• Title/Summary/Keyword: 글로벌금융위기

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The Relationship Between International Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Volatility (국제 자본이동과 환율 변동성에 관한 연구: 주요 통화대비 원화 환율을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Don-Seung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2017
  • This study is to investigate the dynamic relationship between international capital flows and won exchange rate to the major currency in Korea. As the results of Granger causality test, international capital flows Granger-cause currency rate volatility in the short term. However, over time, won exchange rate volatility Granger-cause international capital flows in Korea. According to the results by period divided based on 2008 financial crisis, international capital flows have the significant effects on won-dollar exchange rate volatility before 2008 crisis although currency rate volatility Granger-cause international capital flows after the crisis. As the results of impulse-response function of the basis of VAR, foreign exchange rate volatility has no connection with international capital flows before the crisis while it doesn't after. After the crisis, currency rate volatility has promoted international capital flows, while its influence diminishes as time passes. As these results, the uncertainty of foreign exchange market tend to influence the international capital flows rather than vice versa in Korea. Thus, it would be a more effective policy to control the uncertainty of market than the direct restrictions international capital flows.

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프린팅 월드 - 무섭게 성장하는 중국의 인쇄산업

  • Jo, Gap-Jun
    • 프린팅코리아
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.120-123
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    • 2013
  • 2010년 말을 기점으로 일본으로부터 GDP 세계 2위 국가의 지위를 물려받은 중국의 성장세가 눈부시다. 현재 2008년 미국에서 시작된 글로벌 금융위기와 EU의 재정위기의 영향으로 예전과 같은 고도성장을 기록하지는 못하지만, 중국이 초강대국인 미국을 추격할 유일한 후보라는 인식에는 이론의 여지가 없다. 국가경제의 팽창과 함께 중국 인쇄산업의 성장세도 괄목할 만하다. '글로벌 톱2'의 지위를 획득해 나가고 있는 중국 인쇄산업의 동향을 지난 1월 8일 중국 베이징에서 개최된 '차이나프린트2013 미디어위크'에서 발표된 리포트를 중심으로 알아본다. 행사에서 발표된 중국 인쇄산업의 동향은 2011년을 기점으로 정리한 중국 인쇄산업의 특징과 부문별 현황, 2012년 잠정 결산 및 미래 전망 등을 전반적으로 포괄하고 있다.

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An Empirical Study on the Estimate of Rational Real Estate Bubble in Korea (한국 부동산 시장의 합리적 버블 추정에 관한 실증연구)

  • Chun, Hae-Jung
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2014
  • The present study was aimed to estimate the rational bubble by using the state space model and Kalman filter, of the national, capital, non-capital, Gangnam, and Gangbuk regions housing sales price from November 2003 to August 2013, for the whole period, and before and after the global financial crisis. For the whole period, Gangnam marked the highest rational bubble of 25.4%, followed by Gangbuk 21.3%, capital region 20.1%, whole country 18.9%, and non-capital region 14.3%. Prior to the global financial crisis, Gangnam showed 26.7% of bubble, which is approximately 7.4% higher than Gangbuk with 19.3%. On the other hand, after the global financial crisis, the bubble has collapsed a lot with Gangnam 13.2% and Gangbuk 10.7%; however, the non-capital region showed rather an increase of about 15% from 4.2% before the crisis to 9.0% after the crisis. The main cause of this is that the trading price has declined but the rents have risen in the capital region including Gangnam and Gangbuk, while the transaction price has gone up in non-capital region due to various positive signs like the moving of public institutions.

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The Research Trends of the Korean Association for Political Economy After 2007 (2007년 이후 한국사회경제학회의 연구동향과 진로)

  • Park, Ji-Ung
    • 사회경제평론
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.25-61
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    • 2018
  • Nowadays 87 regimes born in the same year with the Korean Association for Political Economy(KAPE in abbreviation) have ended historically. This paper surveys the research trends of KAPE after 2007 for the 30th founding anniversary. This survey is expected to help research way forward of KAPE. The main contents of the surveys are as follows. Global finance crisis caused by subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 expanded to global economic crisis resulting in the crisis of economics. KAPE criticized the mainstream economics with different approach and methodology as well as political economy copying with the crisis of economics and then focused on economics of inequality. However, the progressive economics is depressed under the conservative regime after 2007. As a result, the progressive economics have experienced the crisis of reproduction of knowledge and have become the peripheral science in Korea. With new regimes after 87 regimes, more important than restoration of the progressive economics is rebirth as the progressive economics corresponding to new regime and new era. This is responsibility of KAPE as the single association of the progressive economics in Korea.

Smart Beta Strategies based on the Quality Indices (퀄리티 지수를 이용한 스마트 베타 전략)

  • Ohk, Ki Yool;Lee, Minkyu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2018
  • Recently, in the asset management industry, the smart beta strategy, which has an intermediate nature between passive and active strategies, is attracting attention. In this smart beta strategy, value, momentum, low volatility, and quality index are widely used. In this study, we analyzed the quality index which is not clear and complicated to calculate. According to the MSCI methodology, the quality index was calculated using three variables: return on equity, debt to equity, and earnings variability. In addition, we use the index using only return on equity variable, the index using only two variables of return on equity and debt to equity, and the KOSPI index as comparison targets for the quality index. In order to evaluate the performance of the indices used in the analysis, the arithmetic mean return, the coefficient of variation, and the geometric mean return were used. In addition, Fama and French (1993) model, which is widely used in related studies, was used as a pricing model to test whether abnormal returns in each index are occurring. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, in all period analysis, quality index was the best in terms of holding period returns. Second, the quality index performed best in the currency crisis and the global financial crisis. Third, abnormal returns were not found in all indices before the global financial crisis. Fourth, in the period after the global financial crisis, the quality index has the highest abnormal return.

