• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다기준 의사결정분석

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Investment Priorities of Downstream River of Dam using PROMETHEE (PROMETHEE를 이용한 댐 하류하천 투자우선순위 결정)

  • Sun, Seung-Pyo;Kim, Gil-Ho;Yi, Chung-Sung;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.817-821
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    • 2010
  • 댐 하류하천 정비사업을 계획함에 있어 사업의 투자우선순위 결정시 의사결정의 어려움에 직면할 수 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 어려움을 지원하고자 다기준의사결정기법 가운데 하나인 PROMETHEE를 활용하여 투자우선순위를 제시하였다. 댐 하류하천 19개에 대한 투자우선순위를 검토하기 위한 평가기준으로서 용수공급량 회복, 발전량 회복, 계획방류량 회복, 치수경제성 분석, 환경생태기능 개선, 잠재적 홍수피해도, 홍수방어능력 취약도를 고려하였고, PROMETHEE 시행 결과 평림댐 하류하천에 대한 정비사업이 가장 시급한 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 19개 댐 하류하천에 대한 투자우선순위 결과는 향후 댐 하류하천 정비사업 계획의 기초자료가 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Development of MCDM for the Selection of Preferable Alternative and Determination of Investment Priority in Water Resource Projects (수자원사업 대안선정 및 투자우선순위결정을 위한 다기준의사결정모형 개발)

  • Yeo, Kyudong;Kim, Gilho;Lee, Sangwon;Choi, Seungan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6B
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    • pp.551-563
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    • 2011
  • Water resource projects need an enormous national budget. Therefore, a reasonable and reliable decision making is required for the planning of water resource projects, but decision making has been mostly performed by economic analysis. The objective of this study is to develop a Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM) model which can assess the project in various aspects for the selection of preferable alternative and determination of investment priority in water resource projects. In this study, the criteria involves economic feasibility, policies, vulnerability, and sub-items which have weights obtained from the expert survey for the consistent evaluation. We also derived the utility function considering risk trend of each item based on the expert survey. Then, the total score was estimated by weights of each item and utility score of each attribute. The results show that vulnerability is a major contributor for the criteria. This study will contribute to the selection of proper water resource projects considering efficiency of project and fairness for vulnerable area.

Priority Decision of Small Hydropower Development using Spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Making (공간 다기준의사결정을 활용한 소수력 개발의 우선순위 결정)

  • Kim, Gil-Ho;Yi, Choong-Sung;Yeo, Gyu-Dong;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.12
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    • pp.1029-1038
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    • 2009
  • Recently, it is expected that small hydropower (SHP) could potentially provide sufficient amounts of alternative energy in Korea where there is an abundance of potential sites and where social efforts are being made to reduce the emissions of green house gases. In the past, the resources survey for SHP development has been carried out using onsite surveys and paper maps, which incurred a great deal of time and cost. Furthermore, the tools for decision making such as determining development priorities or evaluating feasibility have been considered only economic aspect and focused on the performance characteristics of power generation. However, as the concept of sustainable development has been being advanced in recent years, especially focused on human-social, environmental and ecological in addition to economical sector; the consideration of these multiple criteria has become essential for sustainable SHP development. This study aims to propose the spatial multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methodology for determining priorities among a number of locations on the planning stage of SHP development using AHP and GIS. The proposed methodology is applied for determining development priorities among the SHP locations in Cho River basin and this study presents the detailed spatial information data and the results of development priorities. As a fundamental work, this study will be beneficial to the future activation of SHP development and will help the decision making in evaluating the feasibility of SHP development.

The Allocation Precedence of the Limited Same Resource to the Concurrent Activities under Multiple Criteria (다기준하 동일 한정 자원의 배당 우선순위 결정)

  • Hwang, Jin-Ha
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2008
  • This study provides a effective approach to the construction management problem with the limited number or amount of available resources using the analytic hierarchy process. Construction management is a series of decision making processes for planning and controling of cost, time and quality as main objectives in construction works. When several activities need the limited same resource at the same time, it is very hard to decide the priority of the activities in the real situations. For that the scientific decision making method and procedure for resource allocation are required. This study solves the resource allocation problem by dealing with the decision making problem which the activities are distributed to multiple projects and under multiple criteria. The analytic hierarchy process is a method devised to solve complex multi-criteria decision problems. The result shows that this study can be effectively used to make decisions in situations involving multiple objectives by evaluating the prioritized ranking and degree of the activity alternatives based on the overall preferences.

