• Cement
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• s.202
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• pp.9-14
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• 2014

남북통일은 국가 경제활동의 기반을 질적으로 변화시킴으로써 새로운 성장의 기회를 창출할 것으로 보인다. 특히 국내 경제는 인프라 확충, 산업생산 기반 정비, 생산재 수요 증가, 소비재 및 서비스 수요 증가로 이어지며 다양한 산업에 새로운 성장의 계기를 제공할 것으로 기대된다. 여기서는 현대경제연구원의 '통일 한국의 12대 유망 산업' 보고서를 통해 통일 이후 경제활동 기반의 변화, 산업발전 경로, 성장이 기대되는 주요 산업 등에 대해 살펴본다.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.449-465
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• 2008

This paper aims to analyze the causal relationship between exports and regional economic growth based on the provincial data over the period from 1952 to 2004. To reflect the regional and chronical characteristics, this paper divides China into three regions; Eastern, Central and Western regions, and also the whole period into two sub-periods; before and after 1979 when the Open-door policy(ODP) was initiated and applies Granger causality analysis. The Granger causality tests showed that exports Granger cause economic growth in the Eastern region, but not in the Central and Western regions, as a whole. When the period is divided, in the Eastern region, causal relation between the two variables was not found before the Open-door policy. For the second period, however it turns out that exports cause the region's economic growth. This result is consent with the fact that the region has been a main beneficiary of the policy. For the Central region, the tests showed no causality in the pre-ODP period, but significant bidirectional causality in the post-ODP period. Meanwhile, in the Western region, exports turned out causing economic growth significantly before the ODP, while economic growth appeared to causing trade after the ODP.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.185-202
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• 2017

Most studies based on production function theory have concluded that economic growth is a result of information technology (IT) capital use. However, some studies have indicated that economic growth is a determinant of IT investment. To determine if these results also hold at the industry level, we use the Granger causality test to analyze bidirectional causality with industry-level data for 1977~2007 from the United States. The results generally reveal that IT investment causes economic growth in many industries under the concept of Granger causality, that economic growth causes IT investment in some industries, and that IT investment is not associated with economic growth in some industries. In the country-level time-series data made by summing up the IT capital and gross output for each industry, the results do not show any causality between IT investment and economic growth. However, they show bi-directional causality between IT investment and economic growth in the panel data. These results may be a source of IT productivity paradox.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.36-48
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• 2010

This primary purpose of this study is to suggest strategy a green-logistics strategy of Gwanyang bay area. The Green growth is the new growth concept based on the low carbon and environment-friendly industry. The new paradigm on the global economy growth requests a established logistics industry to be shifted into establishing the environment-friendly green logistics system. Some findings derided from this study are follows: Frist, in order to establish a environment-friendly green growth foundation, it is necessary to attract a green industry such as solar cell, wind force, hybrid car etc. Second, a green logistics system has to be established, including a green port strategy and reducing emission of carbon.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.225-248
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• 2014

Korea and China signed an FTA at November 10, 2014. The entry of China - the factory of the World - can be more active and easier. But Recently, China's economic growth is slowdown, and it began to emerge as a voice of concern. Therefore I analyze Chnia's economic slowdown is the impact on Korea's economy in this study. This study presented current trends and future prospects on China's economic situation. The changes of China's economic growth are the reduction of economic growth rate, falling proportion of processing trade, and the competition relationship of two countries. So they will be analyzed on this study. And this study presents ways that Korea economy reacts for China's economic growth slowdown. Trade statistics system of Korea International trade Association(KITA) is leveraged for this analysis. For competition relationship analysis, I analyze to use Contribution to the Trade Balance, Trade Specialization Index, Revealed Comparative Advantage of Country.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.629-640
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• 2022

This study analyzed the relationship between local government size and regional economic growth using regional data from 2002 to 2020. By dividing local government expenditure into social development expenditure and economic development expenditure, economic growth and the inverted U-shaped Armey curve were verified, and the optimal size of local government expenditure was examined. In particular, the AMG estimation method considering the cross-sectional dependence and regional heterogeneity existing in the panel data was utilized. As a result of the analysis, it was found that there was an inverted U-shaped relationship between local fiscal expenditure and regional economic growth. When the proportion of total local fiscal expenditure is 7.63% of GRDP and social development expenditure is 3.45%, it is found that the optimal size of expenditure can maximize the regional economic growth rate. Local governments should increase the effectiveness of public expenditure policies by considering these points.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.327-346
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• 2003

