• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동태적변화

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Dynamic Forecasting of Market Growth according to Portable Internet Carrier Licensing Policy (휴대인터넷 사업자 선정 정책에 따른 동태적 시장 예측과 함의)

  • 김종태;박상현;오명륜;김상욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.87-107
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    • 2004
  • 우리나라에 이동통신이 처음 소개된 이래로 눈부신 발전을 거듭하여 왔으며, 급기야. 무선통신 서비스를 중심으로 새로운 성장력과 패러다임 전환의 가능성에 대한 전망을 논할 수 있는 수준이 되었다. 이러한 추세에 맞추어 휴대인터넷 시장에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으며 국민경제적 효과변화나 시장 경쟁환경의 변화에 가장 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인들 중, 사업자 수를 어떻게 선정할 것인가에 대해 다양한 접근이 시도되고 있다. 기존의 연구들은 휴대인터넷 시장을 분석하는데 있어 시장규모가 일방향으로 사업자 수에 영향을 미친다는 측면에서 이루어지고 있으며, 대부분 휴대인터넷 시장을 단일시장으로 범위를 한정하고 성장중인 시장을 정적으로 가정하여 시장성장 추이 분석 등에 주안점을 두는 단편적 연구가 수행되어져 왔다. 휴대인터넷 시장의 단편적 분석이 아닌 '모바일인터넷' , '초고속유선인터넷', '무선인터넷', '휴대인터넷' 등 네 가지 영역을 동시에 고려함으로써 영역간 복잡성과 동적인 관계 속에서 시장이 성장해 나아간다는 가정을 바탕으로, 시장에 내재되어 있는 관련요소간 상호영향과 신규정책 및 제도적 변화 수용에 있어 발생하는 시간적 공간적 지연 등을 고려한 동태적 분석을 수행하였다. 연구를 수행하기 위해 다양한 변수간의 인과관계, 피드백 구조와 시간흐름에 따른 시스템의 변화를 파악하는데 매우 유용한 도구인 시스템다이내믹스 기법을 활용하여 휴대 인터넷 시장의 동적인 구조를 알아보고 사업자 선정정책의 시행을 앞두고 있는 현재시점에서 의미있는 시사점을 제공하였다.시하고자 한다.채취하여 임신진단키트(제네디아프로테 트, 녹십자)를 이용하여 임신여부를 1차적으로 확인하였다. 과배란을 유기한 13두의 공란우중 9두(69.2%)가 과배란 반응을 나타내었으며, 회수된 수정란 51개중 이식가능수정란은 38개(74.5%) 였다. 발정동기화를 유도한 수란우 40두중에서 35두(87.5%)가 발정이 동기화되었으며, 그 중 황체검사를 통하여 30두의 수란우에 수정란을 이식하였다. 수정란이식후 13일(발정주기 21일)에 혈액을 이용한 임신진단에서 농가별 수태율은 각각 37.5%, 70.0%, 60.0% 및 71.4% 로서 평균 60.0%를 나타내었다.서 39$^{\circ}C$, 5% $CO_2$ 배양기에 48시간 배양하면서 생존여부를 판단하였다. 실험 2에서 확장배반포배 수정란이 25.3%의 생존율을 나타내었으며, 실험 1과 실험 3에서는 수정란의 형태와 관계없이 생존성을 확인할 수 없었다. 이상의 결과로 보아 glycerol 완만동결에서는 확장배반포기 수정란 이상이 보존가능한 것으로 추정되나 더 추가적인 연구가 요구된다.c kinase 활성의 변동은 정소 내 간충조직, 세정관 상피의 증식 및 기능적 분화 과정을 매개하는 생리적 활성분자 수용체 하위의 신호전달 과정에 Src-Csk loop에 의한 조절가능성을 확인할 수 있었다.rugrene의 향기성분이 주요 성분군으로 확인되었다. 2. 생강나무에서 생강의 향기를 발산하는 성분으로는 $\beta$-myrcene, o-terpinolene, phellandrone, ι-limonene, $\b

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Network Effects and Dynamic Capabilities (네트워크 효과와 동태적 경쟁역량)

  • Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.183-206
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the notion of "increasing returns" has been popular not only in academia but also in industries. This notion has been drawn from prior research on network effects, which showed that the market evolution would lock in to a dominant technology. However, the long history of technological change has rarely shown the possibility of lock-in to an inferior technology. How could the market with network effects make transition between incompatible technologies regimes by escaping the lock-in? This paper analyzes the effectiveness of R&D and technological choice to investigate the sources of the dynamic capabilities in the presence of network effects and uncertain technological progress. Why does the market sometimes work against a radical technology, and why, at other times, does the market operate in favor of it? This study is to address this question by modeling the situation of two competing technologies in the presence of network effects. The numerical analysis indicates that the evolution strategy of compatibility is more likely to increase the chance of firm growth when a majority of customers are not power users or when demand for an old technology has been escalated. But when there are a substantial number of power users or when a new technology emerges before such an escalation of demand, the revolution strategy of compelling performance is more likely to be effective. The result suggests a potential mechanism for overcoming the lock-in problem. When the market exhibits some inertia to an obsolete technology, which is reinforced by the increasing customer value with respect to backward compatibility, the survival of a new technology depends on power users. When many power users are cultivated by firms' technological efforts regarding the new technology, the market is less likely to lock into an obsolete technology. Indeed, in the workstation market, where power users characterize much of the demand, innovators like Sun successfully switched to the RISC architecture.

