• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공사비 산정방법

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Development and evaluation of dam inflow prediction method based on Bayesian method (베이지안 기법 기반의 댐 예측유입량 산정기법 개발 및 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;So, Jae-Min;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.489-502
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to propose and evaluate the BAYES-ESP, which is a dam inflow prediction method based on Ensemble Streamflow Prediction method (ESP) and Bayesian theory. ABCD rainfall-runoff model was used to predict monthly dam inflow. Monthly meteorological data collected from KMA, MOLIT and K-water and dam inflow data collected from K-water were used for the model calibration and verification. To estimate the performance of ABCD model, ESP and BAYES-ESP method, time series analysis and skill score (SS) during 1986~2015 were used. In time series analysis monthly ESP dam inflow prediction values were nearly similar for every years, particularly less accurate in wet and dry years. The proposed BAYES-ESP improved the performance of ESP, especially in wet year. The SS was used for quantitative analysis of monthly mean of observed dam inflows, predicted values from ESP and BAYES-ESP. The results indicated that the SS values of ESP were relatively high in January, February and March but negative values in the other months. It also showed that the BAYES-ESP improved ESP when the values from ESP and observation have a relatively apparent linear relationship. We concluded that the existing ESP method has a limitation to predict dam inflow in Korea due to the seasonality of precipitation pattern and the proposed BAYES-ESP is meaningful for improving dam inflow prediction accuracy of ESP.

Characteristic Analysis of Major Issues in Negotiating Concession Agreement for BTO Projects Using AHP (AHP 기법을 이용한 BTO 민간투자사업 협상의 주요쟁점 특성분석)

  • Roh, Tae-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.234-244
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    • 2007
  • Both competent authorities and private entrepreneurs face plenty of risks when negotiating BTO(Build Transfer Operation) methods of PPI(Private Participations in Infrastructures) projects. Also, success and failure of projects largely depend on the concession agreement contract. In this study, for more efficient negotiation, major issues are examined, and quantitatively analyzed to find out not only the relationship but also the characteristics of which these issues share. Questionnaire research was conducted through both research and by experts who were divided into an ordering agency, design company and constructor. Characteristics of major issues were quantitatively analyzed using the Likert index method, ANOVA(ANalysis of VAriance) and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) analysis. Case studies were examined in order to estimate construction cost, rates of return, government finance support, level of operation-revenues guarantees, estimating operational costs and usage fees. With these 6 items, relative priority, relative impression which is sensible to risk and extent of difficulty in presenting data which is objective were quantitatively analyzed by the ordering agency, design company and constructor groups. From the analysis, there were some similarities between the design company and constructor groups while there was less of similarities between the ordering agency and design company or constructor. The government is diversifying the methods of project promotion, and PPI project from infrastructure-centered to public culture facilities are being expand. The current study will provide not only supporting efficient negotiation but also revitalizing PPI projects.

A Study on Characteristic Analysis of Major Issues in Negotiating Concession Agreement for BTO Projects Using AHP (계층화분석법에 의한 BTO 민간투자사업 협상의 주요쟁점 특성분석에 관한 고찰)

  • Roh, Tae-Ho;Kim, Jong-Won;Lim, Chang-Sik;Lee, Jong-Chool
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2008
  • Both competent authorities and private entrepreneurs face plenty of risks when negotiating BTO(Build Transfer Operation) methods of PPI(Private Participations in Infrastructures) projects. Also, success and failure of projects largely depend on the concession agreement contract. In this study, for more efficient negotiation, major issues are examined, and quantitatively analyzed to find out not only the relationship but also the characteristics of which these issues share. Questionnaire research was conducted through both research and by experts who were divided into an ordering agency, design company and constructor. Characteristics of major issues were quantitatively analyzed using the Likert index method, ANOVA(ANalysis of VAriance) and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) analysis. Case studies were examined in order to estimate construction cost, rates of return, government finance support, level of operation-revenues guarantees, estimating operational costs and usage fees. With these 6 items, relative priority, relative impression which is sensible to risk and extent of difficulty in presenting data which is objective were quantitatively analyzed by the ordering agency, design company and constructor groups. From the analysis, there were some similarities between the design company and constructor groups while there was less of similarities between the ordering agency and design company or constructor. The government is diversifying the methods of project promotion, and PPI project from infrastructure-centered to public culture facilities are being expand. The current study will provide not only supporting efficient negotiation but also revitalizing PPI projects.