A Study on Variable Speed Limit Strategies in Freeway Work Zone Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making Process (다기준 의사결정기반 고속도로 공사구간 VSL전략에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Juneyoung;Oh, Cheol;Chang, Myungsoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a methodology for operating variable speed limit (VSL) strategies in freeway work zones. A notable feature in this study is to incorporate a multi-criteria decision making process into deriving better VSL strategies. Decision criteria in this study include operational efficiency, safety, and environmental impacts. Travel speed, acceleration noise, and CO2 were used as performance measures for evaluating VSL strategies. A multi-criteria value function was developed through an analytical hierarchical process (AHP) for representing expert's knowledge. Then, a variety of VSL operations scenarios were investigated utilizing a microscopic traffic simulation suite, VISSIM. The proposed methodology would be useful in supporting more efficient, safer, and more environment-friendly traffic operations and control in freeway work zones.

Risk Evaluation of the Project Finance for Overseas Independent Power Projects Using a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Analysis (퍼지 다기준 의사결정분석을 통한 해외 독립발전사업 사업금융 리스크 분석)

  • Hur, Kyong-Goo;Kim, Joo-Nam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.574-590
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is the provision of a decision-making tool for developers to identify the project risks for under-consideration overseas independent power projects (IPPs), and to analyze the priority and importance weights of the risks through the employment of a fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach. A fuzzy MCDM is the calculation method for which the imprecision of each respondent's unique opinion is considered. Through the extensive literature surveys that were conducted for this paper, eight major project finance (PF) risks have been derived credit risk, completion risk, market risk, fuel risk, operating risk, financial risk, environmental risk, and force majeure. The empirical results show that the market risk is the most important risk factor in terms of overseas IPPs, thereby confirming that the long-term power purchase agreement (PPA) guarantee of the host country is one of the most important corresponding factors for the PF.

An Assessment of Coastal Area Using Geographic Information Systems and Multi-Criteria Analysis (지리정보시스템(GIS)과 다기준 분석법(MCA)을 적용한 연안지역 평가)

  • Choi, Hee-Jung;Park, Jung-Jae;Hwang, Chul-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.143-155
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    • 2007
  • There are many conflicts or interests among various stakeholders on the development of the coastal area. The integrated methodology, which is reflective of physical conditions, socio-economic circumstances, and people's sense of values, is thus needed to solve the problems. In this study, geographical information systems(GIS) and analytic hierarchy process(AHP) that arc one of multi-criteria analysis methodologies are loosely coupled to develop better analytic procedures for coastal assessment. Socio-economic and environmental parameters of the study area, Hampyung Bay area, are converted to a GIS system-applicable format, while AHP is used to assess the relative importance level of each parameter by calculating weighting factors. After standardizing and rasterizing spatial data from various sources. the weighting factors are applied to produce the layers for each parameter. Map algebra and overlay analyses are used to create the final layer according to the decision making logic or model proposed here. Cell values of that layer could be considered as spatial alternatives. In addition to this finding, the flexibility with the weighing factors enable decision-makers to understand the procedures and alternatives in relevance with selective strategies for coastal management.

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Analysis on the Urban Waterfront for River Restoration (하천복원을 위한 도시 수변공간의 평가)

  • Kim, Byeong-Chan;Kim, Man-Sik;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.105-106
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    • 2012
  • 대부분의 의사결정은 단순한 계층 뿐만 아니라 상 하위 요소간의 상호작용과 종속성이 존재하기 때문에 매우 복잡한 절차를 거쳐 신중하게 처리해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 시민들이 하천을 이용함에 있어 어떠한 요소들을 우선적으로 선택하는지에 대하여 다기준 의사결정법을 이용하여 분석하고자 한다.

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Multi-criteria Decision Making Method for Developing Greenhouse Gas Technologies Strategically Considering Scale Efficiency: AHP/DEA CCR-I and BCC-I Integrated model Approach (규모의 경제성을 고려한 전략적 온실가스저감기술 개발을 위한 다기준의사결정기법: AHP/DEA CCR-I 및 BCC-I 혼합모형 적용)

  • Lee, Seong-Kon;Mogi, Gento;Kim, Jong-Wook
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.552-560
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    • 2008
  • In 1997, Korean government established the National Energy and Resources Plan, which targeted from 1997 to 2005 with strategic energy technology development. At the end of 2005, Korean government built a New National Energy and Resources Plan preparing for upcoming 10 years from 2006 until 2015 based on energy technology trees comparing with the previous plan, which based on the energy R&D projects. In this research, we prioritize the relative preferences and efficiency by an AHP/DEA CCR-I and BCC-I integrated model approach considering scale efficiency for well focused R&D and efficiency of developing Greenhouse Gas technologies as an extended research from a view point of econometrics as an extended research.

The selection of computerized manufacturing control system using MCDM model (다기준의사결정 모형을 이용한 전산화된 제조관리시스템의 선정에 관한 연구)

  • 정상윤;양대용
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is the optimal selection for evaluating alternative computerized manufacturing control software packages. The evaluation and analysis of the alternative computerized manufacturing control software packages is based on a model for Multi-Criteria Decision Making(MCDM). The ultimate of MCDM is to take the best choice among the alternatives or to rank them and the procedure depends on the decision maker's subjective judgement. An example is given to illustrate the application of the MCDM model.

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