• Title/Summary/Keyword: 국지기후대

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Generation of the bias-corrected satellite precipitation based on machine learning using multiple satellite precipitation products (다중 위성 강수자료를 이용한 머신러닝 기반 최적 위성 강수자료 생성)

  • Jung, Sung Ho;Nguyen, Van Giang;Kim, Young Hun;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.40-40
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    • 2021
  • 수재해 방지를 위한 수문해석 모형에서 정량적인 강수자료의 역할은 매우 중요하다. 최근에는 기후변화로 인한 국지성 집중호우 등 돌발 강수의 빈도가 증가하고 있어 지상에 설치된 우량계보다 시·공간적 변동성을 반영할 수 있는 격자형 위성 강수자료의 활용성이 커지고 있다. 하지만 위성강수자료는 관측 시에 대기의 상태 또는 위성별 관측 센서, 공간적 스케일 차이 등에 의해 실제 내린 강수와의 편의가 존재한다. 이를 해결하기 위해 지점 강수자료를 이용한 통계적, 지형정보학적 상세화 기법이 적용되고 있으나, 대부분의 연구에서 강수자료의 양적 보정만을 목적으로 수행되었다. 본 연구에서는 머신러닝 기반의 랜덤포레스트(random forest) 모델을 사용하여 다중위성 강수자료(CHIRPSv2, CMORPH, GSMaP, TRMMv7)와 기상청에서 제공하는 AWS, ASOS 지점 강수를 사용하여 최적 위성강수자료를 생성 후 각 위성강수자료와 비교·분석하였다. 2003년에서 2017년까지의 각 위성강수자료를 수집하여 같은 공간 스케일로 전처리한 뒤 모델에 입력하였으며 AWS 강수자료는 훈련, ASOS 강수자료는 검증에 이용되었다. 그 결과, 생성된 최적 위성강수자료는 각 위성강수자료보다 지점강수와의 편의가 줄고 높은 상관관계를 나타내고 있다. 이는 앞으로 사용될 위성강수자료의 시·공간적 보정 및 단기예측에 활용할 수 있으며, 특히 원격탐사자료의 의존도가 높은 미계측 대유역 수문해석에 정량적인 강수자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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A Sub-grid Scale Estimation of Solar Irradiance in North Korea (북한지역 상세격자 디지털 일사량 분포도 제작)

  • Choi, Mi-Hee;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2011
  • Reliable information on the surface solar radiation is indispensable for rebuilding food production system in the famine plagued North Korea. However, transfer of the related modeling technology of South Korea is not possible simply because raw data such as solar radiation or sunshine duration are not available. The objective of this study is restoring solar radiation data at 27 synoptic stations in North Korea by using satellite remote sensing data. We derived relationships between MODIS radiation estimates and the observed solar radiation at 18 locations in South Korea. The relationships were used to adjust the MODIS based radiation data and to restore solar radiation data at those pixels corresponding to the 27 North Korean synoptic stations. Inverse distance weighted averaging of the restored solar radiation data resulted in gridded surfaces of monthly solar radiation for 4 decadal periods (1983-1990, 1991-2000 and 2001-2010), respectively. For a direct application of these products, we produced solar irradiance estimates for each sub-grid cell with a 30 m spacing based on a sun-slope geometry. These products are expected to assist planning of the North Korean agriculture and, if combined with the already prepared South Korean data, can be used for climate change impact assessment across the whole Peninsula.

A Simulation of Agro-Climate Index over the Korean Peninsula Using Dynamical Downscaling with a Numerical Weather Prediction Model (수치예보모형을 이용한 역학적 규모축소 기법을 통한 농업기후지수 모사)