Measurement of the Flow Field in a River (LSPIV에 의한 하천 표면유속장의 관측)

  • Kim, Young-Sung;Yang, Jae-Rheen
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1812-1816
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    • 2009
  • 이미지 해석에 의한 유속장 측정방법은 유체역학분야에서 지난 30 여년 동안 많이 활용되어온 속도측정 기법으로 오늘날에는 이를 수공학 분야에서 이를 유량측정 등 수리현상 해석에 활용하려는 시도가 다각적으로 이루어지고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 이미지 해석에 의한 유속장 측정방법을 용담댐 시험유역에 적용하여 그의 자연하천에서의 적용성을 검토하고자 한다. 이미지 해석에 의한 유속장 측정방법은 PIV(Particle Image Velocimetry)로 통칭되고 있으며, PIV는 seeding, illumination, recording, 및 image processing의 네 가지 요소로 구성된다. seeding을 위해서 유체를 따라 흐를수 있는 작은 입자를 유체에 첨가한다. 유체를 따라 흐르는 입자들의 선명한 이미지를 얻기 위해서illumination이 필요하다. PIV를 이용하여 흐름을 해석하기 위한 illumination은 일반적으로 이중펄스 레이저가 이용된다. 이렇게 유속장 해석을 하려는 유체에 대하여 seeding 및 illumination이 준비되면 단일노출- 다중 프레임법, 혹은 다중노출-단일 프레임법으로 흐름을 recording을 한다. image processing은 이미지를 다운로드하고, 디지타이징 및 화질향상을 하는 전처리(pre-processing), 상관계수의 산정에 의한 유속 벡터의 결정 및 에러 벡터를 제거하고 유속장을 그래프화하는 후처리(post-processing) 과정으로 구성된다. LSPIV(Large Scale PIV)는 PIV의 기본원리를 근거로 하여 기존의 PIV에 비하여 실험실 내에서의 수리모형실험이나 일반 하천에서의 유속측정과 같은 큰 규모$(4m^2\sim45,000m^2$)의 흐름해석을 할 수 있도록 Fujita et al.(1994)와 Aya et al.(1995)이 확장시킨 것이다. PIV와 비교시 LSPIV의 다른 점은 넓은 흐름 표면적을 포함하기 위하여 촬영시에 카메라의 광축과 흐름 사이의 각도가 PIV에서 이용하는 수직이 아닌 경사각을 이용하였고 이에 따라 발생하는 이미지의 왜곡을 제거하기 위하여 이미지 변환기법을 적용하여 왜곡이 없는 정사촬영 이미지로 변환시킨다. 이후부터는 PIV의 이미지 처리 방법이 적용되어 표면유속을 산정한다. 다만 이미지 변환을 PIV 이미지 처리 전에 하느냐 후에 하느냐에 따라 유속장 해석결과에 차이가 있다. PIV의 네가지 단계를 포함하여 LSPIV의 각 단계를 구분하면, seeding, illumination, recording, image transformation,image processing 및 post-processing의 여섯 단계로 나뉘어진다 (Li, 2002). LSPIV를 적용시 물표면 입자의 Tracing을 위하여 자연하천에서 사용하기에 적합한 환경친화적인 seeding 재료인 Wood Mulch를 사용하여 유속을 측정하였다. 적용지점은 용담댐 상류의 동향수위관측소 지점으로 이 지점은 한국수자원공사의 수자원시험유역이 위치하고 있다. 이미지의 촬영은 가정용 비디오 캠코더 (Sony DCR-PC 350)을 이용하여 두 줄기의 흐름에 대하여 각각 약 5분 동안의 영상을 촬영한후 이중에서 seeding의 분포가 잘 이루어진 약 1분간을 추출한후 이를 이용하여 PIV 분석에 이용하였다. 대체적으로 유속장의 계산이 무난하게 이루어지었으나 비교적 수질 상태가 양호하고, 수심이 낮고, 하상재료가 자갈로 이루어져 있어 비슷한 색상의 seeding 재료를 추적하기 어려운 구간이 발생한 부분에서는 유속의 계산이 정확히 이루어지지 않았다.

