• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.289-295
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• 2003

In this paper, the option valuation of venture business was calculated by utilizing growth option model, chosen from real option valuation method. The evaluation of venture business was estimated by adding option value to the terminal value discounted from cashflow method. As the result of the empirical analysis, ROV model applied in the Study is more reliable Han the DCF model concerning the pricing of venture business. Unlike the previous study of Schartz & Moon which only analyzed one venture business, this study estimated and analyzed the rational pricing of venture business with comparative methods using various parameters of sampling 99 domestic venture businesses.

• Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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• 2004.02a
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• pp.246-263
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• 2004

신뢰성 있는 프로젝트 가치평가를 위해서는 프로젝트 투자에 의해 발생하는 효과들을 정확하게 파악하고, 이를 계량적이고 객관적으로 측정할 수 있는 평가방법론을 개발하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 전통적으로 제조시스템에서의 프로젝트 가치평가는 재무적 방식에 의한 평가에 기초해 왔다. 그러나 제조시스템에서의 프로젝트 가치평가는 재무적 방식에 의한 평가에 기초해 왔다. 그러나 제조시스템에서 품질, 재고, 리드타임 등 비재무적 성과지표를 화폐가치로 정량화하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 따라서 최근에는 재무적 성과지표와 비재무적 성과지표를 모두 고려하는 성과지표 중심의 프로젝트 평가방법의 개발이 보편화되고 있으며, 전통적인 프로젝트 평가에서는 고려하지 않았던 불확실성을 확률분포로 고려하는 평가방법의 개발이 요구되고 있다. 그러나 현재까지 성과지표 간의 상호관계를 고려하여 프로젝트 투자에 의한 개별 성과지표의 개선을 정량적으로 평가하는 방법론에 관한 기존연구는 거의 없다. 본 논문은 제조시스템에서의 성과지표를 중심으로 공리적 설계에서의 정보공리의 정보량 개념을 이용한 프로젝트 평가방법론에 대해 제안한다. 본 논문에서는 개별 성과지표의 정보량 계산을 위한 수학적 모델링에 대해 고찰하고, 해석적 분석의 어려움을 해결하기 위해 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션의 적용에 대해 서술한다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.17 no.10
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• pp.231-240
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• 2017

Although the value of technology is evaluated by various methods, the result of technology valuation is different from evaluator and evaluation methods. Also the uncertainty on the result occurs with respect to the evaluation factors and evaluation model which should be considered. In the case of lack of data or comparison target, the credibility of the technology valuation result could be unsure. To decrease uncertainty of the technology valuation, Fuzzy concept and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method are applied instead of using existing methods which evaluate technology value(level) by the number. In the research, we firstly devide evaluation criteria into technology value factor and business value factor and evaluate the technology level for micro pressure wave reduction technology which has been developed in Korea. Technology value factor is marked as high level with 46%, and business value factor is very high with 44%, and the overall level of technology is evaluated between very high and high. It helps to compare to other technology in the rivalry by the factors as it can evaluate the value of technology by factors. The technology valuation method which is applied in this research is expected to use on analyzing technology level of new technology or alternative technology in many different field.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.242-261
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• 2012

Early stages of technology valuation have been often overlooked or under-represented. The early stage technologies are even riskier due to their inadequacy of commercial development and market applicability. More than 95% of patents fail to earn any revenues so that the majority of patents were valueless. Technology transfers from laboratories at universities and research institutes to industrial firms have increased to acquire value from invented technologies. Technology transfer, a process of transferring discoveries and innovations resulted from research to commercial sectors, typically comprises several steps: disclosing the discoveries and innovations, i.e., intellectual property (IP), evaluating the IP's economic prospects, securing a patent, copyright or trademark for the IP, commercializing the technology through licensing, forming a joint venture, or selling. At each of those stages in the research and development of technology, the value of technology would play a very important role of making decision on the movement toward the next step, however, the financial value of technology is not easy to determine due to a great amount of uncertainty in the course of research and development, and commercialization. This paper refers to technology embodied as devices, equipment, software or processes primarily developed at public research institutions such as universities. Sometimes it is also as the result of externally financed projects contracted with industry. Nearly always technology developed at public research entities results in laboratory prototypes. When it is required to define the technology transfer contract terms for the license of the university patrimonial rights to external funding companies or other interested parties, a question arises: what is the monetary value? In this paper, we present a method for technology valuation based on the identification of specific value points related to its development. The final technology value must be within previously defined value limits. This paper consists of the review of issues related to technology transfer and commercialization, the identification of characteristics of technologies in the early stage of technology development, the formulation of framework of methods to value the early stage technologies, and the conclusion and implication of the previous review.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.8 no.5
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• pp.1259-1265
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• 2007

In order to accelerate the development of the Film Industry of Korea it is quite necessary to evaluate the value of Film Production Company appropriately and then to activate investment through its work of estimating. So far however, the researches on the evaluation model for Korean Film Production Company has been rarely conducted considering those of any other advanced countries. Therefore, the appropriate valuation model among numerous valuation model for film firms has not been provided until now. So the purpose of this article is to suggest the rational decision making criteria for the investment of Film Production Company by comparing with DCF, FCF, and ROV model through the empirical research focused on case study. According to the results of research, ROV model is more efficient and available comparing other two methods.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.60-84
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• 2011

