• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계획기법

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Uncertainty Analysis for Parameter Estimation in Rainfall Frequency Analysis using Bootstrap (Bootstrap을 이용한 강우빈도해석에서의 매개변수 추정에 대한 불확실성 해석)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Jee, Hong-Kee;Lee, Soon-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1406-1411
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    • 2009
  • Bootstrap 기법은 통계학적 추정치의 정확도 또는 불확실성을 평가하기 위한 컴퓨터 기반 리샘플링 기법으로서 플러그인 원칙을 이용하여 요약통계치의 표준오차 및 신뢰구간을 추정하며, Bootstrap 기법 중 BCa 기법은 다른 Bootstrap 기법들에 비해 적합도 기준면에서 훨씬 우수한 결과를 나타내는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 논문에서는 강우빈도해석에서 확률분포의 매개변수 추정에 대한 불확실성 고려한 확률강우량의 산정 및 불확실성의 영향을 평가하기 위하여 Bootstrap 기법 중 비매개변수적 BCa 기법에 기반한 불확실성을 고려한 강우빈도해석모델 구축 및 적용을 통해 홍수위험평가 및 수자원 계획 등에 있어서 불확실성 표현 및 처리기법을 제시하였다.

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Grid Unit Based Analysis of Climate Change Driven Disaster Vulnerability in Urban Area (격자단위 분석기법을 적용한 도시 기후변화 재해취약성분석)

  • Hong, Jeajoo;Lim, HoJong;Ham, YoungHan;Lee, ByoungJae
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2015
  • Today, because human settlements are concentrated into urban area, urban planning and management technique considering the complexity, diversity, and advanced situations of urban living space is being requested. Especially, to effectively respond to large and diverse climate change driven disaster, it is necessary to develop urban planning technique including land use, infrastructure planning based on disaster vulnerability analysis. However, because current urban climate change disaster vulnerability analysis system(UC-VAS) is using census output area as spatial analysis unit, it is difficult to utilize the analysis results for specific urban planning. Instead, this study applies the grid manner to two study areas. The analysis results show that it can generate more detailed results and it can be used for detailed zoning decision by comparing with areal photos. Furthermore, by describing the limitation of the grid manner and providing professional way to secure additional scientific character and objectivity of the future urban climate change disaster vulnerability analysis system, it is expected that this study contributes to the effectiveness of system management.

Feasibility Study on the Duration of Shiwha Techno-Valley through Simulation (시뮬레이션을 이용한 시화 테크노 벨리 공기 적정성 검토연구)

  • Kim Kyong-Ju;Kim Byeong-Soo;Chun Jin-Ku;Lee Jeong-Hun;Yun Won-Gun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.495-499
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    • 2003
  • As an alternative to overcome the limitations of current popular schedule system such as Bar Chart, PERT, CPM in proving the feasibility of a given project schedule and duration, this research applies simulation to the 'Shiwha Techno-Valley project, and then reviews its usability in time management. Shiwha-Techno-Valley is a gigantic project requiring large number of equipment and resulting in traffic congestion. In particular, project site is located near the Shiwha industrial complex and Daeboo-Do tourist place. Therefore, current traffic needs should not be ignored. This research evaluates whether the project can be finished in a given time even if construction equipment increase in addition to the current traffic. Through the analysis of the simulation output, the research identifies the optimal resource input and the needs on alternative schedule for the project.

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An Iterative Improvement Search for the Optimal Berth and Crane Scheduling (반복적 개선 탐색을 이용한 최적 선석 및 크레인 일정계획)

  • Hwang Junha
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.9 no.4 s.32
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2004
  • The berth and crane scheduling problem in a container terminal encompasses the whole process of assigning berth to each ship. determining the duration of berthing, assigning container cranes to each ship, and determining the specific start and end time of each crane service, for all the ships scheduled to be arriving at the terminal during a certain scheduling horizon. This problem is basically a constraint satisfaction problem in which all the constraints should be satisfied. However, it is also an optimization problem because the requested arrival and departure time should be met for as many of the scheduled ships as possible. while the operation cost of the terminal should be minimized. In this paper. I present an effective approach to solving this problem, which combines both constraint satisfaction search and iterative improvement search. I test this method on a real world container terminal problem and the results show that the method can produce better results than any other existing method.

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Development of Optimal Design Simulation Model for Least Cost Urban Sewer System Considering Risk (I) (위험도를 고려한 최소비용 도시우수관망 설계의 최적화 모형개발 (I): 모형의 개발과 시험유역의 적용)

  • Jang, Suk-Hwan;Park, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.12 s.161
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    • pp.1021-1028
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    • 2005
  • This study purpose to develop simulation model of optimal design condition of urban storm sewer system considering risk. Urban Storm Sewer Optimal Design Model(USSOD) can compute pipe capacity, pipe slope, crown elevation, excavation depth, risk and return cost in the condition of design discharge. Rational formula is adopted for design discharge and Manning's formula is used for pipe capacity. Discrete differential dynamic programming(DDDP) technique which is a kind of dynamic programming(DP) is used for optimization and first order second moment approximation method and uncertainty analysis is also for developing model. USSOD is applied to hypothetical drainage basin to test and verify, which resulted economical and efficient design in urban drainage sewer system.

