• Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.60-64
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• 2010

To discover association rules from nontransactional data, there have been many studies on discretization of attribute values. These studies do not reflect the change of discovered rules' confidence according to the change of the ranges of the discretized attributes, and perform the discretization stage and the rule discovery stage independently. This causes the ranges of attributes not properly discretized, thereby making the rules having high confidence excluded in the result set. To solve this problem, we propose a novel method that performs the discretization and rule discovery stages simultaneously in order to discretize ranges of attributes in such a way that the rules having high confidence are discovered well. To the end, we perform hierarchical clustering on the attributes in the right hand side of rules, then do characterization on every cluster thus obtained. The experimental result demonstrates that our method discovers the rules having high confidence better than existing methods.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.5
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• pp.411-422
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• 2016

Rainfall-runoff modeling in conjunction with rainfall frequency analysis has been widely used for estimating design floods in South Korea. However, uncertainties associated with underlying distribution and sampling error have not been properly addressed. This study applied a Bayesian method to quantify the uncertainties in the rainfall frequency analysis along with Gumbel distribution. For a purpose of comparison, a probability weighted moment (PWM) was employed to estimate confidence interval. The uncertainties associated with design rainfalls were quantitatively assessed using both Bayesian and PWM methods. The results showed that the uncertainty ranges with PWM are larger than those with Bayesian approach. In addition, the Bayesian approach was able to effectively represent asymmetric feature of underlying distribution; whereas the PWM resulted in symmetric confidence interval due to the normal approximation. The use of long period data provided better results leading to the reduction of uncertainty in both methods, and the Bayesian approach showed better performance in terms of the reduction of the uncertainty.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.331-337
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• 2015

A new technique is presented to detect unstable slope behavior, based on Hotelling's T² analysis of pore pressure and water content obtained during flume tests using granitic and gneissic weathered soils. Three sets of pore pressure-water content values were simultaneously obtained during each test, and T² statistics at the 90.0% and 95.0% confidence levels were calculated based on the correlations between values. The results show that unsuccessful detection of some local failures of the flume slope depended on the sensor position. In the case of global slope failures, anomalous behavior was detected between several hundred and several thousand seconds before the event as T² statistics exceeded the confidence interval 90%. Hotelling's T² analysis provides a single control criterion because it enables correlations between diverse measured values within the same slope; the criterion also includes stepwise criteria for a forecasting and warning system based on confidence levels.

• Computational Structural Engineering
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.133-143
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• 1997

In Korea, the construction of the first high-speed railroad on the Seoul-Pusan Corridor has already started 3 years ago, in the paper, an attempt is made to develop reliability-based safety and capacity evaluation models for the computer-aided maintenance of the high-speed railroad bridges. The strength limit state models of PC railroad bridges for reliability analysis encompass both the single failure mode such as bending or shear strength and the combined interaction equations which simultaneously take into account flexures, shear and torsion. Then, the actual load carrying capacity and the realistic safety of bridges are evaluated using the system reliability-based equivalent strength, and the results are compared with those of the element reliability based or conventional methods. It is concluded that the proposed models may be appropriately applied in practice for the realistic assessment of safety and capacity of high-speed railroad bridges.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.27-34
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• 2013

Background subtraction is one of the key techniques for automatic video content analysis, especially in the tasks of visual detection and tracking of moving object. In this paper, we present a new sample-based technique for background extraction that provides background image as well as background model. To handle both high-frequency and low-frequency events at the same time, multiple interval background models are adopted. The main innovation concerns the use of a confidence factor to select the best model from the multiple interval background models. To our knowledge, it is the first time that a confidence factor is used for merging several background models in the field of background extraction. Experimental results revealed that our approach based on multiple interval sampling works well in complicated situations containing various speed moving objects with environmental changes.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.467-474
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• 2010

Stainless steel sheets are widely used as the structural material for railroad cars and commercial vehicles. Structures made of stainless steel sheets are commonly fabricated by gas welding, For the fatigue design of gas welded joints such as fillet joints, it is necessary to obtain design information of the stress distribution at the weldment as well as the fatigue strength of the gas-welded joints. Further, the influence of the geometrical parameters of gas-welded joints on stress distribution and fatigue strength must be evaluated. in this study, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were obtained by fatigue tests. and, the ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were rearranged on the basis of the ${\Delta}{\sigma}-N_f$ relation for the hot-spot stresses at the gas-welded joints. These results, were used for conducting an accelerated life test(ALT) From the experiment results, an acceleration model was derived and factors were estimated. The objective is to obtain the information required for the analysis of the fatigue lifetime of fillet welded joints and for data analysis by the statistic reliability method to save time and cost and to develop optimum accelerated life prediction plans.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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• v.13 no.5
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• pp.383-390
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• 2008

