• Title/Summary/Keyword: 과거 위치 추정

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The Variation of Water Temperature and Turbidity of Stream Flows entering Imha Reservoir (임하호 유입지천의 수온과 탁도 변화)

  • Kim, Woo-Gu;Jung, Kwan-Soo;Yi, Yong-Kon
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.39 no.1 s.115
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2006
  • The changing patterns of water temperature and turbidity in streams entering Imha Reservoir were studied. The turbidity variation near the intake tower in Imha Reservoir was investigated in relation with the variation of water temperature and turbidity in streams. Water temperature was estimated using multi-regression method with air temperature and dew point as independent variables. Peak turbidity was also estimated using non-linear regression method with rainfall intensity as an independent variable. Although more independent variables representing watershed characteristics seem to be needed to increase estimation accuracies, the methodology used in this study can be applied to estimate water temperature and peak turbidity in other streams.

Water shortage evaluation of the future An-seong river basins considering the climate change (기후변화를 고려한 미래 안성천 유역의 물 부족 평가)

  • Lee, Dae-Wung;Kim, Jeong-Wook;Hong, Seung-Jin;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2015.11a
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    • pp.189-190
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    • 2015
  • 전 세계는 지난 135년간(1880~2014년) 지구온난화에 따른 빈번해진 이상기후로 평균 기온은 $0.85^{\circ}C$ 상승하였으며 이로 인해 강우강도, 강우량이 증가하고 있다. 이처럼 기후변화는 수문현상에 많은 영향을 미쳐 물 순환 과정의 정확한 파악을 더욱 어렵게 하고 있으며 안정적인 물 공급을 위한 수자원계획 수립에 불확실성을 증대 시키고 있기 때문에 정확한 물 수요 예측이 필요한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 한반도 중서부에 위치한 안성천을 대상으로 준 분포 강우-유출 모형인 SLURP모형에 기후변화 RCP8.5 시나리오를 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 안성천의 유출량을 산정하였다. 정확한 물 수요 예측을 위해 K-Weap(통합수자원평가계획모형)모형을 통해 유역별 네트워크 및 시나리오를 구성하고, 용수이용량(생활, 공업, 농업)의 과거자료를 선형예측함수식을 통해 장래 추정량을 생성 하였다. 이처럼 세분화된 자료를 통한 물 수지 분석 결과, 안성천 유역은 인구 증가, 급격한 도시화로 인한 용수 이용량 증가 그리고 기후변화에 따른 지구온난화로 인해 농업용수는 점차적으로 물 부족이 감소하고 있지만, 생활, 공업용수 이용량에 대한 물 부족량이 증가하고 있는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구에서는 물 부족을 해소할 수 있는 방안을 제시하고자 2가지의 대안을 구성해보았으며, 먼 미래의 물 부족시대에 대비할 수 있는 기초적인 자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

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Unsteady Flow Model for the Main Reach of the Han River : Calibration (한강 본류에 대한 부정류 계산모형 : 모형의 보정)

  • Hwang, Ui-Jun;Jeon, Gyeong-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.549-559
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    • 1997
  • A multiply-connected network unsteady flow model for the main reach of the Han River is developed. It is a variable parameter model which allows variable roughness coefficient for each computational point according to the spatial position and the value of discharge. Sensitivities of the model to roughness coefficient and weir-flow discharge coefficient are tested, and as a result Manning's roughness coefficient is selected as the calibration parameter. The model is calibrated and verified using the records of the past flood events. A modified Gauss-Newton method is used for the optimal calibration of roughness coefficients. From the calibration of variable parameter model, spatial variation and discharge dependence of Manning's roughness coefficient are identified. That is, the roughness coefficient is higher for the upstream reach of the Wangsook stream Junction, and it decreases as the discharge increases. It turns out through the verification that the stages calculated by the variable parameter model agree better with the observed than those by the conventional single parameter model. Spatial variation of the roughness coefficient appears to be more significant than the dependence of the discharge.