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A Study on the Improvement of Measuring Methods in Land Suitability Assessment: Focused on the Distance Measurement and Threshold Definition (토지적성평가 평가방법 개선방안 연구 : 거리측정 및 임계치 설정방안을 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Yeun-Woo;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2012
  • This study proposes an approach to improve the accuracy of land assessment result focused on the Land Suitability Assessment. The detailed analysis processes are; (a) that they are analyzed considering resistance in distance measurement on the space characteristics of location, and; (b) that an assessment result is measured according to the threshold definition of membership function, which is applied in estimating conservation suitability. The assessment results are; firstly, the method considering resistance better reflects the local characteristics of area with worse accessibility including rivers and mountains than one by linear distance; secondly, the existing method that the maximum value of a target area is defined as the maximum threshold may draw a value evaluated lower than a threshold definition considering the distribution of measured indices. Finally, satellite images are overlapped with the assessed results, the applicability level from the approach proposed by this study is more coincident with the present status. The assessment method proposed by this study can be meaningful in view of that it improves the accuracy of Land Suitability Assessment. Furthermore, it can be applied as SDSS, which can support effective establishment of urban policies, in case of complementing the problems in executing the assessment system.

Case Study for Telecommunication Network Design based on Optimal Path Algorithm (최적경로 알고리듬을 활용한 경제적인 통신망 설계 적용 사례)

  • Jung, Ju-Young;Choi, Yun-Soo;Jun, Chul-Min;Cho, Seong-Kil
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.8 no.1 s.16
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, several network algorithms were tested to find an optimal one for telecommunication network design. Algorithms such as Dijkstra's shortest path algorithm, Ford-Bellman's shortest path algorithm, Prim's minimum spanning tree algorithm, and Kruscal's minimum spanning tree algorithm were reviewed and compared in terms of feasibility and resulted network construction cost. Then an optimal algorithm that is most suitable for telecommunication network design was selected. For more specific and quantitative analysis of the selected algorithm, it was implemented to a real telecommunication network construction site. The analyzed results showed that the suggested design method when compared with the conventional one, reduced the network construction cost considerably. The total network length estimated by the conventional method were 5267 meters while the suggested method resulted in 4807 meters. Thus the new method reduced the total network length by 8.7 percent which is equivalent to 97,469,000 Won of construction cost. Considering the frequent telecommunication network constructions, due to new urban developments in the nation, the economic benefit of the suggested telecommunication network design method will be significant. In addition to the construction cost savings, the suggested telecommunication network design procedure possesses several other economic benefits. Since the design procedure can be standardized and automatized, it can reduce the design cost itself and the skill acquirement periods required for new or inapt design crews. Further, due to the standardized and automatized design procedure, any telecommunication network design results can accessed more objectively.

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Estimating Productivity of AL-Form Operation Using Web-CYCLONE System (웹싸이클론을 활용한 알루미늄 폼 공정의 품셈산출)

  • Lee, Dong-Eun;Kim, Yong-Woo;Son, Chang-Baek
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2013
  • Construction Standard Productivity Manual (CSPM) has been used for estimating the contract amount of public construction projects. CSPM has been annually either revised and/or newly enacted with high costs. Therefore, This study makes use of CYCLONE, which is a simulation modeling and analysis system specialized in construction operation, to improve the revising and enacting processes of CSPM. This paper presents the CSPM revision module that is an Add-in to Web-CYCLONE. The new module can be effectively used to incorporate the auxiliary tasks and the non-productive tasks into AL-Form operation model. The outputs obtained from the models using he CSPM revision module and from work sampling were compared to verify the usability of the add-in modules. This study verifies that the new module can effectively assist enacting and/or revising CSPM.

