• Proceedings of the KSEEG Conference
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• 2001.04a
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• pp.271-274
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• 2001

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.87-95
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• 2016

This study examined the characteristics of the hourly demand of city gas in Korea and proposed multiple regression models to obtain precise estimates of the hourly demand of city gas. Forecasting the hourly demand of city gas with accuracy is essential in terms of safety and cost. If underestimated, the pipeline pressure needs to be increased sharply to meet the demand, when safety matters. In the opposite case, unnecessary inventory and operation costs are incurred. Data analysis showed that the hourly demand of city gas has a very high autocorrelation and that the 24-hour demand pattern of a day follows the previous 24-hour demand pattern of the same day. That is, there is a weekly cycle pattern. In addition, some conditions that temperature affects the hourly demand level were found. That is, the absolute value of the correlation coefficient between the hourly demand and temperature is about 0.853 on average, while the absolute value of the correlation coefficient on a specific day improves to 0.861 at worst and 0.965 at best. Based on this analysis, this paper proposes a multiple regression model incorporating the hourly demand ahead of 24 hours and the hourly demand ahead of 168 hours, and another multiple regression model with temperature as an additional independent variable. To show the performance of the proposed models, computational experiments were carried out using real data of the domestic city gas demand from 2009 to 2013. The test results showed that the first regression model exhibits a forecasting accuracy of MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) around 4.5% over the past five years from 2009 to 2013, while the second regression model exhibits 5.13% of MAPE for the same period.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.46-51
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• 2016

Natural gas liquefaction process which spends a huge amount energy is operated under cryogenic conditions. Thus, many researchers have studied on minimizing energy consumption of LNG plant. However, a few studied for cost optimization have performed. This study focused on the cost analysis for the single mixed refrigerant (SMR) process, one of the simplest natural gas liquefaction process, which has different capacity. The process capacity is increased from 1 million ton per annum (MTPA) to 2.5 MTPA by 0.5 MTPA steps. According to the increase of plant size, only flow rate of natural gas and mixed refrigerant are increased and other operating conditions are fixed. Aspen Economic Evaluator(v.8.7) is used for the cost analysis and six tenths factor rule is applied to obtain multi stream heat exchanger cost data which is not supplied by Aspen Economic Evaluator. Moreover, the optimal plant sizes for different sizes of gas wells are found as the result of applying plant cost to small scale gas wells, 20 million ton (MT), 40 MT, and 80 MT. Through this cost analysis, the foundation is built to optimize LNG plant in terms of the cost.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.871-877
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• 2008

It is important to investigate the relationship between weld process parameters and weld bead geometry for adaptive arc robot welding. Howeve, it is difficult to predict an exact back-bead owing to gap in process of butt welding. In this paper, the quantitative prediction system to specify the relationship external weld conditions and weld bead geometry was developed to get suitable back-bead in butt welding which is widely applied on industrial field. Multiple regression analysis for the prediction of process parameters was used as the research method. And, the results of the prediction method were compared and analyzed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.108-108
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• 2022

