• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계층 간 예측

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Rolling Horizon Implementation for Real-Time Operation of Dynamic Traffic Assignment Model (동적통행배정모형의 실시간 교통상황 반영)

  • SHIN, Seong Il;CHOI, Kee Choo;OH, Young Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 2002
  • The basic assumption of analytical Dynamic Traffic Assignment models is that traffic demand and network conditions are known as a priori and unchanging during the whole planning horizon. This assumption may not be realistic in the practical traffic situation because traffic demand and network conditions nay vary from time to time. The rolling horizon implementation recognizes a fact : The Prediction of origin-destination(OD) matrices and network conditions is usually more accurate in a short period of time, while further into the whole horizon there exists a substantial uncertainty. In the rolling horizon implementation, therefore, rather than assuming time-dependent OD matrices and network conditions are known at the beginning of the horizon, it is assumed that the deterministic information of OD and traffic conditions for a short period are possessed, whereas information beyond this short period will not be available until the time rolls forward. This paper introduces rolling horizon implementation to enable a multi-class analytical DTA model to respond operationally to dynamic variations of both traffic demand and network conditions. In the paper, implementation procedure is discussed in detail, and practical solutions for some raised issues of 1) unfinished trips and 2) rerouting strategy of these trips, are proposed. Computational examples and results are presented and analyzed.

A Longitudinal Analysis of Adolescents' Achievement Motivation Profiles and their Relationship to Academic Achievement in Multicultural Family (잠재계층성장모형을 적용한 다문화 가정 자녀의 성취동기 변화 유형 및 예측요인 탐색: 학업성취 수준의 차이를 중심으로)

  • Yeon, Eun Mo;Choi, Hyo-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.404-414
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to explore latent classes in terms of changing patterns in achievement motivation among the samples from elementary school to middle school students in multicultural families and to investigate factors to predict latent groups and their relationship with academic achievement. 1254 pairs of mother and child from the 1st to 6th years of Multicultural Adolescents Panel Study (MAPS) was utilized for the Latent Class Growth Analysis (LCGA), One-way ANOVA, Multinomial Logistic Regression. The results showed that there were four distinct subgroups within the samples in terms of achievement goal orientations (i.e. very-high changing group, average changing group, low stable group, very-low stable group) at all six time points, and students who reported high achievement motivation were likely to have higher academic achievement. Four groups were extracted based on parent's efficacy, students' self-esteem, and teacher's support. Suggestions and practical implications for understanding the types of subgroups for the achievement motivation of multicultural families were discussed.

Wavelet transform-based hierarchical active shape model for object tracking (객체추적을 위한 웨이블릿 기반 계층적 능동형태 모델)

  • Kim Hyunjong;Shin Jeongho;Lee Seong-won;Paik Joonki
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.11C
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    • pp.1551-1563
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a hierarchical approach to shape model ASM using wavelet transform. Local structure model fitting in the ASM plays an important role in model-based pose and shape analysis. The proposed algorithm can robustly find good solutions in complex images by using wavelet decomposition. we also proposed effective method that estimates and corrects object's movement by using Wavelet transform-based hierarchical motion estimation scheme for ASM-based, real-time video tracking. The proposed algorithm has been tested for various sequences containing human motion to demonstrate the improved performance of the proposed object tracking.

Multi-Level Models for Activity Participation and Travel Behaviors (다수준 모형을 이용한 활동참여와 통행행태 분석)

  • 최연숙;정진혁;김성호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, multilevel models are adopted to identify interactions among household members in trip making behaviors. The multilevel approach is a proper methodology to handle samples, which are extracted from a hierarchical structure universe. PSTP dataset is used in developing models and understand proportion of variations among individuals and household. The results of this study show that for activity participation and travel behavior household level variance is more than 1/4 of person level variance and therefore not negligible. The results confirm the importance of multilevel model in travel behavior analysis.

