• Title/Summary/Keyword: 날씨자료

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Prediction of Spring Flowering Timing in Forested Area in 2023 (산림지역에서의 2023년 봄철 꽃나무 개화시기 예측)

  • Jihee Seo;Sukyung Kim;Hyun Seok Kim;Junghwa Chun;Myoungsoo Won;Keunchang Jang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2023
  • Changes in flowering time due to weather fluctuations impact plant growth and ecosystem dynamics. Accurate prediction of flowering timing is crucial for effective forest ecosystem management. This study uses a process-based model to predict flowering timing in 2023 for five major tree species in Korean forests. Models are developed based on nine years (2009-2017) of flowering data for Abeliophyllum distichum, Robinia pseudoacacia, Rhododendron schlippenbachii, Rhododendron yedoense f. poukhanense, and Sorbus commixta, distributed across 28 regions in the country, including mountains. Weather data from the Automatic Mountain Meteorology Observation System (AMOS) and the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) are utilized as inputs for the models. The Single Triangle Degree Days (STDD) and Growing Degree Days (GDD) models, known for their superior performance, are employed to predict flowering dates. Daily temperature readings at a 1 km spatial resolution are obtained by merging AMOS and KMA data. To improve prediction accuracy nationwide, random forest machine learning is used to generate region-specific correction coefficients. Applying these coefficients results in minimal prediction errors, particularly for Abeliophyllum distichum, Robinia pseudoacacia, and Rhododendron schlippenbachii, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 1.2, 0.6, and 1.2 days, respectively. Model performance is evaluated using ten random sampling tests per species, selecting the model with the highest R2. The models with applied correction coefficients achieve R2 values ranging from 0.07 to 0.7, except for Sorbus commixta, and exhibit a final explanatory power of 0.75-0.9. This study provides valuable insights into seasonal changes in plant phenology, aiding in identifying honey harvesting seasons affected by abnormal weather conditions, such as those of Robinia pseudoacacia. Detailed information on flowering timing for various plant species and regions enhances understanding of the climate-plant phenology relationship.

On the Study of the Seasonality Precipitatio over South Korea (남한의 강수 계절성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Hee-Jung;Kim, Hee-Jong;Yoon, Ill-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2006
  • This study analyzes the seasonality precipitation using precipitation data from 1973 to 2001 over South Korea. The Seasonality Index and Annual variation of the Seasonality Precipitation were investigated from sixty-three observation stations. The Seasonality Precipitation means the degree of the precipitation falling intensively for some specific months. Spatially, precipitation that has a strong characteristic of regional shower is defined as seasonal precipitation. Precipitation forms are changed with various reasons and mainly the sporadic and local shower precipitation after rain spell in summer. Especially there appears a tendency that this kind of precipitation is sharply increasing in 1990's. Seasonality Index is used as a method to understand seasonal precipitation. If the yearly rainfall is concentrated for some specific months, Seasonality Index is growing gradually. It is confirmed that there is a tendency that all the from sixty-two observation stations Seasonality Index. While Seasonality Index over South of Korea concentrated from June to August because of the summer rain spell in the past ($1973{\sim}1982$), there appears to be a tendency that it concentrated from August and September since the mid 1990's. From the analysis of seasonal precipitation intensity distribution, most of southern Korea is under seasonality precipitation intensity 4. The seasonality precipitation intensity classification results are as follow: most of the observation stations were on a scale intensity of 3 and 4 in the past but currently reads seasonality precipitation intensities of 5 and 6.

