• Title/Summary/Keyword: 균등화 변동비용

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Analysis of LCOE for Korean and Foreign Onshore Wind Turbines in Operation in Korea (국내에서 운영 중인 국산과 외국산 육상풍력발전기의 발전원가 분석)

  • Keon-Woo Lee;Kyung-Nam Ko
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2023
  • In order to reveal the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of Korean and foreign wind turbines, a study was conducted for Korean onshore wind farms. Actual CapEx and OpEx data were obtained from audit reports for 26 onshore wind farms corresponding to 53.87 percent of the total onshore wind farms in Korea in the Data Analysis, Retrieval Transfer (DART) system. In addition, capacity factor (CF) data were calculated from data provided by Statistics Korea. Random numbers were generated from distributions that were fitted by the datasets, which were used as input data to perform a Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). The levelized fixed cost (LFC) and the levelized variable cost (LVC) were calculated from distributions of the CapEx, the OpEx and the CF. As a result, the LCOEs of the analyzed total Korean wind farms, and Korean and foreign wind turbines were 147, 148, and 146 USD/MWh, respectively. The averaged LCOE of Korea was estimated to be 4 USD/MWh lower than that of Japan, while it was much higher than German and global averages.

Analysis of LCOE for Korean Onshore Wind Farm Considering Social Discount Rate (사회적 할인율을 고려한 국내육상풍력발전 단지의 LCOE 분석)

  • Lee, Keon-Woo;Ko, Kyung-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2020
  • A study on estimation of the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) was conducted for the Korean onshore wind farms. The LCOE was estimated on the basis of the actual wind farm data from Data Analysis, Retrieval Transfer system (DART) run by Financial Supervisory Service. Recently, social discount rate of Korea dropped from 5.5% to 4.5%, which was taken into account for this study. The onshore wind farms studied accounted for 42% of all the onshore wind farms of South Korea. Capital Expenditure (CapEx) and Operation Expenditure (OpEx) were calculated from the actual data, while Capacity Factors (CFs) were obtained from the wind farms of five provinces. Their distributions were estimated using Maximum Likelihood Estimation method, and then Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) was performed for estimating LCOE, Levelized Fixed Cost (LFC), and Levelized Variable Cost (LVC). As a result, the LCOEs at the two discount rates, 4.5 and 5.5%, were 142 and 152 $/MWh, respectively, which were lower than that of financially viable onshore wind project of Korea. The 1% drop of social discount rate was estimated to result in a 10 $/MWh decrease in LCOE and a 4 $/MWh in LFC, which can be an advantage for wind project investors.

Power Generation Cost Comparison of Nuclear and Coal Power Plants in Year 2001 under Future Korean Environmental Regulations -Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis- (미래의 한국의 환경규제여건에 따른 2001년도의 원자력과 석탄화력 발전단가비교 -민감도와 불확실도 분석-)

  • Lee, Byong-Whi;Oh, Sung-Ho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 1989
  • To analyze the impact of air pollution control on electricity generation cost, a computer program was developed. POGEN calculates levelized discounted power generation cost including additional air pollution control cost for coal power plant. Pollution subprogram calculates total capital and variable costs using governing equations for flue gas control. The costs are used as additional input for levelized discounted power generation cost subprogram. Pollution output for Rue Gas Desulphurization direct cost was verified using published cost data of well experienced industrialized countries. The power generation costs for the year 2001 were estimated by POGEN for three different regulatory scenarios imposed on coal power plant, and by levelized discounted power generation cost subprogram for nuclear power. Because of uncertainty expected in input variables for future plants, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were made to check the importance and uncertainty propagation of the input variables using Latin Hypercube Sampling and Multiple Least Square method. Most sensitive parameter for levelized discounted power generation cost is discount rate for both nuclear and coal. The control cost for flue gas alone reaches additional 9-11 mills/kWh with standard deviation less than 1.3 mills/kWh. This cost will be nearly 20% of power generation cost and 40% of one GW capacity coal power plant investment cost. With 90% confidence, the generation cost of nuclear power plant will be 32.6-51.9 mills/kWh, and for the coal power plant it will be 45.5-50.5 mills/kWh. Nuclear is favorable with 95% confidence under stringent future regulatory requirement in Korea.

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Economic Analysis of Plant Utilities Under Environment Factor (환경요소를 고려한 발전설비의 경제성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 정석재;송일윤;김경섭;박진원
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2003
  • 경제성장과 더불어 발생되는 환경오염물질 배출의 증가로 인해 이를 규제하려는 세계적인 동향이 강화되어 이러한 환경문제를 경제 내적인 문제로 발전하고 있다. 특히 전력부문에 있어서 여러 가지 투자대안들이 환경에 미치는 영향을 고려할 경우, 각 대안들이 전력을 생산하기 위해 필요한 비용은 사회적 비용을 고려치 않는 사적인 비용과 커다란 차이가 생길 수 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 균등화발전 원가법으로 유연탄과 LNG화력 발전의 경제성을 분석하였는데. 환경 규제상황에서 발전원간 평가를 위해 저감설비 도입비용, 탄소세, 연료비 인상, 할인율 변동에 따른 경제성 비교를 통하여 유연탄 및 LNG발전의 발전원가를 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션에 의한 민감도 분석을 통해 비교하였다.

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