기후변화는 전 지구 수문순환과 수자원 분포에 커다란 영향을 준다. 하지만 지금까지 관측되어온 지구상의 건조도 변화에 있어서 기후의 자연변동성의 영향과 인간활동에 의한 온난화의 영향을 명시적으로 밝힌 연구는 존재하지 않는다. 본 연구에서는 데이터 구동형 모델과 물리 모델을 이용해 관측 기반의 전구 수자원 분포를 1902년부터 2014년까지 재구축함으로써 지구의 평균온도가 약 1도 상승해온 지난 세기에 걸쳐 건기의 수자원 분포가 어떻게 변해왔는지 보인다. 재구축된 전구 변화 패턴은 인간활동에 의한 온실가스 증가등을 고려한 기후 모델 시뮬레이션과 흡사함을 알 수 있었으며 기후의 자연변동성만을 고려한 기후 모델 시뮬레이션에서는 발견되지 않았다. 주로 북아시아, 북미, 유럽 등 중위도 온대지방에서 더욱더 건조한 건기가 뚜렷하게 나타났으며 이는 강수량의 감소보다는 증발산의 증가에 기인하는 것으로 나타난다. 이와 같은 건조도의 변화는 미래 있어서 또한 인류에 대한 커다란 위협으로 자리한다. 미래 기후에서의 가뭄의 변화에 대해 다양한 연구들이 존재하지만 대부분 높은 수준의 온난화 (예를들어 RCP-SSP 585)에서의 영향에 국한된다. 다시 말해 인류가 21세기 중반에 달성을 목표로 하는 탄소중립이 가뭄의 측면에서 어떤 영향을 주게 될지에 대한 연구는 아직 충분하지 않다고 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 약한 혹은 중간 수준의 기후변화 시나리오를 이용해 파리협약에서 목표로 하는 1.5℃와 2℃ 상승에 따라 전 지구의 건조도 분포가 어떻게 변하고 그 변화에 있어서 어떠한 수문기후학적 메커니즘이 작용하는지 밝힌다. 지중해 연안 지역에서는 건조도의 가속이 +1.5℃와 +2℃사이에 존재하였으나 동아시아에서는 +1.5℃와 +2℃ 모두에서 습윤해짐을 알 수 있었으며 이러한 지역적 불균일성은 기후변화 대응 노력에 있어서 과거 온실가스 배출에 대한 책임뿐만 아니라 다양한 부문에 걸친 미래의 잠재 적응 노력 또한 고려해야만 함을 시사한다. 본 연구는 제6차 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project의 Land Surface, Snow, Soil-moisture Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6/LS3MIP)와 Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts (HAPPI)의 다중 모델 앙상블 시뮬레이션 결과를 이용했다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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• 2016.02a
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• pp.92-92
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• 2016

전기방전의 기본적인 특성을 가지고 있는 플라즈마를 이용하여 재료를 가공하는 증착, 식각, 표면처리 공정에 있어서 플라즈마 내의 전자 충돌 반응에 의한 이온, 라디칼의 생성과 재료 표면의 반응을 분석하는 도구로써 분압 측정은 일반적인 화학 조성 분석에 기원한 오랜 역사를 가지고 있다. 1 amu 정도의 분해능을 가지고 있고 크기가 30 cm 정도에 불과한 사중극자 질량 분석기는 적절한 질량 스캔 시간과 넓은 이온 전류 측정 범위를 가지므로 소형 차등 배기 시스템과 조합하면 1 mTorr 영역의 스퍼터링 시스템에서 1 Torr 영역의 PECVD/PEALD 시스템 진단에도 쉽게 적용이 가능하다. Inficon사의 CPM-300과 Pfeiffer사의 Prisma80을 이용한 플라즈마 식각 공정 분석 결과를 보면 동위원소까지 분석이 가능하다. 또한 전자충돌 이온화 에너지를 조절하여 m/q(질량전하비율)가 중첩되는 경우의 해석도 가능하다. 다중 오리피스를 갖는 compact design의 밸브 블록을 이용한 설계에서는 line-of-sight 입사가 불가능하여 이온 전류를 분석할 수 없다는 단점이 있으나 표준 가스를 이용한 정량화 등의 큰 장점들이 있다. 최근 이루어진 연구의 내용으로는 유도 결합 플라즈마 장치에서 전도성 메쉬를 이용한 라디칼 거동 관찰을 위해서 두 대의 CPM-300을 메쉬 전 후에 설치하여 라디칼의 양 변화를 전류 프로브와 같이 사용하여 조사하였다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.11 no.6
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• pp.108-117
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• 2003

Development of advanced restraint system challenges both restraint and automobile manufacturers to come up with proper airbag design to reduce occupant out-of-position related injury. The important component of the advanced restraint system is the multi stage inflator. The multi stage inflator can independently control two or more airbag inflation stages to maximize occupant protection. The objective of this research is to develop relationship between airbag inflation characteristics, the occupant positions and the airbag design variables. The tests are conducted using five kinds of inflators, two kinds of airbag cushion folding methods and two kinds of tear lines. In the case of inflator, the out-of-position tests are performed with a traditional inflator, a depowered inflator and a dual stage inflator. And the efficiency and injury mechanism are evaluated by analyzing the injury pulses and values. Using this relationship, airbag design guideline is established for airbag aggressivity thresholds and the risk of injury is identified according to occupant positions.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.82-91
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• 2015

