• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간회귀모형

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Population Distribution Estimation Using Regression-Kriging Model (Regression-Kriging 모형을 이용한 인구분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sun;Ku, Cha-Yong;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.806-819
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    • 2010
  • Population data has been essential and fundamental in spatial analysis and commonly aggregated into political boundaries. A conventional method for population distribution estimation was a regression model with land use data, but the estimation process has limitation because of spatial autocorrelation of the population data. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of population distribution estimation by adopting a Regression-Kriging method, namely RK Model, which combines a regression model with Kriging for the residuals. RK Model was applied to a part of Seoul metropolitan area to estimate population distribution based on the residential zones. Comparative results of regression model and RK model using RMSE, MAE, and G statistics revealed that RK model could substantially improve the accuracy of population distribution. It is expected that RK model could be adopted actively for further population distribution estimation.

Application of geographical and temporal weighted regression model to the determination of house price (지리시간가중 회귀모형을 이용한 주택가격 영향요인 분석)

  • Park, Saehee;Kim, Minsoo;Baek, Jangsun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.173-183
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    • 2017
  • We investigate the factors affecting the price of apartments using the spatial and temporal data of private real estate prices. The factors affecting the price of apartment were analyzed using geographical and temporal weighted regression (GTWR) model which incorporates the temporal and spatial variation. In contrast to the OLS, a general approach used in previous studies, and GWR method which is most widely used for analyzing spatial data, GTWR considers both temporal and spatial characteristics of the house price, and leads to better description of the house price determination. Year of construction and floor area are selected as the significant factors from the analysis, and the house price are affected by them temporally and geographically.

The Effects of Neighborhood Segmentation on the Adequacy of a Spatial Regression Model (인근지역 범위 설정이 공간회귀모형 적합에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Chang Ro;Park, Key Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.978-993
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    • 2013
  • It can be advantage as well as disadvantage to use the spatial weight matrix in a spatial regression model; it would benefit from explicitly quantifying spatial relationships between geographical units, but necessarily involve subjective judgment while specifying the matrix. We took Incheon City as a study area and investigated how the fitness of a spatial regression model changed by constructing various spatial weight matrices. In addition, we explored neighborhood segmentation in the study area and analyzed any influence of it on the model adequacy of two basic spatial regression models, i.e., spatial lagged and spatial error models. The results showed that it can help to improve the adequacy of models to specify the spatial weight matrix strictly, that is, interpreting the neighborhood as small as possible when estimating land price. It was also found that the spatial error model would be preferred in the area with serious spatial heterogeneity. In such area, we found that its spatial heterogeneity can be alleviated by delineating sub-neighborhoods, and as a result, the spatial lagged model would be preferred over the spatial error model.

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Model identification of spatial autoregressive data analysis (공간 자기회귀모형의 식별)

  • 손건태;백지선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.121-136
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    • 1997
  • Spatial data is collected on a regular Cartesian lattice. In this paper we consider the model indentification of spatial autoregressive(SAR) models using AIC, BIC, pattern method. The proposed methods are considered as an application of AIC, BIC, 3-patterns for SAR models through three directions; row, column and diagonal directions. Using the Monte Carlo simulation, we test the efficiency of the proposed methods for various SAR models.

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마코프 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 강수 확률예측

  • Park, Jeong-Su
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2006
  • 현 기상의 시점에서 강수 확률 예측을 위해 가장 적절한 모형은 공간적 종속성과 시간적 종속성을 고려한 모형이 선택되어져야 한다. 보통 마크프 연쇄 모형과 예보인자를 이용하는 회귀 모형이 모두 고려된 모형을 사용한다. 본 논문에서는 강수 형태를 세 개의 상태로 나눈 경우, 즉 맑은 경우, 흐린 경우, 비온 경우로 나누어 마코프 로지스틱 회귀모형을 세우고 강수확률을 예측 할 수 있도록 하였다. 또한 서울 지역의 강수 자료를 이용하여 기존의 마코프 회귀모형과 마코프 로지스틱 회귀모형을 서로 비교하여 실제적 적용 문제를 다루었다.

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Comparison between Kriging and GWR for the Spatial Data (공간자료에 대한 지리적 가중회귀 모형과 크리깅의 비교)

  • Kim Sun-Woo;Jeong Ae-Ran;Lee Sung-Duck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2005
  • Kriging methods as traditional spatial data analysis methods and geographical weighted regression models as statistical analysis methods are compared. In this paper, we apply data from the Ministry of Environment to spatial analysis for practical study. We compare these methods to performance with monthly carbon monoxide observations taken at 116 measuring area of air pollution in 1999.