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A Study on the Efficiency and Determinants of Static and Dynamic in Korean property casualty insurance Company (국내 손해보험회사의 효율성 및 결정요인에 대한 Static and Dynamic 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyuk;Park, Chun-Gwang;Kim, Byeong-Chul
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.183-212
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the efficiency change and determinants of the korean non-life insurance companies. we use DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) model to measure company efficiency change and use GLS, Tobit model, FIixed effect model, Random effect model, GMM to measure efficiency determinants. we utilize ten non-life insurance companies in korea and the panel data for five from 2001 to 2005. The empirical results show the following findings. First, technical efficiency shows that approximately 15.5% of inefficiency exists on the non-life insurance companies and it reveals that the cause for technical inefficiency is due to scale inefficiency. Second, Dea Window results show that the stable dissimilarity by standard deviation, LDP of CCR. Third, the results of efficiency determinants show that increase efficiency is depend on the premium income and real estates.

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Characteristic Analysis of Industrial Structure in Jeju Special Self-Governing Province Using Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis (동태적 변이할당분석을 이용한 제주특별자치도 산업구조 특성 분석)

  • Yang, Young-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.181-193
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    • 2019
  • The regional economy growth of Jeju has seen higher than national growth since 2011 by the establishment of Jeju Special Self-Governing Province and the increase of incoming population, but its economic growth has slowed after 2016. This study conducted the dynamic shift-share analysis using the production and employees of each industry from 2010 to 2016, targeting Jeju with many factors of regional economic change. In the results of empirical analysis, the regional economy of Jeju was not the industrial structure depending on the national growth, but the industrial structure by the competitiveness and industrial structure of Jeju region. The industries having positive(+) effects of industrial mix effect and competitive effect on the production and the number of employees were the electricity/gas/heavy equipments & waterworks, construction, accommodation & restaurants, and service industry. These industries have positive effects on the regional industry of Jeju. The above-mentioned industries are not only more likely to grow than other regions, but also to drive the local economy of Jeju. In order for these industries to continuously contribute to the regional economy of Jeju, it would be necessary to have the policy/institutional support in the long-term perspective.

Analysis of Dynamics Mechanism to Regulation and Punishment of Fishing Boats using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 낚시어선의 단속과 처벌에 따른 동태적 매커니즘 분석)

  • Moon, JungHwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.270-279
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, system dynamics considering dynamics and time was examined to study the changes in system structure according to reinforcement (policy intervention) of regulation and punishment for fishing boats, and the strategizing directions were analyzed. Until now, regulations and punishments on fishing boats have been conducted temporarily and short-term as a precautionary measure to prevent accidents and imposed penalties. However, due to various anomalous side effects, the expected results were not achieved, negligent accidents occurred constantly, and follow-up measures were repeated. Resultantly, the regulation and punishment of fishing boats is a reinforced safety standard, and there is a necessity to improve facilities, equipment, and industry, and develop technology (including time delay) to prevent accidents. However, as the negative (illegal) activities continue without immediate and significant resistance, the safety blind spot for accident prevention cannot be minimized. Thus, policy intervention based on linear thinking without sufficiently considering variables of the dynamic mechanism and time can distort the basic values pursued by the policy. For the regulation and punishment of fishing boats, a strategy to supplement the mechanism should be prepared prior to the preparation of reinforced safety standards. Improvement and development of related technologies, mandatory training hours for anglers, fishing industry, and related organizations, proposal of specific action plan for Fishing Management and Promotion Act for growing fishing-related industries.

