• Title/Summary/Keyword: 누적강우

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Application Analysis of GIS Based Distributed Model Using Radar Rainfall (레이더강우를 이용한 GIS기반의 분포형모형 적용성 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Geun-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2008
  • According to recent frequent local flash flood due to climate change, the very short-term rainfall forecast using remotely sensed rainfall like radar is necessary to establish. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS-based distributed model coupled with radar rainfall, which can express temporal and spatial distribution, for multipurpose dam operation during flood season. $Vflo^{TM}$ model was used as physically based distributed hydrologic model. The study area was Yongdam dam basin ($930\;km^2$) and the 3 storm events of local convective rainfall in August 2005, and the typhoon.Ewiniar.and.Bilis.collected from Jindo radar was adopted for runoff simulation. Distributed rainfall consistent with hydrologic model grid resolution was generated by using K-RainVieux, pre-processor program for radar rainfall. The local bias correction for original radar rainfall shows reasonable results of which the percent error from the gauge observation is less than 2% and the bias value is $0.886{\sim}0.908$. The parameters for the $Vflo^{TM}$ were estimated from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map. As a result of the 3 events of multiple peak hydrographs, the bias of total accumulated runoff and peak flow is less than 20%, which can provide a reasonable base for building operational real-time short-term rainfall-runoff forecast system.

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Accuracy Comparison of Time Scale Conversion Method of RDAPS(Regional Date Assimilation and Prediction System) Outputs (RDAPS(Regional Date Assimilation and Prediction System) 예측 자료의 시간 Scale 변환에 따른 정확도 비교)

  • Jeong, Chang-Sam;Shin, Ju-Young;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 2008
  • 기상청(KMA, Korea Meteorological Administration)에서는 기상수치예보모델을 적용하여 수치예보를 하고 있으며 전지구 모델로는 GDAPS(Global Date Assimilation and Prediction System)를 지역모델은 RDAPS(Regional Date Assimilation and Prediction System)를 사용하고 있다. 수치예보결과를 이용하여 유출량을 예측할 경우 일반적으로 해상도가 높은 지역모델인 RDAPS의 수치예보 결과값을 사용한다. RDAPS는 00UTC와 12UTC에 3시간으로 누적된 자료를 30km 격자에 대하여 예측시간으로부터 48시간에 대하여 자료를 생성한다. 일강우자료를 입력자료로 사용하는 강우-유출 모형의 경우 3시간 누적 자료를 나타나는 RDAPS 수치예보 결과를 이용 시 3시간 scale에서 일(day)시간 scale로 변환시켜주어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 RDAPS의 수치예보 결과의 일(day)시간 scale 변환 방법에 따른 정확도를 비교하여 RDAPS 수치예보 결과의 일(day)시간 scale 변환에 대한 정확도를 비교하여 일(day)시간 scale 변환에 대한 지침을 제공하고자 한다. RDAPS 수치예보 결과값의 특징을 이용하여 RDAPS 결과값을 일(day)시간 scale로 변환하는 방법으로 총 9개방법을 적용하였으며, 참 값으로는 기상청 강수자료를 사용하였으며, 금강유역을 대상으로 유역평균강수량을 계산하여 각 변환 방법에 따른 정확도를 비교하였다.

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Improving Probability of Precipitation of Meso-scale NWP Using Precipitable Water and Artificial Neural Network (가강수량과 인공신경망을 이용한 중규모수치예보의 강수확률예측 개선기법)

  • Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Bong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1027-1031
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 한반도 영역을 대상으로 2001년 7, 8월과 2002년 6월로 홍수기를 대상으로 RDAPS 모형, AWS, 상층기상관측(upper-air sounding)의 자료를 이용하였다. 또한 수치예보자료를 범주적 예측확률로 변환하고 인공신경망기법(ANN)을 이용하여 강수발생확률의 예측정확성을 향상시키는데 있다. 신경망의 예측인자로 사용된 대기변수는 500/ 750/ 1000hpa에서의 지위고도, 500-1000hpa에서의 층후(thickness), 500hpa에서의 X와 Y의 바람성분, 750hpa에서의 X와 Y의 바람성분, 표면풍속, 500/ 750hpa/ 표면에서의 온도, 평균해면기압, 3시간 누적 강수, AWS관측소에서 관측된 RDAPS모형 실행전의 6시간과 12시간동안의 누적강수, 가강수량, 상대습도이며, 예측변수로는 강수발생확률로 선택하였다. 강우는 다양한 대기변수들의 비선형 조합으로 발생되기 때문에 예측인자와 예측변수 사이의 복잡한 비선형성을 고려하는데 유용한 인공신경망을 사용하였다. 신경망의 구조는 전방향 다층퍼셉트론으로 구성하였으며 역전파알고리즘을 학습방법으로 사용하였다. 강수예측성과의 질을 평가하기 위해서 $2{\times}2$ 분할표를 이용하여 Hit rate, Threat score, Probability of detection, Kuipers Skill Score를 사용하였으며, 신경망 학습후의 강수발생확률은 학습전의 강수발생확률에 비하여 한반도영역에서 평균적으로 Kuipers Skill Score가 0.2231에서 0.4293로 92.39% 상승하였다.