Impacts of US Monetary Policy on Domestic Bond and FX Swap Markets (미국 통화정책이 국내 채권 및 외환스왑시장에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Yongo;Kim, Mira;So, Inhwan
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-36
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    • 2021
  • Given the US dollar's status as a global safe haven, global factors, such as US monetary policy, may have considerable impacts on financial markets in other countries. Regarding such hypothesis, this paper looked at the impacts of US monetary policy on domestic bond and FX swap markets through an event study. According to our analysis, US monetary policy had significant positive impacts on domestic interest rates. In particular, it turned out to have bigger impacts on long-term products with high term premiums. By period, the correlation between US monetary policy and domestic interest rates was not significant before the financial crisis, but was clearly positive after the crisis. The US conventional monetary policy was seen to have big impacts on short-term and medium-term KTB yields, while its unconventional monetary policy had major impacts on long-term KTB yields. Moreover, FX swap rates reacted very sensitively to US monetary policy shocks before the financial crisis, while they did not show any significant reactions after the crisis. This suggests that, in line with the covered interest rate parity, the impact of US monetary policy shocks was transmitted to domestic financial markets mainly through swap rate adjustments before the global financial crisis, but through the changes in domestic interest rates during the post-crisis period.

The Association Between Accounting Conservatism and Corporate Investment Expenditure in Korean Listed Firms During the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기가 한국 기업의 투자지출에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증적 분석: 회계보수주의를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Byoung Ho
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.121-148
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    • 2018
  • This paper examines the role of accounting conservatism on investment expenditure for non-financial Korean listed firms around the 2007-2008 global financial crisis using a differences-in-differences design. Specifically, this paper examines the association between an ex ante classification of firms by their level of accounting conservatism prior to the credit crisis and the ex post magnitude of the decline in investment. Consistent with prior literature, this study found that firms experienced a decline in their investment when hit by the financial crisis (Campello et al. 2010). And also this study found that firms with more conservative financial reporting experienced a smaller decline in investment activity following the financial crisis than did firms with less conservative financial reporting. Together, the results suggest that negative shocks to the supply of external finance hampers firm-level investment and that conservative financial reporting can lessen the sensitivity of firms' investment to such negative shocks. Next, this study shows that the magnitude of our findings is greater for firms more likely to suffer from underinvestment (as opposed to overinvestment). Firms that are financially constrained or have greater demand for external finance are more likely to experience underinvestment. Consistent with the predictions, this study finds stronger benefits of conservatism for firms that face relatively greater costs in raising external capital (i.e., financially constrained firms) or that have a relatively greater need to do so (i.e., firms that lack internal financial resources). This study also finds that the role for conservatism is greater in firms with a higher level of information asymmetry, consistent with the notion that conservatism mitigates financing frictions arising from information problems.

Does Investor Protection Affect Bank Liquidity Risk? (투자자 보호제도가 은행들의 유동성위험에 영향을 미치는가?)

  • Lee, Chisun;Kim, Jeongsim
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.242-253
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    • 2019
  • There has been a large literature on bank liquidity risk since the 2008 global financial crisis because liquidity risk was at the heart of the crisis. However, there is no study that investigates whether the level of investor protection influences liquidity risk-taking behavior of banks. Therefore, this study aims to explore the relationship between investor protection and liquidity risk as well as to provide policy implications. Using a panel dataset of commercial banks in 21 OECD countries, we found that strong investor protection encourages banks to take lower liquidity risk. Furthermore, this positive role of shareholder protection is more prominent during a crisis, implying that legal protection of investors plays an essential role in bank stability while market discipline is largely ineffective due to extensive government guarantees in turbulent times.

Impact of Debt ratio on Earnings Management after Global Financial Crisis - Comparative Study of Korea and Japan - (글로벌 금융위기 이후 기업의 부채비율이 이익조정에 미치는 영향 - 한·일 비교연구 -)

  • Noh, Gil-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.299-305
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the relationship between the debt ratios of Korean and Japanese manufacturing firms with accruals and actual earnings managements after the global financial crisis. This study was conducted on Korean and Japanese firms from 2008 to 2015. As a result, the Korean firms, the higher (lower) debt ratio is, more up(down)side earnings management using discretionary accruals and operating cash flow. In contrast, the Japanese firms found that the higher(lower) the debt ratio is, more up(down)side through its actual activities (operating cash flows, manufacturing costs, discretionary costs) rather than accruals. This study establishes the academic basis for the decision-making of Korean-Japanese firmss by using the sample of each country to check what kind of decision-makers are making earnings managements at the present time when the relationship between Korea and Japan has suffered due to export restrictions. It is meaningful in that it was.

Corporate Interest Costs and Debt Financing (기업 이자비용과 기업 부채재원 조달)

  • Lee, Sang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.290-295
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzed the relationship between corporate debt financing and interest costs using micro firm-level data. We also analyzed the differences in this relationship by the year of 2008 financial crisis. We did not find a negative relationship between corporate interest costs and debt financing. Prior to the 2008 financial crisis, we found a negative relationship between corporate interest costs and debt financing. However, following the 2008 financial crisis, we found a positive relationship between corporate interest costs and debt financing. The impacts of the decrease in corporate interest costs on the increase in corporate debt financing are not significant in the Korean economy. After the 2008 financial crisis, the decrease in corporate interest costs is followed by a decrease in corporate debt financing.