• Land and Housing Review
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• v.2 no.4
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• pp.367-377
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• 2011

This paper investigates the determination factors' variation of real estate price after sub-prime financial crisis, in korea, using a VAR model. The model includes land price, housing price, housing rent (Jensei) price, which time period is from 2000:1Q to 2011:2Q and uses interest rate, real GDP, consumer price index, KOSPI, the number of housing construction, the amount of land sales and practices to impulse response and variance decomposition analysis. Data cover two sub-periods and divided by 2008:3Q that occurred the sub-prime crisis; one is a period of 2000:1Q to 2008:3Q, the other is based a period of 2000:1Q to 2011:2Q. As a result, Comparing sub-prime crisis before and after, land price come out that the influence of real GDP is expanding, but current interest rate's variation is weaken due to the stagnation of current economic status and housing construction market. Housing price is few influenced to interest rate and real GDP, but it is influenced its own variation or Jensei price's variation. According to the Jensei price's rapidly increasing in nowadays, housing price might be increasing a rising possibility. Jensei price is also weaken the influence of all economic index, housing price, comparing before sub-prime financial crisis and it is influenced its own variation the same housing price. As you know, real estate price is weakened market basic value factors such as, interest rate, real GDP, because it is influenced exogenous economic factors such as population structural changes. Economic participators, economic officials, consumer, construction supplyers need to access an accurate observation about current real estate market and economic status.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.45 no.4
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• pp.57-77
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• 2023

The Chonsei component holds the highest level of weight (5.4%) in the composition of the Korean consumer price index (CPI). The variations in Chonsei prices are directly reflected in the CPI as a representation of cost swings. The Chonsei refers to a deposit that accumulates the costs related to housing services and is mostly affected by variations in rental rates. Nevertheless, it is important to note that Chonsei prices are also susceptible to fluctuations in interest rates, regardless of the rent prices. Therefore, if Chonsei were directly and one-to-one indexed to the CPI, they could include changes other than residential service prices. After analyzing the time series data of the Chonsei index and rent index inside the CPI, it becomes apparent that the Chonsei index displays an average annual growth rate of 2.3%, whilst the rent index reveals a growth rate of 0.9%. The observed disparity in growth rates indicates a divergence in trends between the two indices. It is posited that the Chonsei index, when capitalized, has had a more rapid increase compared to the rental index, owing to the gradual drop in interest rates. To effectively reflect fluctuations in the housing service costs, proxies for the Chonsei index were utilized in the construction of a consumer price index. The findings of our study suggest that, overall, the newly developed CPI demonstrates a comparatively lower rate of inflation when compared to the official CPI. Furthermore, the inclusion of imputed rents for owner-occupied housing in CPI amplifies this effect.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.165-183
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• 1997

생명공학은 기술의 특성상 보건 의료, 농업, 자원 환경, 에너지 등 광범위한 산업에 응용될 수 있는 고부가가치형, 두뇌기술집약형, 탈공해형, 자원 및 에너지절약형 기술이라는 특징을 지니고 있어 21세기 미래산업을 선도할 것으로 기대되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 생명공학기술이 1980년과 1990년 사이의 산업구조에 어떠한 변화를 초래하였는지를 알아보는 것이다. 생명공학의 산업경제적 파급효과를 분석해 보기 위해 한국은행에서 발행한 산업연관표를 이용하여 생명공학 관련산업의 지원에 따른 국내 제반산업의 생산변화율을 측정하였다. 정부의 지원이나 금리 및 세제의 혜택을 통해 생명공학 산업 관련 비용이 감소하게 되면 이에 따른 가격변화가 국내 산업발전과 고용의 증가를 갖는 것으로 믿어진다. 고정계수 아닌 변화계수를 특징으로 하는 본 모형의 접근방법은 생명공학에 대한 재정지원 및 세제 인센티브 등을 외생변수로 처리하여 산업구조 변화의 추이와 고용유발 등을 예측하였다. 본 논문의 가설은 생명공학의 영역이 점차 증대되어 나아가기 때문에 1980년의 제반산업의 영향은 1990년의 영향보다는 적어야 한다. 즉 생명공학 관련비용 하락이 전체산업에 미치는 1980년의 생산율 증가보다 1990년의 생산율 증가가 커야 할 것이다. 본 가설에 대한 검증의 과정에서 얻은 통계치를 통해 생명공학산업이 한국 산업 전체에 미치는 영향이 10년 동안에 그 차이가 거의 없어 미성숙 단계에 있다는 결론을 짓게 되었다. 따라서 생명공학 분야의 계속적인 발전을 위해서는 선진국 수준의 독자적 기술개발을 통한 국제 경쟁력을 강화해야 하는데 이를 위한 정부 및 민간기업 투자확대와 연구개발 지원체제의 확대가 요망되고 있다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.321-334
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• 2020