Projections of Future Summer Weather in Seoul and Their Impacts on Urban Agriculture (미래 서울의 여름날씨 전망과 도시농업에의 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.182-189
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    • 2015
  • Climate departure from the past variability was projected to start in 2042 for Seoul. In order to understand the implication of climate departure in Seoul for urban agriculture, we evaluated the daily temperature for the June-September period from 2041 to 2070, which were projected by the RCP8.5 climate scenario. These data were analyzed with respect to climate extremes and their effects on growth of hot pepper (Capsicum annuum), one of the major crops in urban farming. The mean daily maximum and minimum temperatures in 2041-2070 approached to the $90^{th}$ percentile in the past 30 years (1951-1980). However, the frequency of extreme events such as heat waves and tropical nights appeared to exceed the past variability. While the departure of mean temperature might begin in or after 2040, the climate departure in the sense of extreme weather events seems already in progress. When the climate scenario data were applied to the growth and development of hot pepper, the departures of both planting date and harvest date are expected to follow those of temperature. However, the maximum duration for hot pepper cultivation, which is the number of days between the first planting and the last harvest, seems to have already deviated from the past variability.

An analysis of behavioral characteristics in drivers in roll-over accident (전복사고 운전자를 대상으로 자동차 안전장치에 대한 행동특성 분석)

  • Lee, Hyo-Ju;Kim, Ho-Jung;Lee, Kang-Hyun;Lee, Myung-Lyeol;Choi, Hyo-Jueng
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.7329-7334
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    • 2015
  • This is to analyze of driver behavioral and the accident characteristics in rollover. The study period was January 2011 to May 2014 and the subject of study was 102 person who were drivers visited the emergency room. Research tool includes a damage information of the vehicle, accident mechanism, damage to the patient clinical information with the injury data from the ROAD Traffic Authority. For data analysis, SPSS 18.0 was used for t-test, ANOVA and Chi-square test. Injury Severity Score average score according to the vehicle type is 6.00 points in the smaller vehicle, at high vehicle 11.78 points, from the other vehicle that showed 14.70 points. Significant differences between the three groups did not show (P=.267). Men did not use a seat belt significantly compared to women(P=.007). Vehicle type and weather, this was no correlation with whether or not use the seat belt(P=.755, P=.793). But showed a tendency to smaller size vehicles drivers do not use a seat belt, the weather could see a little more inclined to use a seat belt rather than a sunny day. Finally, in rollover accidents as in other types of accident it was confirmed that the seat belt has a great influence on the damage.

Evaluating Effectiveness of Lane Departure Warning System by User Perceptions (차선이탈경고장치(LDWS) 이용자 만족도 평가 연구)

  • Joo, Shin-Hye;Oh, Cheol;Lee, Jae-Wan;Lee, Eun-Deok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2012
  • A lane departure warning system (LDWS) is an effective technology-based countermeasure for preventing traffic crashes as it provides warning information to drivers. Understanding the characteristics of perception and satisfaction levels on LDWS is fundamental for deriving better performance and functionality enhancements of the system. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the user satisfaction of LDWS. A survey to collect user perception and user preference data was conducted. Both cross-tabulation analysis and binary logistic regression technique were adopted to identify the factors affecting user satisfaction for LDWS. The results revealed that the accuracy and timeliness of warning information was significant for evaluating the effectiveness of LDWS. In particular, the warning accuracy at a curve segment on the road was the most dominant factor affecting user satisfaction. The outcome of this study would be valuable in evaluating and designing LDWS functionalities.

Pre-service Elementary School Teachers' Understanding of the 'Fog' Generation Experiment Presented in the 2009 and 2015 Revision Elementary Science Textbooks (2009 개정 및 2015 개정 초등 과학교과서에 제시된 안개 발생 실험에 대한 초등 예비교사의 이해)

  • Chung, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Earth Science Education
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the understanding of pre-service teachers in relation to the 'fog experiment' in the 5th grade 'Weather and Our Daily Life' unit of the 2009 and 2015 revised elementary school science textbooks. Pre-service teachers who participated in this study were 100 students, who are attending the university of education and taking courses in teaching research. After pre-learning about the 2009 and 2015 revised elementary school science textbooks and guide book, pre-service teachers conducted the experiment in groups. After that, the pre-service teachers individually presented answers to three questions, and the results of analyzing the answers are as follows. First, there were 24 (24%) preservice teachers who explained the difference in fog generation in the 2009 and 2015 revised curriculum with related scientific concepts such as condensation and water vapor, and only 1 (1%) of them explained the difference using the concept of saturation. Second, there were 48 (48%) pre-service teachers who found out the reason for the change in the fog experiment method according to the change in the curriculum. Third, pre-service teachers valued the reproduction and success of experiments rather than the importance of scientific knowledge, and such pre-service teachers suggested the use of alternative experiments or website.

