• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경쟁위험모형

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석유개발의 경제학

  • Sin, Ui-Sun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.383-393
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    • 1995
  • 석유개발사업은 고도의 위험성, 투자자금의 장기회임성, 그리고 대규모 투자자금의 필요성등의 특성을 가지고 있다. 따라서 개발사업에 참여하기에 앞서 개발비용과 향후 유가추이를 면밀히 검토하여야 한다. 국제원유시장은 기본적으로 공급초과 상태에 있으며 앞으로 상당기간동안 가격은 안정추세를 나타낼 것이다. 단기적 등락에도 불구하고 원유가격은 장기적으로 상승할 것이라는 당대의 견해는 이른바 유한고갈성자원의 희소렌트가 이자율과 같은 속도로 상승한다는 '호텔링의 모형'에 이론적 기초를 두고 있다. 그러나 국제원유시장에서의 원유가격은 경쟁가격이 아니라 OPEC카르텔에 의한 담합가격으로 실제적 시장상황에 비해 인위적으로 높게 유지되어 왔다. '카오스 이론'에 따르면 석유시장은 동태적으로 구조변화를 반복하기 때문에 사전적으로 석유가격을 예측한다는 것은 애당초 불가능하다. 따라서 불규칙적으로 변화하는 석유가격을 예측하려고 노력하기보다는 석유시장의 불확실성을 인정하고 선물시장의 활용을 통해 석유개발과 관련된 위험을 줄여나가야 할 것이다.

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The Emergence of de facto Standard and Firm Exit: Evidence from US Laser Printer Industry (사실상의 표준 등장 이후 기업퇴출에 관한 연구: 미국 레이저 프린터 산업을 중심으로)

  • Gang, KwangWook
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.115-135
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    • 2015
  • In the technological cycle model, a technological discontinuity leads to the inception of industry evolution. Before the emergence of de facto standard, it is defined as era of ferment, while era of incremental change is defined after the emergence. In the era of ferment, market and product have high uncertainties, but the competition becomes fiercer in the era of incremental change. Hence, new or revised managerial strategies are required before and after the de facto standard. However, our understanding is limited. In this study, we explore determinants of firm survival after the emergence of de facto standard. We test these using 6650 product/year observations from 1983 to 2002. The results reveal that entry before the emergence of de facto standard, and the number of product in the market will increase exit rate. However, the number of company will reduce exit rate. Our findings illustrate distinctive characteristics of the industry after the emergence of de facto standard. We'll discuss academic and political implications in the last section of this paper.

A Study on the relation of Risk Management, Partnerships, Business Performance in Supply Chain Management (SCM의 위험관리, 파트너십, 사업성과의 관계 연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Bong;Kwon, Seung-Ha
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.203-228
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    • 2011
  • In one global industry after another, supply chains are reaching across continents farther and deeper than they have ever been. As a result, global companies are confronting new and more formidable supply chain risks which insurance policies alone cannot overcome. This is especially true in the Korean manufacturing industry, where the integration of Supply Chain Management and Risk Management has become critical among Korean export manufactures. One of the most effective ways to manage supply chain risks is to prevent them from occurrence. First, however, supply chain managers must have the knowledge to identify potential causes of supply chain risks. This paper attempts to contribute to such knowledge by examining the relationships between Risk Management, Business Partnership, and Business Performance among Korean export manufacturers. Our study analysed 105 cases in Korean supply chain management and then developed a structural equation model. From our model we found that Supply Chain Risk Management affects both Business Performance and Business Partnerships among Korean export manufacturers. Our model also revealed that the practice of Risk Management within the Supply Chain of Korean export manufacturing industry is impeded by certain constraints and limitations.