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) has decided to cut interest rates. When we look at the expression of the FOMC statements at the time of policy change period we can understand that Fed has been communicating with markets through a change of word selection. However, there is a criticism that the method of analyzing the expression of the decision sentence through the context can be subjective and limited in qualitative analysis. In this paper, we evaluate the signaling effect of FOMC statements based on previous research. We analyze decision making characteristics from the viewpoint of text mining and try to predict future policy trend changes by capturing changes in expressions between statements. For this purpose, a decision tree and neural network models are used. As a result of the analysis, it can be judged that the discrepancy indicators between statements could be used to predict the policy change in the future and that the US Federal Reserve has systematically implemented policy signaling through the policy statements.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.291-314
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• 2011

We examine the motives of foreigner's investments in the Korean bonds by maturity and try to prove that market impacts are different by their investment maturity. Foreign investors initially focused on short-term bonds, but have expanded to mid- to long-term bonds since 2010. The previous studies found that covered interest arbitrage was the main reason for foreign investment. However, there should be some other reasons as their investment in mid- to long-term bonds might have nothing to do with arbitrage. In the empirical analysis, we found that foreign investment in bonds with less than 2 year maturity is driven by arbitrage as previous studies. However, investment in bonds with 2-5 year maturity is sensitive to the FX volatility and the stock market performance compared with the U.S. and investment in bonds with more than 5 year maturity is driven by the CDS premium differential between Korea and PIIGS countries. The more foreigners have invested mid- to long-term bonds, the stronger downward pressure has been on the bond yields. In addition, foreign investors indirectly affected the spreads. Meanwhile, the government should prepare some policy measures since concerns over side effects such as the Korean won appreciation and an abrupt capital outflow are arising.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.585-600
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• 2012

The purpose of this study related to the liquidity impact of the housing market variables using vector auto-regressive model(VAR) and empirical analysis is to derive some policy implications. October 2003 until May 2012 using monthly data for liquidity variables mortgage rates, mortgage, financial liquidity, as the composite index and nation, Seoul, Gangnam, Gangbuk, the Apartment sales prices were analyzed. Granger Causality Test Results, mortgage rates and mortgage at a bargain price two regions had a strong causal relationship. Since the impulse response analysis, Geothermal difference there, but housing price housing price itself, the most significant ongoing positive (+) reactions were liquidity-related variables are mortgage loans is large and persistent positive (+), financial liquidity weakly positive (+), mortgage interest rates are negative (-), KOSPI, the negative (-) reacted. Liquidity and housing prices that the rise can be and Gangnam in Gangbuk is greater than the factor that housing investment was confirmed empirically. Government to consider the current economic situation, while maintaining low interest rates and liquidity of the market rather than the real estate industry must ensure that activities can be embedded and local enforcement policies should be differentiated according to the policy will be able to reap significant effect.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.103-126
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• 2007