Application of Information Flow Statistics to Micrometeorological Data to Identify the Ecosystem State (생태계의 상태 파악을 위한 정보 흐름 통계의 미기상학적 자료에의 적용)

  • Kim, Sehee;Yun, Juyeol;Kang, Minseok;Chun, Junghwa;Kim, Joon
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2013.11a
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    • pp.26-27
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    • 2013
  • 산림생태계의 에너지, 물질, 정보의 교환 과정과 그 변화를 이해하려면 먼저 생태계의 구조와 기능이 어떻게 상호작용하는지를 이해해야 한다. 생태계의 기능은 한, 두 가지의 특징에 의해서만 이루어지는 것이 아니다. 그렇기 때문에 그 기능을 파악하고 적절히 이용하거나 대응하기 위해서는 한 생태계와 주변 환경 전체를 바라볼 수 있는 시스템 사고가 필요하다. 이에 우리는 생태계의 '구조'를 파악함으로써 생태계의 '상태'를 이해하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 Ruddell and Kumar (2009)의 접근법을 따라, 어떻게 한 생태계의 상태를 파악할 수 있는가라는 질문을 광릉활엽수림에 적용하여 답하고자 한다. 즉, 우리는 산림생태계가 열린 복잡계라고 가정하고, 생태계 내에서 다양한 프로세스들 간의 시시각각 변하는 네트워크의 구조가 각 시점의 시스템의 상태를 나타내는 지표가 될 수 있다고 가정하였다. 이 연구에서는 그 구조적 특징을 정량화하여 나타내는데 초점을 맞추었다. 각각의 프로세스를 대표하는 상태 변수들 간의 정보 흐름의 양과 방향, 시간 규모를 계산해냄으로써 네트워크 구조를 파악하고자 하였다. 온대 산악지형 활엽수림인 GDK의 2008년 순생태계교환량(NEE), 총일차생산량(GPP), 생태계호흡량(RE), 현열플럭스(H), 잠열플럭스(LE), 하향단파복사(Rg), 강수량(Precipitation), 기압(Pressure), 기온(T), 포차(VPD)의 시계열 자료를 월별로 나누어 최장 18 시간 규모의 정보 흐름을 계산하였다. 정보 흐름의 구조를 파악하기 위하여 변수들 간의 전이엔트로피(Transfer entropy)와 상호정보(Mutual Information)를 계산하는 방법을 사용하였다. 또한 시계열 자료를 이용함으로써 변수들 간에 정보가 전달되는 시간 규모의 특성을 파악할 수 있었다. 최종적으로, 계산한 정보 흐름을 시각화하여 프로세스 네트워크 구조를 나타내었다. 결과는 월별로 생태계의 정보 흐름의 종류, 방향과 시간 규모, 그에 따른 프로세스 간 상호 작용의 특징 등을 보여준다. 이를 통해 계절적 환경 변화에 따라 시스템의 네트워크 구조와 상태가 어떻게 변화하는지 이해할 수 있을 것이다. 이 연구는 추후 우리 연구실에서 생산한 8 년 자료에 적용함으로써 다양한 날씨 및 기후변화와 환경 변화에 따라 생태계의 구조와 상태가 어떻게 변화하는지 연구하는 시작점이 될 것이다. 이 접근법은 단위나 차원에 무관하게 다양한 종류의 자료에 적용할 수 있는 반면에, 일관성 있게 정의된 시스템의 상태 및 그 상태를 구성하는 주요 하부 시스템들의 네트워크 상태를 이해하는데 이용될 수 있다. 본 연구는 비평형 열역학과 복잡계의 관점에서 바라 본 시스템 사고를 적용하려 하는 여러 연구 분야에 새로운 도전을 촉발할 좋은 선행연구가 될 것이라 기대된다.

