• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2021.10a
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• pp.335-337
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• 2021

Flood damage is occurring all over the world, and the number of people living in flood-prone areas reached 86 million, a 25% increase compared to 2000. These floods cause enormous damage to life and property, and it is essential to decide on an appropriate evacuation in order to reduce the damage. Evacuation in anticipation of a flood also incurs a lot of cost, and if an evacuation is not performed due to an error in the flood prediction, a greater cost is incurred. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a flood risk determination model using the CNN model to enable evacuation at an appropriate time by using the time series data of precipitation and water level. Through this, it is thought that it can be utilized as an initial study to determine the time of flood evacuation to prevent unnecessary evacuation and to ensure that evacuation can be carried out at an appropriate time.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2016.11a
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• pp.238-239
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• 2016

국내 재난발생 빈도가 점차 증가함에 따라 재난관리단계 중 대비 및 대응단계에 대한 전문분석정보 필요성 및 수요가 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 재난상황별 주기적으로 모니터링 해야 하는 지역을 제안하여 보다 적합하고 체계적인 재난상황관리정보를 제공하고자 한다. 재난모니터링 필요지역을 제안하기 위해 환경적 요인과 지리적 요인을 고려하여 공간해석 및 공간분석을 수행하였으며 격자단위의 재난모니터링 필요지역을 추출하였다. 최근 재난피해가 주로 발생한 지역 중 울산광역시를 대상으로 연구를 수행하였으며, 그 중 재난취약자에 속하는 60대 이상의 거주인구를 중심으로 지진에 대한 재난모니터링 필요지역을 추출하는 연구를 수행하였다. 그 결과, 60대 이상의 거주인구가 신속한 대피로를 확보하기에는 대피소와의 거리가 멀고, 건물의 밀집도가 높게 분석됨에 따라 다소 어려울 것으로 판단되었다. 이에 향후 인자별 가중치 상세설정 및 고려하는 인자를 추가하여 재난모니터링 필요지역에 대한 재난안전시설 설치를 제안할 수 있는 2차 연구를 수행하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.420-420
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• 2011

도시지역의 내수침수피해는 거의 매년 발생하고 있으며, 반지하와 같은 거주공간이 매우 취약한 상태이다. 특히 최근에는 지하철, 지하상가 등이 대규모 개발되고 복합네트워크화 되어 지하공간의 침수대책과 대피방안 마련이 시급한 상황이다. 일본의 경우 2000년 토카이 호우피해 후 통합유출해석 모형을 개발하였으며, 1999년 및 2003년 후쿠오카 침수피해 발생 후 특정도시하천침수피해대책법을 제정, 1999 후쿠오카, 2004년 하마마츠, 2008년 카누마 피해 후 일본 방재연구소에서는 실시간 1차원 지표범람모형과 모니터링을 통한 실시간 내수침수지도를 개발하였다. 특히 지하공간에 대해서는 "지하공간에 유입하는 범람수가 계단상 보행자게에 주는 위험성에 관한 연구" 등 실험을 바탕으로 각종 지하공간 침수대책 매뉴얼 및 지하시설의 침수시 피난확보계획 지침, 지하공간 침수대책 가이드라인 등 인명피해를 줄이고자하는 노력이 계속되어 오고 있다. 우리나라는 2006년 경기도 고양시 3호선 정발산역이 침수되었으며, 2010년 서울시 지하철 2호선 사당역 및 4호선이 침수되는 등의 지하철 침수피해와 2010년 서울시 광화문 지하상가, 인천시 부평구 우림라이온스 벨리, 우남플라자, 계양구 농협하나로마트, 서원아파트 등의 지하상가와 지하다층의 침수피해가 발생하였다. 특히 2006년 3호선 정발산역 침수는 17시간이나 지하철이 불통되었고 이로 인하여 심각한 교통 체증이 유발 되었다. 본 연구에서는 2010년 집중호우로 인한 서울, 인천지역의 지하공간 침수피해를 중심으로 최근 10년간 지하공간 침수피해사례로부터 대표적인 침수피해 원인 및 특성을 정리하였으며, 그 결과 지하공간 침수의 주요원인은 지상공간의 침수류가 지하공간으로 유입하고, 지하공간의 배수설비 용량부족, 지하공간으로의 유입을 방지하기위한 방지턱, 차수판, 침수시 비상전원 공급, 침수시 지하공간 대피 매뉴얼의 부재 등 다양한 원인이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 특히, 소방방재청에서 고시한 '지하공간 침수방지를 위한 수방기준'에 지하공간 침수 방지를 위한 각종 시설의 설치 및 대피 경로지정 등에 대한 기준이 마련되어 있으나, 지하공간 중 유동인구가 가장 많은 지하철역에서 조차 침수에 대한 행동매뉴얼이나 대피에 대한 가이드라인이 마련되지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 지하공간 침수를 방지하기 위하여 센서를 이용한 자동 차수판과 경보기 설치, 지하공간의 사람들이 안전한 대피로를 찾을 수 있도록 지상공간 및 지하공간 출입구를 모니터링 할 수 있는 CCTV의 설치, Dry Area를 두어 비상대피 할 수 있는 공간의 마련 등 시설적인 부분에 대하여 '지하공간 침수방지를 위한 수방기준'을 더욱 강화할 필요가 있으며, 지상공간의 침수 상황을 고려한 지하공간의 대피매뉴얼 또는 가이드라인 등의 수립이 필요하다. 또한 이와 더불어 재산 및 인명피해를 더욱 효율적으로 줄일 수 있도록 실시간 예 경보를 위한 침수해석 모형의 개발이 시급하다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2016