Estimating Probability of Mode Choice at Regional Level by Considering Spatial Association of Departure Place (출발지 공간 연관성을 고려한 지역별 수단선택확률 추정 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Park, Man-Sik;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.656-662
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    • 2009
  • In general, the analysis of travelers' mode choice behavior is accomplished by developing the utility functions which reflect individual's preference of mode choice according to their demographic and travel characteristics. In this paper, we propose a methodology that takes the spatial effects of individuals' departure locations into account in the mode choice model. The statistical models considered here are spatial logistic regression model and conditional autoregressive model taking a spatial association parameter into account. We employed the Bayesian approach in order to obtain more reliable parameter estimates. The proposed methodology allows us to estimate mode shares by departure places even though the survey does not cover all areas.

Busan Housing Market Dynamics Analysis with ESDA using MATLAB Application (공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to visualize the housing market dynamics with ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) using MATLAB toolbox, in terms of the modeling housing market dynamics in the Busan Metropolitan City. The data are used the real housing price transaction records in Busan from the first quarter of 2006 to the second quarter of 2009. Hedonic house price model, which is not reflecting spatial autocorrelation, has been a powerful tool in understanding housing market dynamics in urban housing economics. This study considers spatial autocorrelation in order to improve the traditional hedonic model which is based on OLS(Ordinary Least Squares) method. The study is, also, investigated the comparison in terms of $R^2$, Sigma Square(${\sigma}^2$), Likelihood(LR) among spatial econometrics models such as SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models), SEM(Spatial Errors Models), and SAC(General Spatial Models). The major finding of the study is that the SAR, SEM, SAC are far better than the traditional OLS model, considering the various indicators. In addition, the SEM and the SAC are superior to the SAR.

Bias Correction of AMSR2 Soil Moisture Data Using a Multiple Regression Method (다중회귀모형을 이용한 AMSR2 토양수분의 정량적 개선)

  • Kim, Myojeong;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.514-514
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    • 2015
  • 홍수 예측의 개선에 있어 정확한 공간 토양수분 정보는 필수적이다. 위성관측을 활용한 토양수분관측이 이루어지고 있으나 실제적 토양수분 상태와 정량적 차이가 크므로 편이보정을 통한 정량적 개선과정이 요구되는 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 위성에서 관측한 AMSR2 토양수분과 지상관측 토양수분자료 및 다중회귀모형를 이용하여 토양수분자료를 정량적로 개선하였다. 공간 해상도가 10 km인 AMSR2 토양수분을 1 km로 상세화한 우리나라 전역의 토양수분 자료와 수자원관리종합정보시스템(WAMIS)에서 제공하는 강우관측소 556개 지점에서 관측한 강우자료, 후처리한 MODIS LST 자료, 증발산량 및 식생지수를 사용하였다. 2012년 7월부터 2013년까지 기상청 농업기상관측관서에서 관측하는 지점 중 사용 가능한 6개 토양수분관측소 자료에 대해 토양군별회귀계수를 산정하였다. 토양군별 다중회귀모형을 이용하여 편이보정한 토양수분자료는 전반적으로 과소추정되는 AMSR2 토양수분의 단점을 개선하여 위성관측 토양수분자료의 활용성을 개선하였다(Fig. 1).

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Geographically Weighted Regression on the Characteristics of Land Use and Spatial Patterns of Floating Population in Seoul City (서울시 유동인구 분포의 공간 패턴과 토지이용 특성에 관한 지리가중 회귀분석)

  • Yun, Jeong Mi;Choi, Don Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2015
  • The key objective of this research is to review the effectiveness of spatial regression to identify the influencing factors of spatial distribution patterns of floating population. To this end, global and local spatial autocorrelation test were performed using seoul floating population survey(2014) data. The result of Moran's I and Getis-Ord $Gi^*$ as used in the analysis derived spatial heterogeneity and spatial similarities of floating population patterns in a statistically significant range. Accordingly, Geographically Weighted Regression was applied to identify the relationship between land use attributes and population floating. Urbanization area, green tract of land of micro land cover data were aggregated in to $400m{\times}400m$ grid boundary of Seoul. Additionally public transportation variables such as intersection density transit accessibility, road density and pedestrian passage density were adopted as transit environmental factors. As a result, the GWR model derived more improved results than Ordinary Least Square(OLS) regression model. Furthermore, the spatial variation of applied local effect of independent variables for the floating population distributions.