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Development of groundwater level monitoring and forecasting technique for drought early warning (가뭄 예·경보를 위한 지하수위 모니터링 및 예측기법 개발)

  • Lee, Jeongju;Kim, Taeho;Chun, Genil;Kim, Hyeonsik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.13-13
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    • 2020
  • '20년 3월 현재 전국 3,502개 읍면동 중 73개 읍면동이 지하수를 상수원으로 급수 중이며, 48개 산업단지에서 지하수를 주 수원으로 사용 중이다. 또한 급수 소외지역의 물 공급을 위해 주로 사용되는 소규모수도시설 14,811개 중 12,073개(81.5%)는 지하수를 이용하고 있으며, 그 위치는 전국에 산재해 있다. 이처럼 지하수는 댐, 저수지 및 하천과 더불어 생·공용수의 중요한 수원이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 급수 소외지역의 주요 수원인 지하수위 현황을 이용한 가뭄 모니터링 및 전망 기법을 개발하고자 하였다. 국가 지하수관측망 중 10년 이상 장기 관측 자료를 보유한 253개 관측소의 일단위 관측자료를 기반으로, 과거 관측수위 분포를 핵밀도함수로 추정하고 Quantile Function을 이용해 현재 수위의 높고 낮은 정도를 Percentile 값으로 산정하였다. 관측소별 지하수위 Percentile은 티센망을 이용해 167개 시군별로 공간평균하고 Percentile의 범위에 따른 가뭄등급을 설정하여 지하수 가뭄 정도를 모니터링 할 수 있는 기법을 제시하였다. 또한 지하수 가뭄을 전망하기 위해 강수와 지하수위의 거시적인 응답특성을 이용하였다. 관측소별로 추정된 핵밀도함수의 누적확률을 표준정규분포의 Quantile로 변환하여 표준지하수지수I(Standardized Groundwater level Index, SGI)를 산정하고, 시군별로 공간을 일치시킨 1~12개월 지속기간별 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)와의 상관관계를 이용해 NARX(nonlinear autoregressive exogenous) 인공신경망 예측모형을 구축하였다. 이를 통해 기상청 정량전망 강수량을 이용해 전국의 1~3개월 후 지하수 가뭄을 빠르게 전망할 수 있는 체계를 구축하고, 생·공용수 분야 국가 가뭄 예·경보의 미급수지역 가뭄현황 및 전망에 활용중이다.

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Analysis on the Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Drought using Potential Drought Hazard Map (가뭄우심도를 활용한 가뭄의 시공간적 분포특성분석)

  • Lee, Joo Heon;Cho, Kyeong Joon;Kim, Chang Joo;Park, Min Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.10
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    • pp.983-995
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    • 2012
  • In this study, it was intended to analyze the spatio-temporal distribution of historical drought events occurred in Korea by way of drought frequency analysis using SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index), and Drought spell was executed to estimate drought frequency as per drought severity and regions. Also, SDF (severity-duration-frequency) curves were prepared per each weather stations to estimate spatial distribution characteristics for the severe drought areas of Korea, and Potential Drought Hazard Map was prepared based on the derived SDF curves. Drought frequency analysis per drought stage revealed that severe drought as well as extreme drought frequency were prominently high at Geum River, Nakdong River, and Seomjin River basin as can be seen from SDF curves, and drought severity was found as severer per each drought return period in the data located at Geum River, Nakdong River, and Seomjin River basins as compared with that of Seoul weather station at Han River basin. In the Potential Drought Hazard Map, it showed that Geum River, Seomjin River, and Yeongsan River basins were drought vulnerable areas as compared to upper streams of Nakdong River basin and Han River basin, and showed similar result in drought frequency per drought stage. Drought was occurred frequently during spring seasons with tendency of frequent short drought spell as indicated in Potential Drought Hazard Map of different season.

Reconstruction of the Volcanic Lake in Hanon Volcano Using the Spatial Statistical Techniques (공간통계기법을 이용한 하논화산의 화구호 복원)

  • Choi Kwang-Hee;Yoon Kwang-Sung;Kim Jong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.4 s.115
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    • pp.391-403
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    • 2006
  • The Hanon volcano located in the southern pan of Cheju Island, Korea has a wetland in its crater being used as a farmland. Previous researchers presumed this wetland was a maar lake in the past. Based on the seismic refraction method, the wetland sediment layer was estimated between 5 to 14 m deep, which is mostly in accordance with previous researches. However, this shows only the depths at some sites, not representing the whole spatial distribution. This study is an attempt to reconstruct the volcanic lake in Hanon crater by applying the spatial statistical techniques based on the depth information from the seismic survey and known data. The procedure of reconstruction is as follows: First, the depth information from the seismic survey and known data were collected and it was interpolated by IDW and Ordinary Kriging method. Next, with the interpolation map and the present DEM the paleo DEM was constructed. Finally, using the paleo lake level on core data, the boundary of volcanic lake was extracted from the paleo DEM. The reconstructed lake resembles a half-moon in the north of the central scoria cone. It is estimated that the lake was 5 m deep on average and 13 m deep at the deepest point. Although there are slight differences according to the interpolation techniques, it is calculated that the area of the lake was between 184,000 and $190000m^2,$ and its volume approximately $869,760m^3$. Because of the continuous deposition processes after the crater formation, the reconstructed volcanic lake would not indicate an actual lake at a specific time. Nevertheless, it offers a significant clue regarding the inner morphology and evolution of the crater.

