• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제성 지수

Search Result 641, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

An Analysis on Characteristics of Thickness of Asphalt Concrete Pavement with Computer Programs (전산해석 프로그램을 이용한 아스팔트포장 단면의 거동특성분석)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Ha;Lee, Gwang-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-168
    • /
    • 1999
  • Asphalt pavement tends to rut in high temperature and to crack in cold temperature. The performance of asphalt pavement can be deteriorated by korean weather condition which has the four distinct seasons. In this study, the typical sections that may minimize rutting and fatigue were analyzed through the numerical model tests. The layered elastic theory , finite element method and visco elastic theory were utilized for these numerical model tests. From the various numerical model tests, it is found that an optimum design procedure was recommended. It was increasing the thickness of asphalt stabilized base with fixing the wearing course as 5cm the minimum specified thickness. The section was most beneficial in resting rutting and fatigue. From the analysis of the relative index on tensile strain and cost analysis, it was recommended that the thickness ratio of subbase and asphalt concrete is 1.0$\sim$2.5.

  • PDF

Development of Drought Risk Map : Case Study For Gyengsang-do (가뭄위험지도 개발 : 경상도 지역을 중심으로)

  • Park, Jong Yong;Yoo, Ji Young;Choi, Minha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.02a
    • /
    • pp.46-46
    • /
    • 2011
  • 가뭄은 인간이 극복하기 힘든 자연재해로 사회, 경제, 환경등에 막대한 피해를 가져온다. 따라서, 이를 극복하기 위해 지속적인 가뭄 모니터링이 필요한데, 현재 가뭄의 모니터링은 대부분 기상학적 인자를 고려한 가뭄지수의 심도에 의해 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 가뭄모니터링 방법을 좀 더 현실적으로 개선시키고자 가뭄심도를 근거로 가뭄발생 빈도와 가뭄발생 시 취약인자의 선정을 통해 가뭄위험평가기법을 제안하였다. 이를 위해 가뭄의 위험정도를 정량화하고 가뭄발생으로 인해 발생 가능한 피해 요소들을 정량화하여 가뭄재해지수(Drought Hazard Index)와 가뭄취약성지수(Drought vulnerability Index)를 산정하고, 두 지수의 결합으로 가뭄위험지수(Drought Risk Index)를 산정하였다. 가뭄재해지수는 가뭄지수 EDI를 바탕으로 가뭄심도에 따른 발생확률을 근거로 산정하였으며, 가뭄취약성지수는 가뭄 발생 시 취약한 인자를 선정하여 이를 지수화 하였다. 가뭄위험평가의 적용을 위해 2001년의 경상도 지역의 가뭄을 평가하였다. 가뭄위험지수를 바탕으로 경상도 지역의 가뭄의 위험정도를 평가할 수 있는 가뭄위험지도를 작성한 결과 경상북도 지역이 경상남도 지역보다 가뭄발생빈도와 취약정도가 컸음을 확인할 수 있었으며, 경상도 내륙지방을 중심으로 가뭄의 위험이 높음을 확인할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

Does the Business Survey Index of the Federation of Korean Industries at the Service Industry Lead the domestic stock market ? (서비스 산업에서 전경련 BSI지수는 주식시장을 예측할 수 있는가?)

  • Kim, Joo Il;Kim, Byoung ryul
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.41-54
    • /
    • 2016
  • We examine the information transmission between the business survey index(BSI) based on the returns data offered by Federation of Korean Industries and KOSPI Index based on the returns data offered by Korea Bank. The data includes monthly return data from January 1998 to September 2015. The results of the analysis are as follows. Firstly, results of Granger Causality test suggests the existence of mutual causality KOSPI Index precede and have explanatory power BSI. Secondly, the results of impulse response function suggest that BSI Index show immediate response to KOSPI Index and are influenced by till time 4 From time 2 the impact gradually disappears. Also KOSPI Index show immediate response to BSI and are influenced by till time 4 From time 2 the impact gradually disappears. Lastly, the variance decomposition analysis showed a high influence of the KOSPI Index on the BSI and significant influence of the BSI on the KOSPI Index. This implies that returns on the KOSPI Index have a significant influence over returns on the BSI. The study is a further extension of existing studies on information transmission mechanism between the BSI and KOSPI. Finally, our results can be used as a guide by the Korea Bank and Republic of Korea and as well as Federation of Korean Industries.