Unlike previous studies on the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, this paper analyses the dynamic causal relationship between these variables using the dynamic vector using Johansen's multiple cointegration procedure, dynamic vector error-correction model and impulse response function. The empirical results show that while the energy consumption to a shock in income responds positively, the income responds positively to the shocks in energy consumption in the first place and then the responses become negative. We also find that the impact of energy consumption shock on the income is short-lived and causes higher inflationary pressure.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.145-175
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• 2011

We analyse an overlapping generation model in which economic agents, especially their income distribution, influence environmental policy and redistributive policy through political decision making process. In an economic equilibrium which doesn't consider political process, the introduction of environmental policy is shown to increase economic growth rate. In contrast to an economic equilibrium, environmental policy can be adopted when economic inequality reduces to a certain threshold in a political economic equilibrium. The adoption of environmental policy, on the other hand, incurs the demand of strengthened redistributive policy, which in turn decreases economic growth in a short run. We discuss broad policy implications based on our political economic analyses.

• The Optical Journal
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• s.119
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• pp.20-23
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• 2009

산업연구원에서 발표한 ‘2009년 경제 산업 전망’에 따르면 우리나라의 2009년 경제성장은 세계경제 침체의 영향으로 작년보다 낮은 3.2% 내외의 성장이 전망된다. 수출은 세계경기 부진, 원자재가 하락에 따른 수출단가 상승세 둔화로 작년에 비해 증가세가 크게 둔화될 전망이며 수입은 수출보다 더 큰 폭으로 둔화될 것으로 보인다. 무역수지는 균형 내지 소폭 흑자가 예상된다. 2009년 산업분야에서 제조업 생산은 작년보다 크게 둔화될 전망이며 특히 IT 제조업은 내수부진이 심화되면서 증가세가 전년보다 둔화되겠지만 환율상승에 따라 원화 기준 수출 증강 힘입어 여타 업종에 비해 상대적으로 높은 증가율을 기록할 전망이다. 10대 주력업종의 수출은 4.4% 증가에 머물고 수입은 전년대비 0.4% 감소할 예정이다.

• Product Safety
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• s.196
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• pp.30-33
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• 2010

2010년 우리경제는 수요회복과 기저효과에 힘입어 상반기에는 5.8% 성장률을 보일 것으로 예상된다. 그러나 기저효과가 줄어드는 2010년 하반기 성장률은 3%대에 머물 것으로 보여 2010년 국내경제 성장률은 4.6%를 기록할 것으로 전망된다. 2010년에는 수출과 내수의 빠른 회복세가 완화되면서 경제성장의 속도가 전반적으로 완만할 것으로 예상된다. 중국의 고성장이 우리 수출에 크게 기여하겠지만 원화강세가 지속되면서 수출의 상승세는 크게 둔화될 전망이다. 교육조건 개선에 따른 소득증대가 소비확대에 기여하고 설비투자도 2009년 크게 위축되었던 데 따른 반등효과를 기대해볼 수 있을 것이다. 그러나 정부부문이 민가수요를 촉진하는 효과가 줄면서 내수회복의 힘도 약화될 것으로 예상된다. 공공근로 축소로 성장에 따른 고용창출이 크지 않을 것으로 판단된다. 원화환율은 2010년 평균 달러당, 1,100원 수준을 기록할 것으로 예상되며 이에 따라 소비자물가 상승률은 2%대 후반에 머물 전망이다. 2010년 4%대 중 후반의 성장을 달성하더라도 GDP 수준이 잠재GDP 수준을 밑돌아 경기과열 우려가 크지 않을 것으로 분석된다. 따라서 금융위기 때의 긴급 조치들을 거둬들이되 급격한 금리인상 등의 출구전략은 신중하게 고려해야 할 것이다.