• Title/Summary/Keyword: 내생변수

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An Economic Impact Analysis of the Post-2012 Policy Portfolio, Utilizing the Global Dynamic CGE Model (동태 글로벌 CGE 모형을 활용한 정책 포트폴리오의 Post-2012 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Suyi;Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Yoo, Seung Jick
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.587-635
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the Global Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (Global CGE Model) in order to produce an economic impact analysis, including prospective obligations for the Post-2012 regime. This model explores the impact of an international emissions trading market and macroeconomic variables such as GNP, consumption, investment, imports and exports, in accordance with potential increased obligations on the Republic of Korea. Distinguishing it from existing studies, this Global CGE Model divides the global community into major economic groups, and in the capacity of the analyzed global model, reflecting the principle nations' macroeconomic indicators through the theoretical approach of endogenous growth theory. Policies such as an emissions trading scheme and carbon tax are reflected in the model. Also, in particular, the model reflects exogenous technological advances. According to this analysis, the stronger the greenhouse gas reductions, the greater the adverse effects on the economy; among macroeconomic indicators that appear, a significant decline is realized in the balance of trade, along with a significant decrease in investment and consumption. Energy dependence, in particular, plays a large role-varying in degree by industry type-, as greenhouse gas reductions would have a greater impact on energy-intensive industries. Furthermore, if Korea, currently recognized as a developing country, is given the obligation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, competing countries such as China and other developing countries will be given an advantage.

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Analysis of Relationship between Housing Tenure and Birth in Newlywed Couples by Using Panel Data (패널자료를 이용한 신혼가구의 주택점유형태와 출산 관계 연구)

  • Shin, Hyungsub
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we investigate the interrelationship between housing tenure and childbirth by exploiting the correlation probability effect method that accounts for household heterogeneity. Using the newlywed household panel from 2011 to 2022, we find that home ownership has a positive impact on childbirth in newlyweds. Specifically, newlywed households with housing tenure show a 6.2%p higher birth rate and a 5.7%p higher second childbirth than newlywed households living in rented houses. For the case of first childbirth, we employ the probability effect probit model since the endogeneity was not detected between housing tenure and birth rate. We document the differential effects of housing tenure on childbirth in that the first childbirth rate is higher for households without housing tenures. The negative effects on first childbirth could be attributed to the economic burden due to initial housing ownership, while housing tenure could eventually provide housing stability, leading to positive effects on more than one childbirth. Finally, we identify that households with childbirth over the last year show a 4.2%p and 3.9%p lower probabilities of housing tenure in the total sample and second childbirth sample, respectively. This suggests that the increased living cost due to childbirth could delay home ownership.

Determinants of Apartment Prices in Busan: A Spatial Quantile Regression (공간적 분위수 회귀분석에 의한 부산 아파트 가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Jong-Won;Park, Sae-Woon;Jeong, Tae-Yun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.155-175
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    • 2018
  • Lots of previous researches on determinants of apartment prices in Korea consider spatial dependence while few studies regard endogeneity of spatial lag by adding a spatial lag to an OLS regression. Thus, this study intends to include this spatial lag in its analysis of determinants of apartment price in Busan by using a two-stage quantile regression. The empirical results are : the coefficient of spatial lag variable is more than 0.5 and is statistically significant at 1% level. From this result we can confirm that the effect of the price of nearby apartment on that of another apartment is very big. We also find that apartment buyers prefer larger size, height in both the total floors and living floor, south-facing living room with a ocean view, and proximity to metros, high school and coast. Unlike our expectation, however, mountain view is less favored than building view, which we can guess is because apartments with mountain views are mostly located in the low-priced apartment area where some of their living rooms face north. Quantile regression also explains the effect of hedonic characteristics on apartment price better than OLS estimation. For instance, the effect of south facing living room variable on the price is twice larger in high-price apartments than in low-price counterparts. And the effect of vicinity to the coast or the ocean is ten times bigger in high priced apartments.

A Study on the Determinants of Private Long-Term Care Insurance and First Home Care Use in the United States: Using Discrete Time Model (미국의 민간장기요양보험 가입과 재가요양서비스 이용의 결정요인에 관한 연구: 이산시간모델을 사용하여)

  • Kim, So-Yun;Hong, Gong-Soog;Montalto, Catherine P.
    • Survey Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.97-121
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    • 2010
  • Using the 1998-2004 Health and Retirement Study(HRS), this study explored the determinants of private long-term care insurance(LTCI) ownership and the first home care use. To account for the interaction between LTCI purchase and home care use, this study used two-period utility model as theoretical framework. Discrete time model was used as an empirical model to incorporate the time-dependent feature of LTCI ownership. And this study accounted for the endogeneity of LTCI ownership and home care use by employing full information maximum likelihood estimation. This study indicated insignificant effects of private LTCI ownership and Medicaid eligibility on the home care use. Also, the effects of income and assets on home care utilization were negligible. Those who have poor health condition and who do not have potential informal caregivers were more likely to use home care. For private LTCI ownership, income and assets have positive relationship with LTCI purchase, and poor health status and age were negatively related to LTCI purchase. The elderly living with children and those who have more siblings were less likely to have private LTCI, and those who lived with spouses with no children were more likely to buy private LTCI. Based on the findings, this study provides implications to design long-term care(LTC) policies in the U.S. and to develop LTC planning education programs.

