• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결합회귀분석

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Comparative Study on The Macro Causes of Single-Mother Households Poverty And Implications on Korea - Focusing on OECD 19 Countries Including Korea(1980-2012) - (독신모가구 빈곤의 거시적 결정요인 국제비교 - 한국을 포함한 OECD 19개국을 대상으로(1981-2012) -)

  • Sim, Sang Yong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.68 no.3
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    • pp.51-71
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to clarify macro causes influencing on the diversity of single-mother households poverty among OECD Countries including Korea. This study carried out pooled time series cross-section analysis applying unbalanced panel design on the period from 1981 to 2012. There is marked diversity on single-mother households poverty. GDP per capita does not contributes to reduce poverty, and female employment rate and % population 0-14 exacerbate poverty. Several factors contribute on poverty reduction including social spending, child cash spending, union density, employment protection on regular workers, proportional representation system, cumulative left cabinet, cumulative women seat. In Korea, it needs to overcome the limit of anti-poverty strategy mainly based on economic growth and labor market flexibility. And it needs to enlarge universal welfare institutions, child benefits, work-family reconciliation policy, and to design adjusted labor market institutions including union density and employment protection, to introduce consensus political model including proportional representation system to enhance left power and women's representation.

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Prediction Equation for Chloride Diffusion in Concrete Containing GGBFS Based on 2-Year Cured Results (2년 양생 실험결과를 이용한 고로슬래그 미분말 콘크리트의 염화물 확산 예측식)

  • Yoon, Yong-Sik;Cho, Sung-Jun;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2019
  • GGBFS(Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag), one of the representative concrete mineral admixtures, improves the long-term durability and engineering performance of concrete by latent hydraulic activity. In this study, considering 3 levels of W/B(0.37, 0.42, 0.47) and GGBFS replacement ratio(0 %, 30 %, 50 %), durability performances for chloride attack are evaluated, and equations which predict behavior of accelerated chloride diffusion are proposed. Also, the relationship between accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient and passed charge is evaluated. In target curing day, accelerated chloride diffusion tests(Tang's method, ASTM C 1202) and compressive strength(KS F 2405) are performed. In the 730 day's results of accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient, GGBFS concrete has up to 28 % of decreasing ratio compared to OPC concrete, and in those of passed charge, GGBFS concrete has up to 29 % of decreasing ratio compared to OPC concrete. Also, it is deemed that the impact of variation of W/B is less in GGBFS concrete than in OPC concrete. The equations which predict accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient and passed charge are drawn, based on the characteristics of mixture and test results. The equation which predicts passed charge shows slightly higher coefficient of determination than that which predicts accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient.

A Statistically Downscaling for Projecting Climate Change Scenarios over the Korean Peninsula (한반도지역에 대한 미래 기후변화 시나리오의 통계적 상세화)

  • Shin, Jin-Ho;Lee, Hyo-Shin;Kwon, Won-Tae;Kim, Min-Ji
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1191-1196
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    • 2009
  • 온실가스 증가에 따른 미래 기후변화가 수자원에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위하여 전구기후모델(AOGCM)의 기온과 강수 자료를 이용하여 한반도 지역에 대한 통계적 규모 상세화(statistical downsacaling, SDS) 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 기법은 Cyclostationary Empirical Orthogonal Function (CSEOF) 분석과 회귀분석을 결합한 것으로 관측과 AOGCM 시계열의 통계적 상관성을 이용하고 있다. 20세기말(1973-2000) 동안의 광역규모의 기온(ECMWF)과 강수량(CMAP) 및 AOGCM의 기온과 강수량 자료에 통계적 상세화 기법을 적용하고 비교함으로써 이 기법의 유효성을 검증하였는데, 상세화된 기온과 강수량 자료는 관측된 계절변동성과 월변동성을 잘 모사하였다. 특히, 여름철 관측에 비해 저평가된 AOGCM의 강수량 크기와 변동성이 상세화를 통해 관측치에 근접하게 되었다. AOGCM의 미래 강수량 변화는 21세기 후반에 계절적으로 봄과 여름에 증가할 것을 예상되었다. 상세화된 AOGCM의 강수는 겨울을 제외한 모든 계절에서, 특히 여름철에 가장 많이 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. AOGCM의 미래 기온변화는 21세기 후반으로 갈수록 상승하며, 계절적으로 겨울철의 기온 상승폭이 더 클 것으로 전망되는데, AOGCM을 상세화한 결과에서는 겨울과 더불어 여름에도 기온 상승폭이 클 것으로 전망되었다. 개발된 기법은 역학적 결과와 관측과의 통계적 상관성을 이용하기 때문에 광역규모의 기후적 특성뿐만 아니라 한반도 지형 등 지역적 특성도 모두 반영함과 더불어 광역규모의 자료를 빠른 시간내에 효과적으로 상세화시킬 수 있는 장점도 지닌다. 한편 상세화에 사용된 CSEOF의 모드수 등에 따른 불확실성 등은 통계적 상세화 과정에 개선될 여지가 남아있음을 보여준다.

