• Title/Summary/Keyword: 균형분석

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A Study on the Effects of Oil Shocks and Energy Efficient Consumption Structure with a Bayesian DSGE Model (베이지안 동태확률일반균형모형을 이용한 유가충격 및 에너지 소비구조 전환의 효과분석)

  • Cha, Kyungsoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.215-242
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    • 2010
  • This study constructs a bayesian neoclassical DSGE model that applies oil usage. The model includes technology shocks, oil price shocks, and shocks to energy policies as exogenous driving forces. First, this study aims to analyze the roles of these exogenous shocks in the Korean business cycle. Second, this study examines the effects of long-term changes in the energy consumption structure, including the reduction in oil use as a share of energy consumption and improvement in oil efficiency. In the case of oil price shocks, results show that these shocks exert recessionary pressure on the economy in line with those obtained in the previous literature. On the other hand, shocks to energy policies, which reduce oil consumption per capital, result in opposite consequences to oil price shocks, decreasing oil consumption. Also, counterfactual exercises show that long-term changes in the energy consumption structure would mitigate the contractionary effects of oil price shocks.

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Rehabilitation Therapy Selection Process in Parents of Children with Cerebral Palsy: Grounded Theory (뇌성마비아동 보호자들의 재활치료 선택 과정: 근거이론 중심)

  • Kim, BuYoung;Yun, YoungJu;Lee, HyunJoo
    • 재활복지
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.175-212
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to identify factors that affect the optimal selection of rehabilitation therapy and explore a processing model of rehabilitation decision-making for parents of children with cerebral palsy. A ground theory of Strauss and Corbin(1988)was used. Thus, collecting data was classified into open coding 140 concepts, 29 sub-categories and 8 categories. As a result of analysis, we identified that the main phenomenon was 'finding optimal therapy in trial and error' and parents experienced 6 stages including 'embarrassment', 'confusion', 'maximization', 'wandering', 'strategy', and 'balance'. Furthermore, 'rehabilitation-daily life balance' was a key category for continuation of treatment. This qualitative study discribed factors influencing determination of treatment and its continuation, and suggested a processing model of parents' decision- making for rehabilitation of their children.

A Mathematical Analysis of Automatic Balanced Placement of Icons in A Smartphone Launcher (스마트폰 런처에서 아이콘 자동 균형 배치의 수학적 분석)

  • Son, Kyung A;Eun, Seongbae
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.11
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    • pp.1457-1462
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    • 2020
  • There are dozens of applications on the smartphone. The service application that manages the loading, deletion, and deployment of these applications is called a smartphone launcher, and various launchers are used. Some of the existing launchers provide a function to automatically place icons by analyzing user application usage patterns. In this paper, we present a method of automatically arranging icons so that the icons are balanced on the smartphone screen. The usefulness of our method is illustrated by some exaples. In this case, it is proved that in an m × n screen layout with a height of m and a width of n, if n is an odd number, the entire screen can always be arranged in a balanced manner regardless of the n value by mathematical induction method.

New Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Effects of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Policies (새로운 연산가능일반균형모형을 이용한 온실가스 감축정책의 영향 분석)

  • Han, Minsoo;Moon, Jin-Young
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.169-205
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    • 2021
  • This study quantitatively analyzes the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction policies on the global economy. To this end, we develop a multi-national and multi-industry static computational general equilibrium model that includes three components-GHG emissions from production, disutility due to GHG emissions, and governments' GHG emissions reduction policies. Then we calibrate the model with the relevant data and solve for the equlibrium using the most recent methodology (exact hat algebra). We find that the strengthening of unilateral GHG emissions reduction policies for each country reduces carbon emissions from domestic producers, but does not necessarily reduce global carbon emissions as production is relocated to other countries. On the other hand, we can reduce GHG emissions when all major countries simultaneously implement the strengthened reduction policies proposed by the OECD (2016). Our results imply that aligned reduction efforts of major countries are necessary to reduce global GHG emissions.

Relationships among Nursing Practice Environment and Turnover Intention of Hospital Nurses: The Mediating Effect of The Work-Life Balance (간호사의 간호근무환경과 이직의도 관계 : 워라벨(일과 삶의 균형)의 매개효과)

  • Kwak, Yun Bok;Kim, Shin-Hee
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to test the mediating effect of WLB on the relationship between the nursing practice environment and turnover intention of nurses. Data were collected from October 5 to October 30, 2020 for 144 nurses for more than 6 months at three general hospitals located in A-do. Data analyzed using the SPSS/WIN 23.0 program by t-test, ANOVA, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and regression analysis. As a result of the study, WLB was partial mediating role in the relationship between the nursing practice environment and turnover intention. Therefore, in order to reduce the turnover rate of nurses, it is necessary to develop and apply programs along with organizational human resource management strategies to positively improve the nursing practice environment of nurses and to promoting WLB. Based on the results of this study, we intend to provide basic data to reduce the turnover rate of nurses by positively recognizing the nursing practice environment of nurses and improving WLB.