Influence of electrode geometry on electrical resistivity survey: Numerical study (전극의 기하학적 형상이 전기비저항 탐사에 미치는 영향: 수치 해석 연구)

  • Tae-Young Kim;Seung-Hun Lee;Hee-Hwan Ryu;Song-Hun Chong
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.101-120
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    • 2023
  • Electrical resistivity survey have been widely conducted at diverse scales, from a few centimeters for laboratory tests to kilometers for field tests. It measures electrical resistance through relationship of electric potential difference and current between two electrodes penetrated on the surface of medium, and eventually quantifies electrical resistivity known as inherent properties of the medium. In field or full-scale test, it assumes the electrodes as equivalent half-sphere electrodes that have a same surface area with different electrodes for ease of calculation because the contact area between electrode and medium is small and sufficient distance between two electrodes. However, small-scale laboratory test is significantly affected by the electrode geometries (penetrated depth, height, radius of electrode and distance between electrodes), which change the equipotential surface and electric current flow. Indeed, the electrode geometries may eventually cause a difference of electrical resistivity value. This study reviews the theoretical electrical resistance derived with various electrode geometries (half-sphere, cylinder, cylindrical with half-spherical tip, cylindrical with conical tip) and verifies the developed numerical module by comparing results with the theoretical electrical resistance. The distributions of electrical resistance around electrodes and among electrodes are analyzed. In addition, it is discussed how the electrical characteristic of cylindrical electrode with conical tip widely used in field test has effect on the electric current flow.

Scale Effects of Initial Model and Material on 3-Dimensional Distinct Element Simulation (3차원 개별요소해석 시의 초기 모델 및 재료 스케일 영향)

  • Jeon, Jesung;Shin, Donghoon;Ha, Iksoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2011
  • Numerical simulations by three-dimensional Particle Flow Code($PFC^{3D}$, Itasca) considering distinct element method (DEM) were carried out for prediction of triaxial compression test with sand material. The effect of scale conditions for numerical model and distinct material on final prediction results was analyzed by numerical models under various scale conditions, and following observations were made from the numerical experiments. It is very useful to model the initial material condition without any porosity conversion from 2-D to 3-D DEM. Numerical experiments have shown that in all cases considered, 3D distinct element modeling could provide good agreement on stress-strain behavior, volume change and strength properties with laboratory testing results. It was important thing to assess reasonable scale ratio of numerical model and distinct elements for saving calculation time and securing calculation efficiency under condition with accuracy and appropriateness as numerical laboratory. As results of DEM simulations under various scale conditions, most of results show that shear strength properties as cohesion and internal friction angle are similar in condition of $D_{mod}/D_{gmax}$ < 10. It shows that 3-D distinct element method could be used as efficient tool to assess strength properties by numerical laboratory technique.

Estimation of VMS Traffic Information Value Using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부 가치측정법을 활용한 VMS 교통정보 가치 추정)

  • Choi, Jung Yoon;Yu, Jeong Whon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2013
  • In this study, value of VMS (Variable Message Sign) traffic information is estimated by using CVM (Contingent Valuation Method), which is developed to quantify the value of non-marketable goods in environmental economics. CVM is used to estimate the value of goods provided by a project under consideration and then the project feasibility can be indirectly examined on the basis of the estimated value. This study focuses on estimating to estimate value of traffic information provided through VMS, a part of the transportation system enhancement project by Korea Expressway Corporation which is aimed at mitigating traffic problems on expressways. In particular, this study analyzes value of information separately by trip purpose, information type, and traffic flow condition. A state preference survey was designed to estimate the value of non-marketable traffic information. To maximize reliability of the survey results, a pilot survey was taken before the main survey. The open-ended question method was adopted in capturing users' willingness-to-pay. Both Tobit and binary Probit models were applied in estimating the value of VMS traffic information and their parameters were estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation. The estimation results suggests that the value of traffic information perceived by users is 518.28 KRW.