• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.753-762
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• 2020

With an increasing interest in integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into interview processes, the Republic of Korea (ROK) army is trying to lead and analyze AI-powered interview platform. This study is to analyze the AI interview data using a unified non-crossing multiple quantile tree (UNQRT) model. Compared to the UNQRT, the existing models, such as quantile regression and quantile regression tree model (QRT), are inadequate for the analysis of AI interview data. Specially, the linearity assumption of the quantile regression is overly strong for the aforementioned application. While the QRT model seems to be applicable by relaxing the linearity assumption, it suffers from crossing problems among estimated quantile functions and leads to an uninterpretable model. The UNQRT circumvents the crossing problem of quantile functions by simultaneously estimating multiple quantile functions with a non-crossing constraint and is robust from extreme quantiles. Furthermore, the single tree construction from the UNQRT leads to an interpretable model compared to the QRT model. In this study, by using the UNQRT, we explored the relationship between the results of the Army AI interview system and the existing personnel data to derive meaningful results.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.7 no.2 s.24
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• pp.77-86
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• 2005

A spalling model for jointed connote pavements(JCP) was developed using the data of distresses, climates, and materials at the sections of long-term pavement performance(LTPP) investigation. The total of forty-four spatting distress data was collected at twenty-two JCP LTPP sections in 1999 and in 2004. In addition, the data of climates, geometric shapes of the slabs, and material properties was also collected at those times. Factors significantly influencing the spalling distress were found by a sensitivity analysis for the data. Consequently, a spatting model was developed by a multi-regression analysis for the factors. The model showed reasonable trend of the spatting development comparing to other foreign models.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.38 no.7 s.156
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• pp.575-584
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• 2005

The judgement model to warn of possible pollution accident is constructed by multi-perceptron, multi layer neural network, neuro-fuzzy and it is trained stability, notice, and warming situation due to developed standard axis. The water quality forecasting model is linked to the runoff forecasting model, and joined with the judgement model to warn of possible pollution accident, which completes the artificial intelligence warning system. And GUI (Graphic User Interface) has been designed for that system. GUI screens, in order of process, are main page, data edit, discharge forecasting, water quality forecasting, warming system. The application capability of the system was estimated by the pollution accident scenario. Estimation results verify that the artificial intelligence warning system can be a reasonable judgement of the noized water pollution data.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.571-580
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• 2008

The logistic regression analysis is widely used in the area of customer relationship management and credit risk management. It is well known that the maximum likelihood estimation is not appropriate when multicollinearity exists among the regressors. Thus we propose the logistic principal components regression to deal with the multicollinearity problem. In particular, new method is suggested to select proper principal components. The selection method is based on the condition index instead of the eigenvalue. When a condition index is larger than the upper limit of cutoff value, principal component corresponding to the index is removed from the estimation. And hypothesis test is sequentially employed to eliminate the principal component when a condition index is between the upper limit and the lower limit. The limits are obtained by a linear model which is constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis. The proposed method is evaluated by means of the variance of the estimates and the correct classification rate. The results indicate that the proposed method is superior to the existing method in terms of efficiency and goodness of fit.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.725-736
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• 2013

Retirement income is an important personal and social issue. Problems associated with financial risk wil1 become more pronounced with the growth in the elderly population. Medical expenses in senescence is closely related to financial risk; in addition, some diseases that require long term care will increase financial risk which result in lower quality of life for the elderly. Therefore, it is necessary to understand expected long-term care costs and to manage financial risk from the perspective of an individual. This study evaluate the length of period in which a person is expected to need long term care and actuarial present values of the total cost which needs to be prepared for the care through the Korean public long term care system based on the experience data obtained from Long Term Care Insurance for the Elderly in Korea and a multi-state model.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.99-120
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• 1995

가속차선이 교통류의 운영상태와 안전에 기여하는 바는 벌써부터 인식되어 왔으나 이 변속차선이 유입형 연결로 접속부 전체의 운영에 미치는 영향을 수치화하거나 체계적으로 평가하기 위해 현장 자료를 바탕으로 한 실험적 연구는 진행되어 오지 못하엿다. 현재 널리 참고되고 있는 1985년 USHCM의 접속부 운영상태 분석 방법론은 단지 차선 1의 교통량을 예측하는 데 주안점을 두고 있는데 가속 차선의 길고 짧음에 따라 접속부 바로 전 차선 1의 교통량 분포가 크게 변화한다는 사실(많은 현장 관측을 통해 확인)은 고려하지 못하고 있다. 이는 접속부 운영 상태가 같은 교통량 조건하에서도 크게 차이가 나나다는 것을 뜻하며 가속차선의 존재를 무시한채 운영과 관련한 MOE를 도출하는 것이 서비스수준 산정 방법으로 충분한 것인가 하는 의문을 자연히 낳게 한다. 본 논문은 가속차선이 고속도로 연결로 접속부의 운영에 미치는 영향을 주로 다루고 있다. 가속차선의 독립적인 역할과 영향을 체계적으로 관찰하기 위해 미국내 여러 지역에서 8개의 고속도로 연결로접속부를 선택하고 각 지점에 접속부의 상하류 지역을 포함하는 2,000ft 구간내에 다섯대의 카메라를 설치, 지점별로 약 3시간 동안 자료를 수집하였다. 총 193개 자료수의 분석을 통해서 다중 회귀 모형을 구성하는 독립변수로 가속차선의 길이를 사용하는 것이 타당하다고 결론지었으며, 접속부 운영의 질, 특히 속도를 추정하기 위한 모형을 수립하였다. 본 연구를 통해 얻어진 관점과 방법론은 1994USHCM 고속도로 연결로 분석 방법론 설정에 일부분 반영되고 잇으며 특히 교통운영과 흐름의 방식에서 유사한 엇갈림 구간의 분석 방법과 일관성 있는 분석 체계 마련을 위해서 서비스수준 산정 절차 정립에 엇갈림 알고리즘을 활용하는 방안을 제시하였다.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.1-14
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• 2014

