• Title/Summary/Keyword: 단기 교통량 조사

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A Study on Performance Evaluation of Various Kriging Models for Estimating AADT (연평균 일교통량 산정을 위한 다양한 크리깅 방법의 성능 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung Ah;Oh, Sei-Chang;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2014
  • Annual average daily traffic(AADT) serves as important basic data in the transportation sector. AADT is used as design traffic which is the basic traffic volume in transportation planning. Despite of its importance, at most locations, AADT is estimated using short term traffic counts. An accurate AADT is calculated through permanent traffic counts at limited locations. This study dealt with estimating AADT using various models considering both the spatial correlation and time series data. Kriging models which are commonly used spatial statistics methods were applied and compared with each model. Additionally the External Universal kriging model, which includes explanatory variables, was used to assure accuracy of AADT estimation. For evaluation of various kriging methods, AADT estimation error, proposed using national highway permanent traffic count data, was analyzed and their performances were compared. The result shows the accuracy enhancement of the AADT estimation.

Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation using Co-kriging (공동크리깅 모형을 활용한 일반국도 연평균 일교통량 추정)

  • Ha, Jung-Ah;Heo, Tae-Young;Oh, Sei-Chang;Lim, Sung-Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • Annual average daily traffic (AADT) serves the important basic data in transportation sector. Despite of its importance, AADT is estimated through permanent traffic counts (PTC) at limited locations because of constraints in budget and so on. At most of locations, AADT is estimated using short-term traffic counts (STC). Though many studies have been carried out at home and abroad in an effort to enhance the accuracy of AADT estimate, the method to simplify average STC data has been adopted because of application difficulty. A typical model for estimating AADT is an adjustment factor application model which applies the monthly or weekly adjustment factors at PTC points (or group) with similar traffic pattern. But this model has the limit in determining the PTC points (or group) with similar traffic pattern with STC. Because STC represents usually 24-hour or 48-hour data, it's difficult to forecast a 365-day traffic variation. In order to improve the accuracy of traffic volume prediction, this study used the geostatistical approach called co-kriging and according to their reports. To compare results, using 3 methods : using adjustment factor in same section(method 1), using grouping method to apply adjustment factor(method 2), cokriging model using previous year's traffic data which is in a high spatial correlation with traffic volume data as a secondary variable. This study deals with estimating AADT considering time and space so AADT estimation is more reliable comparing other research.

Missing Data Imputation Using Permanent Traffic Counts on National Highways (일반국토 상시 교통량자료를 이용한 교통량 결측자료 추정)

  • Ha, Jeong-A;Park, Jae-Hwa;Kim, Seong-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2007
  • Up to now Permanent traffic volumes have been counted by Automatic Vehicle Classification (AVC) on National Highways. When counted data have missing items or errors, the data must be revised to stay statistically reliable This study was carried out to estimate correct data based on outoregression and seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). As a result of verification through seasonal ARIMA, the longer the missed period is, the greater the error. Autoregression results in better verification results than seasonal ARIMA. Traffic data is affected by the present state mote than past patterns. However. autoregression can be applied only to the cases where data include similar neighborhood patterns and even in this case. the data cannot be corrected when data are missing due to low qualify or errors Therefore, these data shoo)d be corrected using past patterns and seasonal ARIMA when the missing data occurs in short periods.

A Study on the Status Quo of Short-term Operation and Issues of KTX (개통 초기의 KTX 운영현황 및 문제점 고찰)

