• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적 가치추정

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Estimating Willingness-to-pay for the Ground Water Quality Improvement in Jeju Island Using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 제주도 지하수 수질개선에 대한 지불의사액 추정)

  • Jungkyu Park;Chanhee Lee
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.619-644
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic benefit of improving ground water quality in Jeju Island, where groundwater pollution has recently become a social issue and various water quality improvement projects are being promoted. By applying the contingent valuation method, an online survey was conducted on Jeju Island residents to analyze the response data of 542 respondents and estimate the mean willingness to pay using 16 models. The estimation of the double-bounded dichotomous choice model confirmed that each household was willing to pay 28,008 won per year, with the willingness to pay estimated at a minimum of 17,762 won and a maximum of 37,416 won based on different models. The total annual benefit for Jeju Island's ground water quality improvement was estimated to be about 8.66 billion won , and socioeconomic factors influencing willingness-to-pay were investigated. This study is expected to serve as a foundation for the development of environmental improvement policies by assisting in the understanding of Jeju Island's unique water resource environment.

Estimating the Attribute Values of 4 Major River Estuaries in Korea -Focusing on Testing for the IIA Assumption in MNL Model and the Alternative Models- (4대강 하구의 속성 가치 추정 -다항로짓모형에서 IIA가정의 검토와 대안 모형을 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.521-545
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    • 2013
  • This study applied choice experiment(CE) method(which is included in the stated preference method) to estimate values of some important attributes(i.e. type of estuary, water quality of river in estuary, water quality of sea in estuary, biodiversity level of estuary) of 4 major river(Hangang, Guemgang, Yeongsangang, Nakdonggang) estuaries in Korea. Although the multinomial logit model(MNL) is generally applied to analyse the CE data, testing for IIA assumption with the Hausman and McFadden test in MNL model shows that the IIA assumption in our data is rejected. Therefore, the heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV) and the multinomial probit model(MNP) which are not based on the IIA assumption are used to analyse our CE data. As results, the coefficients and the elicited economic values of MNL model are seriously distorted if the IIA assumption is not satisfied in MNL model. The estimation results of MNP model show that the economic values are elicited as 352.3 billion won(95% C.I. 261.1 - 477.8 billion won) for natural estuary, 411.5 billion won(95% C.I. 338.5 - 525.5 billion won) for one grade improvement of river water quality in estuary, 358.9 billion won(95% C.I. 292.5 - 457.0 billion won) for one grade improvement of sea water quality in estuary, and 151.9 billion won(95% C.I. 99.0 - 218.6 billion won) for one grade improvement of biodiversity level of estuary. Therefore, the value of estuary is reached to 2,197.0 billion won(95% C.I. 1,721.0 - 2,879.9 billion won) if any natural estuary in 4 major rivers has good water quality of river in estuary(i.e. 2nd grade), good water quality of sea in estuary(i.e. 1st grade), and good biodiversity level of estuary.

Assessment of fish stocks and economic value in accordance with fishway renovation: Case study of Samcheokoshipcheon0010 Weir (어도 개보수에 따른 어류 자원량 및 경제적 가치 평가: 삼척오십천 사례)

  • Moon, Woon-Ki;Bae, Dae-Yeul;Kim, Do-Hyun;Shin, Hyun-Beom;Suh, Jung Bin;Lim, Kyeong Hun;Lee, Eui-Haeng;Yoo, Jae-Sang;An, Kwang-Guk;Kim, Jai-Ku
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.30-39
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    • 2020
  • The changes in fish stock and biomass before and after fishway renovation located in a Korean estuary were studied and fluctuations in the economic value of the fish resources were estimated. The target fishway located in the east coast area in Korea was renovated in 2014 from the small fish ladder to the ice-harbor fishway. Monitoring was continued for five consecutive years after the renovation(2015 to 2019). Since the renovation of the fish passage, the economic values increased with increases in the fishery resources, except for in 2016 when the drought impact was severe. The yearly average incremental increase in the five years after the renovation was about 227%. The increase in economic value is believed to be due to the increased population of migratory fish as a result of habitat expansion. The exponential rise model showed an increase in economic value with increasing fishery resources (R2=0.896). The model coefficient contributing to economic analysis was 0.582 and the maximum economic value after the renovation was estimated at about 30.4 million. The economic value would be a useful index for quantitative comparison in terms of ecosystem services before and after renovation.