Earthwork Planning via Reinforcement Learning with Heterogeneous Construction Equipment (강화학습을 이용한 이종 장비 토목 공정 계획)

  • Ji, Min-Gi;Park, Jun-Keon;Kim, Do-Hyeong;Jung, Yo-Han;Park, Jin-Kyoo;Moon, Il-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • Earthwork planning is one of the critical issues in a construction process management. For the construction process management, there are some different approaches such as optimizing construction with either mathematical methodologies or heuristics with simulations. This paper propose a simulated earthwork scenario and an optimal path for the simulation using a reinforcement learning. For reinforcement learning, we use two different Markov decision process, or MDP, formulations with interacting excavator agent and truck agent, sequenced learning, and independent learning. The simulation result shows that two different formulations can reach the optimal planning for a simulated earthwork scenario. This planning could be a basis for an automatic construction management.

Optimized Module Design for Berth Planning of Logistics Information System Using Tabu Search Algorithm (타부탐색을 이용한 물류정보시스템의 선석계획 최적화 모듈 설계)

  • Hong, Dong-Hee;Kim, Chang-Gon
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.11B no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2004
  • Port operation is largely divided into gate operation, yard operation and berth operation. Operation strategy and optimal resource allocation for three parts are important in the productivity of the port operation.. Especially the resource allocation planning in berth operation needs optimization, because it is directly connected with the processing time in shipping. Berth planning is not independent on recourse allocation but interrelated with yard stacking area allocation. Therefore, we design the optimized module of berth planning and give priority to interrelationship with yard space allocation, while existing studies design independent resource allocation in berth planning. We suggest constraints by mathematical method, and they are related to yard stacking area allocation with existing constraints. Then we look for solutions, use tabu search to optimize them, and design optimized the berth planning module. In the performance test of optimized module design of berth planning, we find that the berth planning with yard stacking area allocation takes less processing time than without yard stacking area allocation.

Application of Multi-criteria Decision Making Techniques for Water Resources Planning: 2. Sensitivity Analysis of Weighting and Performance Values (수자원 계획수립을 위한 다기준의사결정기법의 적용: 2. 가중치와 평가치에 대한 민감도 분석)

  • Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to present the sensitivity analysis approach for multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) method to reduce the uncertainty of weighting and performance values. This study focuses on two major problems of the uncertainty for MCDM method. The first major problem is how to determine the most critical criterion and the second is how to determine the most critical measure of performance. This study used the application of weighted sum method for water resources planning. The criticality degrees and the sensitivity coefficients of criterion and alternative are used. This results of sensitivity analysis can be applied to the general water resources planning in real.

Path Planning and Obstacle Avoidance for Mobile Robot with Vision System Using Fuzzy Rules (비전과 퍼지 규칙을 이용한 이동로봇의 경로계획과 장애물회피)

  • 배봉규;채양범;이원창;강근택
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.470-476
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a new algorithm of path planning and obstacle avoidance for autonomous mobile robots with vision system that is working in unknown environments. Distance variation technique is used in path planning to approach the target and avoid obstacles in work space as well . In this approach, the Sobel operator is employed to detect edges of obstacles and the distances between the mobile robot and the obstacles are measured. Fuzzy rules are used for trajectory planning and obstacle avoidance to improve the autonomy of mobile robots. It is shown by computer simulation that the proposed algorithm is superior to the vector field approach which sometimes traps the mobile robot into some local obstacles. An autonomous mobile robot with single vision is developed for experiments. We also show that the developed mobile robot with the proposed algorithm is navigating very well in complex unknown environments.

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A Study on the Planning for Access Area in the Multifamily Housing Based on the Analysis of European Examples(II) - A Case Study focussed on the Planning Skills - (공동주택의 코어계획기법에 대한 연구 -유럽의 사례를 중심으로(II) -코어의 계획기법에 대한 사례연구 -)

  • 전남일
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2003
  • The access area, so called "core" in the housing block, makes a buffer zone between public open space and private interior space, as well as offers chances of communication for the users. Planning and design of this area, however, tend to be not attended, comparing with another spaces in the multifamily housing block. This paper is aimed at investigating examplary model European cases and, thus, finding out some positive and applicable planning skills for multifamily housing in Korea. This study covers following aspects; firstly, the important social meaning of core area was analyzed in comparison of Korea and Europe, secondly, intensive studies on the spots, visiting German, Austrian and Dutch cases, made it possible to grasp the prevailling tendency toward assessment of this area in the Continent, Thirdly, useful planning elements and skills by European examples for more user friendliness, more economization and raising the quality of spatial design and sequential experience were founded out with regard to various core types. and lastly, some concrete guidelines for planning are presented for the improvement of so far monotnousely designed core area in the local multifamily housing. Consequently those European cases made it clear that the planning of core area is closely related to the total design of housing blocks. This study maybe conducive not only to the planning of this area, but also further to the increase of the quality of life in multifamily housing.y housing.