양하게 제시하고자 한다. 특히 로그 선형 회귀 모형에 대한 최우 추정량 $\hat{\beta_n}$ 및 정보행렬 I(${\beta}_0$)의 추정량들 $I_1(\hat{\beta_n}{\cdot}X)$$I_2(\hat{\beta_n}{\cdot}X)$에 대한 일치성 및 정규성등의 확률적 성질들, 그리고 붙스트랩 방법을 적용한 대표본 성질들과 관련하여 여러가지 모의실험 결과들을 분석.연구하였다.

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Estimation of Water Retention Characteristics Using Lognormal Distribution Model (로그분포모형을 이용한 토양수분특성 추정)

  • Sang Il Hwang
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.21-26
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    • 2003
  • Hwang and Powers (2003) developed a simple model for estimating water retention characteristic (WRC) directly from particle-size distribution (PSD) data, by applying a lognormal distribution law to both PSD and pore-size distribution. The objective of this work was to determine if the performance of the model developed by Hwang and Powers (2003) would be affected by soil texture. The results of this research proved that the performance of the model was indeed affected by soil texture. In particular, its performance diminished with increases in the fine particle fractions. Also, the nonlinear model, which assumes a nonlinear relation between particle-size and pore-size, performed better than the linear model, regardless of soil texture classes.

Generating Multidimensional Random Tables (다차원 임의 분할표 생성)

  • Choi, Hyun-Jip
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.545-554
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    • 2006
  • We suggest a method for generating multidimensional random tables based on the log-linear models. A linear combination approach by Lee(1997) is applied to get the joint distribution with the well known Pearson chi-squared statistics. We can generate completely associated joint distributions which have the fixed association among three variables by using the suggested method. Therefore the method can be extended to more higher dimension than the three dimensional tables.

Discontinuous log-variance function estimation with log-residuals adjusted by an estimator of jump size (점프크기추정량에 의한 수정된 로그잔차를 이용한 불연속 로그분산함수의 추정)

  • Hong, Hyeseon;Huh, Jib
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 2017
  • Due to the nonnegativity of variance, most of nonparametric estimations of discontinuous variance function have used the Nadaraya-Watson estimation with residuals. By the modification of Chen et al. (2009) and Yu and Jones (2004), Huh (2014, 2016a) proposed the estimators of the log-variance function instead of the variance function using the local linear estimator which has no boundary effect. Huh (2016b) estimated the variance function using the adjusted squared residuals by the estimated jump size in the discontinuous variance function. In this paper, we propose an estimator of the discontinuous log-variance function using the local linear estimator with the adjusted log-squared residuals by the estimated jump size of log-variance function like Huh (2016b). The numerical work demonstrates the performance of the proposed method with simulated and real examples.

Estimation of Occurrence Probability of Socioeconomic Damage Caused by Meteorological Drought Using Categorical Data Analysis (범주형 자료 분석을 활용한 사회경제적 가뭄 피해 발생확률 산정 : 충청북도의 적용사례를 중심으로)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Min-ji;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.348-348
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    • 2021
  • 가뭄 연구의 궁극적 목표는 가뭄 발생의 메커니즘에 대한 이해를 높이고, 예측기술을 향상시켜 선제적 대응이 가능하도록 하는 것이다. 일반적으로 가뭄분석에 활용되는 가뭄지표는 연속형 변수로 간주하여 확률모형을 구축하지만, 가뭄상태와 가뭄피해 자료는 순서형 및 이산형 변수이므로 범주형 자료 분석 기법을 적용하는 것이 더 적절하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기상학적 가뭄과 피해발생 사이의 관계를 규명하기 위해 범주형 자료 분석 방법 중 로그선형(log-linear) 모형과 로지스틱(logistic) 회귀모형을 활용하였다. 가뭄피해 예측을 위한 가뭄 피해 정보를 수집하는 것은 매우 어려운 일이다. 가뭄의 영향으로 인해 발생할 수 있는 피해의 종류가 다양하며, 여러 분야의 이해관계자가 받아들이는 가뭄의 피해 양상이 다르기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 국가가뭄정보포털(drought.go.kr)에서 충청북도의 가뭄피해현황 자료를 수집하였다. 30년(1991~2020년)동안 238개 읍면동 중 34개 행정구역에서 총 272건의 가뭄피해가 발생한 것으로 확인되었다. 표준강수지수(SPI)를 이용하여 분석된 지역별 연평균 가뭄발생횟수는 약 8.44회이며, 가뭄이 가장 많이 발생한 해는 2001년(평균 가뭄발생 18.7회)이었다. 강수의 부족으로 인해 발생하는 기상학적 가뭄이 사회경제적 피해를 야기하는 수문학적 가뭄으로 전이되기까지 몇 주에서 몇 달까지 시간이 소요된다. 이러한 관계를 파악하기 위해 가뭄피해 발생 여부를 예측변수, 가뭄피해 발생 이전의 가뭄상태를 설명변수로 설정하여 기상학적 가뭄 발생에 따른 가뭄피해 발생 확률을 산정하였다. 그 결과 가뭄피해 발생 당시의 가뭄상태보다 그 이전에 연속된 가뭄상태가 있을 경우 가뭄피해 발생 확률이 약 2.5배 상승하는 것으로 나타났다.

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The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Log and Exponential Power Intensity Function (로그 및 지수파우어 강도함수를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 무한고장 신뢰도 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Yang, Tae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.445-452
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    • 2015
  • Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. Software process improvement helps in finishing with reliable software product. Infinite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, proposes the reliability model with log and power intensity function (log linear, log power and exponential power), which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure, using real data set for the sake of proposing log and power intensity function, was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with log and power intensity function. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the log type model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 70% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative could be confirmed. From this paper, software developers have to consider the growth model by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.

Assessing Infinite Failure Software Reliability Model Using SPC (Statistical Process Control) (통계적 공정관리(SPC)를 이용한 무한고장 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 접근방법 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Shin, Hyun Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2012
  • There are many software reliability models that are based on the times of occurrences of errors in the debugging of software. It is shown that it is possible to do asymptotic likelihood inference for software reliability models based on infinite failure model and non-homogeneous Poisson Processes (NHPP). For someone making a decision about when to market software, the conditional failure rate is an important variables. The finite failure model are used in a wide variety of practical situations. Their use in characterization problems, detection of outliers, linear estimation, study of system reliability, life-testing, survival analysis, data compression and many other fields can be seen from the many study. Statistical Process Control (SPC) can monitor the forecasting of software failure and there by contribute significantly to the improvement of software reliability. Control charts are widely used for software process control in the software industry. In this paper, we proposed a control mechanism based on NHPP using mean value function of log Poission, log-linear and Parto distribution.

Estimating Missing Cells in Contingency Table with IPE (반복비율적합에 의한 다차원 분할표의 결측칸값 추정)

  • 최현집;신상준
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2000
  • For estimating missing cells in contingency table, we suggest an iterative method which extends IPF (Iterative Proportional Fitting) method. The suggested m~thod is not restricted by the number and the location of missing cells, and does not distort the given quasi-independency.

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Analysis of Large Tables (대규모 분할표 분석)

  • Choi, Hyun-Jip
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.395-410
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    • 2005
  • For the analysis of large tables formed by many categorical variables, we suggest a method to group the variables into several disjoint groups in which the variables are completely associated within the groups. We use a simple function of Kullback-Leibler divergence as a similarity measure to find the groups. Since the groups are complete hierarchical sets, we can identify the association structure of the large tables by the marginal log-linear models. Examples are introduced to illustrate the suggested method.