• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계절지수

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산업의 주식시장 선행성에 관한 소고(小考)

  • Kim, Jong-Gwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.471-476
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문의 목적은 과거의 산업 포트폴리오 수익률이 확률추세로부터 어떻게 전체 주식시장과 두 가지 거시경제 변수인 경기동행지수와 산업생산 등을 예측할 수 있는 지를 알아보는 데에 있다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 연구모형을 설정한 후 세 가지 검정절차를 제시하고 이를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 당월의 전체 주식시장 수익률은 과거의 시차를 지닌 특정 산업부문 포트폴리오 수익률에 대하여 양(+)의 상관관계를 유지하고 있다는 '예측 1'과 전체 주식시장의 수익률은 특정 산업부문의 수익률에 대하여 선행성을 지닐 수 없다는 '예측 2'에 대한 검정 결과는 '예측 1'과 '예측 2'가 지지되고 있음을 파악할 수 있었다. 그리고 산업별 포트폴리오 수익률과 거시경제변수 간의 높은 상관관계를 토대로 하여 전체주식시장 수익률 예측을 가능하게 하는 업종 정보의 점진적 확산 현상이 발생하게 되는가를 검토하기 위하여 각 산업들의 포트폴리오 수익률과 전체 주식시장 수익률이 VAR모형을 토대로 볼 경우 Granger 인과관계를 갖고 있는 지를 분석하였다. 분석결과 21개 업종은 각 산업별 포트폴리오 수익률이 전체 주식시장 수익률을 5% 수준에서 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 주고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 이들 21개의 산업별 포트폴리오 수익률은 경제적으로도 중요한 의미를 지니고 있어 산업제품의 가격 상승과 하락이 경제에 미치는 영향을 파악할 수 있다. 특히 음료 업종에서 전체 주식시장 수익률과 상호간의 인과성을 나타내었으며, 인터넷과 화장품 업종에서는 전체 주식시장 수익률이 이들 업종에 대하여 일방적인 영향을 보이고 있음을 알 수 있었다.>$mgN\;{\cdot}\;L^{-1}$ 및 0.000-0.804 $mgN\;{\cdot}\;L^{-1}$이였다. 규소농도는 0.0-6.2 $mgSi\;{\cdot}\;L^{-1}$의 범위로 3-5월에 매우 낮았으며, 계절적인 변화가 뚜렷히 나타났다. 저질의 입자는 0-125인 silt및 coarse silt로 이루어져 있으며, COD는 51.4-116.9 $mgO_2\;{\cdot}\;gdw^{-1}$로 평균 93.0 $mgO_2\;{\cdot}\;gdw^{-1}$ 이였다. 저질내의 TP및 TN의 농도는 각각 0.04-1.46 $mgP\;{\cdot}\;gdw^{-1}$ 및 0.12-1.03 $mgN\;{\cdot}\;gdw^{-1}$이었다. 표층의 엽록소 a의 정점별 평균값은 정점 1, 2 및 3에서 각각 15.6, 15.2 및 16.0 $mg\;{\cdot}\;m^{-3}$으로 유사하였다. 식물플랑크톤은 총 49종이 출현하였으며, 생물량은 50-23, 350 cells ${\cdot}\;mL^{-1}$로 2001년 9월에 가장 많았다. 이 시기의 우점종은 녹조류인 Schroederia judayi이였으며, 생물량은 20,417 cells ${\cdot}\;mL^{-1}$이였다. 송지호의 수질을 개선하기 위해서는 인위적으로 화학성층을 파괴시켜 심충에 용존산소를 공급시켜야 할 것으로 판단되며, 모래톱으로 인해 막혀져 있는 해수

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Primary Productivity and Matter Economy of a Maize Plant Population. III. Phosphorus Economy in Relation to Dry Matter Production (옥수수 개체군의 일차생산성과 물질경제. 3. 건물생산과 인경제)

  • Huque, M. Anwarul;Seung-Dal Song
    • Journal of Plant Biology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1981
  • Phosphorus dynamics in terms of specific absorption rate, inflow and outflow rates. turnover rate, demand and supply, and utility index of a high yield Zea mays L. cv. Bokgyo field were evaluated using an analysis of successive production structures. The analysis was adopted for measuring quantitative changes in the population by stratified clip technique on every two weeks during the growing season. The seasonal trends of specific absorption rate (2. 4 mg P/g/day in maximum) and specific absorption efficiency (0. 03) closely correlated with that of relative growth rate of the population. The overall inflow and outflow of phosphorus was 3.41 g P/$m^2$/yr showing the maximum inflow of 2.99 g P/$m^2$/month in July. While the maximum phosphorus standing crop was 1.4 g P/$m^2$ showing the maximum turnover rate of 178% in late June. The accumulation of phosphorus along plant height declined monotonically in stems and roots but increased in foliage after heading. The proportions of the total annual demand of phosphorus were 24.4% for leaves, 22.5% for stems, 49.6% for fruits and 3.5% for roots. These demands were met with internal (18.2 %) and external (81.8 %) supplies. The seasonal highest phosphorus utility index was 1,091 in early June, while the average value was 655.