Techniques for Acquisition of Moving Object Location in LBS (위치기반 서비스(LBS)를 위한 이동체 위치획득 기법)

  • Min, Gyeong-Uk;Jo, Dae-Su
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.6
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    • pp.885-896
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    • 2003
  • The typws of service using location Information are being various and extending their domain as wireless internet tochnology is developing and its application par is widespread, so it is prospected that LBS(Location-Based Services) will be killer application in wireless internet services. This location information is basic and high value-added information, and this information services make prior GIS(Geographic Information System) to be useful to anybody. The acquisition of this location information from moving object is very important part in LBS. Also the interfacing of acquisition of moving object between MODB and telecommunication network is being very important function in LBS. After this, when LBS are familiar to everybody, we can predict that LBS system load is so heavy for the acquisition of so many subscribers and vehicles. That is to say, LBS platform performance is fallen off because of overhead increment of acquiring moving object between MODB and wireless telecommunication network. So, to make stable of LBS platform, in this MODB system, acquisition of moving object location par as reducing the number of acquisition of unneccessary moving object location. We study problems in acquiring a huge number of moving objects location and design some acquisition model using past moving patternof each object to reduce telecommunication overhead. And after implementation these models, we estimate performance of each model.

Flood Frequency Analysis Considering Probability Distribution and Return Period under Non-stationary Condition (비정상성 확률분포 및 재현기간을 고려한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob;Kim, Hyeong Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.610-610
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    • 2015
  • 수공구조물의 설계에서는 홍수빈도분석을 통해 산정된 특정 재현기간에서의 확률수문량이 설계기준으로 사용된다. 그러나 최근 기후변화로 인해 이상기후 현상이 심해짐에 따라 수문기상자료의 정상성을 가정하는 기존의 홍수빈도분석은 변화되는 수문현상을 적절히 표현하지 못하는 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 확률분포의 모수가 시간에 따라 변화하는 비정상성 빈도분석기법을 적용하였으며 확률분포의 모수들을 최우추정법으로 추정하였다. 또한, 분위수 추정과정에서도 비정상성을 고려하여 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간 및 위험도와 비교분석하였다. 확률분포는 GEV 분포를 사용하여 정상성 및 비정상성 모형 4개를 구축하였다. 특히, 비정상성 모형은 위치모수만 선형 경향성을 가지는 경우, 규모모수만 선형경향성을 가지는 경우, 위치 및 규모모수가 선형경향성을 가지는 경우의 3가지로 구분하여 적용하였다. 구축된 4개의 모형 중 적합모형을 선정하기 위해 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 사용하였으며 적합모형선정 절차를 체계적으로 구축하고 적용하여 적합모형을 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 구축된 비정상성 홍수빈도분석 기법은 우리나라의 8개 다목적댐 (충주댐, 소양강댐, 안동댐, 임하댐, 합천댐, 대청댐, 섬진강댐, 주암댐)으로부터 취득된 과거 관측 댐 유입량을 대상으로 하여 적용되었다. 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 이용한 적합 모형 선정 결과 합천댐과 섬진강댐이 비정상성 GEV 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었고, 나머지 지점의 다목적댐들은 정상성 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었다. 합천댐과 섬진강댐의 경우 비정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간이 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간보다 매우 작게 산정되었으며 확률수문량과 위험도는 크게 산정되었다. 적합모형으로 정상성 모형이 선정된 6개의 다목적댐 중 소양강댐은 Mann-Kendall 비모수 경향성 검정 결과 유의하지는 않지만 비교적 큰 선형경향성을 가지고 있었다. 비록 비정상성 모형이 적합모형으로 선정되지는 않았지만 소양강댐에 비정상성 모형을 가정하여 재현기간과 확률수문량, 위험도를 분석한 결과 정상성 모형 가정에서 산정한 결과와 상당한 차이가 있었다. 이와 같은 결과는 수문자료의 정상성과 비정상성을 고려한 홍수빈도분석이 향후 수공구조물의 설계에 있어서 신뢰성 있는 확률수문량을 결정하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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GIS & GPS Application of Management of Granitic Flagstone from the Trifurcated Path at Jongmyo Royal Shrine, Seoul, Korea (종묘 어도박석 관리를 위한 GIS 및 GPS 활용)