  • Ahn, Joong-Bae;Hur, Ji-Na;Shim, Kyo-Moon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • A regional climate model (RCM) can be a powerful tool to enhance spatial resolution of climate and weather information (IPCC, 2001). In this study we conducted dynamical downscaling using Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) as a RCM in order to obtain high resolution regional agroclimate indices over the Korean Peninsula. For the purpose of obtaining detailed high resolution agroclimate indices, we first reproduced regional weather for the period of March to June, 2002-2008 with dynamic downscaling method under given lateral boundary conditions from NCEP/NCAR (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research) reanalysis data. Normally, numerical model results have shown biases against observational results due to the uncertainties in the modelis initial conditions, physical parameterizations and our physical understanding on nature. Hence in this study, by employing a statistical method, the systematic bias in the modelis results was estimated and corrected for better reproduction of climate on high resolution. As a result of the correction, the systematic bias of the model was properly corrected and the overall spatial patterns in the simulation were well reproduced, resulting in more fine-resolution climatic structures. Based on these results, the fine-resolution agro-climate indices were estimated and presented. Compared with the indices derived from observation, the simulated indices reproduced the major and detailed spatial distributions. Our research shows a possibility to simulate regional climate on high resolution and agro-climate indices by using a proper downscaling method with a dynamical weather forecast model and a statistical correction method to minimize the model bias.

Analysis of Surface Urban Heat Island and Land Surface Temperature Using Deep Learning Based Local Climate Zone Classification: A Case Study of Suwon and Daegu, Korea (딥러닝 기반 Local Climate Zone 분류체계를 이용한 지표면온도와 도시열섬 분석: 수원시와 대구광역시를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Yeonsu;Lee, Siwoo;Im, Jungho;Yoo, Cheolhee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_3
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    • pp.1447-1460
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    • 2021
  • Urbanization increases the amount of impervious surface and artificial heat emission, resulting in urban heat island (UHI) effect. Local climate zones (LCZ) are a classification scheme for urban areas considering urban land cover characteristics and the geometry and structure of buildings, which can be used for analyzing urban heat island effect in detail. This study aimed to examine the UHI effect by urban structure in Suwon and Daegu using the LCZ scheme. First, the LCZ maps were generated using Landsat 8 images and convolutional neural network (CNN) deep learning over the two cities. Then, Surface UHI (SUHI), which indicates the land surface temperature (LST) difference between urban and rural areas, was analyzed by LCZ class. The results showed that the overall accuracies of the CNN models for LCZ classification were relatively high 87.9% and 81.7% for Suwon and Daegu, respectively. In general, Daegu had higher LST for all LCZ classes than Suwon. For both cities, LST tended to increase with increasing building density with relatively low building height. For both cities, the intensity of SUHI was very high in summer regardless of LCZ classes and was also relatively high except for a few classes in spring and fall. In winter the SUHI intensity was low, resulting in negative values for many LCZ classes. This implies that UHI is very strong in summer, and some urban areas often are colder than rural areas in winter. The research findings demonstrated the applicability of the LCZ data for SUHI analysis and can provide a basis for establishing timely strategies to respond urban on-going climate change over urban areas.

Monitoring of Landslide in Kangwondo Area using 2-Pass DInSAR Technique (2-Pass DInSAR 기술을 활용한 강원도 지역 산사태 탐측)

  • Yoo, Su Hong;Sohn, Hong Gyoo;Jung, Jae Hoon;Choi, Si Kyong
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2009
  • In recent days, climatic change cause abnormal weather all over the world and we have a great loss of life and property every year. In Korea, we suffer from landslide problem because large regions of Korea Peninsula are composed of mountain. In order to detect rapidly and to take follow-up measures of disaster, the remote sensing is being used actively as conventional field survey has many restrictions in accessibility because of more time and man power requirement. In additions interferometric SAR is one of the techniques that have our attention because it can provide many kinds of accurate surface information without restriction of atmospheric and ground conditions by using L-band. In this study, we aimed to monitor the displacement of mountain area in Kangwondo and this results will be used for detecting landslide. Also we build the web system for detecting and analyzing the landslide.

