• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기울기 예측모델 PB-S curve

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Prediction of Final Construction Cost and Duration by Forecasting the Slopes of Cost and Time for Each Stage (공사 진행단계별 기울기 추정을 통한 최종 공사비 및 공기 예측)

  • Jin, Eui-Jae;Kwak, Soo-Nam;Kim, Du-Yon;Kim, Hyoung-Kwan;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2006
  • Cost and duration is important factors which directly affect profit therefore must be forecasted correctly to accomplish success of projects. So construction company uses EVMS(Earned Value Management System) to forecast final cost and duration. But previous forecasting model has low accuracy because of its linear forecasting method and can't reflect characteristic of company and project and changes as each progress. This paper presents cost and duration forecasting model using the slope prediction of cost and duration as each progress to reflect the various characteristics of construction industry. EVMS data of 23 road construction projects was used to make up regression analysis equation of slope forecasting model.

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