• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.38-48
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• 2017

Link attributes, such as speed, occupancy, and flow, are essential factors for transportation planning and operation. It is, therefore, one of the most important decision-making problems in intelligent transport system (ITS) to determine the optimal location of a sensor for collecting the information on link attributes. This paper aims to develop a model to determine the optimal location of a sensor to minimize the variability of traffic information on whole networks. To achieve this, a network sensor location model (NSLM) is developed to reflect discrete characteristics of data collection. The variability indices of traffic information are calculated based on the summation of diagonal elements of the variance-covariance matrix. To assess the applicability of the developed model, speed data collected from the dedicated short range communication (DSRC) systems were used in Daegu metropolitan area. The developed model in this study contributes to the enhancement of investment efficiency and the improvement of information accuracy in intelligent transport system (ITS).

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.31-61
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• 2013

The purpose of this study is to calculate the economic value of transport demand forecasting risks in the road PPP project. Under the assumption that volatility of the road PPP project value occurs only in regard with uncertainty of traffic volume forecasting, this study calculates the economic value of the traffic forecasting risks in the case of the road PPP project. To that end, forecasted traffic volume is assumed to be a stochastic variable and to follow the Geometric Brownian motion as time passes. In particular, this study attempts to differentiate itself from existing studies that simply use an arbitrary assumption by presenting the application of different traffic volume growth volatility and the rates before and after the ramp-up period. Analysis of the case projects reveals that the risk premium related to traffic volume forecast of the project turns out as 7.39~8.30%, without considering option value-such as minimum revenue guarantee-while the project value volatility caused by transport demand forecasting risks is 17.11%. As the discount rate grows higher, the project value volatility tends to decrease and volatility in project value is always suggested to be larger than that in transport volume influenced by leverage effect due to fixed expenditure. The market value of transport demand forecasting risk-calculated using the project value volatility and risk premium-is analyzed to be between 0.42~0.50, implying that a 1% increase or decrease in the transport amount volatility would lead to a 0.42~0.50% increase or decrease in risk premium of the project.

• Information and Communications Magazine
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.70-79
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• 2004

최적 경로 서비스를 제공하기 위해서는 구간 통행속도, 구간 통행시간, 회전 정보, 혼잡도 등과 같은 교통정보가 필요하다. 또한, 고객에게 신뢰성 있는 최적 경로를 제공하기 위해서는 실시간 교통정보 수집은 반드시 필요하며, 이러한 실시간 교통정보 수집 방법들에 대한 고찰과 검토가 선행되어야 한다. 기존의 교통정보 수집방법을 살펴보면 지점검지 방식의 경우, 수집되는 정보가 검지기 설치 지점의 지점속도(Spot Speed)이므로 해당 링크를 주행한 통행속도(통행시간)의 대표값으로 채택하기에는 다소 무리가 있으며 구간검지 방식의 경우, 일반적으로 급격한 교통류 변동에 따른 대기행렬 검지가 늦다는 단점이 있다.(중략)

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.153-161
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• 2002

다사용자계층 통행배정(Multiple User Class Assignment) 문제란 교통망을 이용하는 통행자들이 이질적인 통행계층으로 구성된 경우, 이들 각 계층의 통행수요를 교통망에 배정하는 문제를 의미한다. 이는 기존 통행 배정모형들이 모든 통행자의 통행특성이 동질적이라고 가정함으로서 발생하는 불합리한 통행배정 결과를 완화시키기 위한 방법이다. 또한, 최근 지능형교통체계(Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITS)사업에서 교통정보제공시스템이 구현될 예정임에 따라, 교통정보를 제공받는 계층과 그렇지 못한 계층간의 영향을 분석하거나 혼잡통행료부과 등과 같은 교통관리전략을 정확히 평가하기 위해서 다사용자계층 통행배정모형에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 그러나, 다사용자계층 통행배정모형의 경우, 사용자간의 상호영향으로 통행비용함수의 1차 편미분행렬(Jacobian matrix)이 비대칭(Asymmetric)이 되어 동등 수리최소화문제(Equivalency mathematical Minimization program)로 구성할 수 없고 또한 수치적으로 풀기가 어렵다는 문제가 있다. 본 연구는 이런 문제점을 극복할 수 있는 모형식과 알고리듬을 제시코자 한다. 본 연구에서 제시된 모형은 2가지 특징이 있다. 먼저, 각 사용자 계층간의 상호영향을 모형내에 반영하며, 기종점쌍간의 통행시간변화에 따른 수요변화를 고려한다는 점이다. 이를 위하여 변동부등모형(Variational Inequality Model. VI)으로 문제를 구성하며, 이에 대한 해석 알고리듬도 제시한다. 또한, 변동부등모형으로 구축된 다사용자계층 모형이 다사용자계층 균형조건과 동일함을 보여주는 동등성조건(Equivalency condition)도 제시한다.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.14 no.6
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• pp.1-13
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• 2015

Travellers consider extra travel time to be arriving their destination because of uncertainty of travel. So it is important to make predictable highway by providing information of travel time variability to traveller so as to enhance level of service at highway. In order to make predictable highway, it is necessary to develope measures of travel time variability that travellers can easily understand. Recently advanced country including the United States, travel time variability index are actively studied. In earlier study, 95percentile of travel time is considered to be most important calculation index of travel time variability. In this study, is has focused on the propriety analysis of 95percentile of travel time in domestic transportation environment. Result of analysis, All of measures(80percentile of travel time, 90percentile of travel time, 95percentile of travel time) show the tendency to increase when case of weather factor occur compare to normal condition under LOS A~D. Especially 95percentile of travel time increased sensitively.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.79-88
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• 2018

