• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.13-18
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• 2007

The multivariate statistical analysis, using the multiple linear regression(MLR), have been applied to analyze and predict the flash points of binary systems. Prediction for the flash points of flammable substances is important for the examination of the fire and explosion hazards in the chemical process design. In this paper, the flash points are predicted by MLR based on the physical properties of pure substances and the experimental flash points data. The results of regression and prediction by MLR are compared with the values calculated by Raoult's law and Van Laar equation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.237-240
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• 2017

지구온난화로 인해 세계 곳곳에서 기온상승이 관측되고 있으며, 이는 전지구적 기후시스템의 변화를 보여주는 대표적인 예이다. 온도를 비롯한 강수량, 풍속, 증발량 등의 기상학적, 수문학적 인자들이 각각 서로에게 영향을 주고 받으며 복잡하게 변화할 것이고, 그 변화폭도 점점 커질 것이다. 증발에 영향을 미치는 인자들은 크게 세 가지로 나뉘는데, 태양복사에너지, 온도, 바람, 기압, 습도와 같은 기상학적인자, 증발표면의 특성인자 그리고 수질인자로 분류할 수 있다. 증발에 영향을 주는 인자들은 예전부터 알려져 있지만 이들 간의 복잡한 상호작용에 대해 정확히 이해하기는 쉽지 않다. 본 연구에서는 댐유역의 증발량에 영향을 미치는 기상인자 파악을 위해 2008부터 2016년까지 관측된 낙동강수계 내 안동댐과 남강댐의 기상자료(기온, 강수량, 풍속, 상대습도, 기압, 일사량, 일조시간, 전운량)를 이용한 변화를 분석하였으며, 다변량 통계기법인요인분석을 통해 증발량과 상관성이 높은 인자들을 분류하였다. 안동댐과 남강댐 공통적으로 증발량과 기온, 기압이 같은 요인으로 분류되고 높은 상관성을 보였으며, 강수량, 일조시간, 일사량, 전운량이 같은 요인으로 분류되었다. 국내의 증발량 측정지점에 대한 추가적인 분석과 영향인자를 이용한 다변량회귀식과 인공신경망 통해 증발량 미측정 지점의 증발량 산정이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.383-388
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• 2024

This paper is a study to derive the predicted value of power generation based on the photovoltaic power generation data measured in Jeollanam-do, South Korea. Multivariate variables such as direct current, alternating current, and environmental data were measured in the inverter to measure the amount of power generation, and pre-processing was performed to ensure the stability and reliability of the measured values. Correlation analysis used only data with high correlation with power generation in time series data for prediction using partial autocorrelation function (PACF). Deep learning models were used to measure the amount of power generation to predict the amount of photovoltaic power generation, and the results of correlation analysis of each multivariate variable were used to increase the prediction accuracy. Learning using refined data was more stable than when existing data were used as it was, and the solar power generation prediction algorithm was improved by using only highly correlated variables among multivariate variables by reflecting the correlation analysis results.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.5B
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• pp.445-458
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• 2010

The effects of geographical and climatic factors on annual and monthly pan and Penman evaporation were analyzed. 52 climatological stations were selected and trend analyses were performed. Furthermore, cluster analysis and multiple linear regression analysis were performed to understand the effects of geographical and climatic factors on pan and Penman evaporation. Based on stepwise multiple linear regression analysis, annual pan evaporation is proved to be mainly controlled by urbanization as geographical factor, and annual pan evaporation is also controlled by temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation as climatic factor. Especially wind speed is considered to be most significant climatic factor which affects pan evaporation. Meanwhile, Penman evaporation is not affected by geographical factors but it is affected by climate factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation except precipitation. Furthermore, the study results show that only proximity to coast affects pan evaporation trend on July; however, geographical and climatic factors do not affect pan evaporation trends in annual basis and monthly basis (January, April, and October). On the other hand, Penman evaporation trends were not affected by geographical factors in annual and monthly basises.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.20 no.10
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• pp.436-448
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• 2020