  • An, Byeong-Uk;O, Se-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 지속적인 여객 및 화물량의 증가로 기존 수송수단이 포화에 이른 실정에 새로운 교통수단으로 추진한 고속철도 사업에 대해, 고속철도 개통 후 단기간에 드러난 이용현황 및 문제점을 도출해 기선방안을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위해 관련 단체 및 기관의 자료를 수집 분석하였으며, 설문조사를 수행하여 결과를 도출하였다. 또한 광범 위한 고속철도 사업의 특성아래 여객 부문에 대한 대중교통 측면으로 연구의 범위를 한정하였다. 고속철도 개통 후, 여객 및 화물 수송의 형태에는 단기간이나마 큰 변화가 있는 것으로 나타났으나 그에 반해 고속철도의 이용에 있어서 주목할 만한 문제점 또한 조사되었다. 주요 사항으로는 역방향 유해성, 일반열차로의 불편전이, 터널통과시의 소음 등으로서 이는 개통 초기 고속철도에 대한 그릇된 대국민 인식을 가져오게 함과 동시에 향후 개인들간 교통수단 선택에 있어서까지 그릇된 영향을 끼칠 수 있다. 현재 각각의 문제점에 대한 개선방안으로 일반열차 확대 및 할인혜택, 점진적인 순방향 좌석으로서 교체 및 소음 저감방안을 위한 연구 용역 등이 실행되거나 준비되고 있으나 그에 대한 뚜렷한 개선 징후는 아직 미미한 상태로 분석되고 있다. 본 연구에서 실시한 설문조사 결과 아직까지는 고속철도에 대한 인식이 긍정적인 수준을 보이고 있으나 개별 문제점에 대한 좀더 깊은 고찰과 개선안 제시가 이루어진다면 향후 고속철도에 대한 대국민 인식을 한 단계 더 높여, 그 이용을 활성화 시킬 수 있는 좋은 기회가 될 것으로 판단된다.

Long-term Characteristics of Heavy Metal Contamination in Highway Roadside Soil and Sediment (고속도로변 토양과 퇴적물의 중금속 장기 오염 특성)

  • Lee, Eui-Sang;Lee, Ju-Goang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.385-394
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    • 2007
  • To study long-term characteristics of the heavy metal contamination, soil and sediment samples were collected at 14 sites in highway roadside during 6 years. The total concentrations of metals including Zn, Ni, Cu. Pb, Cr, Cd, and As in those samples were investigated. The results indicate that concentrations of Zn, Ni, and Cu in highway roadside soils are much higher than the metal concentrations in background soils and appear to be increased gradually. Strong linear relationships between the cumulative traffic and the contents of the metals in highway roadside soils were obtained. Therefore, they might be used to predict the heavy metal concentrations in the future highway roadside soils for establishing the countermeasure of soil and sediment contamination.

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A study on the estimation of AADT by short-term traffic volume survey (단기조사 교통량을 이용한 AADT 추정연구)

  • 이승재;백남철;권희정
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2002
  • AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) can be obtained by using short-term counted traffic data rather than using traffic data collected for 365 days. The process is a very important in estimating AADT using short-term traffic count data. Therefore, There have been many studies about estimating AADT. In this Paper, we tried to improve the process of the AADT estimation based on the former AADT estimation researches. Firstly, we found the factor showing differences among groups. To do so, we examined hourly variables(divided to total hours, weekday hours. Saturday hours, Sunday hours, weekday and Sunday hours, and weekday and Saturday hours) every time changing the number of groups. After all, we selected the hourly variables of Sunday and weekday as the factor showing differences among groups. Secondly, we classified 200 locations into 10 groups through cluster analysis using only monthly variables. The nile of deciding the number of groups is maximizing deviation among hourly variables of each group. Thirdly, we classified 200 locations which had been used in the second step into the 10 groups by applying statistical techniques such as Discriminant analysis and Neural network. This step is for testing the rate of distinguish between the right group including each location and a wrong one. In conclusion, the result of this study's method was closer to real AADT value than that of the former method. and this study significantly contributes to improve the method of AADT estimation.

A psychological study of determinant factors on drunk-driving judgements (음주운전 결정요인에 관한 심리학적 연구)

