• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동적 혼잡도

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Time Series Analysis for Traffic Flow Using Dynamic Linear Model (동적 선형 모델을 이용한 교통 흐름 시계열 분석)

  • Kim, Hong Geun;Park, Chul Young;Shin, Chang Sun;Cho, Yong Yun;Park, Jang Woo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.179-188
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    • 2017
  • It is very challenging to analyze the traffic flow in the city because there are lots of traffic accidents, intersections, and pedestrians etc. Now, even in mid-size cities Bus Information Systems(BIS) have been deployed, which have offered the forecast of arriving times at the stations to passengers. BIS also provides more informations such as the current locations, departure-arrival times of buses. In this paper, we perform the time-series analysis of the traffic flow using the data of the average trvel time and the average speed between stations extracted from the BIS. In the mid size cities, the data from BIS will have a important role on prediction and analysis of the traffic flow. We used the Dynamic Linear Model(DLM) for how to make the time series forecasting model to analyze and predict the average speeds at the given locations, which seem to show the representative of traffics in the city. Especially, we analysis travel times for weekdays and weekends separately. We think this study can help forecast the traffic jams, congestion areas and more accurate arrival times of buses.

Analysis of Breakdown Characteristics by Lane Interaction at Freeway Merging Area with a View of Time and Space (차로별 교통류 상호영향에 따른 고속도로 합류부 교통와해 특성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Gu;Kim, Yeong-Chun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.2 s.95
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to perform a basic study on the interaction between lanes, which can be achieved through analyzing traffic breakdown at the microscopic level. Using aerial photographic data for the microscopic analysis, this study analyzed the characteristics of traffic flow at a merging area. This research produced aggregated traffic data such as flows, speeds, and densities in 30 second intervals by lane for the macroscopic analysis and individual headway data by lane for the microscopic analysis. The paper contains an analysis of lane characteristics through flows, speeds, densities, and headway variations and also investigates the influence of ramp flows on mainline flows with space-time diagrams. Firstly, the merging area in this study is divided into three sections: before-merging, during-merging, and after-merging. The transition process was analyzed at each lane. Secondly, the breakdown was observed in detail with data divided in 50-foot units. The breakdown was checked through the relationships between ramp and freeway mainline flows, various techniques were proposed to analyze the breakdown, and the formation of breakdown was introduced as three stages in this study. In the near future, the findings of this study could contribute to determining the dynamic capacity on freeways by easily understanding changeable traffic breakdown patterns over time and space.

Improved Real-time Transmission Scheme using Temporal Gain in Wireless Sensor Networks (무선 센서 망에서 시간적 이득을 활용한 향상된 실시간 전송 방안)

  • Yang, Taehun;Cho, Hyunchong;Kim, Sangdae;Kim, Cheonyong;Kim, Sang-Ha
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.10
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    • pp.1062-1070
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    • 2017
  • Real-time transmission studies in wireless sensor networks propose a mechanism that exploits a node that has a higher delivery speed than the desired delivery speed in order to satisfy real-time requirement. The desired delivery speed cannot guarantee real-time transmission in a congested area in which none of the nodes satisfy the requirement in one hop because the desired delivery speed is fixed until the packet reaches the sink. The feature of this mechanism means that the packet delivery speed increases more than the desired delivery speed as the packet approaches closer to the sink node. That is, the packet can reach the sink node earlier than the desired time. This paper proposes an improved real-time transmission by controlling the delivery speed using the temporal gain which occurs on the packet delivery process. Using the received data from a previous node, a sending node calculates the speed to select the next delivery node. The node then sends a packet to a node that has a higher delivery speed than the recalculated speed. Simulation results show that the proposed mechanism in terms of the real-time transmission success ratio is superior to the existing mechanisms.

