• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중회귀 분석

Search Result 3,779, Processing Time 0.04 seconds

Probabilistic Runoff Analysis using Ensemble Technoque with Localization Method (앙상블 기반 지역화 기법을 이용한 확률론적 유출량 분석)

  • Lee, Han-Yong;Jang, Suk-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Jo, Jun-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.207-207
    • /
    • 2019
  • 최근 우리나라는 지역 특성 및 기후변화의 영향으로 인해 수문학적 요소의 변동성이 커지고 수자원의 지속적인 관리에 있어 유출량은 중요한 문제로 여겨지고 있다. 특히 일부 소하천 또는 접경지역과 같은 미계측유역은 수문학적 요소에 대한 자료가 부족하고 수문모형의 초기치 설정과 과거 유출량 자료를 통하여 최적화한 매개변수를 결정해야하므로 장기유출분석이 어렵다. 본 연구의 적용유역으로 미계측유역인 임진강상류 유역에 대한 유출량 추정을 위해 계측 유역의 자료를 활용하여 모형의 매개변수 등을 추정하는 지역화 기법인 다중선형회귀분석과 공간근접분석을 활용하여 유출량을 산정 및 검증하였다. 또한, 확률론적 예측이 가능한 앙상블 기법 적용을 통한 유출량 예측을 하였고, 이를 예측 정확성 평가지표를 통해 효율성 검토를 수행하여 미계측유역의 유출량에 대해 확률론적 예측을 수행하였다. 대표적 지역화 기법의 적용성을 검토한 결과, 계측유역을 통해 다중선형회귀분석과 공간근접분석을 abcd 모형에 적용하였다. 모의유출량을 산정하고 실측 유출량과 비교 분석 결과 모의정확성이 높게 분석되었다. 이와 같은 검증 결과를 토대로 미계측유역의 유출량을 추정하였다. 또한, 지역화 기법을 앙상블 기법에 적용하여 확률론적 유출량 예측의 효율성을 검토하였다. 적용유역과 같은 지류를 포함하고 있는 임진강하류 유역을 대상으로 수행하였다. 검증기간(2013년~2017년) 동안의 월 예측 유출량 앙상블 생성을 위해 과거 강우량와 증발량(1988년~2012년) 자료를 사용하였으며, 지역화 기법을 적용한 abcd 모형을 이용하였다. 예측 유출량의 정확성 평가를 실시하였으며, 정확성이 비교적 높게 분석되었다. 이와 같은 결과를 토대로 미계측유역의 확률론적 유출량을 예측하였다. 따라서, 대표적 지역화 기법을 앙상블 기법에 적용하여 확률론적 유출량을 예측할 경우 보다 정확한 유출량 예측이 가능하다.

  • PDF

Performance Analysis of MVDR and RLS Beamforming Using Systolic Array Structure (시스토릭 어레이 구조를 갖는 최소분산 비왜곡응답 및 최소자승 회귀 빔형성기법 성능 분석)

  • 이호중;서상우;이원철
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-6
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper analyses the performance of either the minimum variance distortionless response (MVDR) or the recursive least square (RLS) beamformer structured on the systolic array. Provided that the snapshot vector including the desired user's signal and the interferences with the noise is received at the array antenna. In order to improve the quality of received signal, MVDR or RLS algorithm can be utilized to update the beamformer weights recursively. Furthermore to increase the channel capacity, by the usage of the above schemes, the effect of the spatial filtering can be obtained which constructively combining multipath components corresponding to the desired user whereas the multiple access interferences (MAI) is nulled out on spatial domain. This paper introduces the MVDR and RLS beamformer structured on systolic array conducting the spatial filtering, and its performance under the multipath fading channel in the presence of multiple access interferences will be analyzed. To show the superior spatial filtering performances of the proposed scheme employing the systolic way structured beamformer, the computer simulations are carried out. And the validity of practical deployment of the proposed scheme will be confirmed throughout showing the BER behaviors and the beampatterns.

Modelling on the Carbonation Rate Prediction of Non-Transport Underground Infrastructures Using Deep Neural Network (심층신경망을 이용한 비운송 지중구조물의 탄산화속도 예측 모델링)

  • Youn, Byong-Don
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.220-227
    • /
    • 2021
  • PCT (Power Cable Tunnel) and UT (Utility Tunnel), which are non-transport underground infrastructures, are mostly RC (Reinforced Concrete) structures, and their durability decreases due to the deterioration caused by carbonation over time. In particular, since the rate of carbonation varies by use and region, a predictive model based on actual carbonation data is required for individual maintenance. In this study, a carbonation prediction model was developed for non-transport underground infrastructures, such as PCT and UT. A carbonation prediction model was developed using multiple regression analysis and deep neural network techniques based on the actual data obtained from a safety inspection. The structures, region, measurement location, construction method, measurement member, and concrete strength were selected as independent variables to determine the dependent variable carbonation rate coefficient in multiple regression analysis. The adjusted coefficient of determination (Ra2) of the multiple regression model was found to be 0.67. The coefficient of determination (R2) of the model for predicting the carbonation of non-transport underground infrastructures using a deep neural network was 0.82, which was superior to the comparative prediction model. These results are expected to help determine the optimal timing for repair on carbonation and preventive maintenance methodology for PCT and UT.

