• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.10-19
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• 2011

In order to predict the risk of anthracnose on hot pepper in the future, the projected climate data from SRES A1B scenario in South Korea were used with the modified anthracnose model to calculate Infection Risk (IR), which was to estimate the number of fungicide sprays. Based on daily temperature and precipitation, the anthracnose model resulted in an empirical relationship that IR = (Daily temperature - $16^{\circ}C$) ${\times}$ 0.07 + (Daily precipitation ${\times}$ 0.11). For 135 locations in South Korea, the total number of fungicide sprays needed from 2011 to 2100 was 12,150, indicating a complicated change with an overall increase in anthracnose development in all locations until 2100. In particular, radical changes in anthracnose development were predicted at Yeongdeok, Yeongyang, and Uiseong, whereas gradual changes were predicted at Heongsung, Hamyang and Taean. The eastern counties of Gyeongbuk Province, which ar the major plantation area in these days, would be the place with the highest disease pressure in the future. In addition, the years of 2058, 61, 78 and 2096 will be most severe, requiring 8-11 times of fungicide spraying. The GIS maps show that the mountain areas of Jeonbuk and Chungbuk Province would have the least disease pressure of anthracnose in the future.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.7
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• pp.579-588
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• 2016

Changes in precipitation due to climate change is made to induce the local and intensive rainfall, it is increasing damage caused by inland inundation. Therefore, it requires a technique for predicting damage caused by flooding. In this study, in order to determine whether this flood inundated by any route when the levee was destroyed, Which can simulate the path of the flood inundation model was developed for the SIMOD (Simplified Inundation MODel). Multi Direction Method (MDM) for differential distributing the adjacent cells by using the slope and Flat-Water Assumption (FWA)-If more than one level higher in the cell adjacent to the cell level is the lowest altitude that increases the water level is equal to the adjacent cells- were applied For the evaluation of the model by setting the flooding scenarios were estimated hourly range from the target area. SIMOD model can significantly reduce simulation time because they use a simple input data of topography (DEM) and inflow flood. Since it is possible to predict results within minutes, if you can only identify inflow flood through the runoff model or levee collapse model. Therefore, it could be used to establish an evacuation plan due to flooding, such as EAP (Emergency Action Plan).

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.129-139
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• 2009

The transportation network is a critical infrastructure in the event of natural and human caused disasters such as rainfall, snowfall, and terror and so on. Particularly, the transportation network in an urban area where a large number of population live is subject to be negatively affected from such events. Therefore, efficient traffic operation plans are required to assist rapid evacuation and effective detour of vehicles on the network as soon as possible. Recently, ubiquitous communication and sensor network technology is very useful to improve data collection and connection related emergency information. In this study, we develop a specific algorithm to provide evacuation route and detour information only for vehicles under emergency situations. Our algorithm is based on shortest path search technique and dynamic traffic assignment. We perform the case study to evaluate model performance applying hypothetical scenarios involved terror. Results show that the model successfully describe effective path for each vehicle under emergency situation.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.62 no.5
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• pp.47-62
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• 2020

Rice paddy accounts for approximately 52.5% of all farmlands in South Korea, and it is closely related to the water environment. Climate change is expected to affect not only agricultural productivity also the water and the nutrient circulation. Therefore this study was aimed to evaluate changes of nitrogen load from rice paddy considering climate change scenario uncertainty. APEX-Paddy model which reflect rice paddy environment by modifying APEX (Agricultural Policy and Environmental eXtender) model was used. Using the AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) offered by the APEC Climate Center, bias correction was conducted for 9 GCMs using non-parametric quantile mapping. Bias corrected climate change scenarios were applied to the APEX-Paddy model. The changes and uncertainty in runoff and nitrogen load were evaluated using multi-model ensemble. Paddy runoff showed a change of 23.1% for RCP4.5 scenario and 45.5% for RCP8.5 scenario compared the 2085s (2071 to 2100) against the base period (1976 to 2005). The nitrogen load was found to be increased as 43.9% for RCP4.5 scenario and 76.0% for RCP8.5 scenario. The uncertainty analysis showed that the annual standard deviation of nitrogen loads increased in the future, and the maximum entropy indicated an increasing tendency. And Duncan's analysis showed significant differences among GCMs as the future progressed. The result of this study seems to be used as a basis for mid- and long-term policies for water resources and water system environment considering climate change.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.293-303
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• 2008