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Analysis on Spatial Variability of Rainfall in a Small Area (소규모 지역에 대한 강우의 공간변화도 분석)

  • Kim, Jong Pil;Kim, Won;Kim, Dong-Gu;Lee, Chanjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.11
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    • pp.905-913
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    • 2015
  • This study deployed six rain gauges in a small area for a dense network observing rainfall and analyzed the spatial variability of rainfall. They were arranged in a $2{\times}3$ rectangular grid with equal space of 60 m. The rainfall measurements from five gauges were analyzed during the period of 50 days because one was seriously affected by alien substance. The maximum difference in cumulative rainfall from them is approximately 38.5 mm. The correlation coefficients from hourly rainfall time series differ from each other while daily rainfall coincide. The coefficient of variation in hourly rainfall varies up to 224% and that in daily rainfall up to 91%. The results from uncertainty analysis show that with only four rain gauges areal mean rainfall cannot be estimated over 95% accuracy. For reliable flood prediction and effective water management it is required to develop a new technique for the estimation of areal rainfall.

A Case Study on Analysis of Landslide Potential and Triggering Time at Inje Area using a RTI Warning Model (RTI 경보모델을 이용한 강원도 인제지역의 산사태 가능성 및 발생시간 분석 사례 연구)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Liu, Ko-Fei;Cho, Yang-Chan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2008
  • This study is a case study for application of the RTI warning model to Korea which was previously developed to predict landslide potential and occurrence time during a rainfall event. The rainfall triggering index (RTI) is defined as the product of the rainfall intensity I (mm/hr) and the effective accumulated rainfall $R_t$ (mm). This index is used to evaluate the landslide and debris-flow occurrence potential at time t during a rainfall event. The upper critical value ($RTI_{UC}$) of RTI and the lower critical value ($RTI_{LC}$) of RTI can be determined by historical rainfall data of a certain area. When the rainfall intensity exceeds the upper critical value, there are high potential to occur land-slides. The analysis result can predict landslide occurrence time of an area during a rainfall event as well as land-slide potential. The result can also be used as an important data to issue early-warning of landslides. In order to apply the RTI warning model to Korea this study analyzed rainfall data and landslides data in Inje county, Gangwon province, Korea from July 13 to July 19, 2006. According to the analysis result, the rainfall intensity exceeded the upper critical value 23 hours ago, 11 hours ago, and 9 hours ago from 11:00 in the morning, July 16. Therefore, landslide warnings would be issued three times for people evacuation for avoiding or reducing hurts and dam-ages from landslides in mountainous areas of Inje.

Development of tree box filter LID system for treating road runoff (LID 시설로서 도로에 적용 가능한 수목여과시설 개발)

  • Choi, Jiyeon;Son, Younggyu;Lee, Soyoung;Lee, Yuhwa;Kim, Lee Hyung
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.407-412
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study was to develop a tree box filter system, an example of Low Impact Development technology, for treating stormwater runoff from road. Monitoring of storm events was performed between June 2011 and November 2012 to evaluate the system performance during wet day. Based on the results, all runoff volume generated by rainfall less than 2 mm was stored in the system. The minimum volume reduction of 20% was observed in the system for rainfall greater than 20 mm. The greatest removal efficiency was exhibited by the system for total heavy metals ranging from 70 to 73% while satisfactory removal efficiency was exhibited by the system for particulate matters, organic matters and nutrients ranging from 60 to 68%. The system showed greater pollutant removal efficiency of 67 to 83% for rainfall less than 10 mm compared to rainfall greater than 10 mm which has 39 to 75% pollutant removal efficiency. The system exhibited less pollutant reduction for rainfall greater than 10 mm due to the decreased retention capacity of the system for increased rainfall. Overall, the system has proved to be an option for stormwater management that can be recommended for on-site application. Similar system may be designed based on several factors such as rainfall depth, facility size and pollutant removal efficiency.