Locational Characteristics of Performing Art Industries and the Linkages with the Local Economic Landscape (공연예술 산업의 입지 특성과 지역 경제경관의 연계성)

  • Lee, Sooyoung;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.437-456
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the locational characteristics of performing art industries and to investigate the linkages with local economy. For the purpose, we examine the spatial concentration of cultural and artistic resources in Korea first, and than focus on Seoul where the resources of performing art industries are concentrated to the utmost. To distinguish the distribution aspect and locational characteristics of performing art industries, we apply the Kernel density analysis and LISA (Local Indicator of Spatial Association) on the address data of performing art theater, gallery, and movie theater. In contrast to galleries and movie theaters. the spatial distribution pattern of performing art theaters reveals a unique local cluster centered on the Daehakro area. We confirm that the Daehakro area constitutes a performing art industry cluster in their dense distribution of various related activities making up the value chain of the performing art industry. Multiple regression analysis probes the related economic activities to explain the distribution of performing art theaters as well as the linkages with the local economic landscape.

  • PDF

Predictation of Precipitation using Empirical Mode Decomposition (경험적 모드분해법을 활용한 우리나라 강수의 예측)

  • Choi, Wonyoung;Shin, Hongjoon;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.147-147
    • /
    • 2016
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 기상이변이 빈번히 발생하면서 그로 인한 피해도 점점 증가하고 있다. 이를 최소화하기 위해서는 기후변화가 강수에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구가 필요하며, 특히 강수의 기후변화를 고려한 장기적인 변동에 대한 예측이 매우 중요하다. 그 중, 기후변화로 인한 강수현상의 변화를 분석하기 위한 방법 중 하나로 강수 현상이 주변 기후 요소의 분포에 영향을 받는다는 가정 하에 기상인자를 통하여 강수를 예측하는 방법이 있다. 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 주변 기상인자들과 강수 간의 상관관계를 분석하여 상관관계가 높게 나타나는 기상인자를 통해 우리나라 강수량을 예측하면 장기적인 관점에서 강수 예측의 정확도를 높일 수 있다. 하지만 상관관계 분석에 있어서 강수 원 자료 와 기상인자간의 상관관계를 비교할 경우 원 자료가 가지는 큰 변동성으로 인해 정확한 상관관계 분석이 이루어지지 않을 가능성이 크다. 따라서 강수자료를 분해하여 분해된 요소별로 상관관계를 분석하여 분석의 정확도를 높일 필요가 있다. 다양한 자료 분해 방법중 경험적 모드분해법(Empirical Mode Decomposition, EMD)을 사용할 경우 자료의 분해에 있어서 주기성, 경향성에 따라 분해가 가능하며, 비정상성을 가지고 있는 시계열에 대해 효과적으로 분해가 가능한 장점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 30년 이상의 자료기간을 가지는 지점의 강수량 자료를 바탕으로 경험적 모드분해법을 이용하여 강수자료를 분해하고, 이를 다양한 기상인자와의 상관관계를 분석함으로써, 우리나라 강수량 변동과 연관이 있는 기상인자들을 선별하였다. 선별된 기상인지를 바탕으로 다중회귀분석을 수행하여 기상인자를 독립변수로 하는 강수 예측식을 구축하여 우리나라 강수의 예측 가능성을 살펴보고자 한다.

  • PDF

Macro Analysis of Factors Impacting on the Elderly's Suicide Rates in the Republic of Korea (노인자살률에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 거시적 분석)

  • Kim, Ki-Won;Kim, Han-Gon
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.31-54
    • /
    • 2011
  • The main purposes of this study are to describe regional differentials of the rate and to explore factors impacting on the regional differentials among the elderly's suicide rate in the Republic of Korea. Suicide data among 16 provinces from 2000 to 2008 were used for the statistical analyses. Six independent variables, such as crude divorce rate, GRDP per capita, welfare budget proportion, number of leisure facilities, number of medical and housing welfare facilities, and number of sports facilities are introduced for the multiple regression analyses. Elderly suicide rate, female elderly's suicide rate, and male elderly's suicide rate are used for the dependent variables. The findings of this study are as follows: Elderly's suicide rate has been increased constantly since 2000 and regional differentials of the elderly's suicide have been existed over time. According to the multiple regressions analyses, number of sports facilities(${\beta}$=-521), welfare budget proportion, and number of leisure facilities(${\beta}$=-219) have shown statistically significant negative relationships with the elderly's suicide rate. On the other hand, number of medical facilities(${\beta}$=0.550), crude divorce rate(${\beta}$=0336) have shown statistically significant positive relationships with the elderly's suicide rate in the Republic of Korea. Finally, some policy implications for alleviating the elderly's suicide rate are introduced and discussed.