Reservoir turbidity flows degrade the efficiency and sustainability of water supply system in many countries located in monsoon climate region. A decision support system called RTMMS aimed to assist reservoir operations was developed for the real time monitoring, modeling, and management of turbidity flows induced by flood runoffs in Daecheong reservoir. RTMMS consists of a real time data acquisition module that collects and stores field monitoring data, a data assimilation module that assists pre-processing of model input data, a two dimensional numerical model for the simulation of reservoir hydrodynamics and turbidity, and a post-processor that aids the analysis of simulation results and alternative management scenarios. RTMMS was calibrated using field data obtained during the flood season of 2004, and applied to real-time simulations of flood events occurred on July of 2006 for assessing its predictive capability. The system showed fairly satisfactory performance in reproducing the density flow regimes and fate of turbidity plumes in the reservoir with efficient computation time that is a vital requirement for a real time application. The configurations of RTMMS suggested in this study can be adopted in many reservoirs that have similar turbidity issues for better management of water supply utilities and downstream aquatic ecosystem.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.54-66
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• 2008

After the Kyoto Protocol has been ratified in Feb. 16 2005, the developed countries which is involved in Annex-1 have tried to mitigate GHG to the reduction objective. To accomplish this objective, EU developed EU-ETS, CDM project, and so on. Korea has faced pressure to be a member of Annex-1, because Korea and Mexico are only non-Annex-1 countries in the OECD nations. In this study, we simulated power plant expansion plan and calculated $CO_2$ emission with changing Carbon Tax. Especially, we focused on the competitiveness of IGCC and carbon capture technology. In our result, even though carbon tax rise, nuclear power plant does not always increase, it increase up to minimum load. LNG combined cycle power plants substitute the coal fired power plants. If there are many alternatives like IGCC, these substitute a coal fired power plant and we can reduce more $CO_2$ and save mitigation cost.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.133-133
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• 2016

지구온난화와 그에 따른 기후변화로 수자원부족현상이 전지구적으로 나타남에 따라 세계 각국은 물부족 현상을 극복하기 위해 다양한 대처방안을 찾고 있다. 가상수 이론은 전세계적 차원에서 상품에 내재된 가상수를 통해 물을 공급하고 배분함으로써 물부족을 해결할 수 있다는 주장으로서 물부족현상에 처한 세계 각국의 관심을 끌고 있다. 특히 향후 국제적 수준에서 물거래에 대한 조치가 예상됨에 따라 이에 가상수가 국가간에 얼마나 어떠한 형태로 이동하는지 '가상수 이동'에 대한 정보가 필요하게 되었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 지금까지의 가상수 흐름에 대한 정보는 미국이나 일본 등을 중심으로 한 자료뿐이었다. 한국을 중심으로 한국의 관심사를 반영한 가상수 이동에 대한 연구결과는 충분하지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 전세계적 수준에서의 가상수 이동추이를 한국을 중심으로 분석하도록 한다. 분석수준은 전세계적 수준과 국가간 수준이며, 분석기간은 1989년부터 2014년까지 총 26년이다. 분석 대상은 가상수 교역이 활발한 주요 16개국의 11개 농축산물이다. 분석을 위한 자료로는 UN과 세계식량기구의 자료를 활용해 데이터셋을 구축했다. 분석결과 전세계적 수준에서는 콩, 옥수수, 밀, 보리가 주요 가상수 수출입 품목으로 밝혀졌다. 시기별로는 1999년 까지는 밀의 교역이 압도적이었으나 1999년 이후 콩 가상수의 교역이 증가하고 있는 것으로 파악되었다. 가상수의 유형과 관련해서는 녹색가상수의 교역이 청색가상수보다 압도적으로 많았으며, 국가간의 가상수 이동량은 지속적으로 증가하고 있는 추세임을 알 수 있었다. 가상수의 주요 수출국은 미국을 비롯해 브라질, 아르헨티나, 호주 등 농업대국이 상위권을 차지했고, 주요 수입국은 중국, 일본, 한국 등 동북아시아 국가들이었다. 가상수 수출은 미국이 분석기간 내내 우위를 차지하나, 2000년대 이후 중국의 부상이 눈에 띄는 변화라고 할 수 있다. 가상수 수입과 관련해서는 2000년대 이후 중국의 가상수 수입 증가 추세가 두드러졌다. 국가간 수준의 분석에서는 한국과 미국, 한국과 중국, 한국과 호주 등 한국의 주요 가상수 교역국가간의 흐름을 분석했다. 국가간 수준의 분석에서 특기할 만한 점은 미국에서 한국으로 이동한 전체 가상수의 81퍼센트를 녹색가상수가 차지하며, 한국에서 중국으로 이동한 가상수의 74퍼센트가 축산물 가상수라는 점이었다. 본 연구의 분석결과를 기반으로 해 향후에는 가상수 이동 데이터베이스를 구축할 것이 요구되며, 가상수 이동추이의 변화가 가져올 시나리오에 대한 연구도 필요하다고 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.3
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• pp.187-194
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• 2019