Stop-start wave condition에서 연속류 모델의 개발 -단속연속류 모델에 유한한 가속도를 도입하는 방법-

  • 박지영;박창호
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.10b
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    • pp.295-295
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    • 1998
  • 고속도로에서 교통류의 특성에 파악하여 교통류의 특성을 파악하여 동적행태로 교통상황을 분석하고 효과적인 제어전략, 시뮬레이션, 그리고 기하구조 개선등의 효율적이고 실용적인 적용을 위해서는 교통류의 정확한 모사가 필요하다. 시공간으로 표현되는 상태방정식을 포함하는 거시적 시뮬레이션 모델에 사용되는 연속류 모델은 이러한 교통류 특성을 모사하는데 적절하다. Lighthill과 Whitham(1955), Richard(1956)에 의해 일계도함수의 형태를 가지는 단순모델이 제시된 이후 모델의 결점을 보완하기 위해 많은 고계도 모델이 제시되었지만 고계도 모델이 가진 이론적인 결점에 대해서는 여러 연구들이 제시되어 있다. 또한 고계도 모델은 운동량 방정식의 유도, 정산, 구현의 어려움으로 널리 사용되기 힘들다는 단점을 가지고 있다. 만일 적절히 구현할 수 있다면 적용이 간단한 단순모델로도 보다 정확한 교통류 상황 모사가 가능하다. Ansorge는 혼잡교통류상황을 보다 정확하게 모사하기 위해 단순모델에 엔트로피 조건을 결합시킨 모델을 제시했다. Bui는 이 제안된 모델이 적절한 시뮬레이션 결과를 나타낸다는 것을 밝혔다. 그러나 이 모델은 차량의 재가속이 이루어지는 교통상황-stop-start wave의 경우 비현실적인 값을 가진다. 엔트로피조건에 의해 구해진 해는 실제보다 과다한 교통량을 추정하게 되는데 이런 결과는 위와 같은 교통상황에서 중요한 요소로 작용하는 가속효과가 무시되고 있기 때문이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 stop-start wave 조건에서 가속도에 경계치를 부여하여 교통류율을 상한경계조건을 제시함으로써 교통상황에 맞는 교통류율을 산정하는 방법에 대해 제안하고자 한다.환승이라는 특정대안변수(Specific alternative variable)를 첨가하여 그것이 수단선택에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 또한, 대중교통의 속성을 가지고 있는 지하철과 버스를 하나의 대안으로 묶어서 효용함수를 구한 다음 다시 승용차, 택시, 대중교통을 독립된 대안으로 두고 모형을 정립하는 NESTED LOGIT모형으로 파라메타를 추정하여 대중교통의 효용에 관해 분석·비교하였다. 본 논문에 이용된 자료는 공항을 이용하는 이용객들을 대상으로 직접 설문·면접조사한 자료이며 대상 교통수단은 승용차, 택시, 지하철, 버스로 설정하였다. 결과 적응형 알고리즘이 개개인의 최단시간 경로를 제공하는 사용자 평형 경로안내전략에 비해 교통혼잡도와 정체시간의 체류정도에 따라 3%에서 10%까지 전체통행시간을 절약할 수 있다는 결론을 얻었다.출발참, 구성대외개방선면축심, 실현국제항선적함접화국내항반적전항, 형성다축심복사식항선망; 가강기장건설, 개피포동제이국제기장건설, 괄응포동개발경제발전적수요. 부화개시일은 각 5월 26일과 5월 22일이었다. 11. 6월 중순에 애벌레를 대상으로 처리한 Phenthoate EC가 96.38%의 방제가로 약효가 가장 우수하였고 3월중순 및 4월중순 월동후 암컷을 대상으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한 시추공 내 물리검층과 정압주입시험에서도 확인된다.. It was result

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The Method for Online Estimating Utilization Rate of Motorway Service Area Under the V2I Data Condition (V2I 데이터 Online 고속도로 휴게소 이용률 추정 방법)

  • Chang, Hyunho;Lee, Jinsoo;Yoon, Byoungjo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.548-559
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: Analysis method of V2I data driven motorway service area usage behavior to cope with manpower survey. Method: Segmentation of traveling state group and boundary using the distribution characteristics of traveling speed data of individual vehicles. Result: As a result of the verification, the use rate of resting places in lunchtime surged, and the boundary between the distribution status of the traffic speed data was clearly or unclear. Conclusion: The effect of the cost reduction is big because it can cope with the use of rest area survey by manpower and there is no limit in the time and space range of investigation. The dynamic utilization rate of each time sequence, such as a service area/drowsiness shelter/simple service area, with a V2I system, can be calculated. Identify illegal parking on highway section. Identify the unexpected situation in the road section. Identify the real-time service area utilization rate and congestion information.

