• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간 자기회귀 모형

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Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Financial Industries and the Relationships with Socio-economic Variables: The case of the Seoul Metropolitan Area (금융산업의 분포특성 및 사회.경제적 변수와의 관계 분석: 수도권 지역을 사례로)

  • Moon, Eun Jin;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.512-527
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    • 2013
  • This study examines the spatial distribution characteristics of financial industry which has been a necessary service for contemporary urban life. In particular, we analyze the spatial distribution patterns of money lending business which is considered with informal financial services as well as the spatial distribution patterns of banks which are representative of the institutional financial services. For the purpose, their density distribution patterns are explored by Kernel density analysis for both financial services in first. Moran's I coefficients are estimated for these two financial services to clarify the distintion in their geographical concentration patterns. The results of spatial autocorrelation analysis show stark differences between the center city and outskirts of the Seoul metropolitan area. Multivariate regression models are developed to explain the relationships between the spatial distributions of financial services and geographical variables. Finally, we discuss financial exclusion problem in the Metropolitan Seoul based on these spatial distribution characteristics.

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A Study on the Effect of urban characteristics on Regional population using Spatial Econometrics Analysis - Focused on Incheon Metropolitan City - (공간계량분석을 이용한 도시특성요인이 지역 인구에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 - 인천광역시를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Byung-Suk;Lee, DongSung;Son, Dong-Geul
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of urban characteristics on regional population and to suggest policy implications based on the analysis results. For this purpose, this study used spatial econometrics analysis(SAR, SEM, SAC) using data on 122 eup-myon-dong areas in Incheon Metropolitan City. As a result of the analysis, First, in terms of spatial, population density showed positive (+) effect while employment density has negative (-) effect. Also, the increase in the number of tertiary industries and workers in the industry has a positive (+) effect. Second, in terms of housing, the apartment ratio showed positive (+) effect and the increase of low-rise deteriorated housing has negative (-) effect. Third, the increase in educational facilities and urban parks showed positive (+) effect on population. In conclusion several policy implications for urban management found through this analysis are discussed.

The Spatial Statistical Relationships between Road-traffic Noise and Urban Components Including Population, Building, Road-traffic and Land-use (공간통계모형을 이용한 도로 소음과 도시 구성 요소의 관계 연구)

  • Ryu, Hunjae;Park, In Kwon;Chang, Seo Il;Chun, Bum Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.348-356
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    • 2014
  • To understand the relationship between road-traffic noise and urban components such as population, building, road-traffic and land-use, the city of Cheongju that already has road-traffic noise maps of daytime and nighttime was selected for this study. The whole area of the city is divided into square cells of a uniform size and for each cell, the urban components are estimated. A spatial representative noise level for each cell is determined by averaging out population-weighted facade noise levels for noise exposure population within the cell during nighttime. The relationship between the representative noise level and the urban components is statistically modeled at the cell level. Specially, we introduce a spatial auto regressive model and a spatial error model that turns out to explain above 85 % of the noise level. These findings and modeling methods can be used as a preliminary tool for environmental planning and urban design in modern cities in consideration of noise exposure.

A Study on the Inter-Model Comparison and Influencing Factors on the Use Predictive Power of Shared E-scooter (공유 전동킥보드 이용 예측력에 대한 모형 및 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Daewon Kim;Dongmin Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.29-47
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    • 2024
  • Many domestic and foreign studies derive factors that significantly affect the use of shared E-scooters based on performance data, but few studies have been conducted with comparative analysis models using predictive power, applying them to other regions. Therefore, by clearly establishing detailed influencing factors and scope in Gwangjin-gu and Gangnam-gu by using domestic shared E-scooter performance data, this study enhances predictive power, and the Geographically Weighted Regression model is derived through spatial autocorrelation verification. Based on the results, the direction of a construction model created from regional differences was presented, and major implications from the user's perspective are derived based on the difference between actual use and the model's prediction.

