• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.1B
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• pp.39-50
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• 2006

The flood control offices of main rivers have used a storage function model to forecast flood stage in Korea and studies of flood forecasting actively have been done even now. On this account, the storage function model, which is used in flood control office, regression models and artificial neural network model are applied into flood forecasting of study watershed in this paper. The result obtained by each method are analyzed for the comparative study. In case of storage function model, this paper uses the representative parameters of the flood control offices and the optimized parameters. Regression coefficients are obtained by regression analysis and neural network is trained by backpropagation algorithm after selecting four events between 1995 to 2001. As a result of this study, it is shown that the optimized parameters are superior to the representative parameters for flood forecasting. The results obtained by multiple, robust, stepwise regression analysis, one of the regression methods, show very good forecasts. Although the artificial neural network model shows less exact results than the regression model, it can be efficient way to produce a good forecasts.

• 재활복지
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.113-137
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• 2017

In this study, we explore whether and how the experience of discrimination and social support affects physical health and mental health through disability identity among the disabled aged 50 and over. We also examine such relationship differs by the degree of disability. For the empirical test, we utilized the data from the Panel Survey for the Disabled conducted by our research team in 2016. According to structural equation model analysis, social support has a direct effect on disability identity. It also has a direct effect on physical health. As for the mental health, there are found direct effects of discrimination experience, social support, disability identity, and physical health, Furthermore, social support influences the mental health through disability identity. This finding suggests that social support for the disabled in old age increases disability identity and, in turn, it contributes their mental health. In the meanwhile, multiple group comparison analysis reveals the effect of discrimination experience on disability identity is found for those with lower level of disability but not for their counterparts. This seems to result from that the level of common ground which constitutes disability identity is low for the severely disabled. Thus, it requires our efforts to enhance disability identity focusing on common ground for the severe disabled.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.18 no.8
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• pp.1997-2004
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• 1994

A model analysis method has been developed in the paper. The method estimates the modal parameters of multiple input-output systems, assesses their quality, and seperates structural modes form computation ones. The modal parameter extraction algorithm is the least squares method with a finite difference model relating input and output time data. The quality of the estimated system model can be assessed in narrow frequency bands by comparing the measured and model predicted responses in time domain with the aid of digital filters. Structural modes can be effectively separated from computational ones using the convergence factor which represents the pole convergence rate. The modal analysis method has been applied to simulated and experimental vibration data to evaluate its utility and limitations.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.8
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• pp.677-686
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• 2018

There remain numerous ungauged watersheds in Korea owing to limited spatial and temporal streamflow data with which to estimate hydrological model parameters. To deal with this problem, various regionalization approaches have been proposed over the last several decades. However, the results of the regionalization models differ according to climatic conditions and regional physical characteristics, and the results of the regionalization models in previous studies are generally inconclusive. Thus, to improve the performance of the regionalization methods, this study attaches hydrological model parameters obtained using a spatial proximity model to the explanatory variables of a regional regression model and defines it as a hybrid regionalization model (hybrid model). The performance results of the hybrid model are compared with those of existing methods for 37 test watersheds in South Korea. The GR4J model parameters in the gauged watersheds are estimated using a shuffled complex evolution algorithm. The variation inflation factor is used to consider the multicollinearity of watershed characteristics, and then stepwise regression is performed to select the optimum explanatory variables for the regression model. Analysis of the results reveals that the highest modeling accuracy is achieved using the hybrid model on RMSE overall the test watersheds. Consequently, it can be concluded that the hybrid model can be used as an alternative approach for modeling ungauged watersheds.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.39-39
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• 2020

Low-flow 하천에서의 최저수위를 나타내는 지표이다. 일반적으로 유황곡선의 갈수량(Q355)를 대표적으로 사용한다. Low-flow는 물 공급 관리 및 계획, 관개용수, 생태계등 다양한 분야에 영향을 미친다. 이러한 Low-flow를 산정하기 위해서는 충분한 기간의 유량자료가 필요하다. 하지만 국토의 70%가 산지지형으로 구성되어 있는 우리나라의 경우 국가하천과 1급하천을 제외한 산지유역은 수위관측소가 부재하거나 결측으로 인해 자료가 충분하지 않아 Low-flow분석에 한계가 있다. 이에 과거에는 미계측지역의 갈수량을 예측하기 위해서 다중회귀분석, ARIMA 모형 등 다양한 기법을 사용하였지만, 최근들어 머신러닝 모형의 수요가 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 새로운 패러다임에 맞는 머신러닝 기법인 DNN기법을 사용하고자 한다. DNN기법은 ANN기법의 단점인 학습과정에서 최적 매개변수값을 찾기 어렵고, 학습시간이 느린 단점을 보완한 방법이다. 따라서 본연구에서는 머신러닝 기법인 DNN기법을 통해 미계측지역에 적용 가능한 지역화 Low-flow indices를 산정하고자 한다. 먼저, Low-flow에 영향을 미치는 인자들을 수집하고 인자들간의 상관분석, 다중공선성 분석을 통해 통계적으로 유의한 변수를 선정하여, 머신러닝 모형에 입력자료를 구축하였다. 또한 기존의 갈수량 예측기법인 다중회귀분석 결과와 비교하여 머신러닝 기법의 효용성을 검토하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.671-678
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• 2011

