• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.111-135
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• 1998

전력산업은 환경문제로 인해 사업수행이 점차 어려워지고 있으며, 전원개발계획 수립을 위한 의사결정 단계에서 환경외부성을 고려하는 문제가 중요하게 대두되고 있다. 본 연구는 전력계획수립의 초기단계에서 환경문제를 통합하기 위한 노력의 일환으로, 다속성 효용이론(Multi-Attribute Utility Theory: MAUT)을 적용하여 환경영향의 다속성 지수를 구성하는 접근방법을 제시한다. 먼저 연구배경과 제안된 방법론을 개괄적으로 살펴본 후, 기술적인 판단과 가치 판단에 근거한 지수구성에 요구되는 제반 가정 및 단계를 소개한다. 다음으로, 우리 나라의 전력산업에 대한 실증분석을 통해 다속성 지수를 도출한다. 마지막으로 환경지수와 화폐 간의 트레이드-오프(trade-off) 관계를 분석하여 환경의 사회적 가치(societal value)를 도출하고 연구결과의 유용성에 대해 설명한다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.1601-1607
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• 2016

Recently, weather information has been increasingly used in various area. This study presents the necessity of hourly weather information for electricity demand forecasting through correlation analysis and multivariate regression model. Hourly weather data were collected by Meteorological Administration. Using electricity demand data, we considered TBATS exponential smoothing model with a sliding window method in order to forecast electricity demand. In this paper, we have shown that the incorporation of weather infromation into electrocity demand models can significantly enhance a forecasting capability.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.901-922
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• 2007

To see how the electricity demand for air-conditioning responds to weather condition and what kind of weather condition works better in forecasting maximum daily electricity demand, four different regression models, which are linear, exponential, power and S-curve, are adopted. The regression outcome turns out that the electricity demand for air-conditioning is inclined to rely on the exponential model. Another major discovery of this study is that the electricity demand for air-conditioning responds more sensitively to the weather condition year after year along with the higher non-air-conditioning electricity demand. In addition, it has also been found that the discomfort index explains the electricity demand for air-conditioning better than the highest temperature.

• The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.43-49
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• 1992

Forecasting of electric power demand has been a basic element for electric power system operation and system development, and it's accuracy has very strong influence on reliability and economical efficience of power supply. So, in this paper, long―term maximum electric power demand has been forecasted by using the triple exponential smoothing method initiated R.G.Brown. It has been regarded this method as high accuracy and operational convenience. The smoothing function is a liner combination of all past observations and the weight given to previous observations decreases geometrically with age.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.9-16
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• 2015

As electricity is an indispensable input to human's existence and industrial production, economic benefits arise from consumption. The economic benefits of the electricity consumption are useful information in various fields of electricity-related policy. Therefore, this study attempts to value the economic benefits from electricity use. The economic benefit of electricity consumed is the area under the demand curve which made of the sum of the actual consumer expenditure and the consumer surplus. Consumer expenditure can be easily observed but the information on price elasticity of demand is necessarily required to compute consumer surplus. This study derives the estimates for price elasticities through literature review. The price elasticities of the electricity demand for residence, industry, and commercial are estimated to be -0.332, -0.351, and -0.263, respectively. Because the consumer surplus of the electricity consumption for residence, industry, and commercial are computed to be 191.54, 143.44, and 231.91 won per kWh, respectively. Given that average prices of electricity use were 127.02, 100.70, and 121.98 won per kWh for the year 2013, the economic benefit are calculated to be 318.56, 244.14, and 353.89 won per kWh, respectively. We can convert the values to 321.96, 246.75, and 357.67 won per kWh in 2014 constant price, respectively, using consumer price index. They can be used in the economic feasibility analysis of a new electricity supply project.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.299-308
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• 2009

In this paper, we have developed an evaluation model of technology green index(TGI) which includes 3 evaluation factors and 13 indicators. Furthermore, as presenting the degree of relative importance among evaluation factors and indicators for all R&D evaluation stages and all green technology areas, and applying the proposed model to 5 defense projects, we have found applicability of the model to evaluation of defense R&D projects. The results of evaluation using this model can be used to monitor the performance of project life cycle and develop R&D investment strategy of green technology using portfolio analysis.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2005.07a
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• pp.108-110
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• 2005

본 논문에서는 수도권의 전력수요 밀집지역에 위치하는 중대형 열병합 발전소가 전력계통에 가져올 수 있는 전력계통 상의 편익을 융통전력, 전압안정도 그리고 신뢰도 측면에서 검토하도록 한다. 수도권의 신규 발전력은 계통의 융통전력을 증가시키고, 전압 프로파일을 개선하여 전압안정도를 향상시키며, 계통의 신뢰도 지수를 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 예상된다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 전력계통 측면에서의 편익을 계통 모의를 통해 검증하고 이러한 계통 편익들이 가지는 경제적 가치를 평가해 보도록 한다.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.48 no.7
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• pp.872-880
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• 1999

This paper presents an algorithm that can calculate the evaluation index of power system from the transfer capability point of view. The algorithm adopts a successive linear programming skill to solve an optimal solution. Two indices which are transfer margin index and economic matching index have been developed. Prior to calculating these indices, Maximum Load supplying Capability(MLSC) and Economic Load Supplying Capability(ELSC) are utilized as basic data. For man-machine interface, graphical user interface has been implemented so that an unified software package PSTCP(Power System Transfer Capability Program) has been developed. KEPCO systems planned up to 2006 year have been tested to show effectiveness and usefulness of the PSTCP for power system planning stages.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.43-65
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• 2014

In this paper, we test for allocative efficiency of productive inputs including electricity and measure the divergence between the actual and optimal level of electricity for the chemical products, which is a relatively highly electricity-intensive sector in Korean manufacturing industries, by estimating a shadow cost function. Supposing cost minimization subject to market prices was achieved, we derive the price elasticities of demand for each input and simulate the impact of a 10% increase in power rate on its demand and supply price by estimating jointly a cost function with an inverse supply relation. The null hypothesis of allocative efficiency of inputs is rejected over the period 1982-2006. On average, electricity is used more than optimal level by 98% per year. The demand for electricity decreases by 11.4%, and supply price, on average, falls by 0.08%, other things being equal.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.243-282
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• 2010

In this paper, we analyze the components and trends of carbon emissions using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition method in Korean electricity industry during the period 1991~2007. In the demand side, carbon emissions are affected by electricity intensity and structural shift and especially electricity intensity is identified as the major factor which has lead carbon emissions decreasing. In the supply side, the result in variations of carbon emission for electric power generation depends on the influences of fossil fuel mix, fuel intensity, generation mix and so on. As a result fuel intensity is the most negative effect on both carbon emission intensity and the amount of carbon emission while the change of generation mix has a positive effect on increasing carbon emissions. And to conclude it needs to make the strategic policies to improve electricity intensity in the demand and to rise emission efficiency as well as to substitute thermal power generation in supply side.