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Statistical Characteristics of Pier-Scour Equations for Scour Depth Calculation (교각세굴심 산정 공식의 통계적 특성)

  • Lee, Ho Jin;Chang, Hyung Joon;Heo, Tae Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, the occurrence of localized torrential rain has increased due to the increase in heavy rainfall and massive typhoons caused by abnormal weather. As a result, the flow rate of small and medium-sized rivers in Korea is rapidly increasing, affecting the safety of bridges and increasing the risk of scour. However, the domestic bridge construction technology does not reflect the watershed characteristics of domestic rivers because the bridge scour depth calculation formula developed overseas is used to calculate the bridge scour depth. Therefore, this study is a basic study for prevention of bridge damage according to scouring phenomenon, and a comparative analysis was performed between the experimental data measured through hydraulic model test and the scour depth formulas applied in Korea. In addition, the statistical analysis between experimental data and scour depth formula shows that Coleman's (1971) formula estimates the best scour depth. The results of this study are expected to be used to calculate more accurate bridge scour depth in river design and bridge design.

Analysis of Breach Mitigation Effect on Levee made with New Substance by Overtopping (신소재 활용 제방의 월류 붕괴 경감 효과 분석)

  • Ko, Dong-Woo;Kang, Joon-Gu
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2018
  • Levee breaches can result from flooding due to torrential rainfalls, which are linked with recent abnormal climates and the aging of river levees. Breaches have caused enormous property damage and human casualties in lowland areas. Overtopping was found to be the cause for approximately 40% of all cases of breach. In this study, the reasons and mechanisms behind levee breaches were analyzed using hydraulic model testing. The overtopping stability and time delay effect of breaches were assessed for levees made with a new environmentally friendly substance. Image analysis revealed that the total breach time of the levees made with the new substance was about 2.25 times greater than that of an earthen levee. The initial breach rate of a general earthen levee was about 1.43 times higher than that of levees covered with the new substance, and the body collapsed rapidly. The breach mechanisms of levees covered with the new substance were completely different, and it is possible to prevent rapid breaches by mitigation of the breach speed on the slope by resisting overtopping.

Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics Considering the Rainfall Prediction at Incheon City (강우 예측을 통한 인천지역 강우 특성 분석)

  • Park, Ji-Eun;Han, Man-Shin;Choi, Gye-Woon;Hong, Sung-Min;Choi, Hyung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.352-352
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    • 2011
  • 최근 이상기후 및 집중호우 등의 영향으로 국지적으로 큰 강우가 발생하여 재산피해 및 인명피해를 발생시키고 있으며, 과거 강우발생 빈도에 비하여 큰 강우가 발생되고 있다. 이러한 증가되는 추세에 대하여 확률강우량 산정시 반영하고 있는 추세이며(한만신, 2005), 이렇게 반영된 결과는 확률강우량의 증가와 함께 설계시 반영되어 안전하게 수공구조물을 시공하게 된다. 하지만, 이러한 강우의 경향을 단순하게 증가추세로만 판단하여 미래의 강우를 증가라는 개념으로 검증 절차없이 도입하기에는 과대 추정될 우려가 있으며, 과대 추정된 확률강우량은 결국 시공비의 증가를 유도하여 경제적으로 불이익이 발생한다. 따라서, 과거의 강우자료를 통하여 분석된 최근의 강우 예측결과가 어느정도의 타당성을 갖고 설계된 것인지 판단하여 향후 강우 예측을 통한 확률강우량 산정시 반영하여야 할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에는 강우 예측을 위하여 사용되고 있는 ARIMA 모형을 이용하여 인천지역의 1961년~2005년까지의 강우자료를 이용하여 2010년까지의 강우를 예측함으로써 실제 강우자료와의 비교를 통하여 강우 예측의 신뢰성을 검토하여 미래 강우에 대한 예측에 있어서 보다 신뢰성을 확보하고자 하였다. 또한, 강우추세에 의한 인천지역의 확률강우량을 산정함으로써 동일 유역에서의 다른 분포형이나 확률강우를 사용함으로써 발생되는 설계의 혼란을 방지하고자 한다. 본 연구를 위하여 인천지방 기상대의 관측자료를 이용하여 1961년부터 2010년까지의 분단위 강우자료를 획득하였으며, 임의시간에 의한 지속시간별 최대강우량을 산정함으로써 기존의 설계에서 사용되어 왔던 고정시간의 환산계수 대신 실제 최대강우량을 이용함으로써 강우 예측에 대한 정확도를 향상하였고, 확률강우강도식 선정시 지역 강우 특성을 고려하여 결정하여야 한다는 결론을 도출하였다.