The SCR in Static Transfer Switch (STS) is used for reliability improvement of important load's power supply in industry field. However an average of 2% fault in thyristor(SCR) occurs, so that the attached mechanical switch is paralleled with SCR's both end points and SCR operates only during the $12{\sim}208$[mS] before operation of the mechanical switch. Also, an ISC (Ideal State Conditioning Interlock Device) - STS system that two power supply paths may not be thrown at the same time is developed to remove the overlap section perfectly when a short or earth fault is generated in one system. This method has reduced the fault rate remarkably through the reduction of SCR's fatigue degree by using SCR in conversion operation corresponding to 0.89 times a year. Also, in case of fault generations, it does not affect to supply power to the load, therefore it contributes to the promotion of reliability in the power supply.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.346-346
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• 2017

기후변화에 따른 기상이변의 동시다발적인 발현은 농촌 지역의 홍수 발생 빈도를 증가시키고 있다. 현재의 기후시스템은 과거의 강우빈도를 기준으로 산정한 설계기준을 벗어나는 강우 사상을 빈번하게 발생시키므로 설계변수의 불확실성을 보다 합리적인 방법으로 정량화할 필요가 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 기후변화에 대응하여 확률론을 이용한 농업용 저수지의 홍수 취약성을 산정하는 데 있다. 먼저 홍수 취약성 해석에 필요한 과거와 미래 수문 자료를 수집하고 전처리 과정을 통해 해석에 적합한 자료로 구축하였다. 설계변수의 불확실성을 분석하기 위해 지속시간별 최대강우량, 유입 설계홍수량에 대해 부트스트랩 (bootstrap) 기법을 적용하여 자료를 재추출하였다. 부트스트 랩은 표본집단의 확률분포에 대해 가정을 하지 않고 표본집단의 통계적 특성을 이용하여 모집단의 통계적 추론을 할 수 있는 비모수적인 리샘플링 기법이다. 부트스트랩 추론은 표본집단의 추정치, 편의, 표준오차를 산정하고 신뢰구간을 추정한다. 부트스트랩 추론을 통해 산정하는 신뢰수준을 이용하여 농업용 저수지의 홍수 취약성을 산정하였다. 본 연구는 설계변수에 내재하는 불확실성을 부트스트랩 기법을 이용하여 정량화하고 확률적인 값을 가지는 홍수 취약성으로 산정하여 제시할 수 있다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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• 1993.10a
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• pp.1-1
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• 1993

시뮬레이션 분야에서 출력 분석은 중요한 분야중의 하나로 출력 분석을 정확히 하기 위해서, 지금까지 많은 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 현재까지 시뮬레이션 출력 분석 분야에서 사용되지 않았던 프로크루스테스 분석(Procrustes Analysis) 방법을 사용하여 시뮬레이션 출력 데이타의 안정상태(steady state)를 분석하는 방법을 제시한다. 본 논문에서 사용하는 프로크루스테스 분석 방법은 시뮬레이견 출력 분석을 효과적으로 수행할 수 있도록 앨고리듬을 개선하여 적용하며, M/M/1 대기모형을 대상으로 시뮬레이션을 수행한다. M/M/1 대기모형에서 대기열의 평균대기시간과 평균길이라는 두가지 매개변수에 대한 출력 데이타를 동시에 사용하여, 프로크루스테스 분석을 행한 결과와 시뮬레이션 출력 분석에서 일반적으로 쓰이는 반복-제거 방법(replication-deletion approach)을 비교한 결과, 시뮬레이션 실행 횟수를 줄여도 추정하고자 하는 참값에 보다 더 가깝고 신뢰 구간의 폭이 더 좁은 추정치를 얻는다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.569-577
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• 2022

Simulation studies are often conducted when it is difficult to compare the performance of nonparametric estimators theoretically. Kim and Kim (2021) showed that more systematic and accurate comparisons can be made if you analyze the simulation results using a regression model,. This study is a complementary study on Kim and Kim (2021). In the variance-covariance matrix for the error term of the regression model, only heteroscedasticity was considered and covariance was ignored in the previous study. When covariance is considered together with the heteroscedasticity, the variance-covariance matrix becomes a block diagonal matrix. In this study, a method of estimating and using the block diagonal variance-covariance matrix for the analysis was presented. This allows you to find more pairs of estimators with significant performance differences while ensuring the nominal confidence level.