An Analysis on Evaluation of Construction Technology Value for Supporting Mid-small Construction Enterprises Pursuing Technical Innovation (기술기반 중소건설업체 지원을 위한 건설기술가치 평가 연구)

  • Kim, Myeongsoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2017
  • Based on Income-approach, this study develops the evaluation model which reflects construction industry's traits. Using Income approach, we derive future income's present value and evaluates the technological value by contribution to future income. As there exist more random variables in construction technology than in standardized manufactured products, we cannot help relying on not only quantitative estimation method but also qualitative evaluation by technology and market experts when we estimates construction technology value. Also, conservative estimation is needed for discount rate and cash-flow estimation, because of high uncertainty in sales and profits in construction industry. In empirical analysis, we applied economic periods of duration and cash-flow based on the standard guideline, and analyzed discount rate and technology factor based on characteristics of construction industry. The discount rate is estimated to 15% because of risk-premium increase by conservative evaluation. Technology factor is estimated to 46.7%, because technological intensity is estimated to 72% by technological superiority. Such implications can be inferred. Firstly, we need to build a database to diversify categories for division of sectors by activity or industrial classification which is now categorized only by two sectors in standard guideline. Secondly, the roles of experts who participate in technology evaluation are important because of volatility of construction technology.

Rethinking Theoretical and Practical Issues of Economic Valuation of Library Services (도서관 서비스의 경제적 가치 측정의 이론적, 실제적 검토)

  • Shim, Won-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.231-247
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    • 2010
  • This research examines a number of theoretical and practical issues when measuring the economic value of library services. In particular, using two recent studies conducted in Korea as illustrations, the study shows how various measurement decisions affect the final outcomes in the economic valuation of library services and thus points to the need for a more reliable study design. Specific areas of measurement discussed include the following: scope of measurement, application of CVM(Contingent Valuation Method), time vs. monetary value measurement, dealing with outliers, allowing alternatives, and the use of estimation. ROI(Return on Investment) scores or benefit cost ratios vary significantly according to different measurement choices even in the same study. There is a need for collecting qualitative data that complements the quantitative data typically collected in economic valuation studies. The outcome of economic valuation of library services should be considered as one of many representations of library values. Practitioners and researchers should exercise caution in interpreting those results but be able to leverage them to better communicate the value of library services.

Valuing Reduction of Mortality and Cancer Risks from a Contingent Valuation (사망위험감소 및 암 발생확률감소가치의 추정)

  • Hocheol Jeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2023
  • This study employs the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method to estimate the Value of a Statistical Life (VSL) and the Value per Statistical Case (VSCC) of cancer risk. In contrast to the previous studies, which presented the mortality risk probability directly, the study uses conditional probability, which combines the chance of getting cancer and dying from it. In addition, the study examines the impact of variables that may affect willingness to pay for reducing the risk of death from cancer and getting cancer, such as the impact on daily life and pain levels associated with cancer. The results indicate that the estimated cancer VSL ranges from approximately 952 million won to 3.359 billion won, while the VSCC is estimated to be between about 0.42 billion won and 2.72 billion won. The study finds a significant difference in the VSL depending on whether the reduction in mortality risk is from a decrease in the chance of getting cancer or a decrease in the chance of dying from cancer. However, the effect of impacts on daily activities and pain on willingness to pay is inconclusive.

Economic Valuation of Alternatives for Rehabilitation of Hydrologic Cycle Using Choice Experiments (다속성선택법을 적용한 물순환 건전화를 위한 대안의 경제적 가치추정)