일상어휘를 기반으로 한 선물 가격 예측모형의 개발

  • 김광용;이승용
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 1999
  • 본 논문은 인공신경망과 귀납적 학습방법 등의 인공지능 방법과 선물가격결정에 대한 기존 재무이론을 사용하여 일상어휘로 표현되는 파생상품 가격예측 모형을 개발하는데 있다. 모형의 개발은 1단계로 인공신경망이나 기존의 선물가격결정이론(평균보유비용모형이나 일반균형모형)을 이용하여 선물 가격을 예측한 후, 서로 비교분석하여 인공신경망 모형의 우수성을 확인하였다. 귀납적 학습방법중 CART 알고리듬을 사용하여 If-Then 규칙을 생성하였다. 특히 실용적 측면에서 선물가격의 일상어휘화를 통한 모형개발을 여러 가지 방법으로 시도하였다. 이러한 선물가격 예측모형의 유용성은 일단 If-Then 규칙으로 표현되어 전문가의 판단에 확실한 이론적인 근거를 제시할 수 있는 장점이 있으며, 특히 의사결정지원시스템으로 활용화 될 경우 매우 유용한 근거자료로 활용될 수 있다. 이러한 선물가격 예측모형은 정확성은 분석표본과 검증표본으로 나누어 검증표본에서 세가지 기본모형(평균보유비용모형, 일반균형모형, 인공신경망 모형)과 각 모형의 귀납적 학습방법 모형의 다른 3가지 어휘표현방법 3가지를 모형별로 비교 분석하였다. 분석결과 인공신경망모형은 상당한 예측력을 갖고 있는 것으로 판명되었으며, 특히 CART를 기반으로 한 일상어휘 기반의 선물가격예측 모형은 예측력이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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A Political Economic Analysis of Environmental Policy, Redistributive Policy, and Economic Growth (환경정책, 재분배정책, 경제성장에 관한 정치경제학적 분석)

  • KIM, Jaehoon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.145-175
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    • 2011
  • We analyse an overlapping generation model in which economic agents, especially their income distribution, influence environmental policy and redistributive policy through political decision making process. In an economic equilibrium which doesn't consider political process, the introduction of environmental policy is shown to increase economic growth rate. In contrast to an economic equilibrium, environmental policy can be adopted when economic inequality reduces to a certain threshold in a political economic equilibrium. The adoption of environmental policy, on the other hand, incurs the demand of strengthened redistributive policy, which in turn decreases economic growth in a short run. We discuss broad policy implications based on our political economic analyses.

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A Study on Improving Reliability of Benefit Estimation Based on User Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Results (이용자 균형 통행배정 결과를 이용한 편익추정의 안정성 제고방안 연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Yeong;Son, Ui-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2007
  • When estimating the benefits from an investment project in the transportation sector, errors caused by many factors may exist. This study focuses on user equilibrium traffic assignment methods and stopping criteria. According to previous studies, when using a user equilibrium assignment model, the benefits of travel time savings can be effected by the relative gap value. As the stopping criteria decreases, the time needed for traffic assignment increases, so that lowering the criteria cannot be the best solution. Therefore, an effort is necessary to reduce this change rate and thus improve reliability. This paper considers three methods: reducing the links subject to benefit calculation, extracting sub-area O/D tables and networks, and applying the mean value of successive traffic assignment results. The results of the analysis show that the method using the mean value of five results is more proper than the other methods. Using the sub-area analysis method, if the study area is small the benefits of a project might be over- or under-estimated. This paper used a nationwide O/D table and network at peak time as a case study. The resulting patterns can differ according to basic data to be used in analysis. So further analysis using the data from metropolitan areas are needed.

The Effect of Otago Exercise Program on Physical Function and Fall Prevention in Disabled Elderly (오타고 운동 프로그램이 장애 노인의 신체적 기능과 낙상 예방에 미치는 효과)

  • Byun, YoungHee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2020
  • This study compared how falls can be reduced in disabled elderly people by using the Otago exercise program and ascertained the program's effects on physical function and psychological recovery. The subjects were 30 people, and were assigned to two groups. The experimental group had 17 people, and the other was the control group that had 13 people. The experimental group attended the 50-minute program twice a week for 12 weeks. The outcome measures for lower extremity muscle strength, postural balance, flexibility, and self-efficacy were tested at the pre-test and post-test phases. In the analysis, general characteristics were analyzed by descriptive statistics. Physical function and self-efficacy were analyzed by independent T-test between the two groups, and correspondence T-tests were used within the two groups. The result of this study demonstrated that the experimental group showed significant increases in lower extremity muscle strength, static balance, flexibility and dynamic balance, and self-efficacy showed a small increase in the experimental group. But the control group showed significant decreases in static balance, flexibility and fall efficacy. The control group also showed decreases in lower extremity strength and dynamic balance. So the results of this study proved that the Otago exercise program brought about positive changes to improve physical function and psychological function to help prevent disabled elderly people from falling.

Ideal Relationship between Police and Press through the Analysis of 4P Model (4P모델 분석을 통한 경찰과 언론의 바람직한 관계 정립 방안)

  • Kim, Yong-Sik;You, Jae-Seol
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.340-349
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    • 2011
  • This research analyzes the 4P(Police-Press-Politics-Public) model for establish an ideal relationship between press and police and suggests some practical policies. Through the examination of the relations among 4Ps(Police-Press-Politics-Public), Jean-Louis Loubet Del Bayle proposes 3 models from three aspets : exchange of information, relation of power, relation of legitimacy. The analysis of his models shows that politics and public give social and political legitimacy to police and press which, based on the legitimacy, thereby obtain necessary informations from external entities to fulfil their original functions. On the other hand, the inevitable relation of press and police with politics and public caused from their social functions, in turn, makes the relationship between press and police more complicated and delicate. This research concludes, the relationship between police and press should be well balanced for their successful social functions and benefits of the public. To this end, this study suggests that a specific press guideline which is imposed on press and police, must be prepared and that a specialized press office must be established in the police.