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A Financial Theory of the Demand for Insurance With Simultaneous Investment Opportunities (투자(投資)와 보험수요(保險需要)의 상관관계(相關關係)에 관한 재무경제학적(財務經濟學的) 연구(硏究))

  • Witt, Robert C.;Hong, Soon-Koo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.223-262
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    • 1992
  • This paper develops a theory of the demand for insurance. The present model incorporates insurance demand time value of insurance premium, and demand for listless and risky assets simultaneously within the expected utility framework. For a special case of CARA, an insurance decision can be made separately from other portfolio decisions. However, in general, the interactions of both decisions cannot be ignored even when insurable and speculative risks are stochastically independent. In particular, the role of risky investment in hedging insurable risk is demonstrated and it is shown that this role cannot be duplicated by an insurance contract. When the investment decision is made simultaneously with the insurance decision, some of the classic theory on insurance should be modified. As an example, the authors characterize the sufficient conditions, under which the Bernoulli criteria (without and with premium loadings) hold or are violated in terms of the net gain of risky investment, the net cost of insurance, and the stochastic relationship between insurable and speculative risks. The authors interpret the results using the Rothschild and Stiglitz's (1970) notion of 'increase in riskiness'.

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Capacity expansion and advertising policies for new product diffusion models (신제품 도입 시장에서 생산능력 확장 및 광고 정책에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheol-Sun;Kim, Bo-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.147-151
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    • 2008
  • 신제품 또는 신기술이 도입되는 시장에서는 보통 선두 진출자가 먼저 시장을 개척하고 나중에 후발 기업이 시장에 진출한다. 시장 진출자는 생산능력이 과한 경우 과투자의 위험이 존재하는 반면, 부족한 경우 잠재고객의 수요에 적절히 대응하지 못하여 고객을 유치하지 못하게 된다. 또한 신규 시장에서 선두 진출자의 광고효과는 시장 규모를 키움으로써 자신의 입지뿐 아니라 후발 주자의 몫까지 키워주는 양날의 칼과 같은 역할을 한다. 그렇다면, 선두 진출자가 취할 수 있는 최적의 생산능력 확장 정책과 광고 정책은 어떻게 결정할 수 있을까? 본 연구에서는 신제품이 도입되는 시장에서 선두 진출자가 경쟁자의 시장 진입을 예상하는 경우, 기존 시장 진출자가 취할 수 있는 생산 능력 확장 정책과 광고 수준에 대한 의사 결정모형을 수립하기 위해 Bass의 확산 모형을 확장하여 적용하였다.

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The Moderating Effects of Information Security Policy between Information Security Maturity and Organizational Performance (정보보호 성숙도와 조직성과 간의 정보보호 정책의 효과분석)

  • Park, Jeong Kuk;Kim, Injai
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.3 no.9
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    • pp.301-310
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    • 2014
  • The absence of proactive information security management to ensure availability, accessibility and safety of information can bring serious risks to customers as well as to the organization's performance and competitiveness because improper security management undermines business continuity. This study analyzed the maturity of information security which affects the organizational performance. Through the literature reviews, a research model using the organizational performance as the dependent variable, the risk management process maturity and risk assessment process as independent variables and the information security policy indexes as moderate variables was proposed, and an empirical analysis was made on the basis of survey. The results showed that there was a high causal relationship between information security maturity and organizational performance. However, even if the proportions of information security staff ratio and the information security budget ratio increased, information security maturity did not affect organizational performance. It suggests that information security maturity affects organizational performance, but information security regulations have their limitation as being a catalyst to improve organizational performance.

The Moderating Effects on Strength and Opportunity Factors Between Entrepreneurship of Franchisor's CEO and Performance in Hood Service Franchise (외식 프랜차이즈 가맹본부 CEO의 기업가정신과 성과 간에 강점과 기회요인의 매개효과 분석)