Prediction of Land Surface Temperature by Land Cover Type in Urban Area (도시지역에서 토지피복 유형별 지표면 온도 예측 분석)

  • Kim, Geunhan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.37 no.6_3
    • /
    • pp.1975-1984
    • /
    • 2021
  • Urban expansion results in raising the temperature in the city, which can cause social, economic and physical damage. In order to prevent the urban heat island and reduce the urban land surface temperature, it is important to quantify the cooling effect of the features of the urban space. Therefore, in order to understand the relationship between each object of land cover and the land surface temperature in Seoul, the land cover map was classified into 6 classes. And the correlation and multiple regression analysis between land surface temperature and the area of objects, perimeter/area, and normalized difference vegetation index was analyzed. As a result of the analysis, the normalized difference vegetation index showed a high correlation with the land surface temperature. Also, in multiple regression analysis, the normalized difference vegetation index exerted a higher influence on the land surface temperature prediction than other coefficients. However, the explanatory power of the derived models as a result of multiple regression analysis was low. In the future, if continuous monitoring is performed using high-resolution MIR Image from KOMPSAT-3A, it will be possible to improve the explanatory power of the model. By utilizing the relationship between such various land cover types considering vegetation vitality of green areas with that of land surface temperature within urban spaces for urban planning, it is expected to contribute in reducing the land surface temperature in urban spaces.

The Correlation Between Early Clinical State and Functional Outcome in Acute Stroke Patients (급성기 뇌졸증 환자의 상태와 기능회복도와의 상관관계)

  • Choi, Eun-Jung;Lee, Won-Chul
    • The Journal of Dong Guk Oriental Medicine
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.167-190
    • /
    • 1998
  • Nowadays there were two tendencies of studies about prognostic factors in stroke. One way was to define prognostic factors according to the radiological features. And the other way was to define according to the mental state, recognition, perception, motors, language, urinary&bowel incontinence etc.. The former could be objectively investigated, while the latter was difficult. The purpose of this study was to determine which variables would be predictors of stroke and which factors would be affect predictions most. The subjects of this study were 32 patients who were admitted to the Dept. of Internal Medicine, Dongguk Univ. College of Oriental Medicine whthin 48 hours from attack, Medical records were reviewed FIM, CNS, NIH stroke scale. We compared each sub-items of FIM, CNS, NIH stroke scale about mental state, recognition, perception, motors, language, urinary&bowel incontinence with MBI score at 4 weeks from admission. Also, we analyzed the correlations of sub-items and groups which devided into 5 according to independence of MBI score. And we found out the most influent factors with multiple regression analysis. The major results were as follows; 1. In mean of MBI score at 4 weeks of each groups devided low, middle, high score at mental state, recognition, perception, motors, language, urinary&bowel incontinence items, there were statistical differences in all items. 2. The mental state and lim ataxia sub-items had no significant correlations with groups divided according to independence of MBI score. All the other items were significantly correlated. 3. The most influent factors was recognition. The second was sensory and the third was bowel incontinence. 4. The most influent scales was FIM, and the second was CNS, and NlH had no statistical significancy.

  • PDF

A Study of Applications of Sequential Biplots in Multiresponse Data (다중반응치 자료에 대한 순차적 BIPLOT활용에 대한 연구)

  • 장대흥
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.451-459
    • /
    • 1998
  • The analysis of data from a multiresponse experiment requires careful consideration of the multivariate nature of the data. In a multiresponse sitation, the optimization problem is more complex than in the single response case. The biplot is a graphical tool which make the analyst to understand the correlation of the response variables, the relation of the response variables arid the explanatory variables and the relative importance of the explanatory variables. In case of good fitting of the first order model, we can draw the biplot with the first order experimental design. Otherwise, we can make the biplot with the second order experimental design by adding other experimental points.

  • PDF

Effect of Fitness Among CEO characteristics, Company's Innovation, Management on the Performance of Organization (CEO특성, 경영혁신, 경영통제시스템 적합성이 재무성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Jung, Jae-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.377-386
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purposes of this study is to examine the effect of fitness Among Characteristics of CEO, Company's innovation and Management Control on Organization Performance. CEO characteristics are investigated by the risk-taking propensity, need for achievement. Company's Innovation are measured by product innovation, technological innovation. Management control are applied by action control and result control. Organization performances are analyzed by internal performance, growth performance, financial performance. the research methodology applied in this paper is contingency theory by Drazin and Van de Ven(1985) - selective approach, Interaction approach, system approach. This paper was applied by the Three way interaction term among CEO characteristics, Company's Innovation and Management control to analyze the influences to the organization performances. As a result of this paper, there are the differences between Two way interaction terms or three way interaction terms to affect the organization performances. this paper can confirm the desirable combinations between two or three variables(CEO characteristics, Company's Innovation and Management control) to affect significantly to the particular organization performance.