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Relationship between Government-owned Banks and Firm Size (정부소유 은행과 거래 기업 규모의 관계)

  • Lee, Sang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.4895-4900
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    • 2014
  • This study examined the impact of Government-ownership of banks on the firm size using South Korean data. The impact of Government ownership of banks as both the largest lender of government banks and the bank loan dependency of firms on government-ownership bank were measured. Empirical models considering endogenous problems and various effects of firm size were developed. All results in this paper showed that government-ownership of the main banks might have a relationship with the smaller firms. In addition, the bank loan dependency of firms on government-ownership banks might have effects on the firm size. A higher loan dependency of firms on government-owned banks resulted in smaller firms. This study used micro firm level data to analyze, from several perspectives, the relationship between government-owned banks and firm size. The existing studies go as far as inferring the effects of government-owned banks showing theoretical evidence, performing surveys, or using international comparison data. This study is differentiated from existing studies in that it analyzed in a direct manner the effects of the government-owned banks on both the firm size. This study provides insights into the privatization of government-owned banks.

An Analysis of the Price Elasticity of Electricity Demand and Price Reform in the Korean Residential Sector Under Block Rate Pricing (구간별 가격체계를 고려한 우리나라 주택용 전력수요의 가격탄력성과 전력누진요금제 조정방안)

  • Jo, Ha-Hyun;Jang, Min-Woo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.365-410
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    • 2015
  • Block-rate structures are widely used in utility-pricing, including the Korean residential electricity sector. In the case of the current pricing structure, Korean citizens are highly concerned about incurring excessive electricity costs. For these reasons, there have been many discussions concerning mitigation of the strict pricing structure. Existing studies on the residential electricity demand function under block-rate structure have the following three issues - the consumer's budget constraint is non-linear, perceived price under block-rate structure is uncertain, block-rate structure has endogeneity in the price variable. In this context, this paper estimates the residential electricity demand function using micro-level household expenditure data and simulates the impact of alternative block-pricing schedules.

Peer Firm Effect on Cooperate Investment Decisions (경쟁 기업이 기업의 투자결정에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Yang, Insun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.611-620
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    • 2016
  • Firms grow in a competitive environment and competition can be a source of corporate growth. In an increasingly global market, companies face increased competition. As such, it is natural that all firms face some degree of risk due to competition. While firms compete for market share, they also imitate competitors in order to minimize risk that accompanies competition. This research attempts to demonstrate the effects of inter-firm competition on investment decisions. Using idiosyncratic equity returns as the instrument variable, this paper uses a two-stage least squares regression, as well as an ordinary least squares (OLS), to identify the influence of peer firms' investment decisions on a firm's own investment strategy. The results confirm that firms show stronger imitative behavior with more intense competition. Also, firms with higher debt ratios show higher peer group influence. This imitative factor provides clues to measure the risk-averseness in investment decisions.

The Effect of Baby Boom Generation' Leisure Activities on ICT Skills (베이비붐 세대의 여가활동이 ICT 이용 능력에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh, Joo Hyun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study is to explore the way to improve baby boom generation's ICT skills in their daily life. This study explores the effect of leisure activities on ICT skills. The analysis used 2016 Korea Media Panel data. Results show that the more leisure activities baby-boomers participate, the higher ICT skills they could get. The result of 2SLS regression also supports the leisure activities' effect on the improvement of ICT skills. More specifically, watching performing art such as movies, musicals, affects the improvement of the integrated ICT skills, and creative hobbies such as cooking, painting, affect the ability to use video contents and e-commerce; shopping affects the improvement of communication and information searching with a digital device. These findings suggest that leisure activities could improve ICT skills for baby boom generation who are familiar with face to face communication.

A Study on the Influence of the Evaluation Factors of University Library Web Sites on the Satisfaction of Users (대학도서관 웹사이트의 평가요소가 사용자의 만족에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Gon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2008
  • As time gees by, the function and role of website become more important. Therefore, it is very critical to evaluate and improve continuously the website to the purpose. Many previous studies show that some website evaluation factors will influence the user satisfaction and revisit to the website. The website evaluation criteria from the previous studies related to the university library website evaluation were classified into five assessment criteria which are design, contents, user interface, reliability, and site management. In the results, some significant suggestions were found out. User satisfaction is seriously affected by user interface, and user's intention to revisit is influenced by contents and reliability, but there may not be a close connection between them. Besides, the evaluation method in this study may be applicable to the new website-improving approach of website administrators and researchers.

A Theoretical Study on the Optimal Environmental Policy Instruments (환경정책수단의 최적성에 대한 이론적 검토)

  • Kwon, O-Sung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.397-425
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    • 2003
  • This paper develops a simple theoretical model that is consistent with the empirical evidence of an inverted U-shpated relationship between pollution and per capita income, which is so-called environmental Kuznets curve in this literature. Also, by incorporating the issue of environmental externality into an endogenous growth model, I investigate the circumstances under which growth can be sustained with the optimal control of pollution, and hence the sustainable development can be achieved. In order to study the problem of implementing the social optimum in a market economy, I examine the optimality of three different kinds of environmental policy instruments; pollution tax, pollution-permit trading system (pollution voucher), and direct regulation. This paper shows that the optimum can be implemented with a pollution tax or with a voucher system. Also, it is shown that the socially optimal rate of pollution tax should increase proportionally to the growth rate of consumption.

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