  • Yoo, Jin-Chea;Kong, Ki-Seo;Lee, Kil-Seong;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.254-258
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    • 2006
  • 경제발전 과정에서 급격한 도시화로 인해 건기의 하천 수량은 줄어들고, 비점오염 발생량은 증가하였으며 심지어 하천이 복개되고 직강화되어 홍수 피해 및 수질오염은 더욱 증가하고 있다. 다행히 최근 소득수준의 증가와 여가시간이 확대됨에 따라, 그 동안의 도시화와 산업화로 인한 오염된 하천을 다시 복원하려는 운동이 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 안양천은 이 같은 하천 중 가장 대표적인 하천 중 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 다속성선택법(CE: choice experiments)을 적용하여 안양천이 어떠한 속성을 갖고 있으며 각각의 속성에 대해 안양천 유역주민들의 사회적인 경험과 인식, 그리고 각 속성의 수준간의 상쇄관계(trade-off)를 고려함으로써 소비자선호에 근거한 한계가치(marginal value)를 추정하였다. 2차례에 걸친 예비조사를 통해 안양천이 가진속성을 홍수피해위험, 가뭄시 하천유량, 수질등급, 하천형태로 설정하였고 설문지 작성을 위해 개별 속성들간의 직교성(orthogonality)을 보장해 주는 주효과 직교설계(orthogonal main effects design) 방법을 이용하였다. 작성된 설문지를 이용해 안양천 유역 10개 지자체 거주민을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였고 설문조사 결과를 통해 추정된 각 속성에 대한 가구당 매월 한계지불의사액은 하류구간의 잠재적 홍수피해(PFD가 0.5)가 보통일 경우는 1,764.8원/월, 낮을(PFD가 0.5이하) 경우는 1,783.8원/월, 가뭄시 하천수가 목표유지유량보다 는 작지만 매말라 있지 않은 경우에는 1,496.8원/월, 가뭄시 하천수가 목표유지유량 이상 유지될 경우에는 2,274.9원/월, 수질 등급 3등급일 경우 1,721.5원/월, 수질 등급 2등급일 경우 1,764.4원/월, 하천둔치를 체육공원과 산책로를 조성할 경우 2,078.1원/월, 하천둔치를 자연친화형 하천으로 보존할 경우 2,441.7원/월으로 분석되었다. 또한 추정된 가구당 매월 한계지불의사액을 통해 각 지자체별 정책대안의 기대효과에 대한 편익을 추정하였다. 각 기대효과는 치수, 수량확보, 수질, 생태로서 각각의 기대효과에 대해 가장 높은 편익을 나타내는 것은 부천시의 하수처리장 건설로서 이는 매년 926.8억원의 편익이 발생되며 그 다음으로는 부천의 하수관거정비(역곡)로서 이는 매년 601.5억원의 편익이 발생하는 것으로 추정되었다.

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Consequentiality and Hypothetical Bias in Contingent Valuation Method: An Experimental Investigation (가상가치평가법에서의 결과수렴성과 가상편의)

  • Lee, Jinkwon;Hwang, Uk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2020
  • While contingent valuation method (CVM) has been widely used for non-market valuations, it has been argued that it may suffer from hypothetical bias. However, if CVM respondents believe that their responses could affect the real consequence, the method could satisfy consequentiality. If a CVM satisfies a sufficiently high consequentiality, hypothetical bias could disappear as shown by some previous studies. In this study, we experimentally compare the willingness to pay (WTP) for donation of a relatively high consequentiality group with that of a relatively low consequentiality group for Korean university students. We find that both the existence probability and the size of hypothetical bias are lower for the high consequentiality group. This result implies that a CVM for a real policy including environmental policies could be free from hypothetical bias because its consequentiality would be relatively high, and warrants a future field study investigating the effect of consequentiality on hypothetical bias.

Research of Cognition Degree and Non-market Value for Yeosu World Exposition Expost Facto Service (여수세계박람회장 사후시설 인식도 조사 및 비시장가치 분석)

  • Shin, Seungsik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to look through the progress of Yeosu Exposition ex-post facto service, to survey the cognition degree of the general public for it, and to estimate the nonmarket value. For such a reason, this paper examines the planning direction and enforcement situation of ex-post facto service first and then conducts a cognition degree survey of the 900 general public in the nation. Also, this paper carries out the nonmarket value of Yeosu EXPO ex-post facto service using CVM. Estimation results is that the annual value of it is 50.8 billion won and the total value for 5 years is 217.1 billion won. These results mean that there is nonmarket high value besides general market value for Yeosu EXPO ex-post facto service, and government should consider this to determine the future of it.

The Development of the Method of Determining Remaining Cited-patent Life Time Using the Survival Curve Analysis (생존곡선을 활용한 잔존 인용특허 수명 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jun, Seung-Pyo;Park, Hyun-Woo;Yoo, Jae Young
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.745-765
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    • 2012
  • When attempting to use the income approach for the purpose of technology valuation, it is essential to identify the economic life of the technology in question. From the mid-2000s up to the present, the methods proposed by major Korean institutions for estimating the economic life of technologies have been based on cited patent life (CLT), which is one of the types of technology life. The present study utilizes cited patent life (CLT) to estimate the economic life of technology for the purpose of technology valuation, and proposes a new method of analyzing cited patent life, a method that has been improved by taking into consideration the elapsed period and the time period of investment required for commercialization, two factors which have been hitherto overlooked. Survival curve analysis is a method that has already been widely utilized to estimate the economic life of tangible assets, and this study applies the same method to the calculation of the cited patent life index of technology to provide a more objective method for determining the lifetime of a technology. The remaining life expectancy of cited patent life based on the number of elapsed years was calculated and used to determine the life expectancy of a technology that has reached a specific number of elapsed years, which is referred to as the remaining cited-patent life time (r-CLT).

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