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Probabilistic assessment of causal relationship between drought and water quality management in the Nakdong River basin using the Bayesian network model (베이지안 네트워크 모형을 이용한 낙동강 유역의 가뭄과 수질관리의 인과관계에 대한 확률론적 평가)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Ryu, Jae-Hee;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.769-777
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the change of the achievement rate of the target water quality conditioned on the occurrence of severe drought, to assess the effects of meteorological drought on the water quality management in the Nakdong River basin. Using three drought indices with difference time scales such as 30-, 60-, 90-day, i.e., SPI30, SPI60, SPI90, and three water quality indicators such as biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), total organic carbon (TOC), and total phosphorus (T-P), we first analyzed the relationship between severe drought occurrence water quality change in mid-sized watersheds, and identified the watersheds in which water quality was highly affected by severe drought. The Bayesian network models were constructed for the watersheds to probabilistically assess the relationship between severe drought and water quality management. Among 22 mid-sized watersheds in the Nakdong River basin, four watersheds, such as #2005, #2018, #2021, and #2022, had high environmental vulnerability to severe drought. In addition, severe drought affected spring and fall water quality in the watershed #2021, summer water quality in the #2005, and winter water quality in the #2022. The causal relationship between drought and water quality management is usufaul in proactive drought management.

Feasibility Assessment of Spectral Band Adjustment Factor of KOMPSAT-3 for Agriculture Remote Sensing (농업관측을 위한 KOMPSAT-3 위성의 Spectral Band Adjustment Factor 적용성 평가)

  • Ahn, Ho-yong;Kim, Kye-young;Lee, Kyung-do;Park, Chan-won;So, Kyu-ho;Na, Sang-il
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_3
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    • pp.1369-1382
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    • 2018
  • As the number of multispectral satellites increases, it is expected that it will be possible to acquire and use images for periodically. However, there is a problem of data discrepancy due to different overpass time, period and spatial resolution. In particular, the difference in band bandwidths became different reflectance even for images taken at the same time and affect uncertainty in the analysis of vegetation activity such as vegetation index. The purpose of this study is to estimate the band adjustment factor according to the difference of bandwidth with other multispectral satellites for the application of KOMPSAT-3 satellite in agriculture field. The Spectral band adjustment factor (SBAF) were calculated using the hyperspectral satellite images acquired in the desert area. As a result of applying SBAF to the main crop area, the vegetation index showed a high agreement rate of relative percentage difference within 3% except for the Hapcheon area where the zenith angle was 25. For the estimation of SBAF, this study used only one set of images, which did not consider season and solar zenith angle of SBAF variation. Therefore, long-term analysis is necessary to solve SBAF uncertainty in the future.

Study on Improving Reliability of Biomonitor by Using CCD Camera (CCD카메라를 이용한 생물감시장치의 독성자료 신뢰성 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Chang;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.1351-1357
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    • 2010
  • Water monitoring equipments using daphnia can be used to monitor the pollution levels of a country's main rivers. Such equipments should be capable of providing a prompt warning about increase in the contamination levels, which is evaluated on the basis of impulse number or toxicity index. As unmanned remote control equipments, they must provide reliable pollution monitoring results for each season and for the annual physical changes in each river. Two different equipments based on the impulse number and toxicity index showed different results for the operating rates and for the number of emergency checks required even though both were operated at the same conditions. The results are affected by many parameters such as the presence of any air bubbles and the microscopic pressure. The purpose of this study is to develop a method that can reduce the effect of bubbles or microscopic pressure on the monitoring data. We expect to achieve reliable monitoring data for water pollutants irrespective of the location of the equipment setup.

Changes of Nucleotides in the Raw Fishes during the Aquarium Storage (수족관 저장기간에 따른 횟감생선의 핵산관련성분 변화)

  • Hong, Cheul-Hee;Lee, Jeong-Min;Kim, Kyong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 2004
  • Changes in nucleotide concentrations of aquarium-stored flounder, sea bass, and sea bream were studied. ATP, ADP, and AMP slowly decreased, whereas IMP, HxR and Hx slightly increased with increasing storage ported. ATP was converted into IMP at initial storage stage. Changes in concentrations of nucleotides differed depending on fish type and season. Freshness indicators, $K,\;K_{p}\;G,\;P,\;H,\;and\;F_{r}$ values during 14 days storage showed no significant differences. Changes in nucleotide concentrations during 14 days storage had no significant effect on taste of raw fishes.