Data mining searches for interesting relationships among items in a given database. The methods of data mining are decision tree, association rules, clustering, neural network and so on. The decision tree approach is most useful in classification problems and to divide the search space into rectangular regions. Decision tree algorithms are used extensively for data mining in many domains such as retail target marketing, customer classification, etc. When create decision tree model, complicated model by standard of model creation and number of input variable is produced. Specially, there is difficulty in model creation and analysis in case of there are a lot of numbers of input variable. In this study, we study on decision tree using intervening variable. We apply to actuality data to suggest method that remove unnecessary input variable for created model and search the efficiency.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.207-207
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• 2019

최근 우리나라는 지역 특성 및 기후변화의 영향으로 인해 수문학적 요소의 변동성이 커지고 수자원의 지속적인 관리에 있어 유출량은 중요한 문제로 여겨지고 있다. 특히 일부 소하천 또는 접경지역과 같은 미계측유역은 수문학적 요소에 대한 자료가 부족하고 수문모형의 초기치 설정과 과거 유출량 자료를 통하여 최적화한 매개변수를 결정해야하므로 장기유출분석이 어렵다. 본 연구의 적용유역으로 미계측유역인 임진강상류 유역에 대한 유출량 추정을 위해 계측 유역의 자료를 활용하여 모형의 매개변수 등을 추정하는 지역화 기법인 다중선형회귀분석과 공간근접분석을 활용하여 유출량을 산정 및 검증하였다. 또한, 확률론적 예측이 가능한 앙상블 기법 적용을 통한 유출량 예측을 하였고, 이를 예측 정확성 평가지표를 통해 효율성 검토를 수행하여 미계측유역의 유출량에 대해 확률론적 예측을 수행하였다. 대표적 지역화 기법의 적용성을 검토한 결과, 계측유역을 통해 다중선형회귀분석과 공간근접분석을 abcd 모형에 적용하였다. 모의유출량을 산정하고 실측 유출량과 비교 분석 결과 모의정확성이 높게 분석되었다. 이와 같은 검증 결과를 토대로 미계측유역의 유출량을 추정하였다. 또한, 지역화 기법을 앙상블 기법에 적용하여 확률론적 유출량 예측의 효율성을 검토하였다. 적용유역과 같은 지류를 포함하고 있는 임진강하류 유역을 대상으로 수행하였다. 검증기간(2013년~2017년) 동안의 월 예측 유출량 앙상블 생성을 위해 과거 강우량와 증발량(1988년~2012년) 자료를 사용하였으며, 지역화 기법을 적용한 abcd 모형을 이용하였다. 예측 유출량의 정확성 평가를 실시하였으며, 정확성이 비교적 높게 분석되었다. 이와 같은 결과를 토대로 미계측유역의 확률론적 유출량을 예측하였다. 따라서, 대표적 지역화 기법을 앙상블 기법에 적용하여 확률론적 유출량을 예측할 경우 보다 정확한 유출량 예측이 가능하다.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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• v.67 no.1
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• pp.263-288
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• 2015

This study is to research the mediating effects of optimism and quality of relationship which interpersonal traumatic experience influences posttraumatic growth. It focuss on verifying the impact of interpersonal traumatic experience to optimism and quality of relationship and the influence of optimism and quality of relationship to posttraumatic growth. And also it is to verify dual mediating effect between optimism and quality of relationship. Data for this study were collected through the use of a survey instrument completed by 405 interpersonal traumatic experience, 30-60 age group. Collected data were analysed by AMOS program, Structure Equation Model(SEM) was implemented to verify the mediating effect between optimism and quality of relationship. Finally, Phantom Variable was utilized for verification of indirect influence of a multi mediating effects. The findings of this study were as follows, First, the result shows that the higher level interpersonal traumatic experience, the higher posttraumatic growth they have. Second, it shows that optimism and quality of relationship have partial mediating effect between interpersonal traumatic experience and posttraumatic growth. Third, it was analyzed that optimism and quality of relationship had double mediating effect. Based on these findings, the research discussion reinforced the importance of intervene with its optimism and quality of relationship in the site of those who experience interpersonal trauma. Theological, political and practical implications of this study are as follows. First, it has a series of significance in terms of that this study confirmed its influence considering the quality of relationship from interpersonal experience among relevant factors of traumatic accident, optimism among individual factors, quality of relationship among environmental factors based on 'the crisis of life and the theory of individual growth'. econd, even though optimism and quality of relationship were proved as major predictors for posttraumatic growth of those who experience interpersonal traumatic, psychological support center for traumatic experience is not operated systematically in Korea. Third, this study implies that it should intervene mainly with its optimism and quality of relationship in the site of those who experience interpersonal trauma such as any abuses including sexual abuse, bullying, and divorce.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.10 no.7
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• pp.108-115
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to identify the double mediating the effects of social support and self-esteem in the relationship between the subjective social class and the suicide thoughts of middle aged men and women. The subjective social class was analyzed in a parallel double-mediated model to check the mediating effect of self-esteem and social support on the idea of suicide. Social support and self-respect, which are mediating variables of subjective social class on suicide idea, both were a statistically significant. Putting the results of this study together, it is essential to establish a living-based social support system for middle-aged adults. This will contribute to improving self-esteem among middle-aged adults.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.34 no.8C
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• pp.814-821
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• 2009

In an ultrawide band (UWB) indoor wireless localization, time of arrival (TOA) parameter estimation techniques have some difficulties in acquiring a reasonable TOA estimate because of the clustered multipath components overlapping or random time intervals mainly due to non line-of-sight (NLOS) environment. In order to solve that problem and achieve an excellent UWB indoor wireless localization, we propose a UWB signal model and a robust TOA parameter estimation technique that has little effect on the clustered problems unlike the conventional technique. Through simulation studies, the validity of the proposed model and the TOA estimation technique are examined. The performance of estimation error is also analyzed.