Both researchers and practitioners are showing an increased interested in interactive exhibition services. Interactive exhibition services are designed to directly respond to visitor responses in real time, so as to fully engage visitors' interest and enhance their satisfaction. In order to install an effective interactive exhibition service, it is essential to adopt intelligent technologies that enable accurate estimation of a visitor's emotional state from responses to exhibited stimulus. Studies undertaken so far have attempted to estimate the human emotional state, most of them doing so by gauging either facial expressions or audio responses. However, the most recent research suggests that, a multimodal approach that uses people's multiple responses simultaneously may lead to better estimation. Given this context, we propose a new multimodal emotional state estimation model that uses various responses including facial expressions, gestures, and movements measured by the Microsoft Kinect Sensor. In order to effectively handle a large amount of sensory data, we propose to use stratified sampling-based MRA (multiple regression analysis) as our estimation method. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we collected 602,599 responses and emotional state data with 274 variables from 15 people. When we applied our model to the data set, we found that our model estimated the levels of valence and arousal in the 10~15% error range. Since our proposed model is simple and stable, we expect that it will be applied not only in intelligent exhibition services, but also in other areas such as e-learning and personalized advertising.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.41-46
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• 2006

본 논문에서는 재시도와 완전입력 규칙을 갖는 BMAP/PH/N/0 대기시스템에 대한 주요 성능평가척도와 시스템의 정상상태 조건을 제시한다. 고려되는 시스템은 모든 서버가 서비스를 하고 있을 경우 도착이 이루어지는 배치도착은 모두 손실되며, 반대의 경우 도착하는 배치는 서비스를 받기 위해 시스템에 들어가게 된다. 만약 쉬고 있는 서버의 수가 불충분하여 배치의 일부가 즉각 서비스를 받을 수 없다면, 일단 오빗으로 이동하고 표준 재시도 대기 시스템의 규칙에 따라 후에 서비스를 받게 된다. 본 논문에서는 배치 마코프도착과정, 단계 서비스분포 및 유한버퍼를 갖는 다중서버 재시도 대기 시스템에 대한 수리모형을 제시한다. 제시된 시스템의 정상상태 분포 존재를 위한 충분조건을 유도하고, 이 분포를 계산하기 위한 알고리즘이 제시된다. 끝으로 완전입력규칙을 갖는 시스템에 대한 손실확률을 계산하기 위한 식이 유도하고, 수치 예제들을 제시한다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.547-559
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• 2003

In this study, a mathematical model is developed for sewer rehabilitation planning by considering cost and inflow/infiltration. A sewer rehabilitation planning model is required to decide the economic life of the sewer by considering trade-off between cost and inflow/infiltration. And it is required to find the optimal rehabilitation timing, according to the cost effectiveness of each sewer rehabilitation within the budget. To solve the problem, we formulated a multiple objective mixed integer programming(MOMIP) model based on network flow optimization. The network is composed of state nodes and arcs. The state nodes represent the remaining life and the arcs represent the change of the state. The model considers multiple objectives which are cost minimization and minimization of inflow/infiltration. Using the multiple objective optimization, the trade-off between the cost and inflow/infiltration is presented to the planner so that a proper sewer rehabilitation plan can be selected.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.81-98
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• 2002

This paper documents the development of a bi-objective(minimizing delays and Queue lengths) cycle-free signal timing length model using Genetic Algorithm. The model was embodied using MATLAB. the language of technical computing. A special feature of this model is its ability to concurrently manage delays and queue lengths of turning movement concurrently. The model produces a cycle-free signal timing(cycles and green times) for each intersection on the cycle basis. Appropriate offsets could be also accomplished by applying cycle-free based signal timings for respective intersections. The model was applied to an example network which consists of four intersections. The result shows that the model produces superior signal timings to the existing signal timing model in terms of managing delays and queue lengths of turning movements.