  • Lee, Sang Suk
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to investigate the moderating effects of strength and opportunity factors between entrepreneurship of food service franchisor's CEO and performance in hood service franchise. For analyzing the relationship of them, the entrepreneurship factors categorized with organizational risk taking, innovativeness, and proactiveness from previous researches(Khandwalla, 1977; Miller, 1983; Miller, 1983). Also, strength and opportunity factors classified into detailed subfactor by confirmatory factor analysis. As a result, we found some statistically significant effects between the strength and opportunity factors and entrepreneurship factors, and they sequentially affects to performance. This result means that strength and opportunity factors have a role as a moderating variables. That is, as a presented with previous research, there is verified that entrepreneurship is caused by organizational risk taking, innovativeness, and proactiveness. Also, strength and opportunity factors significantly affect to business performance. Some guidelines for practicing potential food service franchise as a result of this would include; first of all, it is important to support the potential food service franchise consulting approach for some competitive advantage; secondly, effective governmental support programs for food service franchise should be developed for positive impacts of according to these results.

A Study on Suitability of Technology Appraisal Model in Technology Financing (기술력 평가모형의 기술금융 활용 적합성 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-won;Yun, J.Y.
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.292-312
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    • 2017
  • The purposes of this research are to verify: first, if the technology appraisal model reflects the company's management performance and the rates of bankruptcy and overdue; second, if the existing classification system of technology levels is suitable; and third, which is the most important appraisal factor that defines the classification system of technology levels. As a result of the analysis, financial performance (stability) and non-financial performance (technology environment) proved to be significant variables in explaining technology ratings. According to the verification of the suitability of classification system, it appeared that there is a significant difference in all appraisal items of all groups. The result of neural networks model verification indicates that the most important variable was the R&D capacity, the second variables which determine the suitability of technology financing were indicators related to the company management. The second variables which determine a company's technological excellence were a company's technological base. To summarize, the technology appraisal model not only reflects both managerial performance and risks of a company, but also anticipates the future by converging the management competence and technological competitiveness into R&D capacity. This implies that if the 'forward-looking' technology appraisal model is integrated into the existing, credit rating model, the appraisal model may have positive impact on improving anticipation and stability.

An Assets and Insolvency Prediction Framework based on Forensic Readiness using AHP and XML (AHP와 XML을 이용한 포렌식 준비도 기반의 자산 및 부실예측 프레임워크)

  • Jeong, Minseung;Kim, Jaechun;Park, Younghee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.695-698
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문은 AHP의사결정 기법의 계층적 분석과 자산 및 부실채권에 대한 예측 평가르 수행하는 프레임워크를 설계하고 위험탐지 분석 시나리오 등을 통해 상황변화에 따른 모니터링에서 수집된 자료를 수집, 분석할 수 있는 포렌식 준비도 모형을 제안한다. 제안하는 시스템은 기업에서 운영하고 있는 기존의 레거시 시스템과 연계하여 자산 및 부실예측평가 항목을 다양한 속성에 따라 그룹화하고 분석을 수행함으로써 기업의 자산과 리스크를 보다 효율적이고 안정적으로 관리할 수 있으며, 부실 자산에 대한 관리와 회수를 통해 기업 경쟁력 및 수익률을 향상시킬 수 있다. 또한 포렌식 준비도와 분석 모니터링을 활용하여 민사 및 형사 소송 등의 기업 간 분쟁에 대하여 수집된 증거자료를 제공할 수 있으며, 민원발생과 기타 사고를 예방하고 처리비용을 줄일 수 있다.

A Study on the Development of the New Technology Valuation System using Case-Based Reasoning (사례기반추론을 이용한 신기술 가치평가 시스템개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ki-Nam
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.103-116
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    • 2004
  • It is needed to transfer the technology actively which has already developed to improve a up-to-date technology and foster the technological innovation. The technology transfer also can bring about a commercial success. To promote the technology transfer, it is needed to develop a new technology valuation model for a specific technology from a objective point of view, as well as to equip an institution such as the technology transfer center. The technology valuation from a objective point of view is of importance as the basic information for the price negotiation between a technology-buyer and a technology-seller. This paper takes aim at investigating a new technology valuation model and developing a technology valuation system for promoting the technology transfer. A new technology valuation system is developed as a web-enabling base. Using this users are able to estimate the value of specific technology on a real time efficiently.

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