Construction of Consumer Confidence index based on Sentiment analysis using News articles (뉴스기사를 이용한 소비자의 경기심리지수 생성)

  • Song, Minchae;Shin, Kyung-shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-27
    • /
    • 2017
  • It is known that the economic sentiment index and macroeconomic indicators are closely related because economic agent's judgment and forecast of the business conditions affect economic fluctuations. For this reason, consumer sentiment or confidence provides steady fodder for business and is treated as an important piece of economic information. In Korea, private consumption accounts and consumer sentiment index highly relevant for both, which is a very important economic indicator for evaluating and forecasting the domestic economic situation. However, despite offering relevant insights into private consumption and GDP, the traditional approach to measuring the consumer confidence based on the survey has several limits. One possible weakness is that it takes considerable time to research, collect, and aggregate the data. If certain urgent issues arise, timely information will not be announced until the end of each month. In addition, the survey only contains information derived from questionnaire items, which means it can be difficult to catch up to the direct effects of newly arising issues. The survey also faces potential declines in response rates and erroneous responses. Therefore, it is necessary to find a way to complement it. For this purpose, we construct and assess an index designed to measure consumer economic sentiment index using sentiment analysis. Unlike the survey-based measures, our index relies on textual analysis to extract sentiment from economic and financial news articles. In particular, text data such as news articles and SNS are timely and cover a wide range of issues; because such sources can quickly capture the economic impact of specific economic issues, they have great potential as economic indicators. There exist two main approaches to the automatic extraction of sentiment from a text, we apply the lexicon-based approach, using sentiment lexicon dictionaries of words annotated with the semantic orientations. In creating the sentiment lexicon dictionaries, we enter the semantic orientation of individual words manually, though we do not attempt a full linguistic analysis (one that involves analysis of word senses or argument structure); this is the limitation of our research and further work in that direction remains possible. In this study, we generate a time series index of economic sentiment in the news. The construction of the index consists of three broad steps: (1) Collecting a large corpus of economic news articles on the web, (2) Applying lexicon-based methods for sentiment analysis of each article to score the article in terms of sentiment orientation (positive, negative and neutral), and (3) Constructing an economic sentiment index of consumers by aggregating monthly time series for each sentiment word. In line with existing scholarly assessments of the relationship between the consumer confidence index and macroeconomic indicators, any new index should be assessed for its usefulness. We examine the new index's usefulness by comparing other economic indicators to the CSI. To check the usefulness of the newly index based on sentiment analysis, trend and cross - correlation analysis are carried out to analyze the relations and lagged structure. Finally, we analyze the forecasting power using the one step ahead of out of sample prediction. As a result, the news sentiment index correlates strongly with related contemporaneous key indicators in almost all experiments. We also find that news sentiment shocks predict future economic activity in most cases. In almost all experiments, the news sentiment index strongly correlates with related contemporaneous key indicators. Furthermore, in most cases, news sentiment shocks predict future economic activity; in head-to-head comparisons, the news sentiment measures outperform survey-based sentiment index as CSI. Policy makers want to understand consumer or public opinions about existing or proposed policies. Such opinions enable relevant government decision-makers to respond quickly to monitor various web media, SNS, or news articles. Textual data, such as news articles and social networks (Twitter, Facebook and blogs) are generated at high-speeds and cover a wide range of issues; because such sources can quickly capture the economic impact of specific economic issues, they have great potential as economic indicators. Although research using unstructured data in economic analysis is in its early stages, but the utilization of data is expected to greatly increase once its usefulness is confirmed.

Bi-Polarization of the Income Distribution In Korea: 1997-2003 (소득 분포의 양극화 추이)

  • Shin, Donggyun;Cheon, ByungYou
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.77-109
    • /
    • 2005
  • On the basis of the Korea Labor and Income Panel Survey for the 1997 through 2003 period, this paper investigates if the income distribution has become more bi-polarized since the recent financial crisis. The polarization measure developed by Esteban and Ray(l994) and Duclos, Esteban, and Ray(2004) indicates that the distribution of total income has become much more bi-polarized than unequalized for the entire sample period. Second, the rapid increase in the bi-polarization measure is attributed to the enhanced within-group homogeneity among the lower-income group as well as the widening gap between the two groups in the mean income level. Third, no such pattern exists in the distribution of labor income. Overall, the findings in the current study would support the hypothesis of a centrifuging society which is characterized by the slow disappearance of the middle class and the formation of two poles and which is observed in the United States and the United Kingdom among others.

  • PDF

A Study on the Improvement of Depreciation Management for Construction Equipment Considering Economic Efficiency (경제성에 의한 건설중장비 감가상각관리 개선)

  • Lee, Yongsu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.32 no.4D
    • /
    • pp.357-366
    • /
    • 2012
  • Construction equipment has applied to depreciation over the years, however, the price index for construction equipment is not properly reflected in existing quantity per unit and the local tax law. Thus, this study shows the analysis of the corporate tax law, the local tax law and business accounting standards, characteristics of the domestic depreciation system and depreciation methods, and the capital recovery factor of construction equipment applying the theory for economic efficiency. It also presents cases of depreciation on the basis of quantity per unit and tax law using straight-line depreciation method and declining balance method. It is proposed that the relations of the application system of permissible period for construction equipment and the existing system be explained and the application system of permissible period for construction equipment be imposed. Furthermore, it proposes the development of depreciation tables of construction equipment monthly expenses based on the domestic price index and applications. In addition of that, it proposes the analysis of pros and cons of the methods suggested and application limits of the study and subsequent improvement plans. This study should reflect more rational and objective reality in quantity per unit and tax law.