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A Study on the Hierarchical Structure of Color Sensibility (색채 감성의 위계 구조에 대한 탐구)

  • Park, Chang-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.41-56
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    • 2008
  • Previous studies, while investigating factors of sensibility, had rarely considered its internal structure. This study hypothesized that sensibility had sensational aspects and emotional aspects and the former corresponded to objective adjectives, describing attributes of objects, and the latter to subjective adjectives, describing psychology of experiencers. Forty-three objective adjectives and 21 subjective adjectives describing color sensibility were selected both by a linguistic criterion and an empirical evaluation. Factor analysis on semantic differential responses to these two groups of adjectives resulted in 5 sensational factors and 3 emotional factors of color sensibility respectively. Hierarchical structure was derived by regressing emotional factor scores on sensational factor scores. In consequence, emotional aspects were interpreted by different combinations of sensational factors. Limitations and significance of this study were discussed.

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Factors Affecting Box Office Performance in China (중국내 극장 개봉영화 흥행에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Ki, Seon;Yu, Sae-Kyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the factors affecting box office performance of 200 movies released at the Chinese theater in 2015. The results showed that main actor power, online rating, production power, and Chinese film were sighificant factors which influenced box office, while the distribution power, genre, IP utilization and integration of production and distribution were insignificant. These results mean that online marketing factors such as the popularity index of the main actors evaluated on the internet and the online rating are affecting box office performances in Chinese theaters.

Simulation of continuous snow accumulation data using stochastic method (추계론적 방법을 통한 연속 적설 자료 모의)

  • Park, Jeongha;Kim, Dongkyun;Lee, Jeonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.60-60
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 적설 추정 알고리즘과 추계 일기 생성 모형을 활용하여 관측 적설의 특성을 재현하는 연속 적설심 자료 모의 방법을 소개한다. 적설 추정 알고리즘은 강수 유형 판단, Snow Ratio 추정, 그리고 적설 깊이 감소량 추정까지 총 3단계로 구성된다. 먼저 강수 발생시 지상기온과 상대습도를 지표로 활용하여 강수 유형을 판단하고, 강수가 적설로 판별되었을 때 강수량을 신적설심으로 환산하는 Snow Ratio를 추정한다. Snow Ratio는 지상 기온과의 sigmoid 함수 회귀분석을 통해 추정하였으며, precipitation rate 조건(5 mm/3hr 미만 및 이상)에 따라 두 가지 함수를 적용하였다. 마지막으로 적설 깊이 감소량은 온도 지표 snowmelt 식을 이용하여 추정하였으며, 매개변수는 적설 깊이 및 온도 관측 자료를 활용하여 보정하였다. 속초 관측소 자료를 활용하여 매개변수를 보정 및 검증하여 높은 NSE(보정기간 : 0.8671, 검증기간 : 0.7432)를 달성하였으며, 이 알고리즘을 추계 일기 생성 모형으로 모의한 합성 기상 자료(강수량, 지상기온, 습도)에 적용하여 합성 적설심 시계열을 모의하였다. 모의 자료는 관측 자료의 통계 및 극한값을 매우 정확하게 재현하였으며, 현행 건축구조기준과도 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 이 모형을 통하여 적설 위험 분석 분야뿐 아니라 기후 전망 자료와의 결합, 미계측 지역에 대한 자료 모의 등에도 광범위하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Prediction of Scour Depth Using Incorporation of Cluster Analysis into Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망모형과 군집분석을 이용한 교각 세굴심 예측)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Joo Heon;Kim, Tea-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2009
  • A local scour around a bridge pier is known as one of important factors of bridge collapse. Two approaches are usually used in estimating a scour depth in practice. One is to use empirical formulas, and the other is to use computational methods. But the use of empirical formulas is limited to predict a scour depth under similar conditions to which the formulas were derived. Computational methods are currently too expensive to be applied to practical engineering problems. This study presented the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) to the prediction of a scour depth around a bridge pier at an equilibrium state. This study also investigated various ANN algorithms for estimating a scour depth, such as Backpropagation Network, Radial Basis Function Network, and Generalized Regression Network. Preliminary study showed that ANN models resulted in very wide range of errors in predicting a scour depth. To solve this problem this study incorporated cluster analysis into ANN. The incorporation of cluster analysis provided better estimations of scour depth up to 42% compared with other approaches.