With the increasing popularity of electronic toll collection system using 5.8 GHz dedicated short-range communications (DSRC) technology, DSRC-based travel-time collection systems have been deployed on major urban and rural arterial routes in Korea. However, since probe sample sizes are frequently insufficient in probe-based systems, the gathered travel times from probe vehicles fluctuate significantly compared to those of the population; as a result, the accuracy of the collected travel times could decrease. To mitigate the fluctuations (also known as biases), smoothing techniques need to be applied. In this study, some smoothing techniques-moving average, the Loess, and Savitzky-Golay filtering-were applied to probe travel times. Resultantly, the error in the smoothed travel times at the lowest sampling plan (5%) decreased as much as 45% compared to those in non-smoothed travel times. The results of this study can be practically applied to probe-based travel-time estimation systems for providing reliable travel times along the travel corridor.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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• 2010.06a
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• pp.32-39
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• 2010

수도권의 도시화 과정은 서울로의 교통 접근성의 변화에 따라 급속하게 확산되었고, 현재도 진행 중이다. 도시화 과정 속에 인구 교외화, 주택 수의 증가, 도심용지 토지이용 증대, 토지가격의 증가 등의 다양한 공간적 변화가 이루어지고 있다. 이러한 급속한 도시화의 과정 속에 국토의 난개발이 이루어졌고 자연생태 파괴, 주택부족 및 교통 문제, 토지 투기 등의 사회적 문제를 야기했다. 본 연구에서는 도시화 현황을 살펴보고 교통접근성의 변화에 따른 주변 토지이용 변화의 상관성을 분석하였다 상관성 분석 결과를 토대로 멀티 에이전트 시스템(MAS)을 이용하여 교통접근성과 토지이용 에이전트 간 상호작용의 관점에서 시뮬레이션 하였다. 그래서 교통접근성의 변화로 인한 주변 토지 이용 변화를 공간적으로 예측하려고 한다. 도시화 현황을 살펴보기 위해서 지적도 자료를 이용하여 미시적인 경관 분석을 실시한 후 교통접근성의 변화에 따른 주변 토지이용 변화의 상관성을 분석하기 위해 교통자료와 토지이용 자료를 GIS분석 및 통계 분석하였다. 그리고 상관성 분석 결과를 멀티 에이전트 시스템 전용 플랫폼에 적용하여 시뮬레이션 분석을 하였다.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.158-172
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• 2017

This study analyzes the time-space variability for the weekly passenger flow of the Seoul Subway system based on the dynamic visualization methods. For the purpose, we utilize one-week T-card transaction databases. By applying data mining algorithms, we extract passenger data for edge flows, on/off passengers at each subway station per minute interval time. It is practically intractable to analyze such spatio-temporal passenger flows by general statistical techniques. We employ dynamic visualization methods to analyze intuitively and to grasp effectively characteristics of the diurnal passenger flows on the Seoul Metropolitan Subway system during one week. As the result, we found that substantial differences exist on the spatio-temporal distribution patterns among days as well as between weekdays and weekend. We also investigates the time-space variability among eight major centers, and we found wide differences in their spatio-temporal distribution patterns.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.107-116
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• 2005

The information on travel time in providing the information of traffic to drivers is one of the most important data to control a traffic congestion efficiently. Especially, this information is the major element of route choice of drivers, and based on the premise that it has the high degree of confidence in real situation. This study developed a vehicle arrival time prediction algorithm called as "VAT-DV" for 6 corridors in total 6.1Km of "Nam-san area trffic information system" in order to give an information of congestion to drivers using VMS, ARS, and WEB. The spatial scope of this study is 2.5km~3km sections of each corridor, but there are various situations of traffic flow in a short period because they have signalized intersections in a departure point and an arrival point of each corridor, so they have almost characteristics of interrupted and uninterrupted traffic flow. The algorithm uses the information on a demand volume and a queue length. The demand volume is estimated from density of each points based on the Greenburg model, and the queue length is from the density and speed of each point. In order to settle the variation of the unit time, the result of this algorithm is strategically regulated by importing the AVI(Automatic Vehicle Identification), one of the number plate matching methods. In this study, the AVI travel time information is composed by Hybrid Model in order to use it as the basic parameter to make one travel time in a day using ILD to classify the characteristics of the traffic flow along the queue length. According to the result of this study, in congestion situation, this algorithm has about more than 84% degree of accuracy. Specially, the result of providing the information of "Nam-san area traffic information system" shows that 72.6% of drivers are available.

• 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.06a
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• pp.194-199
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• 2007

최근 차량증가에 따라 교통사고가 날로 증가하고 있고, 안전운전을 위한 보조장치 개발의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 특히 교통사고 원인중 운전자의 졸음으로 인한 사고가 30%에 달하고 있어 졸음운전 예방장치의 개발이 시급한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 졸음운전예방을 위한 효율적인 졸음경보 장치시스템을 제안한다. 제안하는 방법은 HRV와 안구활동 신호를 BP(역전파알고리즘)을 이용 보다 더 정확한 측정 및 판단을 행하여 운전자에게 음성경고를 보내주는 방식이다. 제안된 방식은 기존의 연구된 피부전기활동, 영상처리를 이용한 졸음운전 감지 시스템, 심박변동신호 분석 방법보다 훨씬 효율적인 졸음경보를 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.