Intake ratio from river constitutes about 31% (8/26) that beings to "water stress country" as "Medium ~ High" with China, India, Italy, South Africa, etc. Therefore, the present study on a dam that is the most effective and direct for securing water resources has been performed. First of all, climate change scenarios were investigated and analyzed. RCP 4.5 and 8.5 with 12.5 km grid resolution presented in the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) were applied to study watershed using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) and HEC-ResSim models that carried out co-operation. Based on the results of dam simulation, the reduction effects of floods and droughts were quantitatively presented. The procedures of dam projects of the USA, Japan and Korea were investigated. As a result, there are no estimating quantitative criteria, calculating methods or formulas. In the present study, therefore, indexes for selecting suitable dam site through literature investigation and analyzing dam watersheds were determined, Expert questionnaire for various indexes were performed. Based on the above mentioned investigation and expert questionnaire, a methodology assigning weight using AHP method were proposed. The function of suitable dam (FSDS) site was calibrated and verified for four medium-sized watersheds. Finally, automated model for suitable dam site was developed using FSDS and 'Model builder' of GIS tool.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.3
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• pp.219-226
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• 2019

Recently, research about Low-Impact Development (LID) techniques has been expanded due to problems with the effects of climate change and urbanization that have been increasing. LID technology is used to control flood damage environmentally to reduce runoff and is reduce runoff on city also restore into previous water circulation system from present developed city. However, studies about quantitative data of LID techniques are insufficient. Therefore in this study, the Curve Number (CN) was calculated with the Planter Box, which is storage type LID technology to conduct the water circulation (infiltration, runoff, overflow) analysis. Rainfall intensity scenario (60.4 mm/hr, 83.1 mm/hr, 97.4 mm/hr, 108.2 mm/hr) about water circulation analysis of Planter Box is selected on the basis of probable rainfall intensity table. According to the experimental results, the storage rate of rainwater in Building Planter Box and Street Planter Box was 43.5% to 52.9% and 33.4% to 39%, respectively. In addition, CN value is estimated to 83 at the Planter box and the runoff reduction effect by applying Horton's infiltration capacity curve showed on 51% to 98%.

• Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.63-74
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• 2019

This study carried out a human risk assessment of Cu, Pb, Zn and Ni contained in soil contaminated by improperly buried heavy metal wastes in railway sites. The purpose of the human risk assessment is to derive the need for soil remediation and factors that should be considered during soil remediation. Risk assessment was performed in accordance with the Environment Ministry's Risk Assessment Guidelines. The results of the human risk assessment of contaminated heavy metal soil contaminated by improperly buried waste in the railway site were presented after the process of determining exposure concentration, calculating exposure, and determining carcinogenic hazards. The heavy metal content of soil is 621.3 Cu mg/kg, 2,824.5 Pb mg/kg, 1,559.1 Zn mg/kg and 45 Ni mg/kg, which is the exposure concentration of the target contaminant. The results of human exposure according to exposure pathways were high in the order of soil outdoor dust >soil ingestion >soil contact, and Pb >Zn >Cu >Ni were higher in order of contaminant. The carcinogenic and noncarcinogenic risks of soil contaminated with heavy metal waste were higher than the allowable carcinogenic risks (TCR> $10^{-6}$) and the risk index (Hi < 1.0) suggested by USEPA. Therefore, the site needs to be remediated.