Comparative Assessment of INAA and ICP-MS for the Determination of Trace Elements in Airborne Particulate Matter (대기입자 중 미량원소의 정량을 위한 기기 중성자방사화분석과 유도결합플라즈마 질량분석법의 비교 평가)

  • Lim, Jong-Myoung;Lee, Jin-Hong;Chung, Yong-Sam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.1038-1045
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    • 2006
  • A series of experiments was conducted to test the compatibilities of two different techniques to determine elemental concentrations by INAA and ICP-MS based on both the NIST SRM 2783(air particulate on filter media) and the field samples for PM10. For NIST SRM the results of INAA were more accurate and precise for all target elements than those of ICP-MS. The comparative data set for PM10 samples collected in an industrial complex area showed that mean of concentration ratio, derived for the two different methods such as C(INNA/ICP-MS), were distinguished from each other: (1) Ba, Cu, K Mg, Na, and Sb: $0.9{\sim}1.1$; (2) Al, Co, Fe, and Mn: $0.8{\sim}1.2$; and (3) Se, Ti, and Zn: >1.3. When the results obtained from both methods were evaluated in terms of regression analysis, paired t-test, and Wilcoxon signed-rank test, the results of many elements determined from PM10 samples(such as Al, Ba, Co, Cu, Fe, K, Mn, Nd, and Sb) exhibited a fairly good agreement between the two methods, despite a wide range of variation.

Improvement of Accuracy on Dynamic Position Determination Using Combined DGPS/IMU (DGPS/IMU 결합에 의한 동적위치결정의 정확도 향상)

  • Back, Ki-Suk;Park, Un-Yong;Hong, Soon-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.361-369
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    • 2006
  • This study conducted an initialization test to decide dynamic position using AHRS IMU sensor, and derived attitude correction angles of vehicles against time through regression analysis. It was also found that the heading angle was stabilized with variation less than 1°after 60 seconds. Using these angles, this study carried out an experiment on the determination of dynamic position for each system in the open sky and in a semi-open sky. According to the results, in the open sky, DGPS alone systems were excellent in accuracy but poor in data acquisition, so the moving distance was around 12m. In DGPS/IMU combined system, accuracy and data acquisition were satisfactory and the moving distance was around 0.3m. In a semi-open sky, DGPS alone systems were excellent in accuracy in order of DGPS < FIMU < DGPS/IMU according to average and standard errors obtained with exclusion of places where data were not be obtained. The moving distance was the same as that in the open sky. For DGPS, when places where data were not obtainable were divided into Several block and they were compared, the maximum deviation from the trajectory was up to 41.5m in DGPS alone system, but it was less than 2.2m and average and standard errors were significantly improved in the combined system. When the navigation system was applied to surveys and the result was compared with position error 0.2mm under the guideline for digital map, it was possible to work on maps on a scale of up to 1 : 1,000.

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Performance Evaluation of Attention-inattetion Classifiers using Non-linear Recurrence Pattern and Spectrum Analysis (비선형 반복 패턴과 스펙트럼 분석을 이용한 집중-비집중 분류기의 성능 평가)

  • Lee, Jee-Eun;Yoo, Sun-Kook;Lee, Byung-Chae
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.409-416
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    • 2013
  • Attention is one of important cognitive functions in human affecting on the selectional concentration of relevant events and ignorance of irrelevant events. The discrimination of attentional and inattentional status is the first step to manage human's attentional capability using computer assisted device. In this paper, we newly combine the non-linear recurrence pattern analysis and spectrum analysis to effectively extract features(total number of 13) from the electroencephalographic signal used in the input to classifiers. The performance of diverse types of attention-inattention classifiers, including supporting vector machine, back-propagation algorithm, linear discrimination, gradient decent, and logistic regression classifiers were evaluated. Among them, the support vector machine classifier shows the best performance with the classification accuracy of 81 %. The use of spectral band feature set alone(accuracy of 76 %) shows better performance than that of non-linear recurrence pattern feature set alone(accuracy of 67 %). The support vector machine classifier with hybrid combination of non-linear and spectral analysis can be used in later designing attention-related devices.

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