Empirical Investigation to The Asymmetric Structure between Raw Material Price and Baltic Dry-bulk Index (원자재가격과 건화물선 운임지수의 비대칭구조 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.181-190
    • /
    • 2018
  • The goal of this study is empirically to investigate the asymmetric relationship between two variables using the dry cargo freight rates and raw material price data from January 2012 to May 2018. First, we estimate the asymmetry of macroeconomic indicators of commodity prices by using a two - step threshold cointegration test. Second, the asymmetric relation test of the trade balance of existing commodity price changes is tested by bypassing to the high frequency dry cargo freight rate index. As a result of the estimation, in contrast to the existing linear analysis, each boundary value for the lower limit and the upper limit has different asymmetry. This implies that the period of fluctuation of the sudden residual that causes irregular rate of return fluctuations does not establish a long term equilibrium relationship between the raw material price and the dry cargo freight rate. Therefore, in order to consider the sudden price change in the analysis, it is necessary to include the band of inaction that controls the irregular volatility, which is consistent with the asymmetry hypothesis.

기업 건전성 지수의 활용

  • 유인성
    • JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL WORLD
    • /
    • s.308
    • /
    • pp.76-79
    • /
    • 2002
  • 이제 기업별로 분기이익을 발표하는 Earning Season이 돌아왔다. 분기보고에 나타난 실적을 기초자료로 하여 기업들은 내부적으로 자사의 성과를 평가하고 주식시장에서는 투자자들이 기업을 평가하는 기본 자료로 활용하여 온 것이 주지의 사실이라고 할 수 있다. 그러나 엔론사태를 시발로하여 현재까지 꼬리를 물고있는 미국 기업에 대한 회계조작 사건은 기업회계에 대한 신뢰성의 저하를 초래했다. 세계에서 가장 투명한 경영을 한다는 미국의 대기업들이 이러한 사건에 연류되면서 상대적으로 투명성이 의심되는 국가의 기업들은 회계조작과 관련이 없더라도 이러한 악재를 피해 가기는 힘든 것이 현실이다. 회계의 투명성에 대한 신뢰도는 단순한 문제라고 할 수만은 없다. 왜냐하면 회계의 신뢰성에 대한 문제는 기업의 펀드멘탈에 관련된 문제이기 때문이다. 이러한 연유로 자본주의 경제와 불가분의 관계인 회계에 대한 비판과 개혁론이 대두되고 있어 대안적인 방안들이 관심을 끌고 있다. 그 방안의 하나로 지목되는 것이 $''$기업 건전성 지수$''$이다. 기업 건전성 지수는 경영자의 기업관리 및 투자자의 기업평가에 동일하고 유용하게 쓰일 수 있는 재무적 접근법이다. 본 논고에서는 기업 건전성지수에 대한 개념, 활용방안, 회계조정 그리고 지표의 진정한 효과에 대하여 설명하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Development of Korean Container Freight Index Based on Trade Volume (물동량 기반의 한국 정기선 운임지수 개발)

  • Choi, Jung-Suk;Hwang, Doo-Gun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.53-68
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a new Korean container freight index by applying weights based on the global trade volume. To achieve this, it was decided to determine the conditions such as establishment of routes and regions, weighting of trade volumes which based on prior research and expert advice. Based on this, the individual index and regional index and composite index were calculated, and then reliability and statistical significance of the index was verified through correlation analysis and Granger causality analyses. This study suggest the following findings, through the development of the Korean container freight index. Firstly, Korean freight index reflects the overall market situation and can be used as a benchmark for determining the conditions of each market, consisting of criteria of region and routes. Secondly, it is possible to reflect the market conditions in which actual freight differences exist, since it has developed separate indexes for export and import routes. Finally, The composite index is the only index that reflects not only exports and imports but also 27 individual routes based on Busan, which is the most comprehensive indicator of the korean container freight market.

Macroeconomic Forces Effect on the Hotel Profitability (거시경제변수가 호텔기업의 수익성에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Su-Jeong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.417-424
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the effect of macroeconomic variables on the hotel profitability and suggest the reasonable way to handle them. To achieve this purpose, seven macroeconomic variables were used as an independent variable. These were the index of industrial production, West Texas Intermediate, the consumer price index, the unemployment rate, the money supply, the trade balance and the exchange rate. And ROA and ROE of total hotels were used as a dependant variable respectively. As the result of regression, it was found that the index of industrial production and the exchange rate had a significant and positive effect on ROA. And West Texas Intermediate, the consumer price index and the unemployment rate had a significant and negative effect on ROA. Also the consumer price index and the unemployment rate had a significant and negative effect on ROE and the exchange rate had a significant and positive effect on ROE. Through the analysis two key variables were found to be very important ones. These were the unemployment rate and the exchange rate. So the hotel managers need to emphasize on the good price of domestic hotel products and supply the various productions and services to the guests when the exchange rate is increased. But when the unemployment rate is increased, the hotel managers should consider to supply the middle price products with the hight price products.