  • 최상진;손영미;김정인;박정열
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구는 운전자가 음주 후 운전여부를 결정할 때 가장 중요하게 고려하는 음주운전결정요인에 대해 탐색하고, 이들 요인들에 대해 음주운전자와 비 음주운전자 간 차이를 보이는지를 알아보는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 집단심층면접과 기존 문헌 고찰을 통해 얻은 음주운전에 영향을 미치는 인지적·사회심리적 요인들을 종합하여 설문지를 작성하였다. 전체 조사대상자는 음주운전 경험이 있는 운전자 136(남자 122명, 여자 13명)명이었다. 연구결과를 살펴보면, 우선 운전자들은 음주 후 운전여부를 결정할 때 1) 음주정도, 2) 음주 후 경과시간 정도, 그리고 3) 다음날 이동시의 불편함, 4) 집과의 거리 정도를 가장 중요하게 고려하는 것으로 나타났다. 다음으로 음주 후 운전여부를 결정할 때 중요하게 고려하는 요인들에 대해 음주운전자와 비 음주운전자 간 차이를 검증해 본 결과, 크게 세 가지 차원에서 차이를 보이고 있다. 첫째, '잘못된 신념'에 해당하는 요인들로 음주운전자들이 비 음주운전자들에 비해 음주단속에 걸리지 않을 것이라는 신념을 가지고 있으며, 음주단속과 교통사고 발생가능성을 낮게 평가하고, 자신의 운전실력을 과신하는 경향이 있다. 둘째, '목전단기이익 추구 경향성'에 해당하는 요인들로 음주운전자들이 비 음주운전자들보다 음주 후 차를 두고 갈 경우 야기되는 비용부담, 다음날 이동시의 불편함 그리고 집과의 거리 정도에 더욱 민감한 것으로 나타났다. 마지막으로 음주운전자들이 비 음주운전자들보다 마신 술의 양(음주량)에 대해 더욱 과소평가하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 이와 같은 연구결과들을 바탕으로 향후 음주운전에 대한 개선 방안을 함께 제시하고자 한다.

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A Path-based Traffic Flow Simulation Model for Large Scale Network (기종점 기반 대규모 가로망 교통류 시뮬레이션 모형)

  • 조중래;홍영석;손영태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2001
  • The Purpose of this study is to develop a simulation model for large-scale network with interrupted flow as well as uninterrupted flow. The Cell Transmission(CT) theory is used to simulate traffic flow. Flow transition rules have been newly developed to simulate traffic flows at merging and diverging sections, and signalized intersections. In the model, it is assumed that dynamic OD table is exogenously given. Simulation results for toy network shows that the model can explain queue dynamics not only in signalized intersections of urban arterials, but also in merging and diverging sections of freeway. In case study, the model successfully simulated traffic flows of 145,000 vehicles on CBD network of city of Seoul with 74 traffic zones, 133 signalized intersections among 395 nodes and 1110 links.

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Development of the Multi-Path Finding Model Using Kalman Filter and Space Syntax based on GIS (Kalman Filter와 Space Syntax를 이용한 GIS 기반 다중경로제공 시스템 개발)

  • Ryu, Seung-Kyu;Lee, Seung-Jae;Ahn, Woo-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2005
  • The object of this paper is to develop the shortest path algorithm. The existing shortest path algorithm models are developed while considering travel time and travel distance. A few problems occur in these shortest path algorithm models, which have paid no regard to cognition of users, such as when user who doesn't have complete information about the trip meets a strange road or when the route searched from the shortest path algorithm model is not commonly used by users in real network. This paper develops a shortest path algorithm model to provide ideal route that many people actually prefer. In order to provide the ideal shortest path with the consideration of travel time, travel distance and road cognition, travel time is predicted by using Kalman filtering and travel distance is predicted by using GIS attributions. The road cognition is considered by using space data of GIS. Optimal routes provided from this paper are shortest distance path, shortest time path, shortest path considering distance and cognition and shortest path considering time and cognition.

A design guide to minimize frost heave in unbound pavement layers over box culverts (저토피부 암거상부 포장의 도상피해 예방을 위한 단명설계)

  • Seo, Young-Guk
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2007
  • During the whole month of December in 2005, Korea experienced both heavy snowfall and freezing temperature in southeast regions, which had caused frost related damages to many pavements laid on top of box culverts. In-situ observation revealed that the formation of ice lenses in subgrade and subsequent unbound layers led to upward heaving and transverse cracks in concrete and asphalt pavements. This has affected the long-term performance of pavements, as well as has threatened drivers' safety for a while. Recently, Korea Expressway Corporation has proposed a design guide to better protect newly constructed unbound pavement layers over culverts from frost heave. A trench drainage system has been selected to effectively draw off water and to alleviate pore-water pressure in soils during the coldest season. This paper presents experimental and analytical backgrounds behind this new design guide. Soil specimens retrieved from the sites are tested to quantify clay content and to estimate the permeability of subgrade. A 2-D ground seepage analysis has been conducted to better understand the changes in pore water pressures as a function of grain size. Finally, an optimum size of trench drainage is determined based on numerical analysis and workability in the field.

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