Traffic Management Scheme for Supporting QoS of VBR/ABR Services in ATM Switching Systems (ATM 스위칭 시스템의 VBR/ABR 서비스 품질 지원을 위한 트랙픽 관리 기법)

  • 유인태
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.8A
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    • pp.1160-1168
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a real-time integrated traffic management (RITM) scheme that can effectively manage variable bit rate (VBR) and available bit rate (ABR) traffics having unpredictable characteristics in asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) networks. An unique feature of this scheme is that it has a special ATM cell control block which makes it possible to monitor bursty traffics in real-time so that the delay incurred to measure cell arrival rate is minimized. Additionally, the proposed scheme intends to dynamically reassign the leftover network resources to VBR/ABR connections without any deterioration in quality of service (QoS) of the existing connections. The RITM scheme has been verified to reliably monitor incoming traffics and to efficiently manage network resources by computer simulations. The capability of managing the incoming ATM traffics in real-time helps determine an optimal acceptable number of user connections for a given network condition. We can use this value as a threshold to protect the network from being congested and to find out a cost-effective buffer design method.

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Building Low Delay Application Layer Multicasting Trees for Streaming Services (스트리밍 서비스를 위한 적은 지연의 응용계층 멀티캐스트 트리 구축)

  • Kim, Jong-Gyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.20-26
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    • 2008
  • The quality of stream remaking is decided the load of a server and Jitter through the traffic of the transmission path between end to end. In order to improve these problems in this paper, I propose tree construction method of low-delay-level-multicast. In this case which the network congestion will be occurred by streaming quality, I also propose the technique which dynamically changes the transmission path. This technique first constructs the overlay structure for relaxing the overload of server. Secondly, in order to decrease Jitter of client, it makes upload bandwidth and low latency balanced. In the evaluation of the performance, this paper showed better enhancement of about $15%{\sim}24%$ than P2CAST[4] in the simulation about node average join count, average bandwidth, service request refusal ratio, RTT measurement of nodes, and node average join count by defect ratio.

Travel Time Prediction Algorithm using Rule-based Classification on Road Networks (규칙-기반 분류화 기법을 이용한 도로 네트워크 상에서의 주행 시간 예측 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jo;Chowdhury, Nihad Karim;Chang, Jae-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 2008
  • Prediction of travel time on road network is one of crucial research issue in dynamic route guidance system. A new approach based on Rule-Based classification is proposed for predicting travel time. This approach departs from many existing prediction models in that it explicitly consider traffic patterns during day time as well as week day. We can predict travel time accurately by considering both traffic condition of time range in a day and traffic patterns of vehicles in a week. We compare the proposed method with the existing prediction models like Link-based, Micro-T* and Switching model. It is also revealed that proposed method can reduce MARE (mean absolute relative error) significantly, compared with the existing predictors.

Modelling and Evaluation of Traffic Flow with Variable Speed Limit on Highway (연속류 가변속도제어 모형개발 및 효과분석)

  • Cho, Hye-Rim;Kim, Young-Chan;Ha, Dong-Ik
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.16-26
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    • 2011
  • Variable speed limit(VSL) is one of the highway ITS techniques designed to prevent accidents and traffic slow down by reducing congestion or speed variation between vehicles and lanes prior to arrive at the accident location by limiting speed. In Korea, while people have recognized the need for variable speed limit beginning with Seoul's urban expressway and installed facilities in order to provide guide for speed limit per lane and lane use, there has not been enough development of algorithm for internal administration as well as research on the basic principles behind administering variable speed limit. This study is for modeling and evaluating the VSL strategies based on the traffic flow theory. Supply-Demand method of the Cell Transmission Model is applied to demonstrate the traffic features and shockwaves to upstream of the bottleneck with/without VSL. We verified the explanation of Cell Transmission Model for the numerical example. and as the result, it is found that VSL strategies can reduce the total travel time in the congested section and variation of the speed. It means VSL is useful to improve the traffic condition and the safety on highway

A Intra-media Synchronization Scheme using Media Scaling (서비스 품질 저하 기능의 미디어내 동기화 방안)

  • 배시규
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 1999
  • When continuous media are transmitted over the communication networks, asynchrony which can not maintain temporal relationships among packets my occur due to a random transit delay. There exist two types of synchronization schemes ; for guaranteed or non-guaranteed resource networks. The former which applies a resource reservation technique maintains delay characteristics however, the latter supply a best-effort service. In this paper, I propose a intra-media synchronization scheme to transmit continuous media on general networks not guaranteeing a bounded delay time. The scheme controls transmission times of the packets by estimating next delay time with the delay distribution So, the arriving packets my be maintained within a limited delay boundary, and playout will be performed after buffering to smoothen small delay variations. To prevent network congestion and maintain minimum quality of service the transmitter performs media scaling-down by dropping the current packet when informed excessive delay from the receiver.

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