• Title/Summary/Keyword: 과학기술예측

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Application Plan of Flooding Forecasting and Warning System by Site Type of Excavation Work (굴착공사현장 수재해 예방을 위한 침수 예·경보 시스템 적용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Wang, Jeong Ah;Park, Jong Pyo;Lee, Woo Jin;Jun, Hwan Don
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.379-379
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화로 인해 집중호우, 돌발 홍수 및 태풍의 규모가 대형화되고 있고, 이에 따른 수재해 피해 사례도 증가하는 추세이다. 특히 건설 현장 중 굴착공사 현장에서의 침수로 인한 사고는 인명피해로 이어질 가능성이 더 크기 때문에 더욱 주의가 필요하다. 하지만 현재 국내에서 실질적으로 굴착현장에 적용하기 위한 침수 대응 예측 시스템 및 구체적인 침수 예경보 체계, 기준, 매뉴얼은 존재하지 않는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 굴착공사현장의 수재해 예방을 위한 침수 예·경보 시스템의 적용방안을 제시하였다. 또한 경제적이고 효과적인 측면을 고려하여, 공사현장 규모에 따라 적용하는 침수 예·경보 시스템을 이분화하여 소규모 공사현장에는 Track A, 대규모 공사현장에는 Track B 침수 예·경보 시스템을 적용하도록 제안하였다. 이러한 이유는 소규모 공사현장의 특성상 전체 공사비가 작고 운영되는 장비와 인력이 제한적이므로 침수 예·경보에 필요한 비용과 인력 투입이 어려울 수 있기 때문이며, 또한 대피가 필요한 전체 인원이 대규모 현장에 비해서는 적기 때문에 비교적 신속하고 원활한 대피가 가능할 것이라고 판단하였기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 각 시스템별 적절하다고 판단되는 예·경보 기준을 제시하였다. Track A에서는 강우법에 의한 최소한의 경보시스템으로 필요한 안전목표를 달성할 수 있도록 고려하였고, Track B에서는 현장인원 대부분이 성인 남성임을 고려하여, 성인 남성의 부상을 유발할 수 있는 수심(H)과 유속(V)의 곱을 척도로 하는 한계 H·V곡선을 기준으로 운영되는 경보시스템을 제안하였다.

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Advance of geophysical exploration techniques for investigation of seawater intrusion (해수침투 평가를 위한 물리탐사기술의 진전)

  • 이상규;황학수;황세호;박인화;성낙훈
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.172-188
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents the state of art and the role of geophysical exploration techniques with evaluating the trend of domestic and worldwide seawater intrusion research, and illustrates advanced techniques obtained through the project of 'Development of the techniques for estimation, prediction, and prevention of seawater intrusion' funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of Korea. The advanced geophysical interpretation was achieved by adding the digital geophysical logging data. DC resistivity and TEM monitorings were applied to determine whether or not the seawater intrusion was in progress. Induced Polarization technique using electric current monitoring channel was introduced to discriminate seawater contaminated zone from highly conductive layer caused by clay minerals. A conceptual model was suggested with spatial visualization of the study area to predict the diffusion of seawater contamination. Finally, the future work of the development of geophysical techniques was suggested with the base of the present level of them.

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A Study on Course Correction Performance Expectation & Algorithm Implementation of 1D CCM (1D CCM 탄도수정 성능예측 및 알고리즘 구현 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2007
  • The trajectory of an current artillery munition is subject to a variety of different error sources resulting in more or less big deviation from the nominal predicted flight path. The 1D CCM(Course Correction Munition) has appeared to solve this problem and the mechanism of 1D CCM is a simple and low cost one using the influence of drag to range behavior of an artillery munition. In the paper 1D CCM concept has been simulated using wind tunnel experiment results of the specified Korean munition with CCF(Course Correction Fuze) and calculated the performance of its rang error reduction. From the simulated results it can be numerically explained that the possibility of adaptation of 1D CCM concept to Korean artillery munitions.

Predictions of Local Circulation and Dispersion with Microscale Numerical Model (수치모의를 통한 미세규모 순환과 확산에 대한 예측)

  • 안광득;이용희;장동언;조천호
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2003
  • The prediction of wind field is very important fact in the radioactive and chemical warfare. In spite of advanced numerical weather prediction modelling and computing technology, the high resolution prediction of wind field is limited by the very high integration costs. In this study we coupled the mesoscale numerical model and microscale diagnostic numerical model with minimized integration costs. This coupled model has not only the ability of prediction of high resolution wind field including complex building but also microscale pollutant diffusion fields. For military operation this system can help making a practical and cost-effective decision in a battle field.