Comparison of Spatial Interpolation Processing Environments for Numerical Model Rainfall and Soil Moisture Data (수치모델 강우 및 토양수분 자료의 공간보간 처리환경의 비교)

  • Seung-Min, Lee;Sung-Won, Choi;Seung-Jae, Lee;Man-Il, Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 2022
  • For data such as rainfall and soil moisture, it is important to obtain the values of all points required as geostatistical data. Spatial interpolation is generally performed in this process, and commercial software such as ArcGIS is often used. However, commercial software has fatal drawbacks due to its high expertise and cost. In this study, R, an open source-based environment with ArcGIS, a commercial software, was used to compare the differences according to the processing environment when performing spatial interpolation. The data for spatial interpolation was weather forecast data calculated through Land-Atmosphere Modeling Package (LAMP)-WRF model, and soil moisture data calculated for each cumulative rainfall scenario. There was no difference in the output value in the two environments, but there was a difference in user interface and calculation time. The results of spatial interpolation work in the test bed showed that the average time required for R was 5 hours and 1 minute, and for ArcGIS, the average time required was 4 hours and 40 minutes, respectively, showing a difference of 7.5%. The results of this study are meaningful in that researchers can derive the same results in a commercial software environment and an open source-based environment, and can choose according to the researcher's environment and level.

Quantitative Rainfall Estimation for S-band Dual Polarization Radar using Distributed Specific Differential Phase (분포형 비차등위상차를 이용한 S-밴드 이중편파레이더의 정량적 강우 추정)

  • Lee, Keon-Haeng;Lim, Sanghun;Jang, Bong-Joo;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2015
  • One of main benefits of a dual polarization radar is improvement of quantitative rainfall estimation. In this paper, performance of two representative rainfall estimation methods for a dual polarization radar, JPOLE and CSU algorithms, have been compared by using data from a MOLIT S-band dual polarization radar. In addition, this paper presents evaluation of specific differential phase ($K_{dp}$) retrieval algorithm proposed by Lim et al. (2013). Current $K_{dp}$ retrieval methods are based on range filtering technique or regression analysis. However, these methods can result in underestimating peak $K_{dp}$ or negative values in convective regions, and fluctuated $K_{dp}$ in low rain rate regions. To resolve these problems, this study applied the $K_{dp}$ distribution method suggested by Lim et al. (2013) and evaluated by adopting new $K_{dp}$ to JPOLE and CSU algorithms. Data were obtained from the Mt. Biseul radar of MOLIT for two rainfall events in 2012. Results of evaluation showed improvement of the peak $K_{dp}$ and did not show fluctuation and negative $K_{dp}$ values. Also, in heavy rain (daily rainfall > 80 mm), accumulated daily rainfall using new $K_{dp}$ was closer to AWS observation data than that using legacy $K_{dp}$, but in light rain(daily rainfall < 80mm), improvement was insignificant, because $K_{dp}$ is used mostly in case of heavy rain rate of quantitative rainfall estimation algorithm.

A Change of Turbidity on Forest Stands by Rainfall Characteristics in Small Watershed (산지소유역에 있어서 강우특성에 따른 임분별 탁도 변화)

  • Ma, Ho-Seop;Kang, Won-Seok;Kang, Eun-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.3
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    • pp.381-386
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out to clarify the turbidity change on three stands (Castanea crenata, Pinus densiflora and Plantation Land) by rainfall characteristics in small watershed. The change of turbidity showed in order of plantation land, Castanea stand and Pinus stand. The linear equations models between turbidity and rainfall intensity were able to account for 91% in Castanea stand, 80% in Pinus stand and 71% in plantation land. The linear equations models between turbidity and duration of rainfall were able to account for about 0-1% in three stands. The linear equations models between turbidity and preceding dry days were able to account for about 30% in three stands. The linear equations models between turbidity and accumulative rainfall were able to account for about 6-22% in three stands. The results indicates that soil runoff by land use and development of forest area could be applied to the mitigation measures such as afforestation and erosion check dam for erosion control and water quality management in small watershed.

Long Term Changes of the Amount of Surface Runoff in Forest Fire Area (산불발생지에 있어서 표면유출수량의 장기적인 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Ma, Ho-Seop;Jeong, Won-Ok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.4
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    • pp.458-463
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the changes of surface runoff by comparisons between burned and unburned area after forest fire. The amount of surface runoff in burned area was more high 1.72 times in the year of fire, 1.44 times in one year later, 1.38 times in five years later and 1.16 times in ten years later than those of unburned area. Therefore, surface runoff in the burned area almost tended to be stabilized like unburned area ten year later after forest fire. The most affecting factors on the amount of surface runoff in burned and unburned area were number of unit rainfall, number of rainfall accumulated and unit rainfall. But coverage was shown to mitigate the amount of surface runoff in burned and unburned area.