This study accomplished technology improvement assessment of Gashydrate R&D project using ANP method which can deal with the sophisticated decisions involving a variety of interactions and dependencies. Criteria were selected by consultation and questionnaires with experts in four technology parts of gas hydrate project, and then the network was formed from relation with criteria and alternatives. As the result of analysis, the weight matrix was derived and the various relation in the network was able to be verified. The analysis was accomplished with four technology parts - geophysical exploration technology, geological and geochemical technology, analysis of deep-drill cores and stability technology, production technology - and the 'reliability' criterion ranked the highest of all parts. The rank of other criteria and the result of technology improvement assessment reflected the level of each technology. Thus, the result of this study will contribute to policy decision-making for developing and evaluating gas hydrate technology and other R&D projects.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.754-783
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• 2013

This study aims to suggest an empirical approach for improving the reliability of the valuation method for the technology developed at universities by using the recent data of university technology transfer. The influencing factors, the internal capabilities of an university and the characteristics of technology area, on the outcome of university technology transfer were investigated for this study. The analysis shows that the technology area distribution of the outcome of technology transfer of each university can be classified into two type: IT and NT area oriented type, and BT and other area oriented type. The analysis also shows that the type of technology area distribution can act as a moderator in the positive relationship between each independent variables, the number of patent applications and the number of technology commercialization staff, and the outcome of technology transfer. Considering that the capability of technology development and that of technology spread are related directly or indirectly to all the technology valuation process, the analysis results imply that the reliability of the valuation method for university technology might be improved by using factors of the internal capabilities of an university and that of the characteristics of technology area.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.1-17
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• 2010

Association rules among product items by association analysis suggest sales effect among products. These are useful for marketing strategies such as cross-selling and product display etc. However, if we evaluate more practical product values reflecting cross-selling effects, they will be also more useful for the decisions of companies such as product item selection for product assortment and profit maximization etc. This study proposes product value evaluation models with the concept of effective value based on single-item association chain and itemset association chain. In addition to that, we performed experiments with transaction data related to clothing of an online shopping mall in Korea to show the performances of our models. In result, we confirmed that some items increased in effective values compared with their pure values while the others decreased in effective values.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.58-67
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• 2014

The proportion of investment in national R&D projects in construction and transportation has been increasing continuously; in terms of the size of R&D projects, there are many medium- to large-sized projects of over KRW 10 billion. However, in spite of such continuous increase in R&D investments, there are many technologies developed but not commercialized, i.e., the quiescence of technology. Accordingly, it is necessary to link the R&D results to commercialization by expanding the scope of R&D projects. In this context, this study presented objective reference prices to be used in contracting/transacting technology and implementing commercialization strategy by conducting technology valuations against on-going research projects with earnings approach, and by estimating value of patented technology. Sum of free cash flow (business value) that can be generated during the life of the technology was estimated as KRW 512 million by reflecting a discount rate of 16.34% to convert it into the present value. In addition, the technology value was computed as KRW 227million by applying a technology factor of 44.39% to the above value. Based on the technology value estimated in this way, it is necessary to establish industrialization and commercialization strategy of the technology.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1381-1384
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• 2006

본 연구는 21C 프론티어사업과 같이 상용화를 전제로 하는 기술개발사업의 파급효과 정량화를 위하여, 기술의 분석뿐이 아닌 기술개발로 인하여 산출되는 제품과 이를 수요하게 될 산업 간의 연관도의 작성을 제안한다. 그 사례로서 기술 개발의 실용화를 통하여 물관리 효율을 높이고 친환경적으로 신규 수자원을 개발하여 예상되고 있는 한국의 물부족 나아가서는 세계의 물문제의 해결을 목표로 하고 있는 수자원의 지속적 확보기술개발사업단의 기술을 분석한다. 기술개발사업의 최종목표가 상용화를 통하여 달성된다면 개발하고 있는 기술의 경제적 가치 분석 작업에는 당연히 최종수요자에 대한 고려가 있어야 할 것이다. 그러나 일반적으로 기술개발자는 기술의 개발 시 수요자에 대한 고려가 미흡하며, 수요자 역시 개발자에게 충분한 정보를 주지 못하고 있다. 이로 인하여 수많은 정부주도 기술개발사업에는 이른바 Valley of Death, 즉 기술은 개발되었으나 상용화의 벽을 넘지 못하고 사라져 가는 현상이 매우 빈번히 나타나고 있다. 이를 해결하기 위하여 개별기술평가에 기존의 기술연관도나 산업연관도와 달리 이들을 기술개발단계별로 연결하여주는 가칭 '기술-제품-산업연관도'의 작성을 제안한다. 이를 통하여 기술개발로 인하여 궁극적으로 산출되는 제품과 이들을 수요하는 산업들간의 연관관계를 확인할 수 있어 연구 포트폴리오 구성, 기술가치평가 및 공정분석기법의 적용범위 체계화, 수자원의 지속적 확보 기술의 기술이전 및 실용화를 촉진하기 위한 전략 마련에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 기술-제품-산업 연관도를 통해 수자원의 지속적 확보기술의 정량적 성과평가가 더욱 용이하여지며, 특히 수요자간의 의견수렴절차에서 매우 긴요하게 쓰일 수 있어, 기술개발사업의 타당성을 확보할 수 있으며, 개발기술의 상용화율 제고 및 잠재수요층 개발과 기업 투자자와 정부관계자의 이해도 중진을 통한 사업진행효율 증대를 기대할 수 있다. 또한 본 연구는 각종 개발기술의 파급효과 분석의 가이드라인으로 활용될 수 있으며 다른 기술분야 평가에도 객관적이고 타당성 있는 평가 틀로서 활용 가능할 것이다.