As a result of the development of heavy and chemical industries during the Economic Development Plan, Korean shipbuilding industry expanded its capacity rapidly and became a strategic export industry. The 1973 Arab oil crisis and the subsequent doubling of oil prices greatly reduced world demand for tankers and the market was crashed as numberous orders for tankers were cancelled in Japan and Europe. Under these circumstances, Korean Shipping industry also experienced a decrease in overseas demand for shipbuilding. The Korean government established the 'planned shipbuilding' scheme. The primary purpose of the scheme was to develop the shipbuilding industry, to link the industry to the shipping industry and to develop both industries together. However, Japanese shipping established goals linking with macro-national economic policy, such as saving foreign currencies and freight of importing goods, also assisting reconstruction and development of shipbuilding industry. To accomplish these goals, Japanese government used several policy tools such as financial assistance, law, guidance.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.378-383
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• 2006

This study presents the results from an investigation into ABS to revitalize small and medium construction enterprises, and to analyze merits and demerits of ABS introduction using sensitivity analysis some realistic cases. According to some available procedures, this study suggests ABS introduction structure of new education facilities construction in BTL projects of two different types. In order to analyze the effectiveness of introduction, a model was built as new education facilities construction in this paper. In addition, this study tried to put a figure on finance interest changes by analyzing changes for earning rates and money that payed by the government. Moreover, this study also presents merits and demerits of ABS introduction.

• The Optical Journal
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• s.102
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• pp.74-78
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• 2006

중소기업청은‘2006년도 정책자금 융자사업 지원계획’을 확정·공고하고, 집행자금에 대한 융자신청 접수를 중소기업진흥공단 각 지역본부(15개)를 통해 시작한다고 밝혔다. 2조8천억원 융자규모의 2006년 정책자금 융자사업은 정책자금 지원 조건에 많은 변화가 있다. 과거 자금별로 일률적인 금리를 적용하던 것을 기업의 신용등급에 따라 차등 급리가 적용되고, 우량기업은 시중 금융을 활용토록 유도하여 정책자금 지원대상에서 제외시켰다. 또한 사업별 융자대상에 있어 성장단계의 창업기업에 대한 지원을 확대하고 기업별 잔액기준 지원한도를 종래 50억원에서 45억원으로 축소하되, 비수도권 지방소재 중소기업에 대해서는 50억원을 유지하도록 하였다. 각 자금에 대한 설명자료 및 신청방법 등은 중소기업진흥공단 홈페이지(www.sbc.or.kr)를 통해 안내받을 수 있다.

• Information and Communications Magazine
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.52-58
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• 2016

핀테크는 금융과 기술을 결합한 용어로 글로벌 ICT 기업이 폭넓은 사용자 기반을 바탕으로 송금, 결제, 대출, 자산관리 등 각종 금융서비스를 결합하여 제공하는 새로운 유형의 금융서비스를 말한다. 핀테크의 등장은 스마트폰 이용의 보편화로 소비자의 소비행태가 모바일 중심으로 변화하고 있고, 빅데이터 분석 등으로 소비자에게 맞춤형 금융서비스가 가능해진 환경에 기인한다. 핀테크는 전자상거래와 금융서비스가 새롭게 만나면서 자연스럽게 나타나는 현상이다. 핀테크는 기술을 핵심 요소로 하는 금융서비스 혁신으로 파괴적 혁신이라는 특징을 지닌다. 본고에서는 서론에서 핀테크의 정의, 발전 배경을 살펴보고, 본론에서 시장동향과 주요 기업의 사례 분석과 핀테크에 의한 금융 혁신 및 금융회사의 대응 동향을 살펴보았으며, 나아가 핀테크 성공요인 및 주요국의 핀테크 정책을 살펴 보았다. 결론에서는 우리나라의 현황 분석 및 대응 방향을 제시하였다. 정부는 올해 들어 창조경제의 일환으로 '핀테크 육성'을 금융 개혁의 핵심이슈로 선정하고 개혁을 추진 중에 있다. 정부는 핀테크 창업을 통해서 청년문제 등 일자리 문제를 해소하고, 중위험/중금리 사업모델인 인터넷전문은행의 선정, 각종 규제의 개선 등으로 우리경제가 저성장의 늪에서 벗어나 재도약하는 디딤돌이 되길 기대하고 있다.