Derivation of Empirical Method to Enhance the Accuracy of Cannon Tube Erosion Rate (포신 마모 예측의 정확도 향상을 위한 실험적 방법 유도)

  • 정동윤;오명호
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2002
  • We predict the erosion rate of unknown cannon tubes by substituting measured values of the standard cannon, 155㎜ Howitzer M185 and ballistic data for the erosion equation. We know ten measured erosion values of the standard cannon at every 400 rounds. An approximate formula is derived to interpolate six values up to 2,000 rounds. Numerical example is presented and its results are analyzed. The new erosion equation is also suggested. This equation produces more accurate cannon tube erosion rate than the Rauf Imam's empirical approaches. Computer simulations are presented.

A Study for Prediction of Water Contents in Soil by Using the Soil Thermal Conductivity (토양 열전도를 이용한 토양함수비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jin-Woo;Kang, Do-Kyung;Kang, E-Sok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2015
  • Vehicles and UGV(Unmanned Ground Vehicle) need a variety of road informations, such as road profile, soil type and soil water contents, to run a cross country course. Especially, soil water contents are very important factor to judge the vehicle mobility, because it can change soil strength. This paper describes the real-time measuring method of soil water contents by using the soil thermal conductivity.

A Study on the Prediction and Measurement of Afterbody Drag for a Supersonic Aircraft (초음속 전투기 후방동체 항력 예측 및 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Won-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.711-718
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    • 2009
  • During the preliminary design phase of a supersonic aircraft, it is necessary to evaluate many potential engine/airframe combinations to determine the best solution to given set of mission requirements. And it is very important to establish a methodology to predict precisely afterbody drag so that accurate engine installed performance can be estimated. It was carried out in this paper to establish a methodology to predict afterbody drag of F-15K supersonic aircraft based on IMS(Integral Mean Slope) methodology, acquire afterbody drag data and compare its calculated data with the test data acquired from the wind tunnel test data based on 4.7% model scale. The comparison results showed good agreement between the calculated data and test data and it was found that the methodology described here to predict and test afterbody drag is acceptable.

A Study on the Storage Life Estimation Method for Decrease of Muzzle Velocity using Gamma Process Model (감마과정 모델을 적용한 포구속도 저하량에 따른 저장수명 예측기법 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.639-645
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    • 2013
  • The aim of the study is to investigate the method to estimate a storage life of propelling charge on the decrease of muzzle velocity by stochastic gamma process model. It is required to establish criterion for state failure to estimate the storage life and it is defined in this paper as a muzzle velocity difference between reference value and maximum allowable standard deviation multiplied by 6. The relationship between storage time and muzzle velocity is investigated by nonlinear regression analysis. The stochastic gamma process model is used to estimated the state distribution and the life distribution for storage time for 155mm propelling charge KM4A2 because the regression analysis is a deterministic method and it can't describe the distribution of life for storage time.

Prediction of Radical Reaction Positions in PAHs by HOMO and LUMO Calculation (HOMO 및 LUMO 계산에 의한 PAHs의 라디칼 반응위치 예측)

  • Lee, Byung-Dae
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2010
  • HOMO(the highest occupied molecular orbital) and LUMO(the lowest unoccupied molecular orbital) of four recalcitrant polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were calculated by MOPAC program(CaChe Co). The previous papers which reported experimental results about radical reaction of PAHs were reviewed. The reported radical reaction positions of four PAHs corresponded with predicted positions in which ${\Delta}E$(HOMO-LUMO) was high. From these results, it appears that determining the ${\Delta}E$(HOMO-LUMO) of a PAH is a promising method for predicting the radical reaction position.

A Terminal Ballistic Performance Prediction of Multi-Layer Armor with Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 다층장갑의 방호성능 예측)

  • 유요한;김태정;양동열
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.189-201
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    • 2001
  • For a design of multi-layer armor, the extensive full scale or sub-scale penetration test data are required. In generally, the collection of penetration data is in need of time-consuming and expensive processes. However, the application of numerical or analytical method is very limited due to poor understanding about penetration mechanics. In this paper, we have developed a neural network analyzer which can be used as a design tool for a new armor. Calculation results show that the developed neural network analyzer can predict relatively exact penetration depth of a new armor through the effective analysis of the pre-existing penetration database.

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