Seoul, a mega city, contains many features of the modern city. When the disaster or emergency occurs in Seoul, the place for shelter is required for evacuation urgently. There are currently the numbers of shelters in Seoul City, which can hold the twice more capacity of population of Seoul. However, the population distribution fluctuation in the day and the night needs to be considered. Therefore, in order to analyze the actual capacity of shelter, it is necessary to consider the dynamic characteristics of population distribution in the metropolitan area. In the study, the substantial accessibility and the capacity of shelters in Seoul were analyzed by the floating population data of the metropolitan area. The accessibility of shelter was investigated through a network analysis that includes the pedestrian road data, while the capacity of shelter was analyzed by the local differences of daytime population distributions. Finally it was possible to identify the vulnerable areas on the basis of the distribution of shelter in the region.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.1
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• pp.85-97
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• 2022

In this study, a method for an integrated flood risk mapping was proposed that simultaneously considers the flood inundation map indicating the degree of risk and the disaster vulnerability index. This method creates a new disaster map that can be used in actual situations by providing various and specific information on a single map. In order to consider the human, social and economic factors in the disaster map, the study area was divided into exposure, vulnerability, responsiveness, and recovery factors. Then, 7 indicators for each factor were extracted using the GIS tool. The data extracted by each indicator was classified into grades 1 to 5, and the data was selected as a disaster vulnerability index and used for integrated risk mapping by factor. The risk map for each factor, which overlaps the flood inundatoin map and the disaster vulnerability index factor, was used to establish an evacuation plan by considering regional conditions including population, assets, and buildings. In addition, an integrated risk analysis method that considers risks while converting to a single vulnerability through standardization of the disaster vulnerability index was proposed. This is expected to contribute to the establishment of preparedness, response and recovery plans for providing detailed and diverse information that simultaneously considers the flood risk including social, humanistic, and economic factors.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.10
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• pp.729-742
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• 2019

Natural disasters such as floods has been increased in many parts of the world, also Korea is no exception. The biggest part of natural damage in South Korea was caused by the flooding during the rainy season in every summer. The existing flood vulnerability analysis cannot explain the reality because of the repeated changes in topography. Therefore, it is necessary to calculate a new flood vulnerability index in accordance with the changed terrain and socio-economic environment. The priority of the investment for the flood prevention and mitigation has to be determined using the new flood vulnerability index. Total 25 urban districts in Seoul were selected as the study area. Flood vulnerability factors were developed using Pressure-State-Response (PSR) structures. The Pressure Index (PI) includes nine factors such as population density and number of vehicles, and so on. Four factors such as damage of public facilities, etc. for the Status Index (SI) were selected. Finally, seven factors for Response Index (RI) were selected such as the number of evacuation facilities and financial independence, etc. The weights of factors were calculated using AHP method and Fuzzy AHP to implement the uncertainties in the decision making process. As a result, PI and RI were changed, but the ranks in PI and RI were not be changed significantly. However, SI were changed significanlty in terms of the weight method. Flood vulnerability index using Fuzzy AHP shows less vulnerability index in Southern part of Han river. This would be the reason that cost of flood mitigation, number of government workers and Financial self-reliance are high.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.341-346
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• 2022