Throughput Analysis of the IEEE 802.11g DCF with ERP-OFDM Parameters (IEEE 802.11g ERP-OFDM 파라미터 기준 DCF 처리율 분석)

  • Kang, Koo-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • A lot of works on the throughput analysis of the IEEE 802.11 DCF have been studied since last few years. However, we should predict the throughput of the IEEE 802.11g that we mostly use today because the existing numerical results do not consider exactly the IEEE 802.11g with the physical layer ERP-OFDM parameters. In particular, we might have different results in the working WLAN s compared with the simple predictions of the throughput using the previous results. In this paper, we directly monitor the ERP-OFDM physical layer parameters on the operating WLANs, and then analyze the saturated DCF throughput with the well-known analytic model. Moreover, we measure the bandwidth utilization on the real WLANs working with FTP services, and then compare them with the analytic results. According to the experiment results, we confirm the usefulness of the analytic models which assume the saturated traffic sources.

Automatic RTP Time-stamping Method for SVC Video Transmission (SVC 비디오 전송을 위한 RTP 타임스탬프 자동 생성 방법)

  • Seo, Kwang-Deok;Jung, Soon-Heung;Kim, Jae-Gon;Yoo, Jeong-Ju
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.6C
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    • pp.471-479
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm to automatically generate an RTP timestamp value that is required for the RTP packetization in order to transmit SVC video over various If networks such as Internet. Unlike the conventional single layer coding algorithms such as H.263, MPEG-4 and H.264, SVC generates a multi-layered single bitstream which is composed of a base layer and one or more enhancement layers in order to simultaneously provide temporal, spatial, and SNR scalability. Especially, in order to provide temporal scalability based on hierarchical B-picture prediction structure, the encoding (or transmission) and display order of pictures in SVC coding is completely decoupled. Thus, the timestamp value to be specified at the header of each RTP packet in video transmission does not increase monotonically according to the display time instant of each picture. Until now, no method for automatically generating an RTP timestamp when SVC video is loaded in a RTP packet has teen introduced. In this paper, a novel automatic RTP timestamp generation method exploiting the TID (temporal ID) field of the SVC NAL unit header is proposed to accommodate the SVC video transmission.

Comparative Analysis of Parameter Estimation Methods in Estimation of Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall (확률강우량의 공간분포추정에 있어서 매개변수 추정기법의 비교분석)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Yeo, Woon-Ki;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.413-413
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    • 2011
  • 강우의 공간분포에 대한 신뢰성 있는 추정은 수자원 해석 및 설계에 있어서 필수적인 요소이다. 강우장의 공간변동성에 대한 고해상도 추정은 홍수, 특히 돌발홍수의 원인이 되는 국지성 호우의 확인 및 분석에 있어서 중요하다. 또한 강우의 공간 변동성에 대한 고려는 면적평균강우량 추정의 정확도를 향상시키는데 있어서 중요하며, 강우-유출모델의 모의결과에 대한 신뢰도를 향상시키는데 큰 영향을 미친다. 최근 공간자료에 대한 공간분포예측에 있어서 공간상관성을 고려할 수 있는 공간통계학적 기법의 적용이 증가하고 있으며, 이러한 공간통계학적 기법의 적용에 있어서 신뢰성 있는 모델 매개변수의 추정 및 불확실성 평가는 공간분포 예측결과에 대한 신뢰성을 향상시키는데 중요한 역할을 한다. 외국의 경우 공간분포예측 및 모의, 매개변수의 불확실성 평가 등과 관련하여 활발한 연구가 이루어지고 있는 반면 국내 수자원 분야에서는 아직까지 활발한 연구가 이루어지고 있지 않은 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 계층구조로 구성된 가우시안 공간선형혼합모델을 적용하여 확률강우량의 공간분포를 추정함에 있어서 모델 매개변수에 대한 추정기법을 비교하였으며, 매개변수 추정기법으로서 경험베리오그램에 대한 곡선적합기법인 보통최소제곱법 및 가중최소제곱법, 우도함수를 기반으로 하는 최우도법 및 REML과 같은 기존의 매개변수 추정기법들과 최근 공간통계학 분야에서 적용이 증가하고 있는 Bayesian 기법을 비교하였다. 이로부터 매개변수 추정기법 간의 매개변수 추정치에 대한 정량적 비교결과를 제시하였으며, Bayesian 기법의 적용을 통해 매개변수에 대한 불확실성 추정결과를 제시하였다. 이러한 결과들은 확률강우량의 공간분포 추정에 있어서 공간예측모델의 매개변수 추정 및 예측에 대한 신뢰성을 향상시킬 수 있는 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Pattern Clustering of Symmetric Regional Cerebral Edema on Brain MRI in Patients with Hepatic Encephalopathy (간성뇌증 환자의 뇌 자기공명영상에서 대칭적인 지역 뇌부종 양상의 군집화)