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Integragion of River and Inundation Model for Flood Risk Mapping (홍수위험지도 작성을 위한 하천 및 범람해석모형의 연계)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Byung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.67-67
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    • 2011
  • 지구 온난화 등에 의한 이상기후 현상으로 인해 야기되는 대규모 호우 등의 기상이변 현상은 댐 및 제방 붕괴와 같은 비상상황을 발생시키고 있고, 실제로 최근 10년간 태풍 등의 기상이변 현상으로 인해 낙동강의 여러 지류하천의 제방이 붕괴되는 피해가 발생했으며, 잇따른 피해들은 이 분야에 대한 종합적인 연구의 필요성을 증대시켰다. 본 연구의 목적은 이상홍수 및 국지성 호우에 의해서 하천 제방의 붕괴로 인한 제내지에서의 비상상황 발생에 대비하기 위해, 제내지에서의 범람홍수 해석결과를 통한 홍수위험지도 제작을 위한 tool로 활용함으로써 피해예상지역 내 주민 등의 신속한 대처를 통해 주민의 생명과 재산을 보호하기 위함에 있다. 이러한 하도 및 제내지에서의 범람홍수 양상을 효율적으로 계산하기 위해 실제 제방붕괴사례를 포함하는 사상에 대해 1차원 하천흐름 해석을 실시하였으며, 이를 통해 산정되는 제방붕괴 유출유량을 통해 제내지에 대한 2차원 범람홍수해석을 실시하였다. 1차원 제방붕괴 해석을 위해 FLDWAV 모형을 적용하였으며, 2차원 범람해석 모형으로 흐름의 전파양상을 정확하게 반영할 수 있는 상류이송기법인 Godunov 기법과 수치적인 계산 이전에 인접자료의 값을 이용하여 자료를 재구성하는 MUSCL(Monotone Upstream-centered Schemes for Conservation Laws) 기법을 사용하여 개발된 고정확도 유한체적모형을 적용하였다. 실제 제방붕괴 사상을 적용하기 위해 남강의 제방붕괴 사례를 고려하였으며, 2003년과 2006년에 각각 발생한 태풍 매미와 에위니아 사상에 대해 1차원 하천흐름해석 및 2차원 홍수범람해석을 실시하였다. 1차원 하천흐름해석에 대해서 하천 내에 위치한 수위표에서 관측된 실측수위를 통해 검증을 실시하였으며, 2차원 범람홍수모형에 의해 산정된 홍수범람범위는 침수흔적도를 통해 검증하였다. 본 연구에서 개발되어 적용된 2차원 범람해석 모형을 국가홍수위험지도 제작에 대해 활용할 수 있다면, 정확도 높은 통합홍수방재시스템 구축에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Review of Recent Research into Coastal Groudwater Problems and Associated Case Studies (해안 지하수 연구 동향 및 사례 보고)

  • Chang, Sun Woo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.597-608
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    • 2014
  • It is widely assumed that climate change and other anthropogenically driven processes are having a serious impact on coastal environments. One such impact is saltwater intrusion into coastal aquifers, which has resulted in the loss of groundwater resources. The pattern of saltwater intrusion is strongly dependent on regional hydrogeological characteristics. This study reviews recent qualitative and quantitative research into this problem, and considers relevant case studies. In addition, the characteristics of the aquifers from two representative volcanic islands (Jeju Island, Korea and Oahu Island, USA) are compared. The fundamental theory of density-dependent flow used to model saltwater intrusion processes and the programs that are widely used to simulate saltwater intrusion based on density-driven problems are also investigated. It is expected that the knowledge gained from this review of previous studies can be used to help improve groundwater management practices in Korea and also to inform future interdisciplinary studies.