This study aims to determine the effect of e-cigarettes on oral health by investigating the association between the use of different tobacco products and oral health among Korean adults aged 19 years and older. Data from the 2017 Community Health Survey were used for the study. Respondents were divided into four groups: non-smokers, cigarette smokers, e-cigarette smokers, and users of both products. A sample of 228,357 respondents was selected for analysis. Twenty-four questionnaires with missing values (non-response or refusal) were excluded from the sample. A regression analysis was performed with oral as the dependent variable. A multivariate regression analysis showed a significant difference between cigarette smokers and users of both products when compared to the non-smokers. However, e-cigarette users showed a significant when the variables were correlated with age and gender. There was no significant difference in other dependent variables in a multivariate regression analysis. The results of the study indicated no association between e-cigarette use and oral health. More research is needed on factors such as amount and intensity of e-cigarette use.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.351-354
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 일 증발접시 증발량 모델링을 위한 다변량 적응 회귀 스플라인 (multivariate adaptive regression splines, MARS) 모델의 성능을 평가하였다. 모델 입력변수 집합은 부산 관측소 (기상청)로부터 수집된 기상자료를 활용하여 증발접시 증발량과의 상관성이 높은 변수들의 조합으로 구성되었으며, 일사량, 일조시간, 평균지상온도, 최대기온의 조합으로 구성된 세 가지 입력집합이 결정되었다. MARS 모델의 성능은 네 가지의 모델성능평가지표를 활용하여 정량적으로 산출되었으며, 그 결과를 인공신경망 (artificial neural network, ANN) 모델과 비교하였다. 입력변수로서 일사량 및 일조시간을 가지는 Set 1의 경우 MARS1 모델이 ANN1 모델보다 우수한 성능을 나타내었으며, Set 2 (일사량, 일조시간, 평균지상온도)의 경우 ANN2 모델, Set 3 (일사량, 일조시간, 평균지상온도, 최대기온)의 경우 MARS3 모델이 상대적으로 우수한 모델 성능을 나타내었다. 모든 분석 모델들을 비교하였을 때, MARS3, ANN2, ANN3, MARS2, MARS1, ANN1 모델의 순서로 우수한 모델 성능을 나타내었으며, 특히 MARS3 모델은 CE = 0.790, $r^2=0.800$, RMSE = 0.762, MAE = 0.587로서 가장 우수한 일 증발접시 증발량 모델링 성능을 나타내었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 적용한 MARS 모델은 지상관측 기상자료를 활용한 일 증발접시 증발량 모델링에서 효과적인 대안이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.1005-1013
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• 2017

In this paper, we investigate the performances of time series models to forecast irradiance that consider weather variables such as temperature, humidity, cloud cover and Global Horizontal Irradiance. We first introduce the time series models and show that regression ARIMAX has the best performance with other models such as ARIMA and multiple regression models.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.703-724
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• 2022

Although longitudinal studies mainly produce multivariate longitudinal data, most of existing statistical models analyze univariate longitudinal data and there is a limitation to explain complex correlations properly. Therefore, this paper describes various methods of modeling the covariance matrix to explain the complex correlations. Among them, modified Cholesky decomposition, modified Cholesky block decomposition, and hypersphere decomposition are reviewed. In this paper, we review these methods and analyze Korean children and youth panel (KCYP) data are analyzed using the Bayesian method. The KCYP data are multivariate longitudinal data that have response variables: School adaptation, academic achievement, and dependence on mobile phones. Assuming that the correlation structure and the innovation standard deviation structure are different, several models are compared. For the most suitable model, all explanatory variables are significant for school adaptation, and academic achievement and only household income appears as insignificant variables when cell phone dependence is a response variable.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.77-88
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• 2023

The purpose of this study is to confirm whether the current technology appraisal model for investment, which is designed to identify high-growth SMEs in sales, which is one of the characteristics of gazelle companies, has the possibility of expanding employment effects. For SMEs classified as technology investment adequate firms(TI1-TI6) through technology appraisal for investment between 2016 and 2018 were targeted. At this time, the employment effect was analyzed by dividing the absolute employment effect and the relative employment effect. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the technology appraisal items for investment defined as innovation characteristics did not have significant explanatory power for the absolute employment effect. However, for the relative employment effect, among innovation characteristics, technicality(TC) was found to have significant explanatory power, and this is because the item appraised based on future growth potential. In particular, the relative employment effect is meaningful in terms of the actual employment effect, and the conclusion is drawn that the current technology appraisal model for investment is an appraisal model with the possibility of expansion in terms of employment effect.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.395-406
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• 2022

This paper studies the outlier detection method for multivariate long memory time series. The existing outlier detection methods are based on a short memory VARMA model, so they are not suitable for multivariate long memory time series. It is because higher order of autoregressive model is necessary to account for long memory, however, it can also induce estimation instability as the number of parameter increases. To resolve this issue, we propose outlier detection methods based on the VHAR structure. We also adapt the robust estimation method to estimate VHAR coefficients more efficiently. Our simulation results show that our proposed method performs well in detecting outliers in multivariate long memory time series. Empirical analysis with stock index shows RVHAR model finds additional outliers that existing model does not detect.