A Study on the New Management Technology Model in Service Economy Era (서비스경제시대의 경영기술 연구)

  • Hyunsoo Kim
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.101-125
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to derive a management technology model based on the new management framework established in previous studies. The management technology sector, which occupies most of the existing business administration, is defined as a technical division in new management. In this study, the theory of management technology based on the service philosophy of the service economy era was presented. The structure of new business, which is the basis of new management technology, is presented first, the service philosophy of the service economy era where management is performed, and then the management technology model based on service philosophy is presented. The management technology model was derived on the basis of immutable axioms. After presenting new management axioms based on common human ideology and nature and human nature, a management technology model was presented based on axioms. On the basis of the axioms, a new dialectical development model was developed as a model for the dialectical development that maintains a tight balance and a fierce interaction between two opposing parties based on the structure and operation model of service philosophy. In addition to the overall organizational management model, a management function model and a management expansion model were presented. Each detailed technique is presented as a model for dialectical development of opposing confrontations. Management technology is a dynamic technology that is constantly changing, and is an overall technology that takes into account various situations and viewpoints. This study has significance as a basic study to overcome the limitations of the existing static management technology and develop dynamic management technology. Future research requires empirical analytical studies on new management technology models.

Analysis of the Specialized Industries and Its Policy Implications in Yeongnam Area (영남지역의 특화산업 분석과 정책적 시사점)

  • Park, Won-Seok;Lee, Chul-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.463-475
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    • 2005
  • This paper aims at examining the current states of regional industrial structures, and secondly, analyzing the specialized industries in Youngnam Area, and finally, elucidating its policy implications. The main results of this paper are as follows. The characteristics of specialized industries are different between regions, in terms of static-dynamic dimension, static dimension and dynamic dimension. As a results, the effects of the activating strategies of regional specialized industries are quite different by regions. Therefore, some policy implications are elucidated, as follows. Firstly, different strategy may be committed according to the characteristics of specialized industries. Secondly, the activating strategies of regional specialized industries and regional innovation strategies may be confused considering the changing trends into knowledge based economies.

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House Price Channel: Effects of House Prices on Macroeconomy (주택가격채널: 거시경제에 미치는 영향을 중심으로)

  • Song, Inho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.171-205
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    • 2014
  • This paper investigates the manner in which house prices affect macroeconomic variables through a house price channel by applying the method of Iacoviello (2005) to Korean data, and establishing a DSGE model with complementarity. This paper found that higher LTV ratio coupled with stronger complementarity results in the co-movement in both consumption and housing. For instance, the results show that when the LTV ratio and complementarity stands respectively at 50% and 0.42, an 1% rise in house prices increases consumption by 0.057%, and when the complementarity parameter increases to 0.52 with LTV remains unchanged at 50%, consumption rises by 0.047% per 1% increase in house prices. An increase in house prices leads credit constraints for borrowers to become more loose as value of a house rises as a collateral. The increase in household credit enables more consumer spending, eventually leading to increased consumption. A key link in which house prices are connected to macroeconomic variables is change in consumption. To put it simply, a rise in house prices leads to an increase in consumption, which consequently impacts the overall macro-economy. At this point, complementarity is found, in that the elasticity of intra-temporal substitution between housing and consumption is estimated at 0.42, which plays an important role in the house price channel by amplifying the effects of house prices on consumption.

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The Strategic Ambidexterity of Online Game Companies: The Exploitation and Exploration of NCsoft (온라인 게임회사의 전략적 양면성: 엔씨소프트의 활용과 탐험)

  • Bae, Joonheui;Koo, Dong Mo
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2015
  • This research analyzed the case of Ncsoft to study the organizational learning, exploitation and exploration that create dynamic capability in hypercompetitive environment. First of all, we demonstrated the activities of exploitation and exploration in Ncsoft according to the life cycle of online game industry. An exploitation related to routine, learning and fit with existing environment brings about incremental innovation. In contrast, an exploration associated with non-learning, flexibility with changing environment results in radical innovation. We examined them based on the life cycle of its various game services. NCsoft that built the leading position in online game industry focused the exploitation activities at the stage of beginning period and growth, whereas NCsoft has increased the activities of exploration at period of mature. In addition, the firm conducts an exploration for its brand new game services and R&D. Conversely, An exploitation is conducted for sustainable updating of patch service and marketing and system building. The result implies that online game companies create sustainable competitive advantage using the balance between exploitation and exploration.

An Analysis for the Adjustment Process of Market Variations by the Formulation of Time tag Structure (시차구조의 설정에 따른 시장변동의 조정과정 분석)

  • 김태호;이청림
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2003
  • Most of statistical data are generated by a set of dynamic, stochastic, and simultaneous relations. An important question is how to specify statistical models so that they are consistent with the dynamic feature of those data. A general hypothesis is that the lagged effect of a change in an explanatory variable is not felt all at once at a single point in time, but The impact is distributed over a number of future points in time. In other words, current control variables are determined by a function that can be reduced to a distributed lag function of past observations. It is possible to explain the relationship between variables in different points of time and to estimate the long-run impacts of a change in a variable on another if time lag series of explanatory variables are incorporated in the model specification. In this study, distributed lag structure is applied to the domestic stock market model to capture the dynamic response of the market by exogenous shocks. The Domestic market is found more responsive to the changes in foreign market factors both in the short and the long run.