  • Lee, Jin-Young;Hong, Sei-Sun;Yun, Hyun-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2010
  • Jongmyo royal shrine, located in Seoul, is a UNESCO World Heritage site, and a cultural relic of national value and significance. Examination of its udobakseok(granitic flagstone; thin, flat and even stepping-stones for the King) has shown that parts are in damaged condition. In this study, GIS and GPS technologies were applied to determine the extent of damage and to find granitic flagstone for replacement and restoration of the damaged stones. 1,158 out of 2,361 stone pieces of the udobakseok were damaged at Jongmyo. Replacement granitic flagstones are available on Seokmo Island, in Ganghwa County, and estimates show that approximately 100,000 pieces of stone can be quarried. This research aided the systematic management of information about availability and location of granitic flagstones for restoration of the Jongmyo udobakseok. It also demonstrated that GIS and GPS technologies can apply a critical role in managing cultural properties. The wide use of GIS and GPS technologies can be expected for survey and management of other cultural properties in addition to Jongmyo.

Historical Studies on the Nameless Buildings at the Jondeokjeong Area in Donggwoldo (동궐도상의 존덕정 영역에 나타난 무편액 건물의 조영사적 고찰)

  • Jung, Woo Jin;Sim, Woo Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.148-173
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    • 2012
  • The rear garden in Donggwol Palace which shared with the Changdeok Palace and the Changgyeong Palace is the salient places of technology and idea reflected the phases of the times of the Joseon Dynasty, so it is certainly one of the best Korean garden cultures. The rear garden in Donggwol which was not only the secret garden for the rest of royal family but also used as symbolic places for the various ceremonies and training its human resources has been considerably destroyed through the period of Japanese colonial rule. Thus the rear garden areas at north of Changkyung Palace were entirely transformed and a few territory from Juhabru(宙合樓) to Ongnyucheon(玉流川) keep up its surviving as the rear garden. The area of Jondeokjeong(尊德亭) which become subject on this studies from among these was constructed as flower garden after development of Ongnyucheon. The areas of Simchujeong(深秋亭), Cheoknoedang(滌惱堂), Pyemwoosa(?愚?), Mangchunjeong(望春亭), Chunhyagak(天香閣), Chungsimjeong(淸心亭) around Jondeokjeong, were situated among the beautiful scenery with the flowers and ponds. But there are only Jondeokjeong and Pyemwoosa at this moment, and the other pavilions was destroyed and transformed. For these reasons, in this studies, the formative purposes were investigated through analysing water elements, planting, ornaments and so on. According to these reasons, historical records and realities of garden construction of five pavilions : Simchujeong, Mangchunjeong, Cheoknoedang, Chunhyagak, Chungyeongak(淸燕閣) were considered to give authenticity to the restoration and reorganization as well as to accumulate basic knowledge about the conservation of environment surrounded garden architectures. These pavilions appeared at Gunggwolgi(宮闕志) and Joseonwangzosilok(朝鮮王朝實), but their names were not appeared at Donggwoldo(東闕圖). So they were ascertained through all of literatures on Donggwol Palace. Cheoknoedang and Simchujeong among these buildings could be found out as the existed buildings and the uncertain building at the northwest of Jondeokjeong was estimated as the name to Chunhyagak or Mangchunjeong. And the hypothesis that the wall surrounding Taichungmoon(太淸門) should be belong to Chungyeongak was supported. In addition, the area which did not known in connection with name and use on northeast at the Changdeok Palace, and had regarded as an impasses in the studies of Donggwoldo and the rear garden in Donggwol Palace, but the historical records of using by Yeonsangun(燕山君) and Sukjong(肅宗) were discovered at this study. And it could be uncovered that the obscure spatial space was a separate house only for king and he enjoyed play there unnoticing to others belong to palace.