Recently, due to the increasing concern of environmental factors and low carbon usage, the use of natural gas has been inclining steadily. In order to meet the growing demand of natural gas, government have established strategies to secure the sufficient amount of gas that is mainly used by industries, power generation and residential use by constructing additional receiving terminals for Liquid Natural Gas (LNG). In the process of selecting the optimal site for the terminals, the characteristics of the terminals are not considered where the decision making is done through internal meetings or outsourcing. In respect to site selection, researches are done to derive the factors that are considered for optimal site selection. However, there have not yet been researches in creating a systematic model for analyzing the optimal site selection. To this aim, the paper aims to propose a model for site selection of LNG receiving terminals that considers the characteristics of the terminal construction. Total of 47 factors considered in site selection is derived through interviews with experts and analyzing the previous cases of site selection by various firms. Furthermore, the derived 47 factors are used for the survey for the previous LNG terminals in PT, IC, TY, SC and BR areas where the survey data is analyzed by factor analysis and multiple regression models to depict the optimal site. By applying the model for site selection, practitioners are able to make decisions for site selection in a systematic approach for new candidates of sites.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.133-140
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• 2009

This paper presents the experimental study to analyze the pressure and production behavior using depressurization and thermal methods in order to evaluate the hydrate productivity in the 2-D multi-well, plate-type apparatus which has 80 md permeability and 30% hydrate saturation. Injecting methane gas through multi-well allowed to set up the highly saturated hydrate system and combining two different sorts of sands made possible to build up the low permeability system. In this system, both depressurization and electric stimulation methods were applied. When operating pressure was low, according to the depressurization experiments results, the gas recovery was high, however strong pulses which appeared at initial stage of production would damage the operation system. Moreover, cases that hydrate reformed have occurred by endothermic reaction. We have conducted experiments four and six times for the depressurization magnitudes of 140 psi and 320 psi, respectively, to analyze production behavior for the method more in detail. For the cases that the depressurization magnitude was set as 140 psi, the unstable period appears in the results, but stabilized soon. In the experiment results for 320 psi the discontinuous and intermittent behavior has been observed. Thermal stimulation experiments was conducted with depressurizing 80 psi which is the case that shows stable behavior and low recovery. In the results, the gas recovery was high and the energy efficiency was low for long stimulating time. The energy efficiency and gas recovery increased for the soaking time of 1 minute after 2 minute-preheating. In the cases of which the soaking time exceeds 1 minute, energy loss by long soaking time caused low gas recovery and poor energy efficiency.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.45 no.3
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• pp.304-309
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• 2007

In this study, the "Multi Well Plate-type cell Apparatus" was designed and setup for performing the producing experiments of methane hydrate by depressurization, heat stimulating methods. In order to characterizing the producing mechanism of hydrate through porous materials, the experiments for various producing methods have been conducted with the aid of the apparatus which has high permeability. In the experimental result of depressurization method, the pressure is temporarily increased unlikely conventional gas reservoir due to the sourcing effect of hydrate dissociation in the pore. Meanwhile, the temperature is decreased because of the endothermic reaction while hydrate is dissociated. In the experimental results of heat stimulating method, the dissociation in depressurization method is more slowly processed than that in thermal method, and hence, its gas production is lower. In the case of production right after heating, hydrate is dissociated only near injecting point and the permeability becomes greater at that area only. It infers that the more gas is produced during relatively earlier producing period. Since then, the hydrate is more slowly dissociated than the case of production after heating and soaking. This time, the performances of pressure and production obtained by thermal method have been analyzed in order to investigate the effect of soaking time on gas recovery. As a result, the gas recoveries in the case of 2 min and 4 min soaking are higher than case in 6 min soaking. This is reason that hydrate is reformed due to the decrease of temperature. It is expected that the experimental results obtained in this work may be more clearly explained by utilizing the lower permeable porous system with the greater hydrate saturation.