Due to global warming and abnormal climate, the frequency and damage of floods are increasing, and the number of people exposed to flood-prone areas has increased by 25% compared to 2000. Floods cause huge financial and human losses, and in order to reduce the losses caused by floods, it is necessary to predict the flood in advance and decide to evacuate quickly. This paper proposes a flood risk determination model using a CNN-based classification model so that timely evacuation decisions can be made using rainfall and water level data, which are key data for flood prediction. By comparing the results of the CNN-based classification model proposed in this paper and the DNN-based classification model, it was confirmed that it showed better performance. Through this, it is considered that it can be used as an initial study to determine the risk of flooding, determine whether to evacuate, and make an evacuation decision at the optimal time.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.37-44
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• 2012

There are approximately 25,724 shelters to which people can be quickly evacuated for safety in case of emergency across the nation, and Seoul has about 3,870 shelters. Those nationwide shelters are located at a point within a five-minute radius for quick evacuation. Seoul's shelter capacity can hold 285% of its population. The problem is, however, that there is no knowing how many shelters are reachable within five minutes when considering walking speed according to individual differences in age, height, health state, and physical condition. In addition, available service areas become different according to the spatial allocation and distribution of shelters with possible vulnerable points. This study thus defined the pedestrian walking speed at 1m/s, 1.3m/s, and 2m/s by reviewing previous studies and conducted network analysis of the Location Allocation Model with the designated shelters and road networks in Seoul. The results identified the shelter service and vulnerable areas in each administrative district of Seoul according to walking speeds. It was analyzed that the vulnerable areas in which the elderly could not reach a shelter were more than twice as big as those of adult men and women with a fast walking speed.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.21 no.10
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• pp.308-316
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• 2020

This study attempted to derive an equation for calculating the damage impact distance using CARIS so that local governments can quickly determine evacuation and notification of residents in the event of an ammonia-release accident. Ammonia is an accident-causing substance and one of 16 substances to prepare for resident evacuation. It is the most frequently occurring chemical with 58 chemical accidents from 2014~2019. The study derives an equation for calculating the damage impact distance according to the exposure time of ammonia based on AEGL, an acute exposure standard applicable to the general population, which is includes vulnerable groups such as infants, children and the elderly and designated by the EPA. The calculation formulas for each concentration and exposure time to classify the hazardous area according to AEGL-3 and the semi-dangerous area according to AEGL-2 were derived. A comparison of the relative standard deviation between the damage impact distance values of CARIS revealed that is was in the range of 0~2%. Local governments should consider the actual accident situation and apply the appropriate damage-affected distance calculation formula derived from the study to evacuate residents near the origin of the accident or use for protective measures such as indoor evacuation notification.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.364-365
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• 2017

본 연구에서는 울산시 지진해일 주민 대피지구에 대한 의사결정을 지원하기 위한 지진해일 침수예상도를 작성하고 사전 대응체계를 구축하였다. 이를 위해 울산시 15개 지진해일위험 지구 중 기 구축된 3개소(정자, 주전, 진하)를 제외한 12개 지구(강양, 송정대송, 평동, 나사, 신암, 장생포, 일산, 방어, 신명, 산하, 구유, 당사)에 대한 현장조사와 함께 지진해일 침수범람 수치시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. 현장 조사된 자료와 시뮬레이션된 침수범람 결과를 기반으로 지진해일 침수예상도를 작성하고 지진해일대응시스템에 DB화하였다. 본 연구결과를 활용하여 지진해일 대응 및 취약지구 개선을 위한 정책 개선 등에 활용될 수 있는 기반을 마련하였다.