A Study on the Methodology of Extracting the vulnerable districts of the Aged Welfare Using Artificial Intelligence and Geospatial Information (인공지능과 국토정보를 활용한 노인복지 취약지구 추출방법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jiman;Cho, Duyeong;Lee, Sangseon;Lee, Minseob;Nam, Hansik;Yang, Hyerim
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.169-186
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    • 2018
  • The social influence of the elderly population will accelerate in a rapidly aging society. The purpose of this study is to establish a methodology for extracting vulnerable districts of the welfare of the aged through machine learning(ML), artificial neural network(ANN) and geospatial analysis. In order to establish the direction of analysis, this progressed after an interview with volunteers who over 65-year old people, public officer and the manager of the aged welfare facility. The indicators are the geographic distance capacity, elderly welfare enjoyment, officially assessed land price and mobile communication based on old people activities where 500 m vector areal unit within 15 minutes in Yongin-city, Gyeonggi-do. As a result, the prediction accuracy of 83.2% in the support vector machine(SVM) of ML using the RBF kernel algorithm was obtained in simulation. Furthermore, the correlation result(0.63) was derived from ANN using backpropagation algorithm. A geographically weighted regression(GWR) was also performed to analyze spatial autocorrelation within variables. As a result of this analysis, the coefficient of determination was 70.1%, which showed good explanatory power. Moran's I and Getis-Ord Gi coefficients are analyzed to investigate spatially outlier as well as distribution patterns. This study can be used to solve the welfare imbalance of the aged considering the local conditions of the government recently.

Development of Rainfall Ensemble Prediction Model based on Radar Rainfall (레이더 강우량 기반 강우앙상블 예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Ho-Jun;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Ryou, Minsuk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.276-276
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    • 2021
  • 최근 댐과 같은 수공구조물의 건설로 대규모 홍수피해는 급격히 줄어들었지만, 돌발홍수(flash flood)로 인한 저지대 침수 등의 도시홍수 발생빈도가 급증하고 있다. 2020년에는 최장의 장마가 관측되었으며, 전국적으로 홍수로 인한 침수피해가 발생하였다. 홍수에 선제적으로 대응하기 위해서 신뢰성 있는 홍수예·경보가 필요하며, 이를 위해서는 신속하고 정확성있는 강우예측이 선행되어야 한다. 이에 본 연구에서는 초단기 강우예측을 목적으로 둔 레이더 기반의 강우앙상블 예측모형을 개발하였다. 라그랑지안 지속성(Lagrangian persistence)을 기반으로 개발하였으며, 강우장의 이동 패턴은 이류특성을 활용해 추정하였다. 즉, 강우장의 예측정확도를 향상시키기 위해 공간적 규모별 캐스캐이드(cascade) 방법으로 분리해 이동 경로를 추정하였다. 예측시간에 따른 강우량은 각 캐스캐이드에 자기회귀모형을 적용하였다. 레이더 강우량은 2016-2020년 사이에 발생한 강우사상에 대한 환경부 홍수통제소에서 제공한 레이더 합성장을 이용하였다. 예측강우량에 대한 평가는 RMSE, Pearson's Correlation, FSS 등 통계치를 통해 수행하였다. 본 연구에서 소개된 강우예측 모형은 초단기 홍수예측에 정확도 높은 강우 정보를 제공할 수 있으며, 이에 따라 홍수피해를 저감하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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Comparison of Neighborhood Information Systems for Lattice Data Analysis (격자자료분석을 위한 이웃정보시스템의 비교)

  • Lee, Kang-Seok;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.387-397
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    • 2008
  • Recently many researches on data analysis using spatial statistics have been studied in various field and the studies on small area estimations using spatial statistics are in actively progress. In analysis of lattice data, defining the neighborhood information system is the most crucial procedure because it also determines the result of the analysis. However the used neighborhood informal ion system is generally defined by sharing the common border lines of small areas. In this paper the other neighborhood information systems are introduced and those systems are compared with Moran's I statistic and for the comparisons, Economic Active Population Survey (2001) is used.