  • Chun Geun Lim;Hui Joong Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.85 no.2
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    • pp.381-393
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    • 2024
  • Purpose Metabolic abnormalities in hepatic encephalopathy (HE) cause brain edema or demyelinating disease, resulting in symmetric regional cerebral edema (SRCE) on MRI. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of the clustering analysis of SRCE in predicting the development of brain failure. Materials and Methods MR findings and clinical data of 98 consecutive patients with HE were retrospectively analyzed. The correlation between the 12 regions of SRCE was calculated using the phi (φ) coefficient, and the pattern was classified using hierarchical clustering using the φ2 distance measure and Ward's method. The classified patterns of SRCE were correlated with clinical parameters such as the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and HE grade. Results Significant associations were found between 22 pairs of regions of interest, including the red nucleus and corpus callosum (φ = 0.81, p < 0.001), crus cerebri and red nucleus (φ = 0.72, p < 0.001), and red nucleus and dentate nucleus (φ = 0.66, p < 0.001). After hierarchical clustering, 24 cases were classified into Group I, 35 into Group II, and 39 into Group III. Group III had a higher MELD score (p = 0.04) and HE grade (p = 0.002) than Group I. Conclusion Our study demonstrates that the SRCE patterns can be useful in predicting hepatic preservation and the occurrence of cerebral failure in HE.

A Study on Cause-and-Effect Hierarchy of Profit Factors for the Feasibility Evaluation of Overseas Construction Projects (해외건설공사의 타당성 평가를 위한 수익성 영향인자의 인과관계 계층구조 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Sun Seung-Min;Kim Han-Him;Han Seung-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.373-378
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    • 2003
  • Korea's overseas construction industry has been rather depressed by the weakened profitability as well as the sharp decrease of the market shares due to the lack of international competitiveness and the declined international market following the outbreak of Iraq war. There exist a lot of various risks in performing the overseas construction, and especially EPC projects, which entail complicated process from different parts, also require a sophisticated procurement and management skill. Subsequently, to survive in the competitive international market, we need to establish strategies to select potentially profitable projects at the initial stage of bidding process and to mitigate the high degree of risk exposures through contract negotiation and its adjustment. This research provides the profitability evaluation bases, with which overseas construction participants can forecast and analyze the risk more systematically, by eliciting profit-influencing factors from real overseas construction projects and structuring their cause-and-effect relationships. The profitability causal hierarchy structure describes the profitability factors' hierarchy in details and their interrelationships. It also enables us to find out critical factors directly related to profitability aggravation through a qualitative analysis. Ultimately, with this hierarchy structure as the base, the research will suggest how to develop the quantitative profitability forecasting model.

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The hierarchical structures of cause-and-effect relationships on the profit factors in overseas construction projects (해외건설공사 수익성 영향인자의 계층구조 및 사레적용에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Heon;Sun, Seung-Min;Park, Sang-Hyuk;Jung, Do-Young
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.64-76
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    • 2006
  • Korea's overseas construction industry has been rather depressed by the weakened profitability as well as the sharp decrease of the market shares due to the lack of international competitiveness and the declined international market. There exist a lot of various risks in performing the overseas construction, and especially EPC projects, which entail complicated process from different parts, also require a sophisticated procurement and management skill. Subsequently, to survive in the competitive international market, we need to establish strategies to select potentially profitable projects at the initial stage of bidding process and to mitigate the high degree of risk exposure through contract negotiation and its adjustment. This research discusses the trend of environment in international construction markets. Then, it identifies the key factors that affect the profitability significantly through the structured surveys from 59 actual overseas projects, and it analyzes the key factors by using statistical methods. This research provides the profitability evaluation bases, with which overseas construction participants can forecast and analyze the risk more systematically, by eliciting profit-influencing factors using the result of statistical analysis, literature review and structuring their cause-and-effect relationships. The profitability casual hierarchy structure describes the profitability factors' hierarchy in details and their interrelationships. It also enables us to find out critical factors directly related to profitability aggravation through a qualitative and quantitative analysis. Ultimately, with this hierarchy structure as the base, the research will suggest how to develop the quantitative profitability forecasting model.