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Comparison of Traffic Crash Characteristics Using Spatio-temporal Analysis in GIS-T (GIS-T 환경에서 시공간분석을 이용한 교통사고 특성 비교 - 도로 폐쇄 전후비교를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Ho-Yong;Baik, Ho-Jong;Kim, Ji-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2010
  • Traffic safety assessment is often accomplished by analyzing the number of crashes occurring in some geographic space over certain specific time duration. In this paper, we introduce a procedure that can efficiently analyze spatial and temporal changes in traffic crashes before-and-after implementation of a certain traffic controlling measure. For the analysis, crash frequency data before-and-after closing a major highway around St. Louis in Missouri was collected through Transportation Management System(TMS) database that is maintained by Missouri Department of Transportation (MoDOT). In order to identify any spatial and temporal pattern in crashes, each crash is pinpointed on a map using the dynamic segmentation in GIS. Then, the identified pattern is statistically confirmed using an analysis of variance table. The advantage of this approach is to easily assess spatial and temporal trend of crashes that are not readily attainable otherwise. The results from this study can possibly be applied in enhancing the highway safety assessment procedure. This paper also makes several suggestions for future development of a comprehensive transportation data system in Korea which is similar to MoDOT's TMS database.

Effects of Urban Park on Thermal Comfort in Summer - An Analysis of Microclimate Data of Seoul Forest Park - (여름철 도시공원의 열환경 개선 효과 - 서울숲 미기상 관측자료 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Zoh, Hyunmin Daniel;Kwon, Tae Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.30-41
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the heat mitigation effects and thermal comfort improvement due to urban parks during summer. Self-developed monitoring devices to measure long-term microclimate data were installed in three spots, including the park plaza, waterside, and roadside in Seoul Forest Park, and measurements were taken from July 9 to July 30. The results of the measurement are as follows. The daily temperature of the park plaza and waterside were found to be 2.7℃ and 2.9℃ lower than the roadside and 5.5℃ and 7.4℃ lower than the roadside from 10:00 to 16:00. In addition, the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) measurement was applied to measure the thermal comfort at each point. In the average daily analysis, a significant difference was found between the park plaza, the waterside, and the roadside, and a greater difference was found between 10:00 to 16:00. Also, although there was no significant difference due to the weather condition, a statistically significant difference was also found in the average PM10 and CO2 concentrations. It is found to be higher in the order from the roadside, park plaza, and waterside for PM10 concentration and park plaza, roadside, and waterside for CO2. In sum, although the difference in measured microclimate data and thermal comfort index results were different depending on the time and weather conditions at the three points, the park plaza and waterside, which are located inside the park, showed improved thermal comfort conditions and lower temperatures than the roadside outside the park.

Development of Risk Assesment Index for Construction Safety Using Statistical Data (통계자료를 활용한 건설안전 위험도 평가지수 개발)

  • Park, Hwan-Pyo;Han, Jae-Goo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.361-371
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    • 2019
  • In 2017, the ratio of the number of victims and deaths in the construction industry was the highest with 25.2% and 29.6%, respectively. Especially, as safety accidents at construction sites continue to increase, the economic loss is greatly increased too. Therefore, in order to prevent safety accidents in the construction work, the safety risk assessment index by type of construction was developed, and the main results of this study are as follows. First, 17 factors related to safety accidents at construction sites were derived through survey and interview survey, and this study suggested 9 items(process, type of construction, progress rate, contract amount, number of floors, safety education, working days and weather) throughout the expert advisory meeting. Second, the risk assessment index for safety accidents was developed based on the ratio and intensity of safety accidents. Third, to verify the risk assessment model, the construction safety risk assessment index by type of construction was derived by surveying and analyzing the statistics of the construction accident. In addition, the risk strength was calculated by dividing human damage caused by construction safety accidents into those killed and injured. The risk assessment index based on the frequency and intensity of safety accidents by type of construction is expected to be utilized as basic data when assessing the risk of similar projects in the future.