Autologistic models with an application to US presidential primaries considering spatial and temporal dependence (미국 대통령 예비선거에 적용한 시공간 의존성을 고려한 자기로지스틱 회귀모형 연구)

  • Yeom, Ho Jeong;Lee, Won Kyung;Sohn, So Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.215-231
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    • 2017
  • The US presidential primaries take place sequentially in different places with a time lag. However, they have not attracted as much attention in terms of modelling as the US presidential election has. This study applied several autologistic models to find the relation between the outcome of the primary election for a Democrat candidate with socioeconomic attributes in consideration of spatial and temporal dependence. According to the result applied to the 2016 election data at the county level, Hillary Clinton was supported by people in counties with high population rates of old age, Black, female and Hispanic. In addition, spatial dependence was observed, representing that people were likely to support the same candidate who was supported from neighboring counties. Positive auto-correlation was also observed in the time-series of the election outcome. Among several autologistic models of this study, the model specifying the effect of Super Tuesday had the best fit.

Analyzing Influence Factors of Foodservice Sales by Rebuilding Spatial Data : Focusing on the Conversion of Aggregation Units of Heterogeneous Spatial Data (공간 데이터 재구축을 통한 음식업종 매출액 영향 요인 분석 : 이종 공간 데이터의 집계단위 변환을 중심으로)

  • Noh, Eunbin;Lee, Sang-Kyeong;Lee, Byoungkil
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.581-590
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the effect of floating population, locational characteristics and spatial autocorrelation on foodservice sales using big data provided by the Seoul Institute. Although big data provided by public sector is growing recently, research difficulties are occurred due to the difference of aggregation units of data. In this study, the aggregation unit of a dependent variable, sales of foodservice is SKT unit but those of independent variables are various, which are provided as the aggregation unit of Korea National Statistical Office, administration dong unit and point. To overcome this problem, we convert all data to the SKT aggregation unit. The spatial error model, SEM is used for analysing spatial autocorrelation. Floating population, the number of nearby workers, and the area of aggregation unit effect positively on foodservice sales. In addition, the sales of Jung-gu, Yeongdeungpo-gu and Songpa-gu are less than that of Gangnam-gu. This study provides implications for further study by showing the usefulness and limitations of converting aggregation units of heterogeneous spatial data.

Effects of High-Speed Train on Regional Population In-Migration - Focusing on Shrinking City and Demographic Structure - (고속철도가 지역 인구 이동에 미치는 영향 -지방소멸 위험과 인구 구조를 중심으로-)

  • Eunji Kim;Heeyeun Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 2024
  • Around the world, many countries experiencing the issue of shrinking cities are continually expanding high-speed rail networks to enhance regional accessibility and address imbalances. This study analyzed the effects of high-speed train operations on the age-specific population migration in South Korean municipalities from 2012 to 2019, taking into account the risk levels of shrinking cities. For this purpose, an analysis was conducted using age-specific net in-migration population as the dependent variable, employing the spatial panel autoregressive model. The research results indicated that the influence of high-speed rail on regional population inflow varies depending on the risk level of shrinking city. In other words, high-speed railway operations had positive effects on population inflow in the capital areas and some major cities, while explained population outflow in the other regions. High-speed railways particularly exerted a significant impact on the inflow of the young and middle-aged population, representing the working age, but this effect was also limited to regions with a low risk of shrinkage. The findings of this study emphasize the importance of considering planned population and industrial attraction when installing high-speed rail with the goal of achieving regional balanced development and mitigating shrinkage. The results of this study also suggest the need for subsequent research to explore factors that positively influence population structure and inflow based on the level of shrinkage risk in each region, as well as the introduction of new policies tailored to the specific situations of each local government.