Dispersion Analysis of Surface Discharged Heat Water In Shallow Coastal Area (천해역에서의 표층온배수 확산해석)

  • 서승원;김덕호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.340-345
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    • 1995
  • Dispersion characteristics of surface discharge heat water in shallow region are investigated for coastal power plant with nearly constant depth of 20 meters by observing the seasonal depthwide temperature in several stations, which give or precise horizontal distribution and vertical structure of heat water. Surface discharged heat water in shallow coast in the Yellow Sea relies mainly on ambient tidal flow. so it behaves as free jet when the ambient now is strong and shows plumelike behavior during stagnant tide. According to observation the neat field region is estimated as 200-300 meters and shows distinct vertical profile and exponentially decreasing pattern from discharge point for this region. But there are no remarkable vertical distortion of temperature beyond 800 meters even though it is discharged from surface. Characteristic length scale model, CORMIX3, is applied and compared with the field date Overall tendency of CORMIX3 results resemble well with field data especially in near field and intermediate region.

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An Outlook of Agricultural Drought in Jeonju Area under the RCP8.5 Projected Climate Condition (기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 전주지역의 농업가뭄 전망)

  • Kim, Dae-jun;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.275-280
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    • 2015
  • In order to figure out the future drought characteristics of the Jeonju plains, the major crop production area in Korea, daily agricultural drought indexes based on soil water balance were calculated for the relevant 12.5 km by 12.5 km grid cell using the weather data generated by the RCP8.5 climate scenario during 1951-2100. The calculations were grouped into five climatological normal years, the past (1951-1980), the present (1981-2010), and the three futures (2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100). Results showed that the soil moisture conditions in early spring, worst for both the past and present normal years, will ameliorate gradually in the future and the crop water stress in spring season was projected to become negligible by the end of this century. Furthermore, the drought frequency in early spring was projected to diminish, resulting in rare occurrence of spring drought by that time. However, the result also showed that the soil moisture conditions during the summer season (when most crops grow in Jeonju plain) will deteriorate and the drought incidence will be more frequent than in the past or present period.

Analysis of Soil Moisture Recession Characteristics on Hillslope through the ~ntensive Monitoring Using TDR (산지사면에서의 TDR을 이용한 토양수분 집중모니터링을 통한 토양수분 감쇄특성 분석)

  • Lee Ga Young;Kim Sang Hyun;Kim Ki Hoon;Lee Hye Sun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.78-90
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    • 2005
  • The spatial and temporal distribution of soil moisture was characterized from soil moisture data through the intensive monitoring using Time Domain Reflectometry (TDR). The recession of soil moisture after a rainfall event was characterized and the empirical equation was used in the recession curve analysis. Recession analysis provides features of soil moisture variation such as recharge and stability depending upon locations of monitoring. The wetness index was useful for explaining spatial and temporal distributions of soil moisture and recession characteristics at hillslope scale.

OBSERVATIONS OF UPPER THERMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES USING A GROUND-BASED OPTICAL INSTRUMENT AT THE KING SEJONGSTATION, ANTARCTIC (남극 세종기지 광학 간섭계를 이용한 열권 상부 온도 관측)

  • Chung, Jong-Kyun;Won, Young-In;Lee, Bang-Yong;Kim, Jhoon
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 1998
  • We measured the terrestrial nightglow of OI $6300{\AA}$ in the thermosphere (~250km) using a ground-based Fabry-Perot interferometer at the King Sejong Station, Antarcticfrom March through September, 1997. The King Sejong Station is located at high latitude geographically ($62.22^{\circ}S,\;301.25^{\circ}E$) but at mid latitude geomagnetically ($50.62^{\circ}S,\;7.51^{\circ}E$). It is therefore the strategic location to measure the temperatures of the thermosphere in the Southern Hemisphere associated with both solar and geomagnetic activities. In this study, we analyzed the observed temperatures inrelation to F10.7 and Kp indices to examine the effect of the solar and the geomagneticactivities on high-latitude neutral thermosphere. During the observing period, the solaractivity was at its minimum. The measured temperatures are usually in the range between about 600~1000 K with some seasonal variation and are higher than those predicted by semi-empirical model, VSH (Vector Spherical Harmonics) and empirical model, MSIS (Mass-Spectrometer-Incoherent-Scatter)-86.

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