• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기상요소

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Developing Korean Forest Fire Occurrence Probability Model Reflecting Climate Change in the Spring of 2000s (2000년대 기후변화를 반영한 봄철 산불발생확률모형 개발)

  • Won, Myoungsoo;Yoon, Sukhee;Jang, Keunchang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to develop a forest fire occurrence model using meteorological characteristics for practical forecasting of forest fire danger rate by reflecting the climate change for the time period of 2000yrs. Forest fire in South Korea is highly influenced by humidity, wind speed, temperature, and precipitation. To effectively forecast forest fire occurrence, we developed a forest fire danger rating model using weather factors associated with forest fire in 2000yrs. Forest fire occurrence patterns were investigated statistically to develop a forest fire danger rating index using times series weather data sets collected from 76 meteorological observation centers. The data sets were used for 11 years from 2000 to 2010. Development of the national forest fire occurrence probability model used a logistic regression analysis with forest fire occurrence data and meteorological variables. Nine probability models for individual nine provinces including Jeju Island have been developed. The results of the statistical analysis show that the logistic models (p<0.05) strongly depends on the effective and relative humidity, temperature, wind speed, and rainfall. The results of verification showed that the probability of randomly selected fires ranges from 0.687 to 0.981, which represent a relatively high accuracy of the developed model. These findings may be beneficial to the policy makers in South Korea for the prevention of forest fires.

Correlation Coefficients between Pine Mushroom Emergence and Meteorological Elements in Yangyang County, Korea (양양지역 송이 발생과 기상요소의 상관관계)

  • Shim, Kyo-Moon;Ko, Cheol-Soon;Lee, Yang-Soo;Kim, Gun-Yeob;Lee, Jeong-Taek;Kim, Soon-Jung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.188-194
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    • 2007
  • The relationships between pine mushroom emergence and meteorological factors were analyzed with three years (from 2003 to 2005) of measurement data at Yangyang site, in order to evaluate the effect of micrometeorological environment on pine mushroom production. fine mushroom was daily monitored and collected in the survey area during the its producing period (approximately one month). Pine mushroom production was highest in 2005 with the meteorological conditions of high temperature and frequent rainfalls in October. The production was lowest in 2004 due to dry conditions from mid September to late October, The meterological factors related to humidity (i.e., relative humidity, soil water content, and precipitation) were better correlated than those related to temperature (i.e., air and soil temperature, soil heat flux and solar radiation) with pine mushroom production. However, all of the correlation coefficients were statistically insignificant with values ranging from 0.15 to 0.46. Such poor correlations may be attributed to various other environmental conditions (e.g., topography, soil, vegetation, other fungi, the relationship between pine mushroom and pine forest) affecting pine mushroom production. We found that a mycelium requires a stimulation of low temperature (of three-day moving average) below $19.5^{\circ}C$, in order to farm a mushroom primordium which grows to pine mushroom after 16 days from the stimulation. We also found that the pine mushroom production ended when the soil temperature (of three-day moving average) fell below $14.0^{\circ}C$.

Boundary Line Analysis of Rice Yield Responses to Meteorological Conditions for Yield Prediction II. Verification of Yield Prediction Model (최대경계선을 이용한 벼 수량의 기상반응분석과 수량 예측 II. 수량예측모형 검증)

  • 김창국;이변우;한원식
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.113-116
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    • 2001
  • 90년대 이후 다양한 첨단전산기술들이 작물모형분야에도 이용되기 시작하였는데 농업생태계 평가를 위한 국지단위 모의모형의 활용, 인공위성 등을 이용한 원격계측정보의 활용, GIS기술 등은 농업분야에서 널리 활용되고 있는 첨단 신기술의 대표적인 사례가 되고 있다. 이러한 신기술들은 농업기상정보를 생산하는 데에 이용될 뿐만 아니라 가장 중요한 환경요소로서 농업기상정보를 필요로 한다(Munakata, 1976).(중략)

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Stochastic Daily Weather Generations for Ungaged Stations (기상자료 미계측 지역의 추계학적 기상발생모형)

  • 강문성;박승우;진영민
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1998
  • A stochastic weather generator which simulate daily precipitation, maximum and minimum daily temperature, relative humidity was developed. The model parameters were estimated using stochastic characteristics analysis of historical data of 71 weather stations. Spatial variations of the parameters for the country were also analyzed. Model parameters of ungauged Sites were determined from parameters of adjacent weather stations using inverse distance method. The model was verified on Suwon and Ulsan weather stations and showed good agreement between simulated and observed data.

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Development of Traffic Accident Safety Index under Different Weather Conditions (기상특성에 따른 교통사고 안전성 평가지표 개발 (고속도로를 대상으로))

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Hong, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2010
  • It is well known that weather conditions are closely related with the number and severity of traffic accidents. At present, installation of safety countermeasures including systems is common approach to reduce the damage of traffic accidents at expressways. In this study, the differences of causation factors to influence traffic accidents considering road alignment characteristics and weather conditions. In order to identify the relationship between road and weather conditions, discriminant analysis has been performed with 500 traffic accident data at expressways. Weather conditions are divided into several categories such as snow, sunny, rain, fog, and cloud. Also, road conditions such as types of pavements, grades are analyzed. As the results, major impacting road conditions to traffic accidents are concrete pavement and 3% or more down grades. In these road conditions, visible distance will be reduced and actual braking distances will be increased. This study shows that the expressway sections under concrete pavement and down grades should be more cautious than other sections. It also shows that fog condition is the mose dangerous situation in terms of traffic accidents.

Analysis of Weather Conditions from Hourly to Seasonal Scales for Pilot Aviation Training Organization(ATO): Case study for Muan International Airport (조종사 양성 전문교육기관을 위한 시간대 및 계절별 기상분석 연구 : 무안국제공항을 중심으로)

  • Son, Byoung Wook;Kim, Hyeonmi;Kim, Hui Yang
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.249-260
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    • 2022
  • Student pilots receiving flight education are inexperienced in piloting and situation judgment skills and are greatly affected by various factors such as psychological, physical, and environmental factors. In particular, one of the most influential factors in the flight education of student pilots is the weather conditions. Unlike large aircraft used in the air transportation business, small aircraft used for flight education have a great impact on education, such as flight restrictions depending on weather conditions, psychological pressure in severe weather, and deterioration of student skills. Therefore, in this study, the meteorological characteristics of meteorological factors that have a great influence on small aircraft were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, an efficient and safe training operation method was suggested to a professional pilot aviation training organization through the adjustment of the training period for the season, the increase in aircraft operation rate, and a safe solo flight plan considering the weather.

Fog Forecasting by Using Numerical Weather Prediction Model (수치모델을 이용한 안개 예측 사례 연구)

  • 김영아;오희진;서태건
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 2002
  • 기상학적으로 안개는 지상에서 발생하는 응결 현상으로, 시정이 1km 이하일 때로 정의된다. 안개 발생은 기후 인자의 영향을 많이 받는다. 따라서 각 지역마다의 발생 특성을 따로 통계해야 할 필요가 있다. 특히 항공 교통의 장애가 되는 위험 요소로서의 역할이 중시되어 각 비행장마다 발생 특